CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1959/02/27

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03023205
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RIPPUB
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U
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12
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February 25, 2020
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February 27, 2020
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February 27, 1959
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� F//"/""/" Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03023205 CENTRAL 3.3(h)(2) 27 February 1959 3.5(c) Copy No. C 63 INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN DOCUMENT NO. _ NO CHANGE fN CLASS. 5ECLASSIFiro _ CLASS CHANGED TO: Tr w NEXT REVIEW DATE:o ii;uA-14/14." 7 REVIEWER: _ Approved for for Release: 2020/02/21 C03023205 �Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03023205 -TOP-SEGRET Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03023205 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03023205 27 FEBRUARY 1959 I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC Khrushchev talks of six-power sum- mit conference to deal with Berlin and German peace treaty. Sino-Soviet trade for 1959 to increase 20 percent over 1958. II. ASIA-AFRICA Iraq - Qasim attempting to replace two potent_allv dissident division c m- 1:i manders. Hammarskjold concerned over revival of Egyptian-Israeli border incidents. Liberia to adopt foreign policy more independent of US. Rioting spreads in Nyasaland and Rho- desias. Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03023205 "--" Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03023205 'stool vie CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN is 27 February 1959 DAILY BRIEF I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC AMPZZZ *USSR: rushchev has said he favors a six-power sum- mit meeting including Poland and Czechoslovakia, with an agenda limited to Berlin and a German peace treaty. Ehru- shchev appears determined to demonstrate, either in summit talks or in an exchange of notes, that the West has rebuffed Soviet efforts to settle these two issues. He probably be- lieves these tactics will strengthen the USSR's justification for signing a separate peace treaty and transferring access _control o tis__t_.stGermans: USSR- Communist China: A Sino-Soviet trade agree- ment was signed in Moscow on 26 February. The agreement provides for larger Soviet shipments of industrial equipment to support China's ambitious program for economic develop- ment, but Peiping, as was the case last year, will probably export more to the USSR than it receives in order to continue repayments for loans received prior to 1956. Total trade between the two countries is planned to reacl ckl _R hillion a 20-percent increase over 1958. I IL ASIA-AFRICA Iraq: Prime Minister Qasim is attempting to transfer two FOgfitially dissident division commanders to the Iraqi foreign service as ambassadors The em- bassy expects the commanders will resist being transferred and that Qasim will take "countermeasures" against them. A similar maneuver by Qasim preceded the dismissal of former Deputy Premier Arif. (Page 2) e'' /e// i , TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03023205 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03023205 TOP SECITT Nur Arab-Israel: Hammarskj old is becoming increasingly concerned over a revival of Egyptian-Israeli border inci- dents and is reported considering sending Undersecretary General Bunche to Cairo. Apparently on the basis of ob- servations by the UN Emergency Force, Hammarskjold has cited Israeli overflights of Egyptian territory averaging four a day, and an increasing number of around reconnaissance Patrols bv both sides. Liperia:aresident Tubman has indicaWd to the Amer- ican ambassador that he has made a definite and fundamental shift in his attitude toward the United States in favor of a more independent policy oriented toward the Asian-African bloc in the United Nations. The Liberian leader is under growing pressure from nationalistic elements within his gov- ernment who are dissatisfied with Liberia's lack of influence in African circles. Tubman's new international approach could result in a more receptive attitude toward Sovi t d East European diplomatic and economic overtures".3 (Page 3) Rhodesia-Nyasaland: The African nationalist threat to the federation's stability has grown appreciably within the past two days. A spread of Nyasa rioting and political agi- tation has prompted a sharp reaction on the part of the gov- erning authorities. The situation remains tense throughout Nyasaland, and Nyasa organizers are believed partially re- sponsible for a strike of over 5,000 African workers at the Kariba Dam site in Southern Rhodesia. The Southern Rho- , desian Government has declared a state of emergency, out- lawed the four leading African nationalist organizations, and arrested most prominent leaders. (Page 4) (Map) I IL, SIGNIFICANT INTELLIGENCE REPORTS AND ESTIMATES (Available during the preceding week) The Current Moroccan Political Situation. 17 February 1959. SNIE 71-1-59. The Communist Threat to Iraq. 17 February 1959. SNIE 36-2-59. 27 Feb 59 DAILY BRIEF TOP SECRET 11 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03023205 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03023205 �0-EA,MC4 Neve Nue I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC Khrughchei-Spells Out Views on Summit Meeting an a conversation with the French ambassador following his speech on 24 February, Khrushchev said he favors a six- power summit meeting including Poland and Czechoslovakia, with the two German states participating in an advisory capac- ity. He also indicated that a summit agenda should be limited to Berlin and a German peace treaty, and that such questions as European security and disarmament should be discussed only in a broader context with the participation of additional states."/ Khrushchey's statement may have been an attempt to sound out French reaction to parity of representation in any forthcom- ing negotiations. the USSR would agree to a tour-power summit comer- ence on the Geneva pattern, but would insist on parity at any foreign ministers' conference, with Poland and Czechoslovakia on the Soviet side:) ilihrushchev's interest in confining any summit discussions, at least at the outset, to Berlin and a German treaty were also reflected in his speech of 24 February, in which he insisted that the first task of such a conference should be to conclude a German treaty which would include a solution of the Berlin question. The Soviet notes of 10 January stated that the prob- lem of European security calls for special discussion and "can- not be lumped together with other questions including the Berlin issue." The notes charged that the West is trying to hamper agreements on both Berlin and European security by making settlement of one dependent on the other:3 [The USSR's efforts to locus attention on Berlin and a Ger- man treaty reflect Moscow's determination to demonstrate, either in summit talks or in an exchange of notes if such talks do not materialize, that the West has rebuffed Soviet efforts to settle these two issues. Khrushchev probably believes these tactics will strengthen the USSR's justification for signing a separate peace treaty and transferring Berlim access controls to the East Germans:3 27 Feb 59 SECRET CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 1 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03023205 Approved for Release: 2026/02/21 C03023265 1 .J1bJ1�.0....1%.1.J II, ASIA -AFRICA The Situation in Iraq In a move to strengthen his control over the army, Iraqi Prime Minister Qasim is attempting to remove two divisional commanders by annointinff them ambal5sadors, These generals, Tabaqchali of the 2nd Division, stationed at Kirkuk in northern Iraq, and Aqili, commander of the 1st Division, south of Baghdad at Diwaniyah, have been outspokenly anti-Communist. Qasim previously attempted to reassign Tabaqchali to a new post, but the general refused. Tabaqchali has been a bulwark of anti-Communist sentiment in northern Iraq, and the Commu- nists recently spread rumors that he was plotting against Qasim. The highly suspicious Qasim may be motivated by these rumors, as well as by Tabaqchali's past attitude. These com- manders have resisted Qasim's maneuvers up to the present, although one divisional commander was "kicked upstairs" to a cabinet post on 9 February. Qasim may feel strong enotIgh to take "countermeasures" against the recalcitrant generals, as he did in the case of former Vice Premier Arif when he was appointed ambassador to West Germany. Unless the ar- my soon resists Qasim's attempts to replace its leaders with men personally loyal to him, it is doubtful that it willS long be in a position to resist further Dro-Communist inroads in the government and army. TOP SECRET 27 Feb 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 2 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03023205 `4401 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03023205 �5-Etxtr. solo Libeelan Pifesident Tubman to Follow More Independent Policy (president Tubman indicated to the American ambassador on 23 February that Liberia "would not be tied to US coattails" but would pursue a policy more in line with that of the Asian-African bloc in the United Nations. His remarks emphasized the appar- ent deterioration in American-Liberian relations over the past year, although they were probably motivated, in part, by dis- satisfaction over the American aid program in Liberia and re- cent unfavorable comment about him in the American press�.3 (Liberia has watched the attention being showered upon Pres- ident Tour d of Guinea and Prime Minister Nkrumah of Ghana, particularly by Communist trade and diplomatic delegations. Tubman is aware of Liberia's lack of influence in African cir- cles and realizes that newer nations are the continent's leaders and that his own position is threatened by a clique of young but influential officials who are growing more vocal in their crit- icism of the republic's foreign policies-.-S (Even if Tubman does effect a change of policy and adopt a more "neutralist" orientation, Liberia is unlikely to enhance its regional influence and may instead acquire unmanageable problems if it welcomes Communist trade and diplomatic del- egations. Few of the rising African nationalists consider Tub- man truly representative of Africa in view of his American Negro ancestry and generally conservative posture. Further- more, his recent appeal for a permanent association of African states to provide for tariff reduction and cooperation on health and cultural matters is out of step with the regional olitical associations envisaged by most African leaders.) 27 Feb 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 3 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03023205 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03023205 ANA RHODESIA AND NYASALAND GU LI *Locations of recent diaorders UNCLASSIFIED 2 r`cE3F3.1.1.AFtY 19, 5 LEI .III)O ELG COM GAIL, .Lusaka � be ' River SALISBURY S 0 II,HEN RHODESIA Bla nt re � � Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03023205 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03023205 �Ctirstritittrilltt, Noe Nal Rhodesian Federation Beset With Growing African Disorders Disorders continue to grow in the Federation of Rhodesia and Nyasaland. Rioters in Nyasaland, spurred on by extrem- ist Dr. Hastings Banda and the Nyasaland African National Congress, have provoked disturbances in scattered towns throughout the entire British protectorate, continue to hold the only airfield in northern Nyasaland, and have blocked the main road between Nyasaland and Tanganyika. Local police, reinforced by Rhodesian police and troops, are hampered by poor transport facilities and have not been able to suppress the disorders even with the use of planes and tear bombs. The nationalist-inspired unrest has spread into the Rhodesian area. At the Kariba Dam site on the Zambezi River, Nyasa agi- tators are believed to be partly responsible for a strike of over 5,000 African workers. In an effort to forestall rioting in Southern Rhodesia, the local prime minister has proclaimed a state of emergency which gives the authorities power to ban meetings, control the move- ment of persons, impose curfews, control publications, and search premises without warrant. The government has banned the four leading African nationalist organizations in Southern Rhodesia and arrested most known leaders. Although the federal and local governments will probably remain in general control of the situation, African agitation against the white-dominated federation will probably grow and spread into all three component territories. Such agitation would increase the pressure on British and federal officials to exclude Nyasaland and other areas containing few European settlers from the federation when they discuss its political evo- lution in 1960. -CONFIDENTIAL- 27 Feb 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 4 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03023205 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03023205 II A I 11-., 1..4 IIC � 1-P. -4 INF THE PRESIDENT The Vice President Executive Offices of the White House Special Assistant for National Security Affairs Scientific Adviser to the President Director of the Budget Office of Defense and Civilian Mobilization Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy Executive Secretary, National Security Council The Treasury Department The Secretary of the Treasury The Department of State The Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration The Counselor Director, International Cooperation Administration The Director of Intelligence and Research The Department of Defense The Secretary of Defense The Deputy Secretary of Defense Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs The Secretary of the Army The Secretary of the Navy The Secretary of the Air Force The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff Commandant, United States Marine Corps The Director, The Joint Staff Chief of Staff, United States Army Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy Chief of Staff, United States Air Force Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of the Army Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of the Navy Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force Supreme Allied Commander, Europe Commander in Chief, Pacific The Department of the Interior The Secretary of the Interior The Department of Commerce The Secretary of Commerce Federal Bureau of Investigation The Director Atomic Energy Commission The Chairman National Security Agency The Director National Indications Center The Director United States Information Agency The Director CONFIDENTIAL Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03023205 " r46-11;-ECRET- 411% Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03023205