CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1955/11/23

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03019092
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: September 20, 2019
• Document Release Date: September 26, 2019
• Publication Date: November 23, 1955

Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03019092
TOP SECRET
1)
23 November 1955
3.5(c) #i
3.3(h)(2)
0
Copy No.
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO .9
NO CHANGE. IN CLASS,
DECLASSIFIth
GE_ASS CHANGED TO:
NE) 'r 11E1N 1,-)A FE.
AUIH. TOO
4 CY a
DATE -* oki& RLVELVVER:
4 7
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
100
TOP SECRET
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03019092
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03019092
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03019092
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03019092
A I6J A-4 ,6 / IL La A
'Imre
CONTENTS
1. CLOSER SOVIET-AFGHAN RELATIONS PROBABLE
RESULT OF TRIBAL ASSEMBLY (page 3).
2, EXECUTION OF GEORGIAN POLICE OFFICIALS (page 4).
3. BRAZILIAN CONGRESS BLOCKS CAFE'S RETURN TO
PRESIDENCY (page 5).
4. BRITAIN PROPOSES NEW FORMULA FOR CYPRUS (page 6).
5. JAPANESE DIPLOMATS FORESEE FULL RECOGNITION
FOR COMMUNIST CHINA IN 1957 (page 7).
6. EAST PAKISTAN POLICE STRIKE (page 8).
* * * *
THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION
(page 9)
23 Nov 55
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 2
�TOP�SEC�R-g-T
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03019092
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03019092
vi h...11-",1%.L.r 1
L CLOSER SOVIET-AFGHAN RELATIONS PROBABLE
RESULT OF TRIBAL ASSEMBLY
ghan prime minister Daud has been
trengthened and has been given con-
iderable freedom in foreign policy by
he Grand Assembly of the Tribes, which
ended in Kabul on 20 November.
The assembly approved Daud's demands
for independence of the Pushtoon areas
o a s an an a vised the government to strengthen na-
tional defense "by any possible ways and means" with any
material which is "honorably procurable." Since American
military aid to Pakistan was blamed for upsetting the bal-
ance of power between the two countries, approval was im-
plied for Daud to obtain support from the Soviet bloc.
Some assembly objections to receiving
weapons from the Soviet bloc were silenced by references
to arms negotiations with the bloc by Moslem Egypt and the
Saudi Arabian "custodians of the holy places." King Zahir
Shah apparently did not make effective use of President
Eisenhower's letter offering assistance in reconciling Afghan-
Pakistani differences and thus failed to check Daud's Soviet-
oriented proposals.
Encouraged by the assembly's vote of
confidence and the recently reported arrival in Kabul of
235 truckloads of Czech automatic weapons, ammunition,
and grenades, Daud may make a final attempt to bargain
with the West. If not immediately successful, he is likely
to extend his negotiations with the Soviet bloc.
23 Nov 55
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 3
Tnp .srozrt
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03019092
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03019092
kyi
Name
2. EXECUTION OF GEORGIAN POLICE OFFICIALS
The execution of six and imprison-
ment of two former security officials
of the Georgian Republic appear to
be another step in the discrediting of
the extralegal and arbitrary use of police power which
characterized the Stalin regime and was epitomized by
L. P. Beria. Soviet prosecutor-general Rudenko con-
ducted the prosecution, thus lending Kremlin authority
to the proceedings. The accused were charged with help-
ing Beria and using illegal prosecution methods.
Of the eight men involved, the most
prominent were former Georgian security chiefs A. N.
Rapava and N. M. Rukhadze. Rapava appears to have
been a protege of Beria, but Rukhadze has long been con-
sidered one of the leaders of an anti-Beria faction in
Georgia. Rukhadze was removed in June 1952 and Rapava
in July 1953. Thus it would appear that the linking of these
people to Beria was a pretext to try them publicly. The
trial may have been intended only as a warning to the po-
lice and as reassurance to the populace that present em-
phasis on legality will continue.
On the other hand, such a trial could have
the effect of reminding Soviet citizens as well as high offi-
cials that individuals found guilty of serious political crimes
will still be executed.
23 Nov 55
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 4
-717P7STeferr-
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 003019092
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03019092
1 1-11 / 1.1-4
3, BRAZILIAN CONGRESS BLOCKS CAFE'S RETURN TO
PRESIDENCY
The Brazilian Congress' resolution of
22 November against Joao Cafe Filho's
resumption of office, not made under
the constitutional provision for impeach-
ment, represented the legislature's insistence that the leave
of absence granted the president for reasons of health on
8 November should be continued. Support for the resolution
from two parties which opposed President-elect Kubitschek
in the 3 October election probably indicates a widespread
desire in Brazil for an end to the uncertainties which have
surrounded the presidency in the past two weeks.
Those opposing the inauguration of
Kubitschek next January may move to contest the consti-
tutionality of Congress' resolution before the Federal
Supreme Court.
Congress' insistence on retaining Act-
ing President Nereu Ramos in office has the support of War
Minister General Lott and probably the dominant group in
the armed forces, although the navy and the air force are
reportedly giving only grudging support.
23 Nov 55 Current Intelligence Bulletin
Page 5
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03019092
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03019092
1 1..../1 La I
4. BRITAIN PROPOSES NEW FORMULA FOR CYPRUS
London is seeking Cypriot and Greek
acceptance of a new formula for Cyprus
under which Britain would offer to grant
a wide measure of self-government now,
and to consider se -determination when self-governing in-
stitutions have been proved capable of safeguarding the in-
terests of all sections of the Cypriot community. Britain
has indicated, however, that any ultimate self-determination
would have to take into consideration not only the wishes of
the Cypriots, but the strategic interests of parties to East-
ern Mediterranean defense treaties.
The proposed formula shows the de-
sire of the British to 're-establish, law and order by interest-
ing the Cypriots in sell-government. The proposal to post-
pone discussion of the colony's future, however, suggests
that the British see no possibility of an immediate solution
of the dispute. This is in part due to the unwillingness of
the British military to jeopardize further the security of
their Middle East headquarters being established on Cyprus.
London, moreover, is aware that Turkey remains implacably
opposed to any change in the status of Cyprus.
Neither the Greek government nor Cypriot
nationalist leader Archbishop Makarios is likely to agree to
Britain's proposal. Acceptance now would probably lead to
the defeat of the Karamanlis government in the Greek national
elections next spring. Similarly, Makarios would probably
forfeit leaderghip of the Cypriot enosis movement if he agreed
to any proposal that failed to promise early self-determination.
23 Nov 55
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 6
TOP SECRET
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03019092
� Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03019092
vi
Nraior`
5. JAPANESE DIPLOMATS FORESEE FULL RECOGNITION
FOR COMMUNIST CHINA IN 1957
Participants at a recent conference of
Japanese diplomats in Bangkok agreed
that Communist China would be admitted
to the United Nations by the spring of
1957 and would gain full recognition later that year,
The
conferees agreed that in view of this probability, the strate-
gic value of Taiwan and the importance of keeping it from
Communist China should be emphasized, and the status of
the Chiang Kai-shek regime de-emphasized.
The Japanese officials showed concern
over the fact that the Chinese were shipping large quantities
of inferior but cheap goods to Southeast Asia, and that this
was posing a serious threat to a market vital to Japan.
Comment Long-standing Japanese policy has en-
visaged the eventual recognition of
Communist China and the relegation of the Chinese Nation-
alist government to a relatively minor role in international
affairs. Tokyo, however, has tended previously to avoid
involvement in the problem.
At the Bandung conference last April,
the Chinese Communists declared that neighboring coun-
tries could now be supplied with Chinese machinery. No
machinery is known to have arrived as yet, but large quan-
tities of consumer goods from Communist China have ap-
peared on the market during 1955. (Concurred in by ORR)
23 Nov 55 Current Intelligence Bulletin
Page 7
'
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03019092
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03019092
1../I L.LtLJn
Now'
viNir
6. EAST PAKISTAN POLICE STRIKE
Five hundred local police who be-
gan a strike in Dacca, capital of
East Pakistan, on 21 November,
have been arrested by the East
Pakistan Rifles, the province's special security police
unit, The army's
14th Division, which is stationea inhast �,%-xistan, has
been called out by the civil administration to take over
the Rifles' normal duties while they engage in street pa,
trol. An additional battalion of troops is moving to Dacca
from another city.
The general officer commanding the
division feels the situation can be handled if the East
Pakistan Rifles remain loyal.
Comment The police strike, ostensibly for
higher pay, expresses the growing
demoralization of the police force and climaxes a week
of popular unrest over rice and salt shortages. It may
have been encouraged by several hundred political agi-
tators, many of them Communists, who were released
last month by the United Front chief minister of the prov-
ince.
A recent request from the army com-
mander in chief for transfer of the East Pakistan Rifles
to his control indicated that there is some doubt as to the
3,000-man unit's loyalty, but changes in its officers may
have remedied this danger.
The police strike follows three months
of degeneration of political stability in East Pakistan and
directly challenges the central government. While Karachi
will probably be able to weather the crisis by a judicious
mixture of strength and concessions, its freedom of action
will be limited by the fact that the central government de-
pends for its survival on the United Front Party, which is
deeply entrenched in East Pakistan and will probably op-
Pose any atteiptky. Karachi to take over direct control of
the province.
23 Nov 55 Current Intelligence Bulletin
TOP�S-f
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03019092
Page 8
Approved for Release: 2019/09%16 C03019092
A 1-1.1-d�-�11...1.-4 I
%re
THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION
(Information as of 1700, 22 November)
New incidents continue to occur on
both the Israeli-Egyptian and Israeli-Jordanian borders.
The Israeli radio noted on 21 November that terrorist
attacks, which it called "part of an organized campaign
�of guerrilla war," have occurred with "disturbing regu-
larity" since 5 November.
Such a series of incidents has been
followed in the past by an Israeli "retaliatory" raid, and
there is no reason to believe that Israel's policy in this
respect has changed. As yet the massing of Israeli re-
serve forces which usually precedes a raid against Egypt
has not been reported. A raid against Jordan, however,
might not involve extensive troop movements.
23 Nov 55
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 9
TOP SECRET
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03019092