CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1958/01/29

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03015203
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 14
• Document Creation Date: January 27, 2020
• Document Release Date: January 30, 2020
• Publication Date: January 29, 1958

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29 January 1958
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\TRAL
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BULLETIN
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29 JANUARY 1958
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Tyura Tam missile range may be at
peak of operational readiness.
Moscow's self-interest may dictate
voicing approval of Egyptian-Syrian
union.
Hungarian Government reshuffle
suggests no significant internal
policy changes.
USSR proposes new talks with Finland
on Saimaa Canal.
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II. ASIA-AFRICA
Indonesia - Sumatran dissidents plan
to demand resignation of Djuanda
cabinet.
Jordan urges announcement of
eventual confederation with Saudi
Arabia and Iraq as counter to
Egyptian-Syrian union.
Conspiracy against Imam of Yemen.
Algeria - French army units may
act to neutralize rebel bases in
Tunisia.
III. THE WEST
British propose relaxation of COCOM
controls.
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29 January 1958
DAILY BRIEF
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Soviet missile activities: The Tyura Tam missile
test range participated in limited operational activity of
an undetermined nature on 22, 23, and 25 January. This
activity probably did not reflect an actual launching at--
tempt of either an earth satellite vehicle or an intercon-
tinental ballistic missile, but may have involved the check-
ing out of facilities in anticipation of a future event. It is
possible that the Tyura Tam range has been brought to a
peak of operational readiness for a large satellite launch-
ing timed to counter the appearance of a first US satellite.
The Soviet military attach�n Tehran recently told a US
official that this was the USSR's intention.
*Egyptian Syrian union--Soviet view: Despite earlier
signs of Soviet and Syrian Communist opposition to an
Egyptian-Syrian union, Moscow may b".1 obliged to make
some gesture of acceptance. The Syrian Communist press
has recently abandoned its veiled opposition and now sup-
ports union, having apparently recognized that opposition
was hopeless and unpopular. At the same time, the Soviet
Union will probably ennfiriiip hphi _Applies opposition
to the union effort. (Page 1)
Hungary: The Hungarian Government reshuffle does
not suggest any significant change in internal policy. A
number of flights by Soviet VIP aircraft to and from Hun-
gary before the National Assembly met suggest that the
Soviet leadership has been actively supervising the changes.
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Soviet-Finnish relations: Soviet Ambassador Lebedev
proposed on 23 January that the USSR and Finland reopen
discussions on the possible return of the Saimaa Canal area
to Finland. The Finnish cabinet has decided to make talks
contingent on a favorable Soviet stand with regard to the gen-
eral revision of the common border. Moscow probably
views the reopening of this issue as a means to gain Fin-
nish support for the neutralization of northern Europe, sug-
gested by Bulganin's letters of 10 January to Norway and
Denmark, ancLto_derann-strnte�the�oractical value of friendly
coexistence. (See map on facing page)
IL ASIA-AFRICA
Indonesia: Dissident leaders in Sumatra are planning
to deliver an ultimatum to Djakarta in early February de-
manding the resignation of the Djuanda cabinet and its re-
placement by an avowedly anti-Communist government. The
ultimatum will further state that failure to comply within
five days will result in the establishment of a rival govern-
ment. Although Djuanda is unlikely to bow to the dissidents'
pressure to resign, he may seek to buy time by offering to
compromise. (Page 2)
Arab opposition to Egyptian-Syrian union: The Jordanian
Government is seeking Saudi Arabian and Iraqi support for
a dramatic announcement of long-range plans looking toward
eventual confederation of the three monarchies as a counter-
move to the forthcoming Egyptian-Syrian union. The Jor-
danians seem to be moving too slowly, however, to achieve
the propaganda victory they desire. The Lebanese President
and foreign minister view such a union as a mortal danger to
Lebanon and have offered to go to "any limit" in opposing
Egyptian-Syrian union, but only if their government has Amer-
ican support. (Page 3)
29 Jan 58
DAILY BRIEF ii
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Yemen: A conspiracy apparently has developed
against the unpopular Imam of Yemen. Despite govern-
ment claims that it has rounded up persons guilty of
conspiracy with "foreign imperialists," presumably
British, opposition probably is continuing. Govern-
ment officials and leaders of the northern tribes op-
pose the claim to succession of the Imam's son, Crown
Prince Badr.
North Africa: Tension continues in the Algerian-
Tunisian border area. There is likelihood that French
army units from Algeria, using the doctrine of hot pur-
suit, may attempt some type of operation aimed at neu-
tralizing some rebel bases in Tunisia within the next
few weeks.
I I I. THE WEST
UK stand on trade controls: The British have re-
cently proposed a weeping relaxation of trade controls
on strategic materials and machinery now embargoed
for shipment to the Sino-Soviet bloc.
(Page 4)
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DAILY BRIEF iii
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I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
USSR May Show Acceptance of Eg ptian-Syrian Union
The USSR may feel obliged to make some gesture of
acceptance toward the expected proclamation of Egyptian-
Syrian union in order to maintain its influence and prestige
in the two countries. There were earlier signs that the
USSR and Syrian Communists were opposed to such a un-
ion, fearing it would greatly facilitate Nash.% declared
purp.oge of ousting pro-Soviet Syrian leaders such as Dep-
uty Premier Azm and suppressing the Syrian Communists.
The Soviet leaders, however, probably recognize that dis-
approval of the union would only alienate Nasir and pro-
Egyptian Syrian nationalists and risk placing the USSR in
a position of opposing the ideal of Arab unity.
At the same, time,.., the USSR has attempted to apply
last-minute pressure on Syria to forestall final action on
union.
G-2 chief Sarraj union would require a
new agreement on Soviet arms to Syria since the Soviet-
Syrian agreement provided arms would not be handed over
to a third country.
states that the Soviet ambassador to Syria has warned the
Soviet-Syrian economic agreement might have to be re-
considered in the light of the Egyptian-Syrian union.
Soviet propaganda media thus far have not commented
on the Cairo negotiations. The Syrian Communist press has
recently abandoned its veiled opposition and now supports
union, apparently recoanizina that opposition was useless
and unpopular.
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Nue
IL ASIA-AFRICA
Sumatran Dissidents Plan Ultimatum to Djakarta
Sumatran dissidents have decided to send an ulti-
matum to Djakarta on 5 February demanding that the
Djuanda cabinet resign within five days,
The
ultimatum will also call for the formation of an anti-
Communist cabinet by former Vice President Hatta
and the Sultan of Jogjakarta. This new cabinet is not
to be responsible to parliament and will concern it-
self primarily with economic reform and the develop-
ment of provincial autonomy. Should Djakarta or Hatta
reject the plan, the dissidents will proclaim a provi-
sional "free government of Indonesia."
The rival government would be led by Sjafruddin,
former governor of the Bank of Indonesia, as prime
minister. The slate includes several Javanese as well
as most of the prominent dissident leaders from Sumatra
and Celebes.
There is little likelihood that the Djakarta govern-
ment will capitulate to the dissidents. Djakarta officials
may claim that Prime Minister Djuanda cannot return the
cabinet's mandate to Acting President Sartono and that
any action must await Sukarno's return, which is expected
late in February. Hatta has stated repeatedly that he will
take no action against the cabinet while Sukarno is out of
the country. Djakarta may, however, offer to compromise
in the hope of at least delaying the formation of a rival gov-
ernment.
29 Jan 58
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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Now, NINO
Jordan and Lebanon Increasingly Concerned Over
Egyptian-Syrian Union
Pro-Western government leaders in Jordan and
Lebanon have expressed increasing alarm to American
officials over the popular appeal which the Egyptian-
Syrian unity movement will have among the restive pop-
ulations in their countries.
Jordan's King Hussayn fears that the impending an-
nouncement of some kind of "paper unity" between Egypt
and Syria will have tremendous popular appeal, especially
among the Palestine refugees in West Jordan. Hussayn is
seeking approval from the Saudi and Iraqi governments for
a "dramatic announcement" reviving existing treaties of
friendship among Iraq, Jordan, and Saudi Arabia, and pro-
claiming the long-range objective of confederation among the
three states. Hussayn desires to issue such a proclamation
before announcement of Egyptian-Syrian union, but he ap-
pears to be moving too slowly to achieve his hoped-for prop-
aganda coup. There has also been a conspicuous absence
of initiative from Saudi Arabia and Iraq, both of which are
wary of moves which would appear to challenge Nasir and
the popular goal of Arab unity.
Lebanon's President Chamoun and Foreign Minister Malik
have voiced the opinion that if the United States failed to op-
pose the Egyptian-Syrian move, the opposition to President
Chamoun would be emboldened to seek a change in the govern-
ment with the ultimate aim of joining the new Egyptian-Syrian
union. Malik said that if his government had American sup-
port, it would "go any limit" in opposing the union, which he
and President Chamoun view as a mortal danger to Lebanon.
SECPET
29 Jan 58
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 3
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III. THE WEST
UK Stand on Trade Controls
Great Britain has provided the United States with its
initial draft proposals for reduction of controls on trade
in strategic materials With the Sino-Soviet bloc. The pro-
posals, to be presented to the February COCOM meeting
requested by the UK, include:
a. Elimination of 43 percent of the items other
than atomic energy and munitions on COCOM Inter-
national List I (material now totally embargoed for
shipment to the bloc).
b. Rejustification of an additional 34 percent of
the items other than atomic energy and munitions now
on International List I. The British have indicated
that this "rejustification" will be aimed at much
narrower definitions or actual elimination of these
items.
c. A review of existing procedures and such ar-
rangements as shipping and bunkering controls�pre-
sumably with the intent. of eliminating at least some
of them.
While no formal notice has been given of pro7,
prosals to revise quantitative controls (International
List IT) or surveillamo3 controls (International List
III), the British are understood to be contemplating
their complete elimination.
The British have long held that trade controls are
more trouble than they are worth, and they now argue
that in view of the importance attached to the short ini-
tial phase of a global war, the expansion of an industrial
base has lost its strategic significance. In fact, the
USSR continues to attach primacy to the expansion of its
military-industrial base to supwrt its military machine.
--SEGRE-T--
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DISTRIBUTION
THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
Scientific Adviser to the President
Director of the Budget
Office of Defense Mobilization
Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination
Operations Coordinating Board
Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities
Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration
The Deputy Under Secretary for Economic Affairs
The Counselor
Director, International Cooperation Administration
Director of Intelligence and Research
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
The Secretary of the Army.
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
The Director, The Joint Staff
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations
Deputy Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Army
Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of the Navy
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
National Security Agency
The Director
National Indications Center
The Director
United States Information Agency
The Director
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NS N., a o..11-414....1 La 1 1 NINA
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
29 January 1958
DAILY BRIEF
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Soviet missile activities 'o' The Tyura Tam missile
test range participated in limited operational activity of
an undetermined nature on 22, 23, and 25 January. This
activity probably did not reflect an actual launching at-
tempt of either an earth satellite vehicle or an intercon-
tinental ballistic missile, but may have involved the check-
ing out of facilities in anticipation of a future event. It is
possible that the Tyura Tam range has been brought to a
peak of operational readiness for a large satellite launch-
ing timed to counter the appearance of a first US satellite.
*Eszptian-Syrian union--Soviet view: Despite earlier
signs of Soviet and Syrian Communist opposition to an
Egyptian-Syrian union Moscow may be obliged to make
some gesture of acceptance. The Syrian Communist press
has recently abandoned its veiled opposition and now sup-
ports Union, having apparently recognized that opposition
was hopeless and unpopular. At the same time, the Soviet
Union will probably continue behind-the-scenes opposition
to the union effort. (Page 1)
Hungary: The Hungarian Government reshuffle does
not suggest any significant change in internal policy. A
number of flights by Soviet VIP aircraft to and from Hun-
gary before the National Assembly met suggest that the
Soviet leadership has been actively supervising the changes.
TOP SECRET
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