CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1953/11/22

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03003745
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: July 15, 2019
• Document Release Date: July 22, 2019
• Publication Date: November 22, 1953

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SEC INFORMATION
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Copy No.
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO 61
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
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Li DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C
NEXT REVIEW DATE: re) 40_9
AUTH: HR 70-2
DATE: 4/..7:9. REVIEWER
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SUMMARY
GENERAL
1. Balkan Pact progress limited by Trieste dispute (page 3).
FAR EAST
2.
3.
SOUTHEAST ASIA
4. Chinese Communists reported extending influence into Burma
(page 5).
5.
6,
7.
8.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
Signs of increased political stability reported in Iran (gaze 6).
Egypt reportedly prepared to break off talks with Britain (page 7).
WESTERN EUROPE
Paris embassy comments on French foreign policy debate
(page 8).
LATIN AMERICA
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GENERAL
1. Balkan Pact progress limited by Trieste dispute:
2.
The Greek ambassador in Belgrade informed
Ambassador Riddleberger on 20 November
that he was well satisfied with the progress
made in recent Greek-Turkish-Yugoslav talks
on the Balkan pact, Yugoslavia agreed to permit the entry of Greek
troops into the Yugoslav Vardar valley in the event of Soviet aggression.
The Turkish ambassador, however, while
confirming this progress, pointed out that difficulties had arisen owing
to Yugoslav reluctance to have military information passed on to NATO
which eventually might reach Italian hands.
Comment: As a possible move to help solve
this problem, the Turkish government indicated to Italian premier
Pella during his recent visit to Ankara, that Turkey would offer its
good offices to mediate the Trieste dispute if a favorable opportunity
arose. This offer reflects Turkish fears that the Trieste situation
might hinder the development of the Balkan pact.
FAR EAST
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3.
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SOUTHEAST ASIA
4. Chinese Communists reported extending influence into Burma:
The Chinese Communists have strengthened
their military forces along Burma's north-
eastern frontier and are extending their
influence into Burmese territory,
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The Chinese Communists reportedly are now in military
control of most of the Wa States, a small area in Burma bordering
Yunnan province. Communist efforts to win over the local inhabitants
along the border are said to be meeting with some success.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
5. Signs of increased political stability reported in Iran:
Ambassador Henderson reports from Tehran
that the downward trend in the prestige of
Prime Minister Zahedi's government has
been reversed, at least temporarily. The
government's greater self-confidence is reflected in Zahedi's recent
cabinet changes.
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3.
The public appears impressed by the strict
order maintained during the 12 November demonstrations and the apparent
solution of pressing financial problems. The initial impact of Mossadeq's
demagogic behavior at his trial has been dissipated.
Apparently the shah is now less preoccupied
with seeking a potential alternative to Zahedt as pritne minister. Effective
propaganda is expected to result from wide distribution of a photograph
showing the shah and Zahedi smiling at each other.
Comment: This relatively favorable report
of Iranian political stability is encouraging but probably not indicative
of long-term stability.
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6.
7. Egypt reportedly prepared to break off talks with Britain:
According to the Egyptian ambassador in
Washington, Vice Premier Nasr told
General Robertson, prior to the latter's
departure for London, that Egypt would
feel compelled to break off the talks with Britain unless a new British
attitude were forthcoming which would permit an agreement between
the two countries. Nasr warned that without an agreement Cairo
would no longer be bound by the concessions it had already made and
would feel free to take whatever action 'it thought best. He added that
Nasr was prepared to tell the British "take up your base and go."
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Comment: This strong statement by the
most influential member of the Egyptian military regime reflects the
impatience of the Cairo government and increases the possibility of
a break since Egypt, like Britain, is apparently not willing to make
further concessions on the major points of difference.
WESTERN EUROPE
8. Paris embassy comments on French foreign policy debate:
9.
Reporting on the French National Assembly's
foreign policy debate, American minister
Achilles commented ttiat all factions seemed
to welcome a showdown on the government's
European policies. He emphasized that the Assembly is increasingly
aware that a final decision on ratification must come early next year.
Achilles stated that the government-sponsored
motion on foreign policy seems likely to meet Socialist demands regarding
EDC and that the outcome of the present debate will bring a reasonably
clear indication of the; Assembly's attitude. He pointed out, however,
that this motion presumably would produce a break with the ex-Gaullists
which Premier Laniel is still trying to avoid.
Comment: The ex-Gaullists have repeatedly
threatened to withdraw from the cabinet coalition over the EDC issue.
Their withdrawal would not necessarily cause the fall of the present
government, particularly in view of the presidential election scheduled
for mid-December.
LATIN AMERICA
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