CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1956/11/29

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03002999
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RIPPUB
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U
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16
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October 25, 2019
Document Release Date: 
October 31, 2019
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Publication Date: 
November 29, 1956
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r# _ Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 CO3002999 TOP SECRET r / NOT RELEASABLE TO FOREIGN NATIONALS CONTINUED CONTROL CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN 3.3(h)(2) 3.5(c) SC No. 05760/56 Copy No. 1.12 DOCUMEgt NO. NO CHANGE IN CLASS. 0 DECLASSIFIED CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C NEXT REVIEW DATE: ----- AUTH: 1411 70-2 DAT _REVIEWER: OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY This document contains classified information affecting the national security of the United States within the meaning of the espionage laws, US Code Title 18, Sections 793, 794, and 798. The law prohibits its transmission or the revelation of its contents in any manner to an un- authorized person, as well as its use in any rammer prejudicial to the safety or interest of the United States or for the benefit of any foreign government to the detri- ment of the United States. THIS DOCUMENT MUST BE KEPT IN COMMUNICATIONS INTELLIGENCE CHANNELS AT ALL TIMES It is to be seen only by US personnel especially indoctrinated and authorized to receive COMMUNICATIONS INTELLIGENCE information; its security must be maintained in accordance with COMMUNICATIONS INTELLIGENCE REGULATIONS. No action is to be taken on any COMMUNICATIONS INTELLIGENCE which may be contained herein, regardless of the advantages to be gained, unless such action is first approved by the Director of Central Intelligence. �/// / TO. 5SECRE-I"' rrrr Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03002999 .A 29 November 1956 3 /// Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03002999 Nied Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03002999 V Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03002999 iUt'3-EC-Irri�btintlE34=c- , CONTENTS 1. HAMMARSKJOLD'S VIEWS ON SUEZ PROBLEMS aezt-ertr" (page 3). 2. SUEZ CANAL SITUATION.liSee (page 4). 3. THE SYRIAN SITUATION (page 6). 4. FURTHER ISRAELI DEMOBILIZATION REPORTED page 8). 5. AGREEMENT REACHED ON SOVIET ARMS AID TO SYRIA (page 9). 6. PROVINCIAL RADIOS CONTINUE TO CRITICIZE HUN- GARIAN REGIME Secfel) (page 10). 7. SOVIET TROOPS REPORTEDLY RESUME EAST GERMAN BORDER CONTROL RESPONSIBILITY (S,...e.rtra (page 11). 8. CZECHOSLOVAK COMMUNIST PARTY LAUDS STALINIST HERO (C.o.uf-i-eletrtrair (page 12). 9. INDONESIAN VICE PRESIDENT CHALLENGES SUICARNO (Coftficlentral). (page 13). 29 Nov 56 * * * * THE TAIWAN STRAIT (acu2fide1rtitIMage 1,4) Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 2 TOP SECRET EIDER Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03002999 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03002999 NtA�tcr, Neel 1. HAMMARSKJOLD'S VIEWS ON SUEZ PROBLEMS UN secretary general Hammarskjold has told American representatives that he plans to establish the UN emergency force in two stages--the first being the station- ing of 1,800 men, mostly Scandinavian, at Port Said. The second stage involves moving a force of about 44200 men to the armistice lines, "ultimately" ending up on Israel's borders. Hammarskjold believes that a 6,000-man UN force is needed, of which 4,2130 are now available. On clearing the canal, Hammarskjold said the UN would take the responsibility and underwrite any loans, but that final payment should probably come from canal tolls. He is optimistic about the withdrawal of British and French troops and Egypt's consent to clearance operations beginning the following day. He recognizes that "many people" believe the Egyptian position on clearing the canal is unreasonable, but feels that, as an executive of the General Assembly, he must act in accordance with assembly directives, which gave clear priority to troop withdrawal. 29 Nov 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 3 SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03002999 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03002999 Noe 2. SUEZ CANAL SITUATION Statements from London and Cairo point to the continuing possibility of incidents in the Suez Canal zone that might lead to a resumption of hostilities. Stating that his demarche was made with Nasesknowledge, an Egyptian spokesman has emphasized to the American embassy in Cairo the growing tension and frustra- tion in Egypt since the cease-fire, and ex- pressed fear of possible "rash action" by Egyptian officials and people. He said Nasr does not "seriously" believe the British are planning new aggression, but stated that Cairo had recently received reports of new British military prepara- tions in Libya. The spokesman informed the embassy that �Egypt wants a deadline established for the complete withdrawal of Anglo-French forces. He stated that Egypt would "prefer" the UN to set such a deadline, since an Egyptian attempt to do so would amount to an ultimatum. The British and French continue to with- hold their agreement to definite arrangements for withdrawal from Egypt. According to Secretary General Hammarskjold, Foreign Secretary Lloyd said on 25 November that he would announce a date for the beginning of evacuation when he is satisfied that arrangements for the canal clearing operation are in order. The British, meanwhile, appear to be con- templating moving beyond the cease-fire line either salvage equipnwere marooned in the canal. Britain intends to 29 Nov 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 4 --SEC�RErjr Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03002999 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03002999 eRz move salvage operations down the canal, halting only if fired upon by the Egyptians. British and French forces in the canal zone remain sufficient to conduct full-scale hostilities. British forces in Egypt as of 28 November numbered 13,300 with approximately 31,000 on Cyprus. French ground strength currently in the canal area is believed to be approximately 6,500 with an additional 6,500 on Cyprus. JAC/FORM' 29 Nov 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 5 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03002999 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03002999 TOP-SE�RE-T THE SYRIAN SITUATION Syrian, Egyptian, and other. Middle East sources continue to be appre- hensive over the possjhuitv nf fnrpiPTI intervention in Syria. there is a stronger possibility today that fighting will be resumed and extended to the north than there was the day it bega'n in the Suez area!' during the recent visit of Turkish prime minister Menderes, to Baghdad, the govern- ments of Iraq and Turkey made a secret agreement to work together to bring about a change in the Syrian government as soon as possible. air reconnais- sance was carried out over Syria on 24 November by �Mysteres, 29 Nov 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 6 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03002999 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03002999 -TOP SECitel Canberras, and Sabres," looking for Soviet aircraft,as they reconnoitered and photographed most of the airfields in Syria. Soviet foreign minister Shepilov said on 28 November that he had "incontestable information" that Britain, France and Israel intend to attack Syria, Lebanon and other mideastern countries. 29 Nov 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 7 FOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03002999 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03002999 I VC 4� FURTHER ISRAELI DEMOBILIZATION REPORTED Israel has continued demobilization of its forces, including both combat and service units Israeli strength as seen re.0 -' . . . 'ut 100,000, in- cluding 25,000 paramilitary personnel who man the border settlements. This is about half of peak strength during hostilities in Egyp . Ten brigades remain at full strength and 11 have been reduced to cadre strength. The latter units can be rapidly activated, however, since a large num- ber of requisitioned civilian vehicles and military police units remain on duty, and Israel could remobilize fully with- in 24 hours. With the military threat from Egypt re- moved for the present, Israel appears concerned primarily with the threat to its security posed by the ultranationalist trend in Syria and Jordan. Arab forces in Jordan, on Israel's most vulnerable flank, have been increased to over 50,000 as a result of deployment there of two Syrian brigades, a rein- fnreed Trani hrirradP and a Saudi Arabian infantry reeiment. 29 Nov 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 8 TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03002999 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03002999 OP SE 5. AGREEMENT REACHED ON SOVIET ARMS AID TO SYRIA agreement has been reached on an arms deal with 9,ussia. the deal was reported to include "jet aircraft, antiaircraft guns, and some administrative equip- ment"--nrobablv communications equipment and motor vehicles. the date of delivery in Syria has not yet been fixed." Comment This is Syria's first arms deal arranged directly with the Soviet Union. Previous transactions were negotiated with Czechoslovakia and Poland. the USSR may try to send the first shipments by the end of November. Syria originally requested "two squadrons of MIG-17 'et fighters"--about 30 to 40 aircraft--from the USSR,. at least one squadron of MIG-17's may be supplied. Syria is nego- tiating to send 15 pilots to the Soviet bloc this winter for training in MIG-17's. 29 Nov 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 9 TOP SECRE7 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03002999 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03002999 Jt4LrJ1I 'NO* 6. PROVINCIAL RADIOS CONTINUE TO CRITICIZE REGIME Regional Hungarian broadcasts have re- cently expressed views opposed to the Kadar regime in Budapest. Radio Gyoer has criticized the Kadar government and specifically expressed its opposition to the regime's conduct in the Nagy abduction. The Miskolc station has announced the continuation of the strike and rejected the appeal by the Budapest Central Wofkers' Council to return to work. Comment The adoption of a hard line by Kadar on 25-26 November may foreshadow an at- tempt to impose censorship over these provincial broadcasts. The regime apparently has already done so in Budapest, where similarly independent views were broadcast last week by Radio Budapest. Kadar's stiffer policy may have followed talks with Soviet deputy premier Malenkov, who reportedly has been in Budapest for the past few days. Following his threat to hunt down "counterrevolutionaries," Kadar has ap- parently arrested a number of Hungarians, including several "insurgent" writers who at one time were Communists. 29 Nov 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 10 SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03002999 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03002999 3-Ertreft-4� Nue 7. SOVIET TROOPS REPORTEDLY RESUME EAST GERMAN BORDNTROLRESRQNSIBILITY The United States military mission in Potsdam believes that Soviet personnel have reassumed control of the East Ger- man borders. West German officials at East German border-crossing areas re- ported on 26 November that Soviet troop units had reappeared at several check points and are apparently backstopping East German troops assigned to those areas. Except for the Soviet control points on the autobahn between West Germany and Berlin, the borders had been under East German control since October 1955. Comment Resumption of Soviet control over East German borders at this time probably re- flects concern in Moscow over the increased restiveness of the East German populace and possible Western efforts to ex- ploit it. Reports of Soviet troop movements within Germany during November indicate that detachments were be- ing deployed to bolster the East German borders on the east and possibly the west. 29 Nov 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 11 SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03002999 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03002999 CONFIVE14411171�- 8. CZECHOSLOVAK COMMUNIST PARTY LAUDS STALINIST HERO Czechoslovak Communist leaders used the 23 November anniversary of the birth of their former chief, Klement Gottwald, who died in 1953, to "do homage to him and to look homeward to Stalinism;' ac- cording to the American embassy in Prague. Although never completely disavowed by the party leadership, Gottwald--the party's Stalin-type strong man for over 20 years--was mildly and reluctantly censured by the regime last spring, in line with the over-all bloc campaign against the "cult of person- ality�" Since then, he has been mentioned only occasionally by regime leaders. Gottwald was praised ostentatiously, the embassy reports, with the reopening of the Gottwald mauso- leum, celebrations in key cities, the unveiling of a Gottwald monument at his birthplace in Dedice, and heavy press cov- erage of the day's events. Party leaders in their speeches stressed Gottwald's insistence on Czechoslovakia's friendship with the USSR. Politburo member Kopecky asserted that this treat- ment of Gottwald had nothing to do with the "cult of personality;, since the country was commemorating the anniversary of a real revolutionary leader. The restoration of Gottwald's reputation has probably been desired by party leaders for some time, and it should serve as a clear warning to any party elements in fa- vor of increased liberalization and independence from Moscow. The regitne fears that events in Hungary will stimulate the dis- content evident last spring among intellectuals, students and local party officials.WSINSIDE-NT-firLi- 29 Nov 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 12 CONFIDENTIAL Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03002999 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03002999 C�ONFIEDEilhf'f2tlfr 9. INDONESIAN VICE PRESIDENT CHALLENGES SUKARNO Indonesian vice president Hatta, who will resign on 1 December, has directly chal- lenged President Sukarno by publicly stating that the "assertion that our national revolution has not yet been consummated is wrong." The principal theme of Sukarno's political pro- nouncements has been the necessity for "unity" in order to "complete the national revolution!' More recently he has added the refinements of a need for a "guided democracy" and the abolition or at least the de-emphasis of political par- ties. Hatta, who is widely respected in Indonesia, is known to have grave reservations about Sukarno's inclination toward dictatorship and willingness to accept Communist sup- port. His statement, which was largely devoted to a critical analysis of the Indonesian situation, was made in the presence of Sukarno and Prime Minister All. It points strongly to Hatta's intention to take up an active political career following his res- ignation. Such a step would increase the cleavage in Indonesian politics, with Moslem parties rallying to Hatta and the National and Communist parties supporting Sukarno. In the recently convened Constituent Assem- bly, voting already has been sharply drawn between the Moslem parties and nationalist-Marxist parties. The extension of this development to political relationships outside the assemlbly will almost certainly have repercussions in the coalition cabinet, possibly leading to a political crisis. (CONFIDENTIAL) 29 Nov 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 13 -CONFIDENTIAL Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03002999 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03002999 Noe` BIWEEKLY SUMMARY (14 November-28 November 1956) THE TAIWAN STRAIT Report of the IAC Current Intelligence Group for the Taiwan Strait Problem There were no significant develo nts in the area during the period. (CONF ) 29 Nov 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 14 CONFIDENTIAL Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03002999 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03002999 v4.1101 TAIWAN STRAIT SITUATION 28 NOVEMBER 1 CHINESE COMMUNIST AIRFIELD LEGEND: DESIGNATIONS PRIMARY AIRFIELD CONSIDERED MOST IMPORTANT IN AREA WITH PREPARED RUNWAY GENERALLY 5000 FEET OR LONGER. SECONDARY AIRFIELD AUXILIARY OR EMERGENCY BASES OR FIELDS OF LESSER IMPORTANCE. RUNWAYS GENERALLY LESS THAN 5000 FEET.. ACTIVE BASE FOR MILITARY & CIVILIAN AIR- CRAFT. SOME BASES USED BY PISTON TYPES MAY BE USABLE BY JETS INACTIVE BASES CAPABLE OF USE BY AIRCRAFT OPERATIONAL SERVICEABLE CURRENT STATUS UNDETERMINED UNKF OWN USABILITY MIG-15 MIG-17 TU-4 11-213 TU-2, IL-10 LA-9/11 LI-2 ETC. UNKNOWN * FIELDS NOT CONSIDERED CAPABLE OF SUPPORTING SUSTAINED OPER- ATIONS AT PRESENT. /0 H 0 NI A N E H tlHANKOW Ai 9-99 9` L NANCHAN /