DAILY SUMMARY - 1947/08

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03002612
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3.3(h)(2) Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 '1414ameargrepiiiim 30 AUG 1947 -471 P, , A, HA.S NO OBJECTION WO THE, pECIASSIFICATION OF GENPRAL VW; 00134-4n. 1. Rio Pact not to alter US Antarctic bric ent of State, commenting oirEFbroposal to Include a part of Antarctica in the "Ivaaitsphere defense zone," has suggested to the US Delegation at Rio that because Argentina, Chile, and the UK have conflicting claims to that part of Antarctica, Great Britain might protest its inclusion in the. "defense zone, and Argentina and Chile Might later invoke the treaty provisions against the UK. The Department has also suggested to the US Delegation that It n-aa.lice a formal statement reaffirming the US policy of non-recogni- tion of any claims to Antarctic territory. EUROPE 3. FRANCE: cabinet c.miltrAgmEtal. to Moscow for wheat--US Am- 13assador Ca.ffery in Paris has been informed bi7.1 �1dependent and trustworthy sources" that: (a) the Rarna.dier Cabinet is considering an appeal to Moscow for wheat; (b) the appeal is being urged not only by Communists but also by certain Socialists who consider that the USSR should be "put on the spot." 4. RUMANIA: P3sge of Armed Forces undertaken without s rmission-- US Military Representairif-Mnruiiiinia reports that e long-awaited purge of the Rumanian Armed Forces will begin on 1 September. The measure has been secretly ordered by the Deputy Chief of Staff, despite ing Michael's objections, and is viewed by the US Representative as other example of the King's waning authority. Document No. 052 NO CHANGE in Class.- 0 0 DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77/1763 Date il 0 APR 1.97R BY: 009 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 ,IAINAMIA1 wol14ore4otwome NEAR EAST-AFRICA 5, LAN: USSR_presents threa_tAiLgn note to Qavam--US Ambassador el :Of n reports that Soviet Ambassador Sadchikoff has delivered to Minister Qavam a note which: (a) states that Qavam's uncooperative ..littOicle in the oil matter is regarded as a sign of enmity toward the *USSR; and (b) insists that the Soviet-Iranian oil agreement of 4 April 1943 be Implemented by the Iranian Government without delay. rile states that neither Qavam nor members of the Majlis give any indication of wavering in their determination to reject any r!oviet oil proposals and that Iranian opinion against the USSR has -;oliclifted. FAR EAST a., C conscription program marked by usual _incompetency --US Co-asWate General Shanghai reports that the Nif.f�iil Government's conscription program in Shanghai and surrounding provinces is betrg carried lut with "disgraceful incompetency and corruption." T1YD Consulate General believes that this development "augurs ill" Aix the Government's recently announced all out anti-Communist (CIG Comment: Despite announced plans for sweeping reforms and the recommendations of the US Army Advisory Group, the Chinese .Fational Government continues to weaken its current military position .r.dhering to its age-old conscription system.) Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 g Aut.; Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 1947 4.100140,fferrir"-' C1[3.:TICAL SITU T I( N 8 470 EUROPEAN RECOVERY Secretary. Marshall ha.s requested that the US Joint Chiefs of Staff study the problem of the withdrawal of UK troops from Greece and Italy (see item 1). GREECE As the Cabinet crisis continues, it is becoming increasin.gly evident that any government which may be formed will retain most of the Rightists from the old Cabinet and will be unable to inspire the confidence of the people. INDONESIA' It is believed that the Netherlands Cabinet has agreed to accept the good offices ffereci by the Security Council on 25 August. The Security Council's offer will probably also be accepted by the Indonesian Republic in the hope that the good offices will eventually take the form of arbitration in the Dutch.-Indonesian dispute. The Netherlands is opposed to settlement by arbitration on the grounds that the problem Is of an internal constitutional nature and thus not susceptible of out- side Judgment KOREA The US proposal for a conference in Washington on the Korean problem has been delivered to the UK, the USSR, and China, the other three signers of the Moscow Agreement. A iassador Smith in Moscow indicates that the USSR is unlikely to accept the US suggestion of immediate zonal elections (see item 8). it CHINA Secretary Marshall has directed a letter to the Foreign Minister indicating US unwillingness to participate in Four Power discussions preliminary to the Japanese peace conference.. ( see item 2). WidairAwrorkraprosii6m Document No. 0.57 NO CHANGE in Class. rl DECLASSIFIED Class. CHARGED TO: TS S DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77/1763 Date:10 APR 19 By: Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 0 09 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 tUn GENERAL 1. US re uests that the JCS st.ndy_UK trcx) withdrawals�The De- partment of State has informed US�E-Fba assy on of Secretary Marshall's request that the US Joint Chiefs of Staff: (a) study the implications of the intended withdrawals of UK troops from Greece and Italy (see Daily Summary of 25 August, item 2), exploring the possibility of the alternative withdrawal of even larger numbe.rs of UK troops from less sensitive areas; and (b) consult with the British Chiefs of Staff with a view to formulating positive recom- mendations on this problem to the US and UK Governments. (The Department had recently suggested to Secretary Marshal in Petropolis that the problem of retaining UK troops in Greece and Italy be approached through military channels, after conclud- ing that diplomatic representations had failed.) 2. US reply China's China's statement on a ese peace--Secretary Mar- shall has diiected a1etter1o the ese Foreign Minister pointing out that the "principle of eleven-power participation" would be compromised if the Four Powers met separately to reach agree- ment on a Japanese peace conference as suggested earlier by the Foreign Minister (see Daily Summaryof 25 August, item 4). The Secretary's letter: (a) states that the purpose of a Four Power meeting can be better achieved if China and other interested governments individually attempt to obtain Soviet participation in the peace conference; and (b) re-emphasizes the need for an early start on a peace settlement. US Ambassador Stuart has been instructed to inform the Foreign Minister orally of Secretary Marshall's opinion that the Chinese National Government is overly-concerned about the effect on the Dairen issue of peace treaty discussions without Soviet par- ticipation, since there is no prospect that the USSR, even if it taks part in peace discussions, will make any early change in its policy of effectively denying Dairen to the Chinese. (CIG Comment: While Secretary Marshall's reply should convince the Chinese Government that the US intends to maintain a firm position toward the USSR on Japanese peace questions, - 2 - frierwIrencsm Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 GO Chinese policy will probably continue to be dominated by fears of: (a) Soviet reaction to a peace treaty concluded without USSR par- ticipation; and (b) a new Japanese menace in the Far East.) 3. UK economic difficulties affect civil aiLpplicy--An official of the Ministry of Civil Aviation has told the US Civil Air Attache in London that because of the world trend toward "restrictionism" In international trade, he feels that the October Rio Conference will offer the last chance for a liberal multilateral air agreement which will be favorable to the "strong" air transport countries. The Attache reports that the official indicated that British economic difficulties are beginning to affect air policy and that a program of retrenchment for British civil aviation is contemplated. The Civil Air Attache believes that the UK may lead a movement directed against US air policy if the Rio negotiations fail. (CIG Comment: It is unlikely that the UK will make a clear break with the US on civil air policy so long as there is the pros- pect of a successful outcome of the European economic recovery program.) EUROPE 4. FRANCE: plan r_c_tees"m --US Embassy Paris reports that according to a "trustworthir informant" the Communist Party is preparing to set up "committees against famine and misery" throughout France. According to the inform- ant, the Communist-led General Confederation of Labor is to call upon both Socialists and Communists to join committees of this nature with a view to organizing manifestations, agitations, propa- ganda, and incidents. (CIG Comment: Such Communist moves have every pros- pect of success as long as the French food shortage continues.) 5. GERMANY: Possible demilitarization of the SMA--According to a CIG report from Berlin, informants of untested reliability have - 3 - Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved forRelease: 2018/09/26 C03002612 At stated that the Soviet Military Administration (SMA) is about to be converted into a civilian administration by placing leading political officers in a civilian status and sending additional ci- vilians from the USSR. (CIG Comment: Such a reorganization of the SMA would: (a) place under the Soviet Foreign Office those SMA officials who have reportedly tended to disagree with the policy of the Foreign Office--see Daily Summary of 20 August, item 6; and (b) ease the transition of the Soviet Zone Germany from the status of a con- quered area to that of a Soviet Satellite.) 6. AUSTRIA: Ass.A.s. jtsgaiations with the USSR postponed�US Legation Vienna reports that the Foreign Ministry has agreed to postpone bilateral negotiations with the USSR on the German assets problem (see Daily Summary of 25 August, item 7). The decision whether to initiate such talks will not be made until after the Austrian Treaty Commission completes its discussions. 7. YUGOSLAVIA: Existence of International i a.de doubted--Am- bassador bassador Cannon in Belgrade expresses doubt that an international brigade is being formed to take part in Greek guerrilla warfare. Cannon points out that adequate personnel is readily available to the guerrillas in the border areas of Yugoslavia, Albania, and Bulgaria and that the use of such personnel instead of an inter- national brigade does not involve the risk of "serious internation- al repercussions." Cannon believes that the rumors of recruit- ing personnel for an international brigade may have originated from the recruitment of European youth for Yugoslavia labor projects. (CIG Comment; The existence or non-existence of an in- ternational brigade has not yet been definitely established. Am- bassador Cannon's opinion cannot be accepted as final in view of: (a) continuing rumors; and (b) some evidence to the contrary from sources believed to be reliable.) Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 4601aNiSFAIttaiti FAR EAST 8. KOREA: USSR unlikely to acceg. US prpmsals�Ambassador Smith in Moscow believes that the USSR is not likely to accept the US proposals for immediate zonal elections in Korea. Smith ivarnslhowever, that if the USSR does accept the proposals, such acceptance will be a clear indication that the USSR is confident of achieving final control of Korea through the carrying out of the US program. I. uToliMin&Fored Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 gar U 1-14.0 %A ,10-"F Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 C, CRITICAL sirrup,,TxoNs EUROPEAN RECOVERY Departments of State and War have approved the communique on the London tripartite level-of-industry talks. GREECE Prolongation of the Cabinet crisis will lead to further loss of confidence in the Government and will therefore enable the guer- rilla forces to operate with increased effectiveness. INDONESIA High officials of East Indones:la and West Borneo, whose states have been denied a voice in UN Security Council discussions on the Indonesian situation, condemn the present Indonesian Republi- can Government as unrepresentative and undemocratic. KOREA The Department of State has instructed the ITS Delegation to the Joint Commission not to propose a recess while awaiting a reply to the proposal of a four-power conference. CHINA Wedemeyers departing statements in China have come as a rude shock to the Chinese National Government and have apparently made Chiang Kai-shek concerned over the security of his own position (see item 5). Document No. 05-0 � NO CHANGE in Class. 0 Ei DECLASSIFIED Class. CUANGED TO: TS S DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: Date: atiota�sf*foLaiti. SNIDE iftlgid1763 By: 003 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 1 1 GENERAL 1. Turkey consider declaration of solidari with Greece--The Turkish overnment has asked US Ambassador ilson for an ex- pression of US views concerning a possible Turkish declaration of political and economic solidarity with Greece. Wilson interprets Turkey's proposed move as an effort to counter Yugoslav-Bulgarian cooperation directed against Greece. Wilson believes that the Turk- ish Government should defer its decision on this matter until after the UN General Assembly has considered the Greek case. 2. USSR rejects US note on Dairen--The USSR, in reply to the US note on Dairen see Dtly Summary of 13 August, item 7), has categori- cally rejected "any attempt to burden the USSR with responsibility for treatment of American interests" in Dairen. The Soviet note declares that: (a) Dairen must remain under the Port Arthur Naval Base regime until the Japanese peace treaty is signed; and (b) the Chinese National Government has failed to fulfill its administrative functions in Dairen "for reasons beyond Soviet control"' (CIG Comment: The Soviet line of reasoning indicates clearly that the USSR intends to retain exclusive control over Dairen as long as possible.) 3. UK to sell aircraft to new Iranian airline--The Ministry of Civil Aviation has advised US Ambassador Douglas in London that British aircraft will be sold to Eagle Airways, a new Iranian airline, and that British Overseas Airways Corporation (BOAC) will conclude a management contract with the line. (CIG Comment: The UK had previously assured the US that BOAC would not "intervene in Transcontinental and Western Air (TWA) affairs" in Iran. Although the UK now asserts that Eagle Airways will not compete with Iranian Airways (Iranair), with which TWA has a virtually inoperative management contract, Eagle opera- tions will probably be disadvantageous to Iranair and reduce the chances that US technical assistance in Iranian air transport will be maintained; see Daily Summary of 25 August, item 10.) - 2 - -14400304sttitiata� Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 tiliNflUtil I IAL ,Jr oncucr EUROPE 4. USSR: US to answer Soviet note on Petkov case--The Department of State has instructed US Embassy iirto join with the UK Embassy Moscow in informing the USSR that its rejection of the US proposals on the Petkov case (see Daily Summary of 26 August, item 4) constitutes a violation of the obligations assumed by the USSR at Yalta and negates the rights of the US as a signatory to the Bulgarian armistice. FAR EAST 5. CHINA: Government shocked b Wedeme r statements--US Am- bassador Stuart reports t epar ng s emen made by General Wedemeyer unquestionably came as a "rude shock' to the Chinese National Government, even though most nonpartisan and liberal Chinese largely endorsed Wedemeyer's views. Stuart adds that Chiang Kai-shek had tried earlier to persuade Stuart to caution Wedemeyer against being too critical and is now preoccupied with the question whether the US may be planning to force the General- issimo's retirement from office. 6. BURMA: AFL rejects Communist reunion--US Consul General Rangoon hasb-e-E-11 oi;ii�leariy a member orth-e. Burmese Cabinet that the re-entry of the White Flag Communist Party into the Anti-Fascist League (AFL) has been blocked by the refusal of the Communists to accept the terms of reunion as laid down by the AFL. (CIG Comment: The possibility that the White Flag and Red Flag Communists will join forces is now greater, but the union is still improbable. However, in view of the mounting political tension in Burma, widespread violence is likely to increase and may result in another attempted coup d'etat.) - 3 - ..T.OP CDOICT CONFIDENTIAL Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Atili P14/ Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 4 68 CRITICAL SITUATIONS EUROPEAN RECOVERY The US, UK, and French delegations to the tripartite talks in London on German level of industry have reached agreement on a communique (see item 1). GREECE Tsaldaris has apparently abandoned his efforts to secure the coopera- tion of the Liberal Party in forming a cabinet and now threatens to form an Extreme Rightist government. It is believed that such a government could not survive in view of present Parliamentary and popular opposition. INDONESIA, The UN Security Council has again called on the Netherlands and the Indonesian Republic to comply with the cease-fire order of 1 August. Meanwhile,- the Netherlands has taken another step toward the forma- tion of the projected United States of Indonesia by recognizing an autonomous government in East �ram. KOREA In an attempt to reach some decision on the Korean problem, the Department of State has sent a note to the four signatories to the Moscow Agreement calling attention to the deadlock in Joint Co mission negotiations and asking th se governments to send delegates to a conference beginning 3 September in Washington (see item 3). CHINA One of the outstanding obstacles faced by the Chinese National Government in its efforts to reinforce Manchuria is that senior Nationalist commanders in North China are reluctant to release a portion of their owe troops because of the uncertain political situation within China (see item 4). - 1 - Dooument No. 0 4- 9 NO CHANGE in Class. rl 0 DECLASSIFIED Class. C=ED TO: TS S DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77/1763 44444.3�6��.146:46 D e: B R 1978y : 03 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 114itris I ins. 4.144.16�40.1im GENERAL 1. Con_ugun :2Rosed on level-of -Must': talks-US Ambassador Douglas reports thTia-e-WrI�TrC, an renc e egations to the Lon- don talks have agreed on a communique which will be referred to the respective governments for approval. The communique will Include a statement that the French delegation cannot withdraw its objections to the level-of-industry agreement until there is "a satis- factory outcome" to the forthcoming Berlin discussions of French proposals on the export of Ruhr coal, The US delegation recommends US agreement to the communique and recommends further that, even If the French Government refuses to agree to the communique, the new level of industry be published on 1 September. 2. UK seeks immediate discussion of bizonal financing-The UK Gov- falie-ffe-pliiiireiirof State that US- UK discussions leading to a revision of the present agreement for the financing of the US and UK Zones Germany be initiated at the earliest possible moment. The note declared that the UK will be unable to provide further dollars for German expenditures when the current appropriation is exhausted (approximately at the end of December), but is prepared to discuss possible contributions from non-dollar sources. FAR EAST 3. KOREA: Sovig.,p,..tl._y�RAItgli contimes dilator tactics-The US Dele- gation to the joint Commission reports that the present deadlock is so complete that it will be difficult to agree on even a factual joint report. General Hodge states that Soviet tactics still consist of un- acceptable counter-proposals and propaganda against "oppressive" US policies in South Korea. (CIG Comment: The complete failure of the Soviet Delegation to make a plausible case for the continuing of the Joint Commission, combined with the rather weak USSR propaganda line, indicates the possibility that a surprise Soviet proposal will be made at a forth- coming conference in Washington. This might be a suggestion for the immediate withdrawal of both US and USSR occupation forces.) - 2 - 14,P=913441WAINi Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 444)n EllI 4. CHINA: Nationalist commanders unwillinlease troops for Manchuria-- According to UrAnia-FigiiiiTtall7diFtiritish Military Attache in Nan- king has been reliably informed that Chiang Kai-shek was unable to per- suade General Hu Tsung-nan in Yenan to release part of his troops for reinforcement of Manchuria. (General Hu, Nationalist Commander in the Yenan area, is regarded as one of Chimes most faithful supporters.) Stuart adds that General Fu Tso-yi, commanding Nationalist forces in the Kalgan area, may be similarly reluctant to part with any of his troops during the current political instability in China. Stuart observes that Chiang's Government is still compelled to effect troop movements "largely by negotiations rather than by the issuance of orders. ' THE AMERICAS 5. PARAGUAY: Government to hold elections--US Embassy Asuncion re- ports that President MorinIflis group of foreign diplomats that he intends to hold elections "in due course," and that he will turn over the Government to the victorious party. - 3 - -*or @DCRET CO Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 /-U1, Jt4, Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 "UP E�ul1EP CRITICAL SITUATIONS EUROPEAN RECOVERY The Chairman of the CEEC doubts whether Western Europe can be self-supporting by 1952. Clayton recommends that the US im- pose certain necessary conditions upon US acceptance of the � CEEC report (see item 1). GREECE Continued resistance on the part of the opposition makes it highly unlikely that any effective government under Tsaldaris can be formed (see item 6). INDONESIA US Embassy The Hague reports a growing belief in the Nether- lands that Russia will sabotage any decisions of the UN not favor- able to the Indonesian Republic. KOREA US-USSR negotiations have reached a critical stage and significant developments are expected within the next few days. CHINA A political and economic crisis of record severity is likely to follow the 24 August statement made by General Wedemeyer on his departure from China. In reaction to this statement, the Chinese National Government will probably reiterate that govern- mental reforms cannot be carried out so long as it is compelled to prosecute the civil war without foreign aid. -1- 487 Doaumont No. 0 4c NO CHANGE in Class. D El DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANCED TO: TS DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77/1763 A Date: 10 PR 1974 By: 00.9 r-ID Lim Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 GENERAL 1. Requirements desired in CEEC report--The Department of State believes that there must be major changes in both the content and conclusions of the report which is being drawn up by the Com- mittee for European Economic Cooperation (CEEC). The Depart- ment feels that the report in its present form does not meet the following essential standards: (a) achievement of a self-sustain- ing European economy; (b) maximum realization of mutual aid; and (c) concentration of aid at points where it will produce the maximum immediate recovery. While the Department believes that the US must not create the impression that it is directing the specific content of the report or delaying its preparation, publi- cation of a report not meeting the essential requirements of the recovery program would do irreparable harm by evoking serious criticism in the US and by further undermining the confidence of European nations in their ability to help themselves. Clayton's views on the CEEC port--Under Secretary Clayton has told Sir Oliver Franks, Chairman of CEEC, that the figure for US aid of 28.2 billion dollars, tentatively reached by the CEEC, is "out of the question." Clayton got the impression that: (a) Franks is very reluctant to initiate discussion in the Conference of living standards relative to pre-war and post-war conditions; and (b) the Conference is not likely to arrive at a program which would bring actual dollar requirements much below the prelimi- nary summation. Upon being informed of the Department of State's objections to the report in its present form, Franks ex- pressed doubt whether Western Europe, under any reasonable assumptions, can reach a completely self-supporting status by 1952. Clayton recommends that the US inform the Conference that it must plan on the annual export of 25 to 30 million tons of coal by the UK by 1951 and consider that France will again be practically self-sustaining in bread grains by that date. Clayton is convinced that the only way for the US to deal with the CEEC report is to impose necessary conditions. -2 OEOILIYP� ApprovedApproved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 2. Australian � osition on a anese peace talks �US Ambassador Butler reports that the view o Aus r Ian Minister of External Affairs Evatt concerning possible delay in convening a Japanese peace conference is that: (a) it is urgently necessary to hold the peace conference before the UN General Assembly meeting, be- cause the otherwise crowded program may postpone the con- ference several months; and (b) the conference must be held promptly, even if the USSR refuses to attend. 3. Partial Turkish demobilization unlikely to affect USSR policy�US Ambalia or Smith In Moscow reports his opinion that a partial demobilization of the Turkish Army (see Daily Summary of 19 August, item 6) would not materially affect Soviet policy toward Greece, Turkey, and Iran, particularly if accompanied by an of- ficial Turkish statement which would: (a) reiterate Turkish de- termination to defend itself against aggression; and (b) point out that a reduction in the financial burden of maintaining large forces under arms would improve Turkey's capacity to resist aggression, should the need arise. 4. USSR rejects US protest on Petkov case--The Soviet Government has refused the recent Ut proposal that the Bulgarian Government be directed by the ACC to delay the execution of Nikola Petkov, pending ACC review of the case. The USSR contends that ACC Bulgaria has no authority to review decisions of Bulgarian courts, and that such a review would be an infringement upon Bulgarian sovereignty. The Soviet note likewise rejects the US proposal that consultations be undertaken among the three powers repre- sented at the Yalta Conference in an effort to work out a concerted policy regarding the Petkov case. (CIG Comment: A similar Soviet position may be expected in the September trial of Maniu in Rumania or in any future case in which the Western Powers seek to check the elimination of non- Communist elements from Satellite politics.) - 3 - Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 EUROPE 5. AUSTRIA: Ryes desires US aid for Soviet zone--US Commanding General Keyes believes that, in view of the Soviet refusal to admit US relief into eastern Austria under the control provisions of the US-Austrian Relief Agreement, it is necessary to protect Austria's economic unity by supplying eastern Austria with food from US military relief stocks. Keyes declares that failure to supply this aid will: (a) result in greater over-all US relief requirements for Austria; and (b) be a first step toward the division of Austria. O. GREECE: Government impasse continues�According to US Am- bassador NraWaih7rff--1.1;nerffirere-rs� Tsaldaris has proposed to Sophoulis (leader of the Liberal Party) that: (a) Populists and Liberals unite to form a new government, with Sophoulis presid- ing over the Council of Ministers and with Tsaldaris functioning as "active" Prime Minister because of Sophoulis' advanced age; (b) the portfolios be distributed equally between Populists and Liberals; and (c) Tsaldaris and Sophoulis each have veto power over any Cabinet appointment. Sophoulis replied that: (a) because the Government has failed, the opposition (Liberal Party) should form the new govern- ment; and (b) if the Liberals collaborate with the Populists, the Cabinet's policy must be wholly that of the Liberal Party. Mac Veagh is not hopeful of an effective coalition between Populists and Liberals, because he believes that Sophoulis considers Tsaldaris' proposals a sign of weakness and is therefore pos- sibly anticipating that, by holding out a little longer, the Liberals may be able to take over the whole government. NEAR EAST-AFRICA 7. MAN: Soviet intimidation of Iran continues�US Ambassador Al- len Tehran has been informed by a confidential representative of Qavam that the Iranian Government has received reports of 10,000 Barzani (Kurdish) tribesmen concentrated on the Azerbaijan border by the USSR, for the purpose of creating disturbances in Iran which - 4 - Wagelik4. f"'D Ofi REIM' Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 1.1 444400itleitarirm will serve as a pretext for Soviet military intervention. Allen's Informant also stated that the Soviet Embassy is endeavoring to start "a pro-Soviet movement" among Iranian officials on the ground that "great turmoil" is imminent in Iran. (MG Comment: The Barzanis now in the USSR are be- lieved to number not more than 1500. It is considered likely that the USSR will use them, as well as other tribal elements, to promote Iranian unrest.) FAR EAST O. CHINA: tJSSRpolIcyjowardina--According to the US Naval Attache Nanking, USSR officials in China have stated that: (a) Soviet Ambassador Petrov will return to China, probably in September; and (b) there will be no change in Soviet policy in China until US policy changes. (Petrov left Nanking for Moscow in June. At that time Soviet officials in China reportedly inter- preted his departure as the first step in a new USSR policy of "getting tough with China.") (CIG Comment: It is believed likely that the Kremlin will maintain an outwardly "correct" attitude toward China, at least until the USSR is in a position to Judge the effectiveness of any additional US assistance that might be extended to the Chinese Nationalist Government.) THE AMERICAS 9. PARAGUAY: Reactivation of US Miss ons recommended--US Charge Trueblood in Asuncion has recommended that the US Air and Ground Missions in Paraguay be authorized to resume oper- ation. (The Missions were suspended in March in view of the pos- sibility that their activities would be considered military inter- vention by the US in Paraguay's civil war.) -5 lUWUflURLT _SEDDENTIALL-- Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 a0461**10**Aama CRITICAL SITUATIONS 5 AUG 1941 466 EUROPEAN RECOVERY The French have indicated that unless there is agreement be- tween France and the US on Ruhr coal and coke, the French Gov rnment will probably announce that the level-of-industry agreement is unsatisfactory (see item 1). GREECE The fall of the Greek Governraent will not have any immediate deleterious effect on the general situation in Greece and may even result in the &rraation of a more representative government if Tealdaris and Liberal Party leaders can be made to abandon their present intransigent attitudes. 7.f no satisfactory compromise is reached shortly, Army and civilian morale will suffer, and the COMiallniStS will be provideri with an opportunity for executing a large-scale military and pelitical offensive. 3NDONE,SIA Fighting has increasedi ity around the Dutch spearheads aimed at Jogjakarta. The Leanne:elan Republic's representative at the TAT, former Prere:nn Sjahrir, has declared that he will state again th0: Dutch tzn,:A must be withdrawn to the positions occupie.d at the time of the truce of 14 Oeteber 1946 before the Republic will feel sate to negotiate with a UN body. KOREA 3ofteign Minister Molotov has assented te Secretary Marshall's encent suggestion of a oint report. At the same time, however, MoIotov9s charge that US policy has hindened the Joint Commission's work indicates that future Soviet propaganda will attempt to cast the onus for the deadlock upon the US by continuing to stress "oppres- 3ivE.PUS policies in South Korea. (nit, A The Chinese Government has indicated that its policy on Japanese peace treaty questions will be directed toward securing Soviet par- ticipation in the peace negotiatim�, in order to prevent unilateral Soviet action on the Dairen issue (spe item 4).Dootunent No. -1- 1LlCP LT[ 0iii NO CHANGE in Class. 0 0 DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS S DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77/1763 Date:10 PR 19711 By: Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 411U UIIORET GENERAL 1. Frenchilltrarl_skpi_It in London talks on Ruhr--The French Delegation to the current London Conference has informally told US Ambassador Douglas In London that, if there were no agreement between France and the US regarding Ruhr coal and coke, the French Government would probably state publicly that the level-of-industry agreement was unsatisfactory to France. In response, Douglas stated that French intransigence regarding the level-of-industry agreements might influence the US Congress to disapprove further aid for West- ern Europe. The French replied that the US can not refuse such aid because it is in the US interest to help in the economic recovery of Western Europe. Douglas believes that it should be stressed in Paris and elsewhere that French recalcitrance on German recovery may prejudice the Congress against any program for European re- covery. 2. UK deadlines for troop withdrawals from Greece and Italy--Bevin has personally advised Secretary Marshall that it would be im- possible" to retain UK troops in Greece beyond this autumn or In Italy beyond the year's end. Bevin recommends that the US approve Greek requests to increase the size of the Greek Army and suggests that the US and UK Chiefs of Staff hold consultations on Greek mili- tary problems. 3. UK to sell six_ht aircraft to the USSR--The UK Foreign Office has informed US Embassy London that the USSR is being allowed to purchase three Vampire and three Meteor jet aircraft of the latest types, but that no engines or aircraft on the secret list have been or would be" made available to the USSR. The Foreign Office stated that a recent Soviet request to expedite delivery of the jet aircraft was refused and that no delivery will be accomplished for 15 months. (The US recently asked the UK to reconsider its intention to sell jet aircraft to the USSR.) 4. Chinese National Government policy on Japanese peace talks--in a letter to Secretary Marshall, handed to US Ambassador Stuart on 21 August, the Chinese Foreign Minister indicated that National 4040n641143%Firr Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 I um 41444/10@ifM19titilog Government policy on the Japanese peace treaty negotiations will be directed primarily toward securing Soviet participation in such negotiations. The Foreign Minister accordingly recommended that the Four Powers attempt to reach an agreement, at the time when the UN General Assembly meets, for a Japanese peace con- ference including the USSR. The Foreign Minister personally told Stuart that the National Government was convinced that if a Japanese peace treaty is nego- � tiated without Soviet participation, the USSR will take the occasion to entrench itself even deeper and refuse to cooperate with China on the Dairen issue. (The USSR has repeatedly claimed the right to extend to Dairen its military jurisdiction over the Port Arthur Naval Base Area until the Japanese peace treaty is signed.) (CIG Comment: Fear of the consequences of the USSR's non-participation in the treaty negotiations reinforces the National Government conviction that some form of veto power must be per- mitted in Japanese peace negotiations.) 5 UK...getable to lower tariff references--Under Secretary Clayton reports from Geneva that Sir Stafford Cripps has stated that it is "politically impossible" for the UK to take any substantial action in eliminating imperial tariff preferences. In view of this develop- ment, the Department of State is considering asking the President to send a message to Prime Minister Attlee in an effort to avert an open break in the trade agreement negotiations. EUROPE 6. FRANCE: USSR may seek to aid Communists with wheat--US Embassy Paris believes that the USSR may possibly make a token delivery of "electoral wheat" in order to bolster the Communist position before the fall municipal elections. (CIG Comment: Earlier Soviet wheat shipments, which were timed to arrive immediately before elections and were given wide publicity, have in the past aided the French Communists. De- spite the smallness of these deliveries, as compared with US ship- ments, the propaganda value derived from them has been great.) - 3 - 44101i0i*E0ItItitimi Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 7. AUSTRIA: Degkeis to re-om_a bilateral talks with USSR--The Depart- ment of State has informed the US Legation Vienna that the US does not object in principle to an Austrian approach to the USSR for a bi- lateral settlement of the German assets problem in Austria. The Department states, however, that in order for such a bilateral settle- ment to be acceptable to the US it must: (a) be publicly approved in Austria; (b) not impair Austrian sovereignty; (c) remove Soviet troops from Austria; and (d) preserve the property interests of US nationals. (CIG Comment: It is unlikely that any agreement reached by the USSR and Austria on the assets question could meet these condi- tions. The USSR, however, would probably welcome the resumption of negotiations because such discussions would tend to weaken the position of the US, the UK, and France during the Austrian Treaty discussions at the November meeting of the CFM.) 8. BULGARIA: Discussion suddenly begun on ratificatio--US Political Mission Sofia reports that a discussion of ratification of the peace treaty has been placed on the 25 August agenda of the Grand National Assembly. This body was convened in "extraordinary session" on 24 August. (CIG Comment: A sudden ratification of the peace treaty by Rumania on 23 August was the first indication of a change in Soviet attitude concerning Satellite peace treaties and probably presages similar action by Bulgaria in the next few days.) 9. GERMANY: USSR 'supports Communist Yout_ Group--Acting US Poli- tical Adviser Steere in Berlin reports that at a meeting of the Co- ordinating Committee of the Allied Control Council, the Soviet member introduced and supported an appeal of the Free German Youth (F14) to the ACC for German-wide recognition and the authority to organize. (MG Comment: The Free German Youth is probably the most dangerous Communist-front organization in Germany. Strongly anti- US, it has already partially penetrated the Western Zones. Its nation- wide recognition might readily lead to results diametrically opposed to US interests.) - 4 - e*011ii3134%!1 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 NEAR EAST-AFRICA 10. MAN: Prospects for continued Iranian air trans rt�According to US Ambassador Allen in Tehran, Wig' slltt1e possibility that the Iranian Government will purchase the Transcontinental and Western Air (TWA) interest in Iranian Airways, as suggested by the US. Allen believes that Iranian Airways can probably continue operations if mechanics and spare parts are obtained, and that TWA may collect something on its disputed claim against Iranian Airways if it "pursues its interest." Iran desires establishment of US-Iran air service�US Embassy Tehran further z---�----:if-----ta3orts t�iiiarigrirDEF aEll�ro-Tan Foreign Office has expressed his belief that Iran should not conclude a US-Iranian bilateral air agreement without a guarantee that a US carrier will promptly establish air service between the US and Iran. (CIG Comment: The operation of Pan American Airways to Tehran has been delayed, despite the US national interest, by the failure of the Iranian Government to correct the poor condition of its Mehratrid airport.) � 11. IRAQ: Prime Minister threatens to sever relations with US�Accord- ing to U m assy Bag d, Pr me Min ster abur informed the British Charge that if the UN decision on Palestine is unfavorable to the Arabs, Iraq will sever diplomatic and economic relations with the US and will "prevent any social contact between Americans and Iraqis." FAR EAST 12. CHINA: Government subsidizes fl his into Sinkia --US Ambassador Stuart believes tfi1hiit1iinese National Government "hopes to further diminish Soviet air transport monopoly in Sinkiang Province" by its subsidization of Central Air Transport Corporation (CATC) operations into Tihwa, the provincial capital. Stuart indicates that the Govern- ment also hopes that scheduled flights into Sinkiang will contribute to the maintenance of National Government authority. - 5 - Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 WUflL TOIl- fiB 011 CT (CIG Comment: Soviet domination of the joint Chinese-Soviet Alma Ata airline has long concerned the Chinese National Govern- ment which has unsuccessfully proposed to Soviet officials that the airline be reorganized in order to effect increased Chinese participa- tion. The subsidized CATC operations may indicate that the National Government now believes that further protests are futile.) THE AMERICAS 13. GUATEMALA: Revolutionar plottin --The Department of State has Instructed US ERFailtirate to convey to the Guatemalan authorities a report of a projected revolutionary movement supposedly to take place there this week. (Ex-President Ponce of Guatemala has informed US Embassy Mexico City that he intends to launch a move- ment, including the airplane bombing of strategic points.) -6- JP cucavr CNIDENThir Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 I:1 INI-111U111111-- -Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 q. Tor ODGRET GENERAL gi 3 AN MA 48 1..Italians pr9pose Franh,o-Ita.lip custoas,union�US Embassy Paris reports that a program reading to a Franco-Italian customs union has been officially proposed to the French Government by the Italian Government. The Embassy was informed by the Italian Ambassador that the French Foreign Office has indicated its sympathy with the general concept of the proposal. Ambassador Caffery believes that the Italian Government has not abandoned the view that a general customs union should evolve out of the Paris Conference, but that the Italians are pessi- mistic about the tangible results that can be achieved at this time and wish therefore to complete a bilateral economic union with the French. 2 Ma believes b.tliaes USSR prepared to folksy/ isolationkttpolitsi� According to US Charge Prague, Czechoslovak Foreign Minister Masaryk has expressed his increasing pessimism over the in- ternational situation. The Charge reports that Masaryk gained the impression in Moscow last month that the Soviet leaders are in an intransigently isolationist mood and may be prepared to sever remaining connections with the West. Masaryk reportedly does not believe that the USSR wants war or that Soviet isolationism would necessarily lead to war, but he fears a complete breakdown between East and West that will be "only a few degrees removed from open hostilities.'" 3. Wile zea....Lei&rts on Azores conference with Salazar�US Ambassa- dor Wiley in Lisbon reports concerning his recent conference with Premier Salazar regarding future US military air rights in the Azores that: (a) an agreement has been reached in broad principle and only the technical details remain to be worked out on a "factual basis" with the Foreign Minister on his return to Lisbon in September; (b) Salazar, though sympathetic to the US position, implied that no immediate settlement should be looked for; and (c) Salazar suggested that the U8 could disregard the ex- piration date of the current agreement and postpone the evacu- ation of US service forces in the Azores for several months if necessary. - 1 - 41.1�141.4*0114iiiiil Document No. 04-6 NO CHANGE in Class. 0 0 DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77/1763 Date: 10 APR 1978 By: Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 �'-'�771 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 i,firtRULIII I IAL (CIG Comment: Despite Salazar's cordiality, the discus- sion of details of the US terms will probably continue to encounter determined opposition from dissident officials. The Portuguese are under no compulsion to expedite the final settlement.) FAR EAST 4. INDONESIA: Further military action feared--The Netherlands Foreign Office has informed US Ambassador Baruch that it is cognizant of the grave consequences of further military operations (see Daily Summary of 22 August, item 8) but is encountering difficulty in restraining the Dutch Cabinet from taking precipitate action before the results of UN deliberations are known. Baruch reports a generil feeling in The Hague that only immediate and complete military success will satisfy the Dutch people, unless the position of the UN improves from their point of view. 5. KOREA: _Jacobs indicates USSR maneuver to blame US--US Politi- cal Adviser Jacobs reports that the charges by Chief Soviet Dele- gate STatikov concerning the recent arrests by South Korean authorities are an attempt to provoke the US Commanding General in Korea to some action which will enable the USSR to blame the US for a break-up of the joint Commission. - 2 - 40401aNOWANItiiimi AL Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 4 ApprovecforRejletsrt:20118/09/26 C03002612 2 2 AUG 194 101L0 ICK L r 464 cR[TCAL '1' T Y. 0 N" S EITRO.PEAN ROCOVERY Douglas reports his apprehensiw that the Paris Co ference is insufficiently conceraed with the analysis of European production estimates and tends to lean too heavily on US assistance see item 1). GREECE Changes in the Greek Government may be expected following the return of Foreign Minister Tsaldaris from the US, al.. which time -Greek political leadeL-s will precipitate a Cabinet c:risis (see item 6). DiDONESIA The US has expressed to he Netherlands Govermaeat its strol;g hope that no further nallitaxy action wil;t be taken by the Dutch Indonesia. _However, len in the ELItherbitds Gove.nimeitt. who advocate furtherpera.i....:�ons may hi,.,.strezAgalened ii the Security Council fails to act fr,:vorably t.-Al the proposa for a W.-tic-- member comynt.ssion ofgation (see item 8), KOREA The US Delegation, in its unilateral report on the work of the Taut Commission, flatly states that it will be irapossb.ie to reach any agreement on Korean ix.idependence through thc? medium of the joint Commission vnles2 tIlare is a real change in Soviet polic. CHINA No significant new developmeut.� - 1 - 111****1444001+01,1411. Document No. NO CHANGE in Class. 0 :,0-016M DECLASSIFIED 0 Class. CHANGED TO: TS s tav DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77/176A_________� Date: 3. APR 0-17* By: a 9 , Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 � Approved for Release: 2018/10.9/26 C03002612 WWtflR GENERAL 1. Douglas' views of Paris Economic Conference--US Ambassador Douglas is apprehensive that: a) the Paris con- ference on European economic recovery is not "critically analyz- ing the estimated production and requirements of participating countries"; and (b) a real danger exists that the final program may be "unrealistic as to production and inordinately large as to US assistance." Douglas believes that the US should make clear its willingness to share in any program which affects all countries alike, but that the US reserves the right of final decision. 2. Preliminass_a__C views ol_1..cliAposition of c.,u_sIaica--US Embassy London has been told by a UK Foreign Office official that although the Foreign Office is undecided on th� method of final disposition of Cyrenaica, it now tends to regard Cyrenaica, where vital British strategic interests are centered, as separate from the problem of Tripolitania and other Italian colonies. The official added that US views on the problem of securing the CIrenaica base would be "of the greatest help to the Foreign Offices ; (see Daily Summary of 14 August, item 3). 3. Vatican seeks easy removal of Franco--Acting US Representative Parsons has been told by Tardini, Vatican Acting Secretary, of State, that the Vatican policy is to open the way for Franco s de- parture from the Spanish Government and that the Vatican hopes to influence developments so that gradually the way will be made easy for him to do so. EUROPE � 4. UK: Sevin reverses intention to visit US--Foreign Minister Bevin has told US Ambassador Douglas that his intention to visit the US at the time of the September UN General Assembly meeting has been "upset by developments." According to Douglas, this possibly indicates that Attlee will resign in favor of Bevin. 44issolimsogibr-T. CO Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 5. USSR: Production of naval equipment in Soviet Zone German --i i1it authorities have directed the Krupp-Gruson plant in Magdeburg to produce naval equipment and instruments for the USSR. that an aircraft plant in Dessau has received an order for aircraft engines and instruments for Soviet use. (CIG Comment: It is well-established that a number of plants in the Soviet Zone Germany are producing military equip- ment for the USSR. Such production appears to be a clear violation of the level-of-industry plan agreed upon by the Allied Control Authority for Germany in March 194e.) 6. GREECE: Cabinet crisi_Aapprsa,.--US Ambassador MacVeagh reports that the three Centrist kideis in the Greek Cabinet will threaten to resign soon in an effort to oust Minister of Public Order Zervas, extreme Rightist, and to gain Liberal Party co- operation. MacVeagh believes that this plan will bring some im- provement in the present Government. Both MacVeagh and AMAG Chief Griswold urge that the US use its prestige at this time by issuing a strong statement of US hopes for Greek unity. (CIG Comment: A less intransigent attitude by Liberal Party Leader Sophoulis toward cooperating with the Government (see Daily Summary of 22 July, item 3) and a growing sentiment against Zervas for his recent public criticism of Greek Army tactics have recently been indicated. These developments in- crease the likelihood that the Centrist leaders will be success- ful. A new Government which included the Liberal Party and re- moved Zervas would receive greater confidence in and out of Greece, because it would have brought in the only parliamentary party not now represented in the Cabinet and would have removed the chief target of the Government's critics.) -3 - CO IAL Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 I IAL Atioiwootometir� NEAR EAST-AFRICA 7. SYRIA: ArAbiat_24opplIne may spsl_cne2_v route--US Legation Damascus reports that Trans-Arabian Pipeline Company. (TAPCO), a subsidiary of the Arabian-American Oil Company, has informed the Syrian Government that unless Syria signs the pipeline con- vention on or before 30 August, TAPCO will withdraw its request for pipeline transit privileges and will proceed immediately with construction along a route which does not cross any portion of Syrian territory. FAR EAST 8. INDONESIA: US warns Dutchagainstmtnewed hostilities�The Department of State has instructed US Ambassador The Hague to convey immediately to the Netherlands Government a strong hope that it will not resort again to military action in Indonesia. The Ambassador is to warn that the ultimate results of further mili- tary action are likely to be detrimental to the best interests of the Netherlands and may entail serious consequences, perhaps including the proposal of sanctions in the Security Council. US Embassy The Hague reports that the Netherlands Gov- ernment is undecided on the resumption of military operations and indicates that the position of those in the Government who advocate military action will be strengthened if the Security Council fails to take positive action. 9. BURMA: 12.19Leaprig olitltmsioq--US Consul General Packer Rangoon reports that the political situation in Burma is becoming Increasingly unstable and tense, characterized by nightly shoot- ing incidents. Packer believes that it is possible that both Burmese Communist factions are responsible for the disturbances, their motives being to discredit the AFPFL Government by demonstrating its weakness. 4 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Rease: 2018/09/26 C03002612 10. CHINA: Reaction-in Mukden to Tssle_k_ale pr Mission�US Consul General Mukden reports that the local Nationalist military and political clique, which had made elaborate preparations to monopolize the attention of the Wedemeyer Mission, was obvious- ly d sappointed at being unable to control the Mission's activities during Wedemeyer's recent visit to Mukden. Native Manchurians, however, were cheered by the hope that through Wedemeyer their views would be brought to the attention of Chiang Kai-shek for the first time. THE AMERICAS 11. PARAGUAY: Government vidory confirmed�US Charge True- blood in Asuncion confirms press reports of the Paraguayan Government's decisive victory over the rebel forces. He expects early "peace, if not political tranquility," with no further rebel threats unless organized from other countries. - 5 - 14401108WAIMPIN� CONF Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 TQP CLOirttaitim CRITIA L, SITUATIONS Z 1 AUG 1941 4,83 EUROPEAN RECOVERY The French are expected to agree to a revised level of industry for the US-UK Zones Germany provided that assurances are given regarding French security and the European allocation of Ruhr production. , GREECE No significant new developments. INDONESIA Van Monk, Actix_ag Governor General of the Netherlands East Indies, has iiiined that unless the Wepublic changes its attitude, Dutch military operations will be resumed. A Dutch offensive will have as its objective the occupation of the Republican capi- tal of Jogjakarta in an attempt to bring about the downfall of the Republican Government. KOREA. The Soviet Delegation has refused to issue a joint report and claims that it is still considering the last US proposal for break- ing the deadlock. This maneuver is probably designed to embar- rass the US in any attempt to carry the problem to a higher level in the face of continued Soviet delay. CI-11N.A The Chinese National Government's reported declaration that Dairen has been closed to foreign shipping is a new legal thrust at the exclusive Soviet occupation of that area. The USSR, although believed, willing to face a real test as to China's intention or ability to enforce the new ban, will probably offer legal counterclaims either that Dairen is a "free port," or that Soviet shipping is re- quired for the USSR to carry out defense of the Port Arthur Naval Base Area. - 1 - Document N. 044- NO CHANGE in Class. El Li DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS . S rer DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77/1763 Date: 1 U APR 1978 By: 003 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 1.11.__ML4UtIT GENERAL - GENERAL 1. US officials recommend Ruhr talks following. London Conference-- Under Secretary Ci Tand Ug-r--gimba adors CaTery ainaMa---Og as report from Paris that they have assured Bidault that: (a) he is at liberty to present French views on the Ruhr at the London Tri- partite Conference on the revised level of industry for the US-UK Zones Germany; and (14 at some more appropriate time, discussions leading to an understanding on the Ruhr will be held. Bidault stated that no French Government could agree to a revised level of industry for Germany without assurances of French security and access by Europe to Ruhr production. The US officials recommend that dis- cussions of French views on the Ruhr be continued as soon as possible after the London Conference. 2. Soviet-Swedish relations deteriorating--US Military Attache Stock- holm reports-thatthe it1-7-iertirionciliatory attitude of the Swedish Government toward the USSR appears to have cooled. The MA be that recent incidents, particularly the enforced recall of Soviet assistant military attaches after their discovery in prohibited areas, have accentuated this shift. The MA adds that a "bitter" press war is in progress against the USSR which the Swedish Gov- ernment has not yet undertaken to curb. Now 3 Probable breakupp1US-Cuban.ITO x_Lestptiations--The US Delegation at the International Trade Conference reports from Geneva that: (a) the break-up of current US-Cuban tariff negotiations is a "strong possibility"; and (b) the only terms to which the Chilean negotiators are prepared to agree are "too thin to be worthwhile." The Delega- tion comments that if the US fails to work out accords with Cuba and Chile, it will have "agreements with only one Latin American country out of three," and that this might put the US in a difficult position vis-a-vis the Latin American bloc in the forthcoming inter-American conferences at Havana and Bogota. (CIG Comment: The Cuban attitude at Geneva parallels its Intransigence at the current Rio Conference.) - 2 - Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 tIliati-IWUM MIL ----TOP OCCIRET 4. French to su �ort Bavaria on di slomatic relations with Vatican-- the French Consul-General in Munich has stated that France would support, as a step toward Bavarian inde- pendence, a Bavarian request to OMGUS for the establishment of diplomatic relations with the Vatican. (CIG Comment: The French might reasonably support such a request as a means of increasing their influence in western Ger- many. According to previous information, the French have discussed with rightist groups in Bavaria the formation of a federal Bavarian state.) EUROPE 5. FRANCE: Ramadier's offer to resign reiected--US Embassy Paris reports that according to an informant who was present at a meet- ing between Premier Ramadier and the Resolutions Committee of the Socialist Party Congress, the Committee rejected Ramadier's offer to resign and assured him of its complete confidence (see Daily Summary of 20 August, item 5). In discussing the immediate effect upon the stability of the Government of the resolutions passed by the Socialist Party Congress, the informant stated that the reso- lutions should not be taken too seriously as they were a "demagogic endeavor to win over the working class." 6. ITALY: Probable Soviet reaction to discovery of US Embassy Rome reports that the USSR may have learned that the latest geophysical findings indicate the presence of considerable petroleum in the Po Valley. (A Standard Oil representative has confidentially stated that the Po Valley may yield eleven million tons of petroleum annually.) The Embassy comments that because of the strategic political, economic, and military implications of this discovery, the USSR will certainly intensify its efforts to bring Italy into its sphere. - 3 /1448411101 Ci Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 3.3(h)(2) Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 603002612 jUUIJN1TAL 7. NETHERLANDS: Cabinet crisis threatened over NEI $ licz--US Ambassador Baruch reports from The Hague: a t in anticipa- tion of a Security Council decision adverse to the Dutch position on the Indonesian dispute, the Catholic Party is urging the Government to order a march on Jogjakarta, the Indonesian capital; (b) but that the Labor Party threatens to resign from the Government if military action is renewed in Java. Baruch believes the US should make urgent representations to restrain the Dutch from "this last desper- ate step .... which may come to almost immediate actuality." FAR EAST 8. CHINA: Nationalist sition in Manchuria--US Ambassador Stuart reports that it is the consensuifljiiiW1Id observers in China that the "6th Communist offensive" in Manchuria will probably be launched in early September and that its most likely objectives will be: (a) interdiction of ports and rail support from China proper; (b) capture of Ssupingkai and the establishment of an east-west corridor between the Nationalist-held cities of Changchun and Mukden; and (c) capture of Fushun, key point in the defense of Mukden. Stuart adds that the Communists will be able to shut off reinforcements from north China by similarly-timed offensives in that area and thus render constricted Nationalist holdings in the Mukden area untenable. THE AMERICAS 9. NICARAGUA: StabIlitypf regime--US Embassy Managua reports that the situation in Nicaragua is riiTotentially explosive" in view of: (a) the "shakiness" of the new Roman y Reyes regime; and (b) the certainty that the anti-Somoza leaders will refuse it their support. The Embassy adds that ex-President Somoza, according to a reliable informant, intends to take over the presidency himself if the new Government is not recognized. (CIG Comment: Somoza, through his control of the National Guard, could easily take over the presidency if it suited his purposes.) -4 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 :444/14/04�041t CRITICAL BITQATXONS EUIPEAN RECOVERY in order to avoid breach-of-agreement charge by the US and . the consemnent freezing of the balance of the US loan, the UK. has postponed for twenty-four hours unilateral action to end sterling convertibility (see item 1). GREECE Present Soviet propaganda suggests that the USSR may break diplomatic relations with the Greek Government (see item 7). INDONESIA The US offer of good offices has lapsed because of the Indo- nesian Republic's expressed preference for arbitration by a UN arbitration cornmissim Meanwhile, fighting in Java is reported to have increased in intensity, leading the Republic to call for cluick: action by the UN Security Council. KOREA Soviet Delegation will probably attempt to prolong joint Com- orn negotiations in order to avoid discussion of issues at a r;H:ivernmental ievel (see item 8). - CHINA Present cod is in Manchuria cast doubt on recent rumors that the T.Y3S'R is likely to attempt a "cow)" in that area in the near future. rfle Ith:eithood of such a Soviet move, however, would be increased if lonal Chinese Con-smunist foi.ces were eventually throlitz on the defensive by US aid to China, by National Government reform of Rs Manchuriem administration, and by active Nationalist military efforts to regain control of the area. Document No. 0 3 ;v41 462 VO CHANGE in Class. 0 0 DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS S DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 '.Auth: DDA REG. 77/1763 1 Date: By: 009 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 UUIU4UL4 UI! GENERAL 1. UK pastpones action to terminate sterling convertibility�The Depart- lent of grali has iraFfd-Under VerieRiTtraTECE Geneva that the UK financial mission in Washington has been advised that the US will have to assert a breach of agreement and freeze the balance of the credit if the UK implements its intention to end convertibility unilaterally, (see Daily Summary of 19 August, item I). The UK has postponed its intended action for 24 hours, during which time alter- native steps. are being explored. Now 2. UNSCOP i._:spated to favoryartition for Palestine--US Embassy London has been informed by a high Jewi�s-Frieni* official closely associated with the UN Special Committee on Palestine (UNSCOP) that a majority of UNSCOP now favor the partition of Palestine into an Arab and a Jewish state. The official added that UNSCOP would expect the states to have a customs union and a confederation to handle railways and communications. (MG Comment: Because partition has been the minimum demand of the Zionists, such a solution would probably be acceptable to them; however, it may be expected to provoke a strong Arab re- action.) 3. Pressure for economic talks at Rio Conference--The US Delegation at the Rio Conference reports that pressureVincreasing for early inter-American consideration of economic problems and that Argen- tina is advocating a special economic conference to be held prior to the Ninth International Conference of American States at Bogota in January. The Delegation recommends, in view of the US wish to minimize economic discussions at Rio, that the US give its support to the proposal that the Inter-American Economic and Social Council be instructed to prepare an economic program for consideration at Bogota.. (The 7.r.ter-Anierican Economic and Social Council is a subsidiary of the Pan American Union. The Council meets in Washington pending action on its future by the Bogota Conference. The proposal referred to is sponsored by Mexico, Colombia, Bra- zil, Peru, and Chile.) - 2 - gri,p-somigNim CO Ai Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09726 C03002612 IjJ1FttJt flidieles.6100lierr 4. US-Portu ese 'Azores" conversations enteri critical phase-- � sassador Wiley in Lisbon repor that conversa Premier Salazar concerning US military rights in the Azores are "entering the critical phase." With UK support for US demands already assured, Wiley has asked the Department of State to suggest to the Brazilian Government that it instruct its Ambassador in Lb- bon to support the US in the current negotiations. Wiley states that the Brazilian Ambassador is "entirely disposed to collaborate if he can receive the green light." EUROPE 5. FRANCE: Bidault fears Ramadier Government ma fall--US Am- bassador Caffery has been told by Foreign Minister Bi ult that as a result of the decisions of the Socialist Party Congress, Premier Ramadier's position has been seriously weakened and that the Govern- ment may fall within the next few days. BiclauIt added that he himself may be asked to form a new government. (CIG Comment: During several previous governmental crises, Mama has felt that he might be asked to form a new government. While !Mama, as leader of the center MRP party, may become premier upon the fall of Ramadier, it is not yet clear that the fall of the present Government is likely.) 6. GERMANY: Re ortaision of opinion in SMA--US Political Adviser Murphy believes thatwithiniThet Military Administra- tion (SMA) there may be a group favoring compromise with the West in an attempt to avoid a split of Germany or at least to maintain for tictical purposes the framework of quadripartite government. Murphy adds that a hip Soviet military official has admitted to a US official that he is `terribly worried about current developments." (CIG Comment: This division within the SMA, see Daily Sum- mary of 18 July, item 4, is apparently a reflection of a divergence of opinion within the Kremlin on German policy as the November Con-- ference of Foreign Ministers approaches.) Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 MAN sikiltiiNFICIOREAP 7. USSR: Possible Sovic t reco ition of Communist vernment in Greece-- US Embassy MoCcow that presen oviet propagan an e -recent USSR protests over alleged mistreatment of Soviet personnel in Greece suggest that ie USS II and it s Satellites may break relations with the Greek Govex iment and recognize the Greek insurgents prior to the convening of the Gen 121 Assembly. Such a move the Embassy points out, would facilitate the supplying of overt aid to move, Greek Com- munists and would present the General Assembly with a situation so confused as to make a clear-c at decision most difficult. FAR EAST 8. KOREA: $oviqt delaying tactics-- The US Delegation to the joint Com- mission believes that present Soviet tactics are to present counter- proposals, thus keeping the Joint Commission alive until after the UN meeting in September. The delegation points out that this would keep the Korean problem out of the UN for another year. (CIG Comment: The Soviet Delegation will now probably Issue a unilateral report which will call US proposals "obstructionist, but will describe current Soviet dilatory tactics as actually conciliatory. Thus, any future US attempt to carry the issue to a higher level could be condemned as sabotage of the joint Commission and of the Moscow Decision.) THE AMERICAS 9. NICARAGUA: Reco ition of new Roman y Reyes regime--The Depart- ment of State has informed Assistant Secretary Armour in Rio that Nicaragua's new Vice President, ArFuello Vargas, will ask to be seated at the Rio Conference as the 'representative of the newly elected Government" in Nicaragua, and that he will, if denied a seat in that capacity, ask to be seated as "the representative of Nicaragua" on credentials stating specifically that his acceptance does not imply recog- nition of the present Nicaraguan regime. (CIG Comment: The Conference will probably seat Arguello Vargas and will probably choose to admit him without recognition of - 4 - 414*PerliFiregiairm CO AI. Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 003002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 1.14111141�VI 1114, the present regime. However, early de facto recognition of the regime Is likely to follow as a matter of course. If it does, General Somoza will probably make his long-deferred trip to the US, and his departure will force a political realignment in Nicaragua.) 10. PARAGUAY: Government successes in civil war--US Charge Asuncion reports, as ofill'Aughe apparently assured" safety of Astm- don, with present acute food shortages expected to improve rapidly; (b) the recapture of the civil airport by the Government; and (c) the absence of rebel planes over the city through the last two days. (CIG Comment: 3.3(h)(2) confirms press reports that the remainder of the attacking rebel forces have split into several groups. If other recent press re- ports are also confirmed, the military phase of the civil war, except for possible continuing guerrilla action in localities remote from the capital, may be considered ended.) 11. URUGUAY: Arms shipments to Paraguayan rebels--The Acting Minis- ter of Foreign Affairs of Paraguay has ijiformedihe US Embassy in Asuncion and the diplomatic representatives of the American Republics that a plane that crashed near Montevideo on 15 August was carrying Uruguayan Government munitions to the Paraguayan rebels. In this connection, the US Military Attache Montevideo reports his conviction, based in part on a document discovered among the effects of the co- pilot of the plane in question, that high Uruguayan officials have been sponsoring arms shipments to the Paraguayan rebels. 12. ECUADOR: US comments on ammunition chase�The Department of State has informed US Embassy Quito in connection with the report that Ecuador might purchase from Czechoslovakia large quantities of 7.92 calibre ammunition (see Daily Summary of 18 August, item 9), that: (a) the purchase would commit Ecuador to a rifle that is not standard US equipment; and (b) Ecuador is still eligible to receive a small amount of ammunition under the US interim arms program at a considerably lower price than that quoted by the Czechoslovakian firm. 5 - Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 it 9 AUG 1947 -Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 waiiiii-vprootwitiso 481 CRITICAL SITUATIONS EUROPEAN RECOVERY UK officials estimate that at the present rate of drain on British dollar resources the balance of the US loan will last only about two weeks; the Cabinet has therefore decided to take unilateral stop-gap action to forestall a break in sterling (see item 1). GREECE Intensified guerrilla activity will follow the recent announcement by General Markos of the establishment of a "free" Greek government. The guerrillas will attempt to extend their control in northern Greece before the Greek Army can make effective use of the equipment supplied by AMAG. INDONESIA Despite pressure from liberal elements in the Netherlands to curtail military action, Dutch forces may soon reopen "police operations," possibly with the occupation of the Republican capital of Jogjakarta as their objective. KOREA No significant new development. CH/NA A plan currently proposed by the UNRRA office in China, which would withhold UNRRA supplies from military areas under Nationalist con- trol (as well as from Chinese Communist areas), would probably in- tensify Chinese reaction against any foreign demands for the "privilege of interfering in Chinese affairs" as a condition for extending aid to China. - 1 - . Document No. 04e NO CHANGE in Class. 0 E] DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77/1763 iiate : 10 APR 1975 By: Qd.q .:1A1111 S "PlEolii403�11. Pi47", Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 jYJWWtUIAL IJIILT GENERAL 1. ry to act unilaterally to protect stez_L...--Bevin has informed US Ambassador Douglas that, because the run on UK dollar re- sources has accelerated so greatly that the remainder of the US loan may be exhausted in two weeks, the Government has decided to take immediate action unilaterally to protect sterling. Bevin stated that while he would have opposed such a step if the issue were purely, monetary, he is convinced that a break in sterling would: (a) 'impair if not destroy" all US and UK efforts in the political field over the past two years- (b) lead to increased ag- gressive action by the USSR; and (c) have a "profound adverse ef- fect" politically and economically in France and Italy. Bevin emphasized that this action is to be taken as a stop- gap to maintain the status quo while the US and the UK are review- ing the situation and is not to be construed as a repudiation of the financial agreement In this connection, Douglas feels confident that Bevin was expressing the UK Government's sincere convictions. 2. US representatives in Moscow discount overt Sovi t move in Iran The US Military Attache Moscow reports his belief that: (a) the USSR does net intend to make an overt hostile move against Iran; and (b) any changee which may have been made in Soviet troop dispositions in the area were probably for the purpose of intimi- dating the Iranian Government. US Ambassador Smith reports that there is neither anything definite to substantiate recent rumors of increased Soviet strength on the Iranian border nor any concrete indication that the USSR is preparing to occupy Iranian territory. EUROPE 3. USSR: Note rejects US view on former Axis assets--US Embassy Moscow has received a note from the USSR contending that Soviet acquisition of former Axis assets in Hungary, Bulgaria, Rumania, and Finland is final. The note rejects the US contention that trans- fers of such assets thus far have been only provisional, pending the Implementation of peace treaties. -2-. UIHJJIET fiNfljjjj Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 UUILUJ1U 1111. Smith expects delay of ratification--US Ambassador Smith in Moscow believes that the Soviet delay in ratifying the Italian and Satellite peace treaties reflects a Kremlin estimate that ratification would not be advantageous to the USSR at present. Smith points out that through delay the USSR can: (a) avoid the termination of armistice regimes, thus allowing more time for the consolidation of Soviet control; (b) disturb the precarious political balance in Italy; and (c) maintain troops in tulgaria for continuation of the "war of nerves" on Greece and Turkey. 4. HUNGARY: Secret treaty for retention of Soviet tropis--The US Military Representative Budapest has learned from "a usually re- liable source" that the Chief of the Military Committet:i of the Hungarian Communist Party recently stated that a mutual assist- ance treaty between the USSR and Hungary is being prepared which will include provisions for the retention of Soviet troops in Hungary. (CIG Comment: judging by previous reports, such an agree- ment is quite possible. It is unlikely, however, that the USSR would make such a treaty with Hungary without making similar pacts with Bulgaria and Rumania.) 5. BULGARIA.: Mission suggests direct a_ppeal for Petkgyz-The US Mission in Sofia states its view that a direct appeal by the US for clemency for Opposition Leader Petkov should be made to the Bulgarian Government in addition to the representations already made to the Allied Control Council. NEAR EAST-AFRICA 6. TURKEY: Government2exploring lity of reducing armed forces-- US Ambassador Wilson reports that the Turkish Government, in at- tempting to decide whether a reduction in the Turkish armed forces should be made, wants to be informed of US views on the international situation. While Wilson believes that Turkish forces should not be reduced for at least a year, he suggests that the Government be given - 3 - Cj.f AL Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 UUIUlLIll a frank estimate of the international situation, on the basis of which it can make its own decision. Wilson feels that Turkey would then maintain the armed forces at present strength. THE AMERICAS 7. URUGUAY: US cattle shi ment infected with hoof-and-mouth--US Charge Montevideo has received a note from the Uruguayan Govern- ment stating that in a shipment of dairy cows arriving direct from New Orleans on 17 June: (a) one animal was infected with hoof-and- mouth disease on arrival; and (b) by 12 July, all but two of twenty- nine animals had developed the disease. (CIG Comment: The latest US epidemic of the highly con- tagious hoof-and-mouth disease occurred in 1929 and was stamped out by slaughtering all cattle in the infected areas. The US is now cooperating with the Mexican Government in a similar slaughter campaign in that country. Reports from Mexico several months ago referred to a plot looking to a deliberate attempt to cause the disease to spread to the US.) - 4 - "PeliPmliONEIREam. AL Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 -For 8ECRET" CRITICAL SITUATIONS THE C.I.A. HAS NO 03TECTION TO THE DECLASSIFICATION OF THIS DOCUMENT. EUROPEAN RECOVERY No. O _9 French officials favor the establishment of a customs union through the European ecalomic recovery program (see item 1). GREECE The "free" Greek government proclaimed by General Markos (Greek ifuerrilla leader) is merely provisional and military. Markos proclamation will probably be followed by the announce- ment of a more permanent political government which will be recognized by the Satellites, if not by the USSR. Meanwhile, Satel- lite representatives are withdrawing from Athens and leaving Greece in virtual diplomatic isolation from its northern neighbors. INDONESIA The Netherlands Reconstruction Minister has been sent to Batavia with instructions to Van Mook that Dutch forces must cease advances and take only protective measures. KOREA The Soviet delegation on the joint Commission continues to insist that it has no instructions to meet with US delegates for the purpose of drawing up a statement on the present deadlock in the negoti- ations, as,proposed by Secretary Marshall's recent letter to MolotOv. CHINA The Central Government's new foreign exchange plan, which recog- nizes the depreciated open market rate for all exchange transactions except those covering essential imports, will not succeed in materi- ally reducing the drain on Government foreign exchange and gold resources unless the plan is capably administered and is accompa- nied by a revival of public confidence in the Government and its currency. DOCUMent No. NO CHANGE in Class. 0 0 DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO; 7$ DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth; DDA REG. 77 1763 Dale: By: QZ21.bi Theolim�01461441.11.0 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 11111. APO 0 DC11Fir GENERAL 1. French favor customs union of Western Euro --Under Secretary Clayton reports that French -Officials strong y -favor provisions within the European economic recovery program for: (a) financial and mone- tary reform; and (b) the eventual establishment of a customs union. Clayton adds, however, that there is general agreement that the UK empire-preference system is a barrier to taking even preliminary steps toward a customs union. 2. UK will consult US before making tro_22 withdrawals--US Ambassa- dor Douglas reports that the UK Foreign Office has assured him that the UK will undertake no troop withdrawals from Italy or Greece with- out full, prior consultation with the US. 3. Strom Soviet polici in Iran expected--US Ambassador Smith in Moscow reports his conviction that the USSR is in a position to follow a strong policy in Iran. Re believes that the recent demands made by the Soviet Ambassador on Prime Minister Qavam (see Daily Summary of 15 August, item 5) create a situation which the USSR may exploit either to gain an oil concession in northern Iran or to weaken seriously the British oil position in southern Iran. (CIG Comment: The USSR will undoubtedly resort to every means of intimidation short of military force in attempting to procure a concession. If, as seems certain, the Majlis fails to ratify the original agreement or to grant a concession comparable to that of the UK, the USSR will intensify its efforts to secure a government in Iran more amenable to its objectives.) EUROPE 4. AUSTRIA: 13(4re urges continuance of ATC talks--US Representative Dodge at the Austrian Treaty Commission-(A�TC) urges that ATC talks be continued during his absence in Washington for consultation (see Daily Summary of 9 August, item 2). Dodge believes that continuance of the discussions is necessary to: (a) establish the record of untenable Soviet positions; (b) provide better factual basis for the US position; and (c) facilitate agreement in the ATC among the US, UK, and France. - 2 - 4110161431314t4iiiiimmo CO Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 1 IIIL 5. NE iiiERLANDS: 1.2T_PApbo lit averted--US Embassy The Hague reports that according to the Chairman of the Labor Party the threatened split within the Party (see Daily Summary of 15 August, item 3) has been averted by the recognition that: (a) initiative in the Indonesian dispute is no longer in Dutch hands; and (b) no further military action would be tolerated by Labor members of the Cabinet. 6. FRANCE: Reduction of bread ration imminent--US Embassy Paris reports that the French Government is coniffering the reduction of the bread ration to the lowest ration since the war. The Embassy, believing that such a reduction would be intolerable during the fall and winter when other foods are scarce, urges that an effort be made to expedite grain shipments in order to: (a) maintain the present ration; (b) facilitate domestic grain collections; and (c) prevent further unbalance in the general economic situation. 7. RUMANIA: Announcmst_ot_....ouram stabilization creates panic-- US Mission Bucharest states that the recent publication of the Govern- ment monetary stabilization decree has resulted in panic and almost complete commercial paralysis. The Mission has been informed by'a It reliable source" that the Government intends to use the stabilization program as a means of expropriating certain business and industrial enterprises. NEAR EAST-AFRICA 8., PALESTINE: Antk-krish riots cause alarm--US Consul General Jerusalem reports as "highly disturbinirri�he continuance for six successive days of Arab anti-Jewish riots in Palestine. He adds that the riots are similar in pattern to events which in the past have led to widespread trouble in Palestine. - 3 - eifkOPIR9EVINIfflimi Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 %se Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 __NSW1-t=71 UHL THE AMERICAS 9. ECUADOR: Czechoslovakia offers ammunition to Ecuador--The Chief of the US Army Mission inE Tuador has told US Ambassador Simmons that: (a) Czechoslovak salesmen have offered 30 million 7.92 cartridges to the Ecuadoran Government and have promised delivery of 5 million rounds within 30 days; (b) only an immediate US offer of comparable materiel at "substantially cheaper prices" can prevent the purchase by Ecuador; and (c) the Minister of Defense favors the buying of US ammunition and promises to delay the con- tract pending new information on US prices. The Chief of the US Mission believes that the Czechoslovak offer is bona fide. 10. PERU: US-manufactured pints lackthpare Commanding General Caribbean Air Command reports that many Peruvian Air Force planes of US manufacture are now grounded for lack of spare parts. He comments that unless a solution is found to this general problem the goodwill initially created by making US surplus military equipment available to Latin American countries will be destroyed. - 4 - ! P fHOft1T p Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 -- Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 4001411*ii0S144,00 GENERAL 16 fiLIG 459 1. AustEgbar..2L.0 212DRto trade engineemists�US 'Naval Attache Melbourne reporTs that Communists have maiivered the Australian Council of Trade Unions into supporting a blanket embargo on Dutch trade. The NA believes that the Australian Prime Minister has disregarded fundamental principles by merely request- ing the Unions to modify the ban (permitting trade with the Nether- lands but not with the NEI) instead of questioning the right of private persons to direct Australian policy. The NA declares that Australia, having offered to mediate in the Indonesian dispute, has now intervened in favor of the Indonesian Republic. 2. US still favors settlement of ..Piliglo-Egnignya rene otiaition� The Department of State has informed the U-rdelegation to t e g� of its view that the Ang,losEoptian dispute can best be resolved by an SC recommendation that the two disputants renegotiate and report later to the SC. 3. UNSCOPITptinhht_edly favors an independent Palestine�The British PiiCOffibelias ia6FiTea ITST:iiigiFs7Widiiilikt: (a) the UN Special Committee on Palestine (UNSC OP) apparently favors the establishment of an independent Palestine, although there is no indi- cation whether the delegates are considering one or two Palestine states; and (b) it is increasingly apparent that the Grand Mufti is determined to test his strength by promoting a campaign of violence by the Arabs in Palestine, possibly before the end of the year. EUROPE 4. ITALY: thirn_ithtzir ts increased aid�US Ambassador Dunn urges a substantial increase in food shipments to Italy, preferably of wheat, to arrive as soon as possible and to reach a peak in March. Dunn doubts whether the democratic leaders can defeat the Communists at the April 1948 national elections if Italian expectations of extensive US aid have not been fulfilled before that time. Document No. 040 - - ftroytims***444-iiiii. CO 1 NTIAL NO CHANGE in Class. DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS S DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77/1763 Date: 1 0 APR 1978 By: 69 9: � Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 I.H1LflUiL 44013111.****1410 'THE AMERICAS 5. CUBA: US Navy Reconsance locates military stores�According to the US Naval Base at Guantanamo, Cuba, aerial photographs re- veal about 400 men, military stores, and camouflaged buildings on a small island off the northern coast of Cuba. The report also states that an LCI and three other small vessels were nearby. (The US Naval Attache Havana had reported previously that Dominican revo- lutionists were on this island.) 6. PARAGUAY: Relief of CaOlal confirmed�The US Military Attache Asuncion has reported tharon 14 August loyal troops reached the city from the north and "relieved the critical situation." -2 "fiffrudiAttlitNitimm Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 t UUHLID Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 CRITICAL SITUATIONS EUROPEAN RECOVERY US officials believe that new proposals to France will clear the way for the economic revival c:6 we7Aern Germany (see item 1). The Department of State .believes that the nations of Western Europe must adjust themselves to basic changes in their international posi- tion and must stress self-aid in any economy program to be accept- able to the US. 5 AUG 1941 458 GREECE A TRiblic announcement of the. establishment of a "free" Greek gov- ernment, accompanied by intensified guerrilla activity, is believed to be foreshadowed by continuipg rumors of the formation of such a government, by Gromyko'S t4cent outhurst in the Security Council, and by veiled Soviet threats to sever diplomatic relations with Greece. NDONE S As a means of settling the Indonesian question, the Netherlands Government now favors arbitration by three representatives, one each to be appointed by the Republic and e Dutch, and a third to be chosen by both sides. Firm in its opposition to arbitration by a � single third party, the Republican Government has broadcast an appeal to the Security Council to conduct a plebiscite on the future of Indonesia. KOREA No significant new developments. CHINA. The Chinese, unable to fill their immediate needs for aircraft ammunition by purchases from the US Government, are now attempt- ing to obtain such ammunition from private manufacturers in the US (see item 6). TOP OLCLl1- C L Document No. 039 NO CHANGE in Class. 0 0 DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS S DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77/1763 Ark Date: h pxr Insi By; 0 9 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 1111' [1l3IJItILIT GENERAL 1. US officials' recommendation for eement with France on Ruhr-- Under Secretary Clayton and US Anabass dors Doug as an a fery recommend, on the basis of French suggestions, that the US inform the French Government of its willingness to join with France and the UK in establishing by the German peace settlement an in- ternational board which would allocate Ruhr coal, coke, and steel and limit German consumption to peaceful uses. The US officials recommend further that this board be composed of representatives from the US, UK, France, Benelux, and Germany. The officials add that in return the French will be expected to: (a) raise no objection to the revised level of industry agreement; (b) agree to its early publication; and (c) take steps net later than the close of the Nove er meeting of the CFM to merge the French Zone with the US-U1 Zones Germany. Clayton, Donglas, and Caffery believe that if action can be taken along these lines, no important pr dems will arise with the French on the level of industry agreement. 2. Complications in US-Porta: .:ese air ne otiations�US Ambassador Wiley in falY reports his be e at e oiguese Foreign Minister has been unable to carry out his intentions to facilitate the agreement with the US for air rights in the Azores. Wiley points out thatoalthough the Foreign Minister once asserted that the Portuguese would henceforth be politically oriented toward the US and implied that there ould be a complete break with the "Portu- guese historic affiliation" (presumably the UK alliance), he has recently absented himself from discussions. Wiley believes that the ex-Secretary General of the Foreign Ministry, Mathias, and possibly the Minister of War, who advises Premier Salazar on aviation matters, were able to get Salazar's approval of the "oral' formula" which contained P rtuguese proposals unacceptable to the US. (CIG Comment: These developments indicate a continuation of the tug-of-war between two opposing Portuguese factions. Salazar has probably not yet made up his mind on the ultimate Portuguese attitude. Unless definite progress in the Azores negotiations is achieved almost immediately, it will be necessary to discontinue US military air operations through the Azores on the existing basis.) - 2 - lipeppatim cU :IM Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 yYJU4ttH I la TOP ID1JUIIDT EUROPE 3. NETHERLANDS: Split within Labor Party =Lye imminent--US Embassy The Hague reports that tension within the Dutch Labor Party may lead to an open split over the Government's "practical abrogation" of the Linggadjati Agreement with the Indonesian Re- public. The Embassy adds that repercussions may affect the make- up of the present Government. 4. HUNGARY: Recommend US-UK action before elections�US Minis- ter Chapin 1nBudapest(in greernent vrith his British colleague) recommends that joint US-UK action be taken before 31 August in order to provide a basis for non-recognition of the Hungarian national elections. Chapin suggests: (a) immediate protests to Hungary concerning reported widespread abuses of disenfranchise- ment procedures, estimated to affect at least 20% of electorate (see Daily Summary of 11 August, item 2); 21.ad (b) joint proposals to the Allied Control Commission for postponement of elections. NEAR EAST-AFRICA 5. AN USSR a_ltalts.ltagadinASJElet -Iranian oil agreement-- Prime Minister Qavam has informed US Ambassador Allen that Soviet Ambassador Sadchikoff has formally insisted that the original proposal for the formation of a joint Soviet-Iranian oil company be presented to the Majlis promptly for ratification. Qavam replied to Sadchikoff that the Majlis would unquestionably reject the original terms and suggested that the USSR enter into further negotiations. Sadchikoff rejected this suggestion and stated that if Iran refuses to ratify the original agreement, his Government will immediately demand a northern concession similar to that held by the British In the south. (The Anglo-Iranian Oil Company is an all-British company in which the British Government owns a controlling inter- est.) Allen expresses his belief that the USSR realizes it will be un- able to obtain any kind of Iranian oil concession and is consequently maneuvering to save face and to make more difficult the British oil. position in Iran. Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 JaUftFWC11 IML FAR EAST 6. CHINA: Iartion on request for aircraft ammunition-- With reference to Chiang Kai-shek's inquiries about the purchase of aircraft ammunition from the US (see Daily Summary of 2 August, item 7), the Department of State has authorized Ambassador Stuart to state that: (a) no facilities exist for a temporary loan from US Army stocks; and (b) the Army at present has no surplus stocks available. The Department, noting that the Chinese are now ne- gotiating with private ammunition dealers in the US, authorizes Stuart to inform the Chinese Government that it is at liberty to procure ammunition through such channels. 7. PHILIPPINES: Transfer of war materiel to Philippine Government-- The Department of State, indicating concern over requests for trans- fer of large amounts of ammunition, bombs, and military stores to the Philippine Government, has instructed US Embassy Manila to determine specifically the use to be made of the materiel. The De- partment calls attention to the possibility that the falling of war materiel into undesirable hands in the Philippines and elsewhere will embarrass the US. (CIG Comment: The Philippines have been, since the end of the war, a center for illegal arms traffic which has been effective in sustaining armed conflicts in southeast Asia.) THE AMERICAS 8. CHILE: impendinicrisis in Chile--US Ambassador Bowers reports that Chilean armed forces are trying to operate the country's postal and telegraph services in the face of a Communist-led strike and that a presidential spokesman has asked the striking employees to return to their jobs because a "coup d'etat is being prepared that will endanger the country's democratic regime." Bowers describes the situation as chaotic. - 4 - CO j--)T?rn Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 101' OLIUIID'IJ. 1 ill 9. PARAGUAY: Deve ients In Civil War.--US Charge Trueblood reports that a Rebel break-through into Asuncion in the early morning of 14 August was checked by the "opportune arrival of some 1,000 mounted troops in battle trim belonging to Govern- ment's First Corps." (The First Corps IS the Goverme nt force that occupied Concepcion in northern Paraguay. Troops of this corps are reported to have been marching to the relief of Asuncion.) However, the US Military Attache, reporting the same day, does not mention the "1,000 mounted troops" and states that the actual strength of the expected Government re- lief from the north is unknown. Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 4iiikle*****Ehlem ,11 14Ub W41 457 THE C.I.A. HAS NO OBJECTION C2ITITCAL SITUATIONS TO THE DECLASSIFICATION OF THIS DOCUMENT. EUI/OPEAN RECOVERY No. t7C9 Bfdault has retreated from his former position concerning inter- national management of the Ruhr; US officials recommend that the proposed tripartite talks be suspended until some agreement has been reached with Bidault (see item 1). GREECE No significant new developments INDONESIA The Indonesian Republic will prole& to the Security Council against the admission of delegations from the Dutch-sponsored states of West Borneo and East Indonesia to Council hearings on the Dutch7 Indonesian dispute. Us Consul General Batavia warns of th.re, diffi- culties of securing Republic i nplementp.tion of any dectqions pro- duced through US good. offices (see item 7)., KOREA No significant rtew developments,. CHINA No significaRt. ziew devoprne.nts Document No. 018 NO CHANGE in Class. 0 .situoil 0 DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS Skr*- DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77/1763 Date: 1 0 APR Ilia BY: 0_03 JONBfNTi Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 GENERAL 1. Bidault raises new difficulties on Ruhr settlement--Under Secretary laytr�TtraiinTS�rniai-sadors�raireiTinsinrou�kr�as report from Paris that French Foreign Minister Bidault has retreated from his former position on the Ruhr question and has insistedlin an informal con- versation, that he does not favor international control over Ruhr management (see Daily Summary of 8 August, item 1). Bidault em- phasized that French acceptance of the new level of industry agree- ment is contingent upon: (a) guarantees that the Ruhr industrial capacity will never again be used for military purposes against France; and (b) some arrangement assuring that Western Europe's access to Ruhr production will not depend upon the will of Gprmany. The US officials fear that unless there is agreement with Bidault prior to the forthcoming tripartite talks, French opposition to the level of industry agreement will be so violent as to involve the possible fall of the present French Government and the loss of French support and leadership in the European economic program. The US officials advise therefore that no date be fixed at present for the London conference. 2. US re ly to Soviet counter proposals r rding Japanese Peace Treaty-- The epa merlriln a repy 22 July regarding the forthcoming Japanese Peace Treaty, has main- tained that: (a) the agreements reached at Cairo, Yalta, or Potsdam do not invest the CFM with any authority concerning the Treaty; (b) the establishment by the Moscow Conference of the Far Eastern Commission recognized the primary interest of the eleven powers In the Commission in all Japanese post-surrender policies; (c) since only an exchange of views on such a conference was desired, any interoretation of unilateral action by the US is erroneous; and (d) the proposed conference will decide its own procedure. The Department's leply expresses the hope that, because the other nine interested gov- ernments have accepted these proposals, the USSR will also accept. The Department has indicated to its embassies that if the USSR does not reply within two weeks, the US will consider dispatching formal invitations for a Japanese Treaty Conference to the other nine powers, such a conference to be held in Washington on 8 September. - 2 - 414Mikirtii0E400+.10 CON Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved foirial6elease: 2018/09/26 C03002612 a, UK desires strategic bases inSissj_iaica--US Embassy London re- ports that the UK Foreign Office and the War Office are seeking some means of obtaining strategic bases in the Cyrenaica area. The Embassy adds that in the opinion of the Foreign Office no satisfactory solution to the Italian colonies problem will be found by the CFM and that the problem will eventually have to be placed before the UN. (The Daily Summary of 5 July, item 5, reported the insistence of the UK General Staff that Cyrenaica bases were absolutely essential to their strategy, owing to forthcoming troop withdrawals from Egypt and very possibly from Palestine.) 4. Debt.sletault holds jp_ptsumption UK-Soviet trade talks--The UK foreign Office has advised US Embassy London that the USSR has been firmly informed that trade talks cannot be resumed until the Soviet debt default of 1 August is cleared up. The British are re- ported to feel increasingly that the USSR will not have grain avail- able for export. (CIG Comment: This information differs from an Embassy report of 11 August indicating a British move to reopen trade nego- tiations,. The reported British initiative appears actually to have consisted only of asking the Soviets to pay the defaulted sum, to with a proposed commitment that the terms of any new pay- ments agreement would be retroactive to the date of collapse of the last Moscow talks.) 5. US objections to pro State Department has pointed out to US Ambassador Wiley in Lisbon that the text of a recent Portuguese memorandum regarding US air rights in the Azores (see Daily Summary of 28 July, item 2) would exclude US Navy transport aircraft and might exclude all combat aircraft. The Department proposes that Wiley inform Portuguese officials, if they cite the US-Icelandic agreement in arguing against the use of military personnel, that the use of civil personnel in Iceland has proved most unsatisfactory and that the US hopes for a much more satisfactory arrangement with Portugal. The Department suggests that Wiley approach Premier Salazar directly if necessary. Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 011D _1,04NR-inn EUROPE 6. USSR: Further delay in ratification of peace treaties�The Soviet Government has Informed USof its view that the US, the UK, the USSR, and France cannot deposit ratifications of the Italian and Balkan peace treaties until the treaties have been ratified by the ex-enemy states. Smith points out that as recently as January the USSR supported an opposite view. The Ambassador believes that the USSR is attempting to delay rati- fication because it wishes to maintain its armistice regime in Hungary until the scheduled elections occur in that country. (See Weekly Summary of 25 July, page 1, for additional consider- ations prompting Soviet obstruction.) FAR EAST 7. NEI: Foote warns acce tance of US offices unlikely�US Consul General Foote in Batavia be eves at e ones an Republic will not accept the US offer of good offices unless it is endorsed by the Security Council because it wishes arbitration by repre- sentatives of countries selected by the Republic. Foote warns that no decisions produced through US good offices could be implemented by the Republican Cabinet without the agreement of Republican military leaders. THE AMERICAS 8. DOMINICAN REPUBLIC: Government re Js Cubanprotest-- The Cuban Charge in Ciudad Trujillo has informed US Ambassador Butler that the Dominican Government has rejected a Cuban pro- test regarding alleged Dominican press attacks on President Grau of Cuba. The Charge believes the Dominican Government is try- ing to force a break in relations with the Cuban Government, but he indicates that the Cuban Government does not intend to permit such a break. -4 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 WINKIITIAL 41046-mo@ticiatin 9. PANAMA: Defense sites ne ottations--US Ambassador Hines, in reply to a request for comments on a War Department draft for a new US-Panama defense sites agreement, observes that the draft would entail an "awkward" withdrawal from the US commitment to "joint authority in some form." Hines believes that such a withdrawal would "inevitably lead to public charfes of bad faith" and that delay "can only prejudice our position.' Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 ei* CP t1UU tan., Approved for for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 CRITICAL SITUATIONS EUROPEAN RECOVERY US Ambassador Douglas is pessimistic concerning the effectiveness of the measures taken by the UK to remedy the present economic crisis (see item 2). GREECE AMAG Chief Griswold reiterates his belief that no increase in the permanent size of the Greek Army should be permitted (see item *� 458 INDONESIA Despite vigorous protests from the Netherlands Ambassador and the British, French, and Belgian delegates, representatives of the Indo- nesian Republic have been permitted to participate in Security Council discussions. As a counter-move, Netherlands Ambassador van Kleffens has proposed that the same privilege be given to delegations from the Dutch-sponsored states of East Indonesia and West Borneo. KOREA In an effort to prolong Joint Commission negotiations until Foreign Minister Molotov replies to Secretary Marshall's letter, the US dele- gation has proposed that oral consultations be abandoned and that plans for a provisional government be evolved from the questionnaires filed by applicants for oral consultation. CHINA The US note protesting Soviet delay in implementing the Sino-Soviet Treaty of 14 August 1945 will strengthen the Chinese National Govern- ment in its negotiations with the\USSR on the Dairen issue (see item 7). - 1 - .VaoUmOnt No. 0 NO CHANGE in Class. 0 AAggidg 0 DECLASSIFIED Class. CUNGED TO: TS S DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA FG. 77/1763 Date: I C APR By: deg 0141".101.11661iiim IDERDIr Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 .1)11111UU GENERAL 1. UK seeks common front with US tnn_c_m2.--A high UK Foreign Office official has told US Embassy London that Bevin has been keenly disappointed by the lack of clear-cut US support of the UK in the Egyptian case now before the UN. The Foreign Office fears that fail- ure of the US and UK to present a common front on the principle of the sanctity of treaties may result in adverse long-range effects in the Near East. EUROPE 2. UK: Douglas' views on economic crisis--US Ambassador Douglas considers economirgiffairon in the UK must deteriorate even further before the Government is "forced into adequate remedial measures"; (b) while the British people were ready for "blunt and dramatic" remedies, they got a series of "vague expedients"; and (c) the Government's plans seem to have been hastily conceived, ill- considered, and unlikely to succeed unless "very material help" is forthcoming from the US. Despite his pessimism, however, the Am- bassador feels that the Government's program may possibly succeed If it is carried out ruthlessly and courageously. MA's views of effect of troop reductions overseas--US Mili- tary Attache London reports his conviction tat any appreciable reduction of UK military forces overseas will require a "softer" defense policy and foreign policy, despite Attlee's official statement that the planned reductions (some 40% by 1 April 1948) imply no policy changes. The MA adds that substantial withdrawals of troops, unless commitments are assumed by the US, would tend to create partial vacuums offering opportunities for the USSR to gain the Initiative. 3. GREECE: AM____A_G_Lvt. oses g Greek Army--AMAG Chief rei to in- crease the permanent size of the Greek Army because: (a) in- creases made now would not improve the fighting strength of the -2 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 UUIiUth1iAL Army for at least three months; and (b) the General Staff is not making full use of the present strength of the Army and is too much concerned with political considerations. The military sec- tion of AMAG believes that "present Army strength properly and energetically utilized can decisively defeat the present strength of the bandits." 4. HUNGARY: Sug;estsbr1nginggian case before the UN-- US Minister Chapin in Budapest reportstoi�Wra�he op onTA Undersecretary of State Pongracz (a member of the Conservative Smallholders Party), he forthcoming national elections of 31 August represent `the last opportunity for the US to halt the Soviet-Communist drive in Hungary." Pcmgracz declared that probably the only effective measure for the US to take in the situ- ation would be to bring the Hungarian case before the UN. NEAR EAST-AFRICA 5. IRAN: BritislLEE2pse Iranian air merger--According to US Ambassador Allen in Tehran, British Overseas Airways Corpo- ration (BOAC) has proposed that Iranian Airways (Iranair) be merged with a hitherto inactive Iranian airline, and that BOAC operate the consolidated concern with British aircraft under a management contract. (CIG Comment: US interests in Iranian Airways, which have consisted of 10% ownership and a management contract by TWA, would be eliminated by such an agreement.) FAR EAST 6. FRENCH INDOCHINA: Meaning of Bollaert's departure for -- US Consul O'Sullivan in Hanoi reports his belief that French High Commissioner Bollaert apparently had planned, before his sud- den departure for Paris, to present terms to the Vietnam Govern- ment, the almost certain rejection of which would justify a . - 3 - Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 conclusive military campaign during the coming dry season. Consul O'Sullivan feels that Bollaert desires to defend this plan personally before officials in Paris who are divided on French policy in Indochina. 7. CHINA: US protests Soviet dela on Dairen--The State Depart- ment has Instructed Embassy Moscow to transmit to the Soviet Foreign Office a note again calling attention to the delay in opening Dairen to international commerce as a free port in accordance with terms of the Soviet-Sino Treaty of 14 August 1945. The Department's note reminds the USSR thatalthough two years have passed since the Japanese surrender, repre- sentatives of US firms have not yet been allowed to visit their properties in Dairen. The note also states that until the USSR and China reach agreement on Dairen, the US holds the USSR responsible for treatment accorded to US interests there and requests information on the steps which the Soviet Government will take to assure equitable treatment to US interests. - 4 - dfleOP�Mili�11661400mi COIBBEHAr Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 TOP CRITICAL SITUATIONS 1 2 AUG 1947 455 E URSWE AN RE COVE RY Bevin has agreed to tripartite discussions of the German coal and steel problems on the condition that there be no implications that the French will have power of veto. THE C.I.A. HAS NO OBJECTION TO THE DECLASSIFICATION or GREECE THIS DOCUMENT. No significant new developments. INDONESIA 0 0.9 No. The Dutch have proposed to set up immediately an interim federal government composed of Dutch-sponsored Indies states and have invited the Indonesian Republic's cooperation. This government would administer areas occupied by the Dutch in recent weeks in addition to the Dutch-sponsored states. KOREA Secretary Marshall has addressed a personal letter to Molotov expressing concern over the stalemate in the joint Commission. The letter suggests that by 21 August a report be made by the Commission on the present status of its deliberations.. CHINA Even if the National Government's military power in north China Is strengthened, the military advantage in Manchuria will probably remain with the Chinese Communists unless the National Govern- ment carries out major reforms and receives substantial mili- tary assistance from abroad. - 1 - Document No. NO CHANGE in Class. 0 0 DECLASSIFIED CIANGED TO: TS DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: 77J7...._.____� tu oiato BY: 0.9�. �1449,1111#1110#1401iiiie Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 1 ifiL gifiieleoleieftrips EUROPE 1. ITALY: Seeks equali with France in aid pr.: am--US Embassy Rome repo I e talian ore ice s tructed its dele- gates at the Paris Conference to insist upon the principle of equality between France and Italy in the aid that may be sought under the European recovery program. The Embassy believes that these in- structions may have been elicited by representations made in Rome recently by northern Italian industrialists, supported by the General Confederation of Labor. (CIG Comment: The support of the Italian industrialists by the Communist-led General Confederation of Labor prqbably indicates that the Communists are maneuvering in this way to create disharmony within the Paris Conference.) FAR EAST 2. FRENCH INDOCHINA: Postponement of High Commissioner's speech-- US Consulate General Saigon reports the postponement of the presenta- ' tion of new French terms to Vietnam by M. Bcillaert, French High Com- missioner for Indochina. US Consul Hanoi has been informed by the International Red Cross there that M. Bollaert proposed returning to Paris on 13 August, apparently to confer on French policy. US Consul Saigon believes that contributing factors to French indecision may be the Indonesian situation and Leon Blum's recent statement on hidochina. (CIG Comment: Blum, who opposes the current French policy In Indochina, expressed in a recent editorial his belief that negotiations must be undertaken with authentic representatives of the Vietnam people and that Ho Chi Minh remains qualified to speak for the Viet- namese.) Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 f 041�4*******Withm CRIT3CAL SITUATIONS 454 EUROPEAN RECOVERY Bidault has accepted the opportunity to confer with US and UK officials on the level of industry in the US-UK Zones Germany. GREECE Recent reports Indicate increased political activity in the Balkan Satellite States directed toward the formation and support of an "inde- pendent" Communist Greek government. INDONESIA The Netherlands Government will not consent to the appearance of Yr.donesian Republican representatives before the Security Council (see item 3). KOREA No sfIgnificant new developments. CHINA Chinese Nationalist assertions�that the real strength of the Chinese Communist Party and its most effective pro-Soviet leaders are in Manchuria�appear to be part of the current Nationalist effort to develop political and military objectives in Manchuria which would warrant US support. Document No. NO CHANGE in Class. 0 DECLASSIFIED CHANGED TO: TS S DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77/1763 Class. Date: 1:11�OR 1978 By: 00.9 - 1 - Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 INS Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 ----17U1111 IULII I Mi. 44.10t9112.1 GENERAL 1. No immediate UK troo wftpiIdrawals from Greece or Italy--Bevin has informed Douglas that the UK Government is contemplating no troop withdrawals from either Greece or Italy "In the immediate future," but that he expects pressure from the left wing of the Labor Party favoring such withdrawals. EUROPE 2. HUNGARY: 900 000 voters disenfranchised before elections--US Minister Chapin in Budapest states that a major scandal has deve- loped over the disenfranchisement of an estimated 900,000 voters. These persons are "disqualified" from voting in the 31 August national elections by direction of the Communist Minister of Interior on the grounds that they are Fascists. FAR EAST 3. NEI: Dutch o ose appearance of Rsmblican officials before SC-- US Embassy ThTIlague hasbeen informed a Dutch official that his Government will not consent to the appearance of Republican Foreign Minister Salim or former Premier Sjahrir before the Security Council to present the Republic's position. Such repre- sentation, the Dutch believe, would recognize Republican sovereignty. THE AMERICAS 4. ARGENTINA: Forel. Minister sromises Argentine support to US-- Argentine Foreign Minister Bramuglia has informed US Charge Ray that Argentina "must and will" support the US internationally, and that any indications to the contrary are solely for domestic con- sumption. Bramuglia adds that the Argentine Government: (a) before the Rio Conference, would like to discuss with Secretary Marshall and Assistant Secretary Armour a possible US-Argentine anti-Com- munist agreement, preferably to be kept secret; (b) favors separate - 2 - iftsTs01161136�4101411m. Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 bU pook-wielmar-- Slo treaties for intra-Hemisphere and extra-Hemisphere aggression; nd (c) would welcome steps by the US toward a special economic nTlYerence prior to the Bogota CorVerence. (CIG Comment: Joint action on aggression by American or len-American Latirins alike was agreed upon for the first time at the Chapultepec Conference in 1945. The Argentine position on paeate treaties if accepted by the Rio Conference, would cancel progress achieved In this matter at Chapultepec.) PARAGUAY: ll.,ebels ma occu V Asuncion--US Charge Trueblood in Asuncion ritpeileclro ugetrit-76rditerioration in the Gov- ernment's military situation; and (b) Government loss of ground at a rate that might result in rebel occupation of Asuncion before the arrival of reinforcemeas from the north. -3 - Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 w-, 9 RUG 1947 433 THE�C.I.A. HAS NO OBJECTION TO THE DECLASSIFICATION OF THIS DOCUMENT. GENERAL No. O09 1. UAzsmiii,2Liskjautgazolan,.sliat F/EL2dth_mcsjagalSt-- The Department of State has instructed US Ambassador Caffery to inform Bidault that the US is prepared to confer jointly with France and the UK on a possible revision of the level of industry in the US- UK Zone Germany. Caffery is to assure Bidault that the fullest consideration will be given to French views, but is to explain that without a fusion of the French Zone in Germany with the US-UK Zone, all final decisions regarding German industry in the bizonal area must remain the responsibility of the US and the UK. Etraitallialt-PeaLianc.LegrailMaliga2a211-Caffery reports that technical committees of the Paris Conference have been halted In their work by the reluctance of the French delegates to participate In the preparation of reports based on the possibility of an increase of steel production in the US-UK Zone Germany. EUROPE 2. AUSTRIA: taItgazwentatiyALQapiled from ATC--The Department of State has requested US Representative Dodge at the Austrian Treaty Commission (ATC) to return to Washington at once for consultation. Dodge is instructed to announce at the next ATC meeting that because of Soviet unilateral action in seizing Austrian industrial plants and Soviet indifference to factual material pre- sented by other ATC delegates, the Department considers it neces- sary to consult with Dodge about the future work of the ATC. FAR EAST 3. NEI: Dutch favor US mission -- US Embassy The Hague reports that the Netherlands Government now regards the Linggadjati Agreement as abrogated but still considers itself "morally bound" to maintain the principles of the agreement as a basis for future dealings with the I donesian Republic. The Netherlands Foreign 1 eitii0+6,1144#11,10416 co iv Document No. 1'4 NO CHANGE in Class. 0 0 DECLASSIFIED Class. CJANGED TO: TS S DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA BEG. 77/1763 Date: 1 0 APR 173 y; 00.9 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 ___.---40111111L11.11 I It% Office continues to oppose arbitration of the Dutch-Republican dispute and hopes that the US will send a mediating commission to Indonesia as soon as possible. The Foreign Office believes that the Republic would accept this US action despite its request that US good offices be used only to secure arbitration by an inter- natiohal commission. US to repeat offer of good offices to Republic�The State Department has instructed US Consul General in Batavia to repeat the US offer of good offices to the Republican authorities. The Consul General is to point out, however, that the US does not intend that other nationsparticipate in the exercise of these good offices which are intended only to bring both parties together to work out a mutually equitable settlement. 4. CHINA: lessigejmffigsissgarialjauria�US Embassy Nan- king has been informed by a source "believed reliable" that mili- tary and political control in Manchuria will shortly be unified under the overall command of General Chen Cheng, present Chief of Staff of the Central Government Army. US Embassy comments that while such a move to eliminate the present inefficient duality of control would indicate that the Central Government is attempting construc- tive action in Manchuria, these measures would not solve the pres- sing military problems M Manchuria or end major criticism of that Government's political administration there. -2 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 4,060tlila 11/�06.au a �� � Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 N 1 � Fe EV Li, rilo CRITICAL SITUATIONS EU119PEAN RECOVERY Bidault proposes an international board to allocate the production of the Ruhr (see item 1). GREECE While guerrilla activity continues on a slightly reduced Scale, unconfirmed reports point to large troop concentrations and movements along the Greek border in the Satellite States. IND ONE SIA The Indonesian Republic has accepted the US offer of good offices but has requested that those (Allem be used to secure the dispatch of a UN arbitration commission to Indonesia as soon as possible. KOREA The US delegation to the oint Commission reports that further discussion in the Commission along present lines has become absurd. CHINA No significant new developments. -1-- 452 Document No. 0 NO CHANGE in Class. ri E] DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANCED TO: TS DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77/1763 Date: 1 0 APR iCIM BY: 009 , ti 451 11 A** I a lib CFIDE Approved for for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 IMEM1AL TOT' UflCItETL GENERAL 1. Bidault favors international board to allocate Ruhr products�Under Secretary Clayton has been told by Foreign Minister Bidault that France would not object to any US-UK agreement for the level of industry in western Germany, provided the French had assurance that the resources of the Ruhr would not again be employed in war on France. Bidault believes that such assurance could be obtained by the creation of an international board (composed of representatives from the US, UK, Benelux, France, and eventually Germany) to allocate the production of the Ruhr. Clayton expresses the opinion that Bidault's suggestions should be accepted by the US as the basis for further conversations. Clayton believes that "France is the key country of the sixteen par- ticipating in the Paris Conference,tiP and that French withdrawal or the fall of the present government, as a consequence of French dis- satisfaction relating to Germany, would probably gravely jeopardize, the whole European recovery program. 2. VS believes Greek problem should go to UN General Assembly�The �4,01 State Department has notified the US delegation to the UN that it is considering a statement informing the majority members of the Security Council of the US conviction that: (a) the Greek problem must be carried to the General Assembly, if the SC is unable to afford Greece the necessary protection; and (b) the General Assembly, In the event of the SC's continued failure to act, will exercise its powers "to the limit" for the protection of Greece (see Daily Sum- mary of 7 August, item 2). 3. Douglas to stress US views on UK withdrawals�The Department of State has instructed US Ambassador Douglas to reiterate to Foreign Secretary Bevin our views concerning the unfortunate effects of an immediate withdrawal of British troops from Greece and Italy. 4, UK to postpone declaring end of war with Austria--The Department of State has been informed by the UK Embassy Washington that the - 2 - "1684inSigOialtiiirim Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 1 L 1+110010�4101+0141411= Foreign Office will postpone any statement terminating the "state of war with Austria (see Daily Summary of 7 August, item 3). The UK is now waiting for a Soviet reply to the last UK query on Soviet ratification of the Italian and Balkan Treaties. If the Soviet reply is unsatisfactory, or if no reply is received within a reason- able time, the UK will then issue statements simultaneously termi- nating the state of war with Italy and Austria. EUROPE 5. CZECHOSLOVAKIA: Soviet 1nfr rnent oi" sovereign criticized � US Embassy Prague reports that the lea er ot e m eraxe auioie Peoples Party made a public statement recently declaring that his Party intends to resist Communist domination as long as circum- stances permit. The Party ledder is reported also to have made an "implied but quite obvious criticism of Soviet limitations on Czecho- slovak sovereignty.'" NEAR EAST-AFRICA 6. MAN: 9.vam encla ers position as Prime Minister--US Ambassa- dor Allen reports that Prime Minister vam marifave lost his chances of remaining Prime Minister by permitting Muzafar Firuz to continue as Ambassador in Moscow. Allen believes that the Shah now will almost certainly endeavor to remove Qavara. (CIG Comment: The Shah is bitterly opposed to Firuz, who has consistently urged Qavam to appease Moscow. Firuz claims that the USSR will probably take drastic action if Iran rejects the Soviet oil proposals.) d1101141134.16161411.4 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 IJUIVI Ha: Alin' Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 ECflET CRITICAL SITUATIONS f [11114 lug EUROPEAN RECOVERY US officials meeting in Paris consider that US objectives in Western Europe may not be attained without further US aid this year (see item 1). GREECE Dwight Griswold and Greek Government leaders in Athens are discussing the Government's recent request for greatly increased US military supplies to meet the growing guerrilla threat. NT.),ONESIA The press agency of the Indonesian Republic has released a state- ment by Premier Sjarifoecklin concerning the Republican attitude toward setdement of the Oispute. (see item 5). Dutch authorities accuse the Republic of violating the cease-ftre order, paralleling earlier Republican charges of new Dutch operations. :KOREA The Joint Commission continues deadlocked as the Soviet delega- tion accuses the US of causing delays and violating joint decisions.' CHINA The Chinese Nationalist Command is apparently becoming increas- ingly concerned over the probability that the Chinese Cpmmunists will launch strong offensives in Manchuria and north China within one or two months. - 1 - Document No. 451 NO CHANGE in Class. El .�4 0 DECLASSIFIED Class. .CHAJ:IGED TO: TS S DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77/1763 Date: 10 APR 1978 By: 00.9 114401aersioWISIiiiime ,11A1 BEVIC Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09726 C03002612 tau 111 I 114L 'Frvn 6E41+01#41� GENERAL 1. US officials recommend further US aid to Euro .e in 1947--Under Secretary Clayton and Ambassadors Douglas, Caffery, and Murphy believe that in the absence of additional assistance from the US this year, conditions in the UK, France, and Italy may so deteriorate that US objectives in Western Europe and elsewhere may become unattainable. They suggest, therefore, that every conceivable avenue of providing interim assistance be carefully reviewed, possibly in- cluding the calling of a special session of Congress. These US officials suggest, furthermore that the US inform- ally present specific recommendations to the Paris Conference on European economic recovery. They cite maximum coal production, monetary stabilization, and progressive reduction of trade barriers between participating countries as essential elements in the recovery program; and they suggest that failure by any participant to take effective action in these respects will be ground for reconsideration of the aid it is receiving. 2. Austin recommends US anticipation of Soviet veto--US Delegate two' Austin believes that the Department of State, in anticipation of a second Soviet veto on the Greek case, should make a policy decision by which the US will press the case in the General Assembly and will urge the Assembly to take action against Yugoslavia, Bulgaria, and Albania under Article 41 of the Charter, if developments warrant. (Article 41 provides for the complete or partial severance of trans- port communications and economic and diplomatic relations.) Austin feels that such a decision would bolster the friendly members of the SC who are now skeptical concerning further action on the Greek case. EUROPE 3. ITALY: UK ma declare end of "state of war" with AREWE.--US Ambassador Dunn has been informed by the UK Ambassador that the UK may soon declare the "state of war between England and Austria to be at an end." Dunn recommends that the US should overlook no - 2 - CO L Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 JONNUtilliAL AioFkowstttmroe opportunity to deter the UK from making such a declaration, in view of "the devastating blow it would give to Anglo-Italian relations by placing Austria in a position of official preference over Italy." NEAR EAST-AFRICA 4. IRAN: Qavam seeks delay in Soviet oil matter--Prime Minister Qavam has confidentially informed US Ambassador Allen that he has in mind a plan which would delay decision on the Soviet oil question for perhaps two years. Qavam would first engage neutral geologists to determine the areas in which oil exists and then restrict any con- cession to such areas. FAR EAST 5. INDONESIA: Republic demands UN arbitration--US Consul General In Batavia reports that a statement has been issued by Premier Sjarifoeddin declaring that the Republic will not negotiate with the Dutch until the arrival of a UN Commission. The statement announces -that the Republic will reject all mediation and will agree wily to arbi- tration, stressing in this connection the importance to the Republic of the demarcation lines between Dutch and Indonesian forces at the com- mencement of hostilities on 20 July 1947. Consul General Foote warns that Premier Sjarffoeddin's statement may be for internal consumption and suggests that the Republic's reply to the US offer of good offices may differ in tone. (CIG Comment: The emphasis by the Republic upon the prob- lem of the demarcation lines indicates that the Republicans will proba- bly insist on the withdrawal of Dutch forces to the 20 July positions before entering into any negotiations. Such a stand will seriously de- lay any moves toward settling the dispute.) - 3 - Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved foirjiRelease: 2018/04.26 C03002612 lUllitifi4:1�0466110~iffts 6. CHINA: Fear e ressed that US aid will be dela t ,d--A reliable source, accor. to e I ava e r: , quotes the Deputy Commander of Chinese Nationalist Ground Forces as saying that "US aid to China will be overly delayed by the necessity of waiting for the next session of Congress, unless the US President can be per- suaded to declassify certain material." The Commander cited as precedent "a similar method of handling aid to Britain prior to war." , (He was presumably referring to such transactions as the classifica- tion of 50 US destroyers as obsolete and their subsequent transfer to Great Britain.) (CIG Comment: It is doubted that any such US action would materially alter the Nationalist military outlook for the near future. Moreover, there is a real possibility that US military equipment, if supplied to the presently inadequate and disorganized Nationalist military administration, would be grossly mis-used and might even find its way into Chinese Communist hands.) - 4 - Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 1" Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 k4016,4110#1tellii" ' I" 1947 450 THE C. r. A. HAS NO OBJECTION CRI1TYCAL SITUATIONS TO THE DECLASSIFICATION 01�, THIS DOCUMENT. EUROPEAN RECOVERY No. 0 0_9 The UK Government has informed Parliament that it will immediately reduce food purchases from hard-currency areas as one means of slashing dollar expenditures. GREECE In an effort to insure the success of the US aid program, Dwight Griswold has recommended that the US replace .oritish troops in Greece with US troops (see item 1). TWDONESIA Indonesian Republic authwities charge that the Dutch have violated the agreement to comply with the SC cease-fire request by capturing two more towns since the truce deadline. The Republic also announces that it no longer considers fttself bound by the Ling,gadjati Agreement and desires solution of the conflict by an international commission. KOREA Negotiations in the joint Commission are expected to break off within the next two weeks. Fresh political disorders in Korea will undoubted- ly ensue. CiirNA Deep-rooted fears that Japan, with US backing, will regain a position of economic supremacy in Asia underlie the frequent outbursts against the growing Japanese menace from official Chinese sources and broad sections of the Chinese public. Such fears are likely to be increasingly reflected in Chinese Government policy toward Japan, especially if China itself fails to receive US assistance. Document No. 0.11 NO CHANGE in Class. E] 0 DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77/1763 Date: 10 APR '4,M By: 414900901011011444110 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 GENERAL 1. Griswold recommends US re lace UK troops in Greece--AMAG Chief Dwight Griswold has recommenderthat if British troops are withdrawn from Greece, they should be replaced by US troops. He believes, how- ever, that this plan should be adopted only after Greek political leaders have agreed to broaden the present Government. US Ambassador Mac- Veagh questions the wisdom of making the decision to send troops con- tingent on the willingness of Greek politicians to form a more repre- sentative Government because: (a) such a decision must rest on con- siderations far transcending Greek internal problems and involving US-Near Eastern policy; and (b) Greek politicians, understanding this situation, will probably delay broadening the Government, "if they do so at all." 2. US officials approve immediate high-level US-UK discussions--Under Secretary Clayton and Arabassa or as have recommended ap- proval of BevinIs proposal for immediate high-level US-UK discussions of the British financial position and its international implications. 3. Sugar Act and Rio Conference--US Ambassador Pawley reports that: he feels reasonably certain" that at the forthcoming Rio Confer- ence Em attempt will be made to force discussion of Clause 202E of the recent US Sugar Act; (b) Mexico and Uruguay, and perhaps Bolivia and Colombia, will possibly support such an attempt; and (c) a high Brazilian official believes that Brazil will support the US "should a controversy arise." (Clause 202E permits the cancellation of any increased sugar quotas for any country that in the US view discrimi- nates against US commercial interests.) - 2 - iiiiiiP16016141411101ta ;ONDMITAr Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 fi Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 11.,Vil CRITICAL SITUATIONS �or t WS.. 114/.7 EUROPEAN RECOVERY Under Secretary Clayton reports from Geneva his conviction that the British, French, and Italian economic situations "are almost certain to blow up" if US aid is not forthcoming before March 1948. GREECE Although recent reports indicate dissension between Communist leaders sent to Greece from the Satellite states and their Greek opposite numbers, such disagreement is having no visible effect on the conduct of the guerrilla war. INDONESIA Dutch forces have achieved the principal objectives of their "police action," but implementation of the cease-fire agreement requested by the UN Security Council may be impeded by the Republican demand that Dutch troops be withdrawn behind demarcation lines fixed on 14 October 1946. KOREA The Joint Commission remains deadlocked. CHINA Recent reports from Manchuria fail to substantiate Chinese Govern- ment charges that the USSR has supplied the Chinese Communists with Soviet-made military equipment. - 1 - Document No. CYO 449 NO CHANGE in Class. 0 0 DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS S DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77/1763 Date: 10 APR 197r By: 009 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Plittfill7 wftiotwisitowx*Pie GENERAL L USSR reportedly threatens Iran on �-.1il_proposal--The State Department has been informed by the British ET33.15assy in Washington that Molotov reportedly told the Iranian Ambassador in Moscow recently that: (a) the Iranian Parliament's action on the Soviet oil proposal will be the "acid test" of friendly Soviet-Iranian relations; and (b) should Parlia- ment fail to ratify the proposals, the "independence of Iran would be at an end." 2. President of SC reportedly ordered to favor Egyptian case- 3 3(h)(2) restln�i of Syria has unormed the Egyptian Government that It may look upon Faris al-Khuri (Syrian delegate to the UN and currently president of the Security Council) as an Egyptian delegate. Quwwatli reportedly added that al-Khuri will carry out Egyptian instructions to the letter during the hearing of the Egyptian case against the UK. (CIG Comment: Egypt has timed its appeal to coincide with al-Khuri's term as president of the SC. Even with the assurance of his support, however, the success of the Egyptian case is doubtful.) EUROPE 3. HUNGARY: Socialists protest Communist tt31 August elections-- US Minister Chapin reports from Budapest that the national electoral camnaign has begun with an angry protest by the Social Democratic Party against the illegal tactics of the Communists. Despite a previous joint declaration of unanimity, the Socialists have sent an ultimatum declaring that unless the Communists stop cheating and intimidating, the Socialist Democratic Party will withdraw from the elections. 4. BULGART.A: Government prepares Soviet-type "trial" for Petkov-- US Political Representative Horner in Sofia reports that prior to the trial of Opposition Agrarian Leader Petkov, the Rumanian Govern- ment: (a) coerced factory and government workers ,to participate in mass meetings which demanded the death penalty for Petkov; (b) am- 2 441.19�1919fRPMma Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 W4610Filliiilii4S+01141111 rested two attorneys whom Petkov had designated to represent him; (c) extracted by torture "confessions" from three Agrarian Deputies known to be faithful Petkov supporters. Horner adds that on the open- ing day both US and UK Representatives in Sofia were refused admit- tance to the trial. He also reports that the Government is expected to impose the death penalty. FAR EAST 5. CHINA: Soviet assistance to Chinese Communists--According to Assistant US Military Attache Barrett, twenty Japanese and Koreans taken prisoner by Chinese Nationalist forces at Ssupingkai stated that: (a) they were not forced to enter military service but joined the Communist troops in order to get food and employment; and (b) they had seen no evidence of Soviet aid to Communists in Manchuria. (The Acting Commander of the Nationalist forces in Manchuria has also expressed to Barrett his belief that the USSR is supplying the Communists with Japanese equipment only, because the supplying of Soviet equipment "would give away Soviet policy to the US.") THE AMERICAS 6. DOMINICAN REPUBLIC: Sea and air search yields negative results-- Commander, Caribbean Sea Frontier reports that a 2-41 August sea and air search of Caribbean waters for Dominican revolutionaries allegedly en route to Hispaniola from Cuba yielded negative results. According to the US Military Attache Havana, aircraft belonging to Dominican revolutionaries have been seized by the Cuban Army Air Force. (CIG Comment: The inability of the Commander, Caribbean Sea Frontier to discover evidence of unusual movement of either ships or men from Cuba toward the Dominican Republic confirms earlier CIG analysis regarding the exaggerated character of these reports.) - 3 - Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 yowl' viLi!...116.1r14:14.64mrs, Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 CRITICAL SITUATIONS EUROPEAN RECOVERY-GREECE Bevin has proposed immediate high-level US-UK discussions on the UK financial position and its international implications. In response to US expression of concern over UK intentions, Bevin insists that no fundamental change in foreign policy is implied in the sudden UK decision to reduce its troops in Greece and Italy (see item I). US representatives deplore the disturbing effects of this "ill-timed" decision on the stability of the Italian and Greek Governments (see item 2). INDONESIA Although both Dutch and Indonesion Republic leaders have agreed to cease fire in response to the UN request, considerable doubt exists whether such an order can be enforced by both sides, in view of the continuing causes for tension between the two parties. KOREA The US delegation to the Joint Commission believes it will be able to spin out negotiations with the USSR for only two more weeks, barring unexpected developments. CHINA Chiang Kai-shek's current all-out effort to improve the Nationalist military position in Shantung prior to the departure of General Wederneyer appears designed to justify a request for sufficient US aid to extend Nationalist offensive operations to Manchuria. Document No. k.a. NO CHANGE in Class. 0 4itgimid 0 DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS S .74e- DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 - Auth: DDA REG. 77 1763 . Date:10 APR rata By: __012.9.. - 1 - 04- OCOrl Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 fifiG 4947 448 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 aaiwiiii@ottorme GENERAL 1. Sevin intends no forRimmlis e--In response to Secretary Marshall s expression of concern over the announced withdrawal of British troops from Greece and Italy (see Daily Summary of 2 August, Item 1.), Bevin has assured US Ambassador Douglas that UK foreign policy changes are not implied in this decision. He added that the precise extent of UK troop reductions abroad has not definitely been settled and that the Cabinet's announcement in Commons will proba- bly be made only in the most general terms. Bevin asked how long the US desired UK troops to remain in Greece and stated that before the Cabinet makes any final decision regarding UK troops in Italy, he will communicate with Douglas. 2. MacVeagh deplores UK decision to withdraw troo s from Gree US Ambassador MacVeagh reports his opinion that the astonishingly ill-timed decision" of the British to withdraw their troops from Greece Is little short of catastrophic. MacVeagh feels (particularly In view of the recent Soviet veto in the Security Council) that if the withdrawal takes place, there may be "a Slavic irruption" into the Salonika area and consequent occupation of the Aegean coast. He also believes that the unilateral British decision, coming so soon after the veto, will increase "at least the appearance" of both funda- mental weakness and lack of unity among the Western democracies. 3. USSR asks Austria for copies of _Ivamic conference document-- US Ambassador Caffery reports that Vollgruber, Austrian delegate to the Committee of European Economic Cooperation, has been re- quested by the Soviet Embassy in Paris to make available to the USSR copies of all Paris conference documents. The Chairman of the Com- mittee has suggested to Vollgruber that this is a matter which the USSR should take up with the Austrian Government at a top level. -2 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 UJUW1UIML if.041�ISLoffeLogiom EUROPE 4. UK: sentiment --US Ambassador Douglas reports, after iiii*ersationorlth-134-11itt anti-US sentiment seems to be growing within the UK Labor Party and that this sentiment may be Increased when the impending drastic measures to save dollars are announced by the Government. As causes for this sentiment, Bevin laid particular emphasis on US financial contributions to illicit Palestine activities, criticism in the US of British management of the Ruhr coal operation, the burdensome conditions of the US loan, and the 50-50 sharing of German occupation costs. Douglas adds that Bevin believes a US-UK schism may be developing. Douglas comments that if the USSR notes a deteriora- tion in US-UK relations, it may "step up the pattern" of its tactics. THE AMERICAS 5. PARAGUAY: Rebel force 32 miles from Asuncion--US Charge True- blood reports that uiertibel fleet,-ri-Zrii-Fea-E consist of some 20 vessels with several thousand troops, reached on 2 August a point 32 miles north of Asuncion where Government opposition com- pelled them to turn back upstream. - 3 - Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 ,40toive Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 CRITICAL SITUATIONS AlJt5 I!/4/ 447 EUROPEAN RECOVERY The Executive Committee at the Paris Conference has demonstrated a readiness to tackle such basic questions as multilateral elimina- tion of quota restrictions and progressive reduction of tariff barriers with a view to reaching a customs union. French representatives have expressed concern for France's economic and political stability U US assistance under the European plan is not forthcoming until March 1948. GREECE In view of the Soviet veto in the Security Council, US and UK repre- sentatives in Athens are re -estimating the military situation. They agree that the Greek Army, properly deployed; will be able to cope with present guerrilla strength. UK representatives, however, doubt that the AMAG program will immediately discourage further guerrilla recruitment. The US Government has expressed its concern over the UK decision to withdraw its troops (see item 1). INDONESIA The UN resolution calling for cessation of the .1>atch4ndonesian hostilities and arbitration offers both parties a final opportunity to reach a settlement prior to any UN decision to claim full jurisdiction in the controversy. KOREA Stalemate in the loint Commission continues. CHINA Chiang is seeking to purchase ten million rounds of US aircraft ammunition (see item 7), - 1 - 41!)T OEURD1 Document No. 026 NO CHANGE in Class. El Ei DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS S DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77/1763 Date: 1 0 APR 19 Ity: 009 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 tit!J4U1flAL 16118110@refteermi GENERAL 1. British decision to withdraw troops causes US concern--Secretary of State Marshall, in a message to the British Foreign Secretary, has expressed his concern at the abrupt decision to withdraw British troops from Greece immediately and to reduce those in Italy to the 5,000 provided for Trieste. Secretary Marshall feels that the decision was made at a most harmful time and in a manner which makes cooperation difficult. He has asked for an expression of Bevin's views, particularly as to the implications of this decision regarding future British policy. 2. Arztina proposes_pre-Conierence understanding with US--US Em- bassy Buenos Aires has been assured by Enrique Corominas, one of the principal Argentine delegates to the Rio Conference, that Argen- tina will bring up no controversial matters at the Conference, and that in Argentina's view: (a) a completely united front against aggression by an extra-continental power, especially the USSR, must override "all other considerations"; and (b) because Argentina is the "only nation which counts besides the US," a pre-Conference understanding between the two countries would eliminate all diffi- culties. Corominas, whose remarks were in the Embassy's opinion "inspired" by Foreign Minister Bramuglia, offered to arrange a conversation between the Embassy and the Foreign Minister to dis- cuss such a pre-Conference understanding. 3. "Southeast Asia Federation Committee" ppeals to Military 1-.-ir-aorts that a Southeast Asia Federation Committee, composed of a "local Viet Minh committee, free Laos, free Cambo- dians, Indonesians, Burmese, and free Thai," has been formed in Bangkok. The Committee has issued a manifesto appealing to the UN for aid for the conflict areas and has requested that the problems of Southeast Asia be considered as a whole. (CM Comment: Continued efforts by nationalist groups in Southeast Asia to obtain regional action by the UN may be expected.) - 2 - Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Tor IJDOIIIIT EUROPE 4. GERMANY: Creation of a German Government for the Soviet Zone-- he Soviet Military Authority (SMA) has re- newed discussions with German political leaders concerning the creation of a government for the Soviet Zone, including the Soviet sector of Berlin. (see Daily Summary of 1 July, item 2). The USSR reportedly desires that the formation of such a government be com- pleted by 14 August. (CIG Comment: The USSR has denounced the union of the US and British Zones in Germany as political rather than economic. Having already matched the US-UK bizonal economic administration with a central economic administration for the Soviet Zone, the SMA would regard the creation of a zonal Government as a logical devel- opment. Manifestly such a Government could readily be converted into a Soviet satellite state in Germany, its nominal independence exerting considerable attraction upon Germans in the Western Zones. That further step, however, would compromise the USSR's present effective pose as the champion of German unity in opposition to separation and partition. It is not likely to be taken unless and until the CFM meeting in November proves unification on Soviet terms to be impossible and partition an accomplished fact perversely attributable to Western "imperialism:') 5. AUSTRIA: Influx of Jewish DPs into US Zone--US Minister Erhardt reports that the steady influx of Jewish refugees into the US tone of Vienna, which is currently caring for '1,000 persons in camps with a normal total capacity of 2,000, is creating serious problems of crowding, feeding, and sanitation. 6. BULGARIA: Division in Communist Party rumored--Acting US Rep- resentative Horner reports a revival of rumors in Sofia that a differ- ence of opinion exists within the Bulgarian Communist Party. The "moderates," headed by Provisional President Kolarov and Tsola Dragoicheva (National Secretary of the Fatherland Front) reportedly favor a more independent Bulgarian policy in contradistinction to complete subservience to the USSR. Horner considers that the existence of such a rift was in part substantiated by Finance Minister Stephanov, who, Ina conversation with the Acting US Representative, dismissed the anti-US press campaign as "propaganda for the masses" and expressed great interest in the revival of Bulgarian-US economic relations. - 3 - 44400�1041~Pil Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 3.3(h)(2) Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 FAR EAST 7. CHINA: Chiang request 10 million rounds of aircraft ammunition-- Generalissimo Chiang Kai-shek has indicated to US Ambassador Stuart his desire to purchase 10 million rounds of M-2 .50 caliber aircraft machine gun ammunition, with links, from the US for immediate delivery and use. Stuart has advised Chiang to communicate directly with the Chinese Embassy in Washington for negotiations with the War and Navy Departments. THE AMERICAS 8. DOMINICAN REPUBLIC: Developments in rumored invasion--US Ambassador Butler reports thatqa) Ciudad Trujillo is quiet and orderly although a newspaper has now published reports of the sup- posed imminent invasion; and (b) both Army and Navy air forces are conducting patrol missions. According to the US Military Attache, the Dominican Army expects landings to be attempted on the island's north coast. US Ambassador Corrigan transmits from the Venezuelan capital a report from an informant whom he considers trustworthy that 350 Dominicans and Venezuelans, some of whom are allegedly Communists, have left Venezuela over the past five days to partici- pate in the attempted ouster of Dominican President Trujillo. Corrigan believes high Venezuelan officials are "countenancing" the movements of men and equipment from Venezuela for use against Trujillo. A "fairly reliable" CIG source states that(a) Haiti's Chief of Staff is apprehensive regarding his army's ability to repel any large invasion force that might attempt to land in Haiti; and (3) Hai- tian civil and military officials have a report that large Dominican forces are ready to cross the border into Haiti to engage any forces that may attempt to land there. The State Department has informed US Embassy Ciudad Trujillo that it will henceforth permit arms exports to the Dominican Republic on the same basis as those to the other American Republics-- that is, whenever in the Department's view they are "reasonable and necessary" from the standpoint of internal order, self-defense, or international obligations vis-a-vis the Security Council. � - 4 - Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 CO wiriiiiiiikaRFARNEAWPM 9. PARAGUAY: Rebels attack Government High Command--US Charge Trueblood Asuncion reports that:(a) some 1,000 rebels proceeding from Asuncion in two armed boats have surprised the Government High Command at Ypapobo (between Concepcion and Asuncion on the Paraguay River) with an attempted landing operation; (b) conflicting reports of an imminent rebel attack on Asuncion itself have caused the Government to adopt precautionary measures there:* and (c) he is inclined to credit the Government claim that Concepcion has fallen to its troops. -.5 - ofielP10810~Por Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 , � -Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 10T' fJLCfl1YT CITCCAL 3TUATONS EUROPEAN RECOVEgy Further retrenchments in the UK domestic economy are under dis- eUSFACon by the 10K Government, Prime Minister Attleegs leader- ship 43-f the Labor Party apparently remains secure (see item 1). GREECE Dissension in the Greek Cabinet concerning the organization and direction of the Army has resulted in the withdrawal from a Cabinet meeting of General Zci..vas, Minister of Public Order. Interference by politicians continues to impede the Army's task of suppressing guerrilla forces. IT-4.4)0VIESIr A Continued large-so:1,1c de:,.struction of Chinese property and the loss of Chinese lives, which have been. the smbia& of official Chinese Government protest:; to 1.:"1:1 Redtiblioan Government, may result in Chinese support of the ".1>,,netrti 1 actiipo. taken by the UN. The Dutch rfnay. revise their triT pLzy,15 to include occupation of the Repub- lican capital (.Lme item 3). KOREA The deadlock le Korean 1oht Commission remains tuibroken. CHINA The Chinese Government's new declaration of a policy of non- 611Serimination against foreign interests will probably fail to alter the present "wait and attitude of. private foreign capital toward China. - 1 - 446 Document No. ____Aaar------------' NO CHANGE in Class. 0 1 ' 0 DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS S DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 "Auth: DDA REG. 77 1763 Date: LluaLai BY: _1102-1-- llig4fmr- Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 RUCH I .W4****1401.14wihwia EUROPE 1. UK: Attige.. secure as ....r me Minister--A reliable informant has apprised US Embassy London that in a 30 July secret meeting of the Labor Party members of Parliament, "Attlee was completely rehabilitated in the eyes of his critics and all talk of replacing him is dead." 2. FRANCE: Socialists seen as "clearly anti-Communist"--US Em- bassy Paris reports that, accoraing to Socialist informants, the dominant attitude at the French Socialist Congress scheduled for 15 August will be clearly anti-Communist and anti-Stalinist. (CIG Comment: The effect of the Marshall proposals upon the French political situation has been in part to give strength to the Ramadier Government by widening the distance between the French left-wing Socialists and the French Communists, with whom the former have often collaborated in the past on domestic issues.) FAR EAST 3. NEI: Reported Dutch military plans--The US Military Liaison Officer Singapore, who returned from Batavia 30 July, reports that Lieutenant Governor General Van Mook probably will ask The Hague for authority to occupy the Republican capital in the event that the present Republican Government does not dissolve itself within the next few days. (Dutch authorities hitherto have stated that they had no intention of occupying Jogjakarta.) THE AMERICAS 4. CUBA: Reported "feverish". Dominican revolutionary preparations-- US Military Attache Havana reports that "feverish preparations" point to action by the Dominican revolutionaries on 1 August and to a possible "coordinated effort" from both Cuba and Venezuela. US Embassy Port-au-Prince reports that the Haitians are "anticipating trouble," that an alert has been ordered, and that a state of siege will be declared in case of landings on Haitian territory. -.2 - 4911101641104iN1iffin. JONFWfNT Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612 spitrEnI IAL 5. BRAZIL: Devellnments in Spylet arms-smstpsi--US Military Attache Rio reports that, according to a Brazilian War Ministry informant, certain arms landed in southern Brazil from a Soviet ship eariy in July have now been delivered to their desti- nation. According to the US Naval Attache Rio, the Soviet ship Azov left Santos, Brazil on 1 July and arrived tardily at Buenos Aires in ballast on 8 July. The MA adds that the recent Brazilian aerial reconnaissance flights (which produced no evidence of Soviet arms smuggling; see Daily Summary of 28 July, item 12) were "improperly executed and inconclusive." - 3 'Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 C03002612