CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1955/10/25

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
03002337
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RIPPUB
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U
Document Page Count: 
10
Document Creation Date: 
September 20, 2019
Document Release Date: 
September 26, 2019
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Publication Date: 
October 25, 1955
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PDF icon CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15722052].pdf270.23 KB
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for:140Wff,forieeniy,proved �2,0;1./Ig9/16 25 October 1955 Copy Nool 0 0 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN 00CUIvtENT NO. 46 / NO :CHANGE IN CLASS. Cl DECLASSIVIEO CLASS. CHANGED To: TS S C NEXT REVIEW DATE: E 0/0 - AUT44: Hfl70-2rSP\ DATE41- -t40 REVIEWER: Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY �TOT' SEC 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2 wrieff/A Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03002337 Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03002337 Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03002337 Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03002337 A Vi ..'A lb A.A NITNV" CONTENTS I. SOVIET UNION AND YEMEN MAY ESTABLISH DIPLOMATIC RELATIONS (page 3). 2. EGYPT AND SAUDI ARABIA CONCLUDE DEFENSE AGREEMENT (page 5). 3. BULGANIN AND KHRUSHCHEV REPORTEDLY SEEK INVITATION TO VISIT EGYPT (page 6), 4. CZECHOSLOVAKIA AND AFGHANISTAN IMPLEMENT THEIR ARMS DEAL (page, 7). 5. MOLOTOV VOICES OPTIMISM ABOUT GENEVA CONFERENCE (page 8). 6, THE SAAR REFERENDUM (page 9). 25 Oct 55 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 2 14014�SEC�Rg-T Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03002337 Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03002337 Neal 1, SOVIET UNION AND YEMEN MAY ESTABLISH DIPLOMATIC RELATIONS A Soviet delegation is expected in Taiz soon to discuss the establish- ment of a diplomatic mission in Yemen, according to the Yemeni representative in Aden. He said the Imam of Yemen, motivated by anti-British feeling and inspired by the Egyptian example, probably will seek arms from the USSR. The American consul in Aden com- ments that Yemeni permission for the opening of a Soviet mission would be in marked contrast to the gov- ernment's attitude toward Italian and French requests for permission to open legations, which have been ig- nored for months. Comment The Imam instructed his deputy for- eign minister in Cairo to confer with the Yemeni ambassador on the speedy con- clusion of "the treaty with Russia," which apparently re- ferred to a renewal of the Soviet-Yemeni treaty of friend- ship and commerce of 1928. The deputy foreign minister was also to contact the Soviet ambassador to find out whether the USSR could supply Yemen with various kinds of arms, as Imam Ahmad had been informed Moscow was prepared to do "unconditionally." In addition the deputy foreign minis- ter was to approach the Czech minister with regard to a 25 Oct 55 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 3 -TOP SECRL Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03002337 Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03002337 OE.A....1�1:1 1 CYPRUS (fix ) LEBANON/ ISRAE ANGLO-EGYPTIAN SUDAN E y � USSR. I R A N KUWAIT NEUTRAL ZONES etz S AUDI Dhahran BAHREIN c CI QATAR � SOMALI ILISAHND dETHIO PI A \ � � � � � � UGANDA-, K EN Y A U. S. S. R. Jr Iwo.� AFGHANISTAN .rj 1. P4 � . 51024 2 treaty of friendship so that Yemen could obtain as many armored cars, medium tanks, and antiaircraft and anti- tank guns as possible. Some of the arms acquired by Yemen from the Soviet bloc might be supplied to dissident tribes- men in neighboring Aden to be used against the British. 25 Oct 55 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 4 TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03002337 Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03002337 2. EGYPT AND SAUDI ARABIA CONCLUDE DEFENSE AGREEMENT Comment By this agreement with Saudi Arabia and the military pact with Syria, Egypt is putting into effect its plan for extending its hegemony in the Arab world and increasing the isolation of pro-Western Iraq. 25 Oct 55 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 5 TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03002337 Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03002337 Note Noir' 3. BULGANIN AND KHRUSHCHEV REPORTEDLY SEEK INVITATION TO VISIT EGYPT Soviet ambassador Solod has informed Egyptian premier Nasr that Prime Minister Bulganin and First Secretary Khrushchev would welcome an invitation o visit Egypt on their return from India in November, Nasr reportedly will extend the invitation. Comment The Egyptians would probably welcome a visit by Khrushchev and Bulganin as likely to increase Egyptian prestige in the Middle East. 25 Oct 55 Current Intelligence Bulletin gage 6 TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03002337 Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03002337 4. CZECHOSLOVAKIA AND AFGHANISTAN IMPLEMENT THEIR ARMS DEAL Afghanistan has accepted an invitation ..to send a military mission to tour Czech arms factories in the near future, according to a Radio Kabul broadcast of 20 October. The American army ftttache in Kabul believes the delega- tion will probably number from 10 to 12 Afghan officers. two Czech arms experts from the Skoda works arrived in the capital in mid-October. Comment Afghanistan negotiated a $3,000,000 cash arms deal with Czechoslovakia in August 1955. The Afghan military mission to Czechoslovakia and the Czech experts in Kabul are probably concerned with the inspection and delivery of these arms. Afghanistan's regular military forces number about 60,000 troops, with only a small supply of antiquated equipment. Most of the $3,000,000 purchase will probably be small arms. In view of the tension with Pakistan, however, Kabul would probably also be interested in other deals covering heavier equipment if sufficiently attractive offers were made. 25 Oct 55 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 7 TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03002337 Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03002337 wow 5. MOLOTOV VOICES OPTIMISM ABOUT GENEVA CONFERENCE Soviet foreign minister Molotov, in a talk with French ambassador Joxe on 21 October, made a show of opti- mism regarding the forthcoming Big Four foreign ministers' conference and said that recent statements of the American position augured well for the outcome of the conference. He indicated he was willing to remain in Geneva a long time Molotov emphasized the importance of East-West contacts and gave Joxe the impression he expects a good portion of the conference to be devoted to this issue. He said the USSR attached the greatest importance to an effective security system. He felt that this problem could not be solved at Geneva, but that progress on it was possible there. He also felt that po- sitions on disarmament were drawing closer. Comment Recent Soviet propaganda has been optimistic about the prospects for progress on disarmament and on East-West contacts. Soviet propaganda and statements by high Soviet officials have denied, however, the possibility of agreements on German unification or on European security if the West continues to link that question to German unity. 25 Oct 55 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 8 TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03002337 Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03002337 NAMW' 6� THE SAAR REFERENDUM The 2 to 1 margin of victory by the pro-German forces in the 23 October Saar referendum has been followed by the resignation of pro-French Saar premier Johannes Hoffmann and his cabinet. However, Hoffmann and the cabinet presumably remain in a care- taker status, since the Saar constitution makes no provi- sion for the resignation of the premier in the absence of a no-confidence vote by the Landtag, which is not in ses- sion The Faure government will probably wait until the initial wave of French press and parliamen- tary bitterness has subsided before entering any new nego- tiations with West Germany over the status of the Saar. France has little chance of reimposing its control. Bonn is expected to propose that, pend- ing such negotiations, the area remain temporarily under jurisdiction of the Western European Union. The British would probably support such a move. The WEU supervisory commission was originally to remain in the Saar only to ver- ify the vote. Its jurisdiction seems sufficiently vague, how- ever, to permit it to act in emergencies, and for the imme- diate present, Paris would probably be relieved to have WEU assume such a responsibility. Pro-German elements are not represented in the present Landtag and will probably redouble nressure for new elections. 25 Oct 55 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 9 TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03002337