CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1959/01/10

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03000019
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 16
• Document Creation Date: February 25, 2020
• Document Release Date: February 27, 2020
• Publication Date: January 10, 1959

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3.3(h)(2)
10 January 1959
Copy No, C 63
CENTRAL
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
DC,:AIENT NO. 244S,
NO CiHANGE IN CL.k;S.
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10 JANUARY 1959
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
GMIC statement on tests of new So-
viet air-launched vehicle.
USSR to propose draft German
peace treaty and call for confer-
ence to conclude such a treaty.
Soviet submarines in South Atlantic
probably destined for Pacific Fleet.
II. ASIA-AFRICA
UAR-Iraq - Press war between Cairo
and Baghdad subsides; anti-Commu-
nist campaign within UAR continues.
Greek-Turkish negotiations on Cyprus
may be deadlocked; new outbreak of
terrorism possible.
Indonesia - Rebel supply ship, be-
lieved to be carrying arms from Na-
tionalist China, apparently unloaded
in North Celebes in late December.
_
0 Cambodia - Burmese minister con-
cerned over continued improvement
of Chinese Communist position in
Cambodia.
III. THE WEST
0 West Berlin Mayor Brandt to visit
Far East to counter East German
Premier Grotewohlis tour.
LATE ITEM
0 Laos - Phou wins party approval
to call special assembly session
12 January in bid for full power.
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NorIf
IL ASIA-AFRICA
UAR-IRAQ: The press war between Cairo and the leftist
newspapers in Baghdad has subsided after an "agreement" be-
tween one of Nasir's top advisers and the Iraqi ambassador in
Cairo. The anti-Communist campaign within the UAR con-
tinues, however, and Syrian Interior Minister Sarraj has pro-
tested against the proposed arrest or dismissal of some of
his own officers. Cairo still remains in doubt as to the where-
abouts of Syria's top Communist, Khalid Bakdash, although it
likely that he is in Baghdad.
(Page 4)
Cyprus: aFeek-Turkish negotiations on the Cyprus issue mayhave reached a deadlock. While notes continue to be ex-
changed between Athens and Ankara man attempt to reach agree
ment, the positions of the two governments have become more
inflexible. Meanwhile the anti-EOICA operations recently launched
by the British, combined with possible steps toward implementa-
tion of the controversial Macmillan Plan for Cyprus, may spark
a new outbreak of terrorism on the islaLig
(Page 5)
Indonesia: Tjrebel supply ship, believed to be carrying
700,000 rounds of ammunition and other equipment from Na-
tionalist China, apparently unloaded its cargo in late Decem-
ber in North Celebes despite attacks by government forces.
repel caparauties ana actwity in No r tn ueienes nave increased
over the past few months
(Page 6)
Cambodia: rma's minister in Cambodia is said to have
reported that Premier Sihanouk is going along with the Chines
Communist. He is concerned over the continued improvement
of Peiping's position in Cambodia-4 Sihanouk's official newspaper
has commented favorably on the Chinese Communist communes.
(Page 7)
10 Jan 59
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III. THE WEST
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West Germany: The Bonn Foreign Ministry is arranging
an extensive good-will tour of the Far East by West Berlin
Mayor Willy Brandt next month. The purpose is to gain sup-
port for the western position on Berlin in key neutralist coun-
tries and to counteract the effect of East German Premier
Grotewohrs tour. The Foreign Ministry considers talks with
Nehru the most important aspect of the trip.
(Page 8)
LATE ITEM
*Laos: Erime Minister Phoui Sananikone's party voted
26-2 in an 8 January caucus ta support his plan to call the
National Assembly into special session on 12 January. Phoui
has thus cleared a major hurdle in his drive to assume full
powers and form a new government. The outcome remains
in doubt, however, because of Phours narrow assembly
majority and the lack of party discipline. If Phoui fails in
the assembly test, there would be strong,pressure for an
outright seizure of power by the military
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I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
GMIC Statement of 1200 EST, 9 January 1959
There are indications that the USSR is conducting re-
search and development flight tests on the Vladimirovka -
Lake Balkhash Test Range (VLBTR) of an air-launched
aerodynamic vehicle. Preliminary calculations indicate
that it may have a range of about 250 nautical miles and
a speed in the low supersonic region (800-1200 knots).
on 9 De-
cember 1958 the USSR conducted tests with a "KH-20"
vehicle. Similarities of this operation with events on 17
June 1958, 29 July 1958,22 October 19587 and possibly on
17 March 1958 indicate tests were probably carried out
on these dates also. It appears that the "KH-20" was
launched by a BEAR (TU-95 or TU-95K) at an altitude of
about 11,000 meters after a 200-nautical-mile run in.
There are at present insufficient data to state with
certainty that the "KH-20" is an air-to-surface missile,
as the possibility also exists that the "KH-20" could be
a manned research aircraft.
If the "KH-20" is an air-to-surface missile, it would
be the first such missile identified which would have capabil-
ities beyond the K/S subsonic 55-nautical-mile-range air-to-
sUrface missile estimated to have been available for first
operational use about 1956-1957. Such a weapon system de-
velopment is not inconsistent with the NIE 11-5-58 estimated
supersonic air-to-surface missile with a range of a
_11117Lnmitio_n_l_red-1-0-c and an availability in 1960-1961.
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USSR Preparing Further Moves on :Berlin and the German
Question
'a...he Soviet leaders are preparing further public initiatives
on both Berlin and the German question designed to force the
West to agree to high-level talks. There are growing indica-
tions that one of Moscow's main purposes in precipitating a
Berlin crisis was to increase pressure on the Western powers
to enter negotiations on the wider German question under con-
ditions favorable to the USSR]
Efhe aide-memoire which Mikoyan handed to Secretary
Dulles on 5 January stated that the USSR, "in the very near
future," would present the Western governments with a draft
German peace treaty and propose convening a conference with-
in "approximately two months." Soviet Ambassador Vinogradov
in Paris said, when he called on President de Gaulle on 7 Jan-
uary to present a copy of the aide-memoire, that the USSR
would soon propose a conference to discuss both Germany and
Berlin]
Lihe Soviet leaders probably believe such a proposal will
go far toward appearing to meet the Western position that Berlin
can be discussed only in the wider framework of the German
problem and European security]
ri-i USSR may soon put forward further modifications of
its Berlin proposals. The aide-memoire repeated the substance
of the original Soviet note but added a proposal for the creation
of a "permanent international commission" to implement the
free-city status of West Berlin. Communist diplomats in West-
ern Europe are again circulating hints regarding a compromise
solution which would include East Berlin in the free city. Ac-
cording to press reports, a Soviet source in Berlin has stated
that Mikoyan will propose a compromise when he meets with
President Eisenhower-a
if the
West rejects an offer to include East Berlin in a free city,
Khrushchev will offer to turn over all of Berlin to the Federal
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public with free access guaranteed by a treaty, presum-
b East Germany. West Germany,
would be permitted to station military forces in
Berlin after all Allied military and civilian personnel had
been withdrawn and Western and Soviet forces in both German
states had been reduced. Reports of this nature probably are
designed to strengthen West German dissatisfaction with
Adenauer's opposition to any negotiations or arrangements
which would imply recognition of the East German regime,
but undoubtedly do not reflect serious Soviet policy intentions.)
In his talks with American leaders, Mikoyan has been try-
ing to give the impression of flexibility on the Berlin question.
At a private dinner on 5 January, he denied that the USSR would
advance the six-month deadline for agreement on a free-city
status for West Berlin and took the position that the Western
notes of 31 December did not represent a rejection of the Soviet
proposals. He said, "We were delighted to see that you pro-
posed negotiating the propositions
1CV.Iikoyan told
that the six-month time limit was proposed because without such
a limit no progress in negotiations was in sight:l
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IL ASIA-AFRICA
Noe
UAR-Iraqi Press War Subsides
The newspaper war between Cairo and Baghdad over
Communist activity in Iraq has subsided at least temporar-
ily. Cessation of the exchange apparently followed an agree-
ment reached in Cairo between the Iraqi ambassador, Faiq
al-Sammarai and Nasir's minister of oresidentialaffairs,
Ali Sabri, Premier
Qasim reportealy oraerea Iraqi newspapermen-"not to op-
pose the UAR in any way." While the press and radio of
these two capitals have abandoned the subject, those sub-
sidized by the UAR are still engaged in bitter exchanges
with Beirut's leftist newspapers, whose reports:first
triggered the exchange between Cairo and Baghdad.
Nasies campaign against Communism in the UAR is
continuing. In Syria, however, the roundup of Communists
has met some resistance from Syrian Mini RI-Pr nf Tntpri nt-
arr j,
Sarraj refused to allow the "dismissal of his Commu-
nist officers," and Nasir's representative in Damascus ad-
vised Cario to avoid forcing the issue until Vice President
Marshal Amir talked to Sarraj, in order not to create an
"unnecessarily unpleasant situation." Sarraj's opposition
to Cairo's desires might also be conditioned partially by the
loss of face he may be suffering from the fact that Nasir
has had to send a high-level, three-man delegation to iron
out internal, political, and economic difficulties in Syria.
/he present whereabouts of Khalid Bakdash, Syria's
top Communist, is still uncertain. He was reliably re-
ported in Baghdad on 7 January, allegedly to resolve poli-
cy and doctrinal dis ut
Bakdash had
been in Baghdad and attended a meeting of the Communist
party central committee3
10 Jan 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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crrNDE'T
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Cyprus Situation
(Negotiations between Greece and Turkey to resolve their
dispute over Cyprus, under way since mid-December, appear
to have reached an impasse over such issues as the Turkish-
proposed establishment of Greek and Turkish military bases
on the island and the ethnic composition of the future Cypriot
armed forces. A stiffening of attitudes on both sides has re-
cently been noted]
CS�ome agreement on a settlement based on guaranteed in-
dependence for Cyprus apparently had been reached earlier,
and there continues to be evidence of a genuine desire for a
rapprochement in both Greece and Turkey. If present differ-
ences can be resolved, the Greek and Turkish prime minis-
ters are expected to meet�probably in a third country. Fail-
ure to reach some agreement will cause adverse public reac-
tion in both countries
[Qn Cyprus, the British forces have launched a new secu-
rity drive against EOKA which may lead to renewed Greek
Cypriot violence. EOKA leader Grivas, in proclaiming a truce
on 24 December, stated that EOKA operations would not be re-
newed provided the British reciprocated. In the implementa-
tion of the Macmillan Plan for Cyprus, meanwhile, the British
appear to be caught between a desire not to jeopardize possible
success of present Greek-Turkish negotiations and a fear that
postponement of implementation will be regarded by the Turks
as vacillation. Action to implement the plan at this time would
be regarded with deep hostility in Greece and among Greek
Cypriot
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Dissident Supply ShiR in North Celebes Withstands Government
Attack
aLdissi ent supply ship anchored at a small port orth
Celebes, as of 31 December, had successfully withstood at-
tack by two government ships and a B-25q
the
dissident vessel was more heavily armed than the government
ships, whose heaviest armament was 37-millimeter, and that
nearby rebel land defenses were "very strong." The B-25 ap-
parently attacked on both 26 and 31 December and, although
inflicting some damage, was unable to prevent the vessel's
unloading and eventually was itself hit by rebel antiaircraft
firJ
he dissident craft is presumed to be a supply ship which
left Taiwan on 8 December loaded with 700,000 rounds of small-
arms ammunition, 27,000,000 counterfeit rupiahs, fuel, and
uniform
dis-
sidents in North Celebes were continuing large-scale attacks.
rebel capacities and activities in
the area have noticeably increased in recent months:1
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Burmese Concerned Over Leftist Gains in Cambodia
[he Burmese Foreign Office is becoming increasingly
concerned over the trend of events in Cambodia
Burma's minister in Phnom Penh,
Sein Bwa, is concerned over the continued improvement of
Communist China's position in Cambodia. He says the tenor
of Sein Bwa's reporting is that Cambodian Premier Sihanouk
"is going along with the Chinese.")
Sein Bwa has been urgently recalled to Rangoon for con-
sultations concerning Burma's handling of Thai interests dur-
ing the Cambodian-Thai rupture.
Sihanouk's recent statements have been highly complimen-
tary toward Peiping. In an 8 January speech, Sihanouk dis-
closed that the recently introduced manual labor movement in
Cambodia was patterned after Peiping's practices which he had
studied during his visit last August. Last month, the official
newspaper of Sihanouk's government came out with support for
China's commune program in marked contrast to strong crit-
icism prevailing in other capitals in Southeast Asia. This
stand could only have been taken with Sihanouk's approval.
Sihanouk's attitude has greatly facilitated the expansion of
bloc influence in Cambodia since relations with the Sino-Soviet
bloc were initiated in 1956. For example, Cambodian security
officials are hesitant to take action against Communist agents
for fear of arousing Sihanouk's possible displeasure.
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III. THE WEST
Bonn Foreign Ministry Arranging Far East Tour
For West Berlin Mayor
West German Foreign Minister Brentano has persuaded
West Berlin Mayor Willy Brandt to follow up his visit to the
United States in February with an extensive good-will tour of
the Far East in an effort to gain support in key neutralist
countries for the Western position on Berlin. The Foreign
Ministry also sees the trip as an effective means of counter-
acting the visit of East German Premier Grotewohl to India,
Burma, and other countries.
Foreign Ministry officials feel that the most important
aspect of Brandt's visit will be personal talks with Nehru, in
which he can attempt to neutralize any effect Grotewohl may
have had. The Foreign Ministry arranged the Far Eastern
trip in the belief that a visit from a prominent figure in West
Germany's main opposition party would have a beneficial ef-
fect. Federal press chief von Eckardt may also visit some
Far Eastern countries.
Bonn has been concerned over the warm reception given
to Grotewohl by Nasir and reports that an agreement was
reached with Cairo to exchange consulates. Although the
West German ambassador received assurances from Egyp-
tian officials that no firm agreement had yet been reached on
this subject, the West German press has already launched a
campaign calling for abandonment of Bonn's policy of break-
ing relations with any state recognizing East German . Visits
by Brandt to Arab states are not planned at present.
CONFIDENTIAL
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CONFIDENTIAL
THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
Scientific Adviser to the President
Director of the Budget
Office of Defense and Civilian Mobilization
Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination
Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities
Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy
Special Adviser to the President
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration
The Counselor
Director, International Cooperation Administration
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
The Director, The Joint Staff
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations
Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of the Army
Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of the Navy
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
The Department of the Interior
The Secretary of the Interior
Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
National Security Agency
The Director
National Indications Center
The Director
United States Information Agency
The Director
CONFIDENTIAL
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