CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1958/10/20

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02998389
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 16
• Document Creation Date: January 27, 2020
• Document Release Date: January 30, 2020
• Publication Date: October 20, 1958

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20 October 1958
Copy No. C 59
CENTRAL
3.5(c)
3.3(h)(2)
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
NO CHANGE IN CLASS
I DECLASSiFIED
CLASS'. CHANnED TO: T'
NiEXT REV:EW DATE:
UAT
3
REVIEWER:
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20 OCTOBER 1958
L THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Soviet 18 October nuclear test at
Novaya Zemlya yields 10 megatons--
largest yet detected.
Taiwan Strait - Chinese Communists
apparently planting reports of secret
negotiations with Nationalists.
II. ASIA-AFRICA ,/ (
: A I
Moroccan official may head a military
is loin_s_a_t_a_UAR_before_visiting Moscow.
0 , -
1
Irro, 41.0
Morocco - Government reorganization
may be imminent; French reconsider-
ing withdrawal of remaining troops.
Lebanon - Inflammatory broadcasts by
UAR-controlled Radio Free Lebanon
will strengthen Christian suspicions.
UAR vice president possibly
more arms on Nfoqcow visit.
Libyan government officials and oil
union harass Western companies.
0
III. THE WEST
()Rebels in Cuba and in exile intensify
efforts to sabotage 3 November elec-
tions.
LATE ITEM
()Taiwan Strait - Peiping cancels
cease-fire.
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
20 October 1958
DAILY BRIEF
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Soviet nuclear tests: The Joint Atomic Energy Intel-
ligence Committee made the following announcement at
1630 hours on 18 October:
"The Atomic Energy Detection System haire-
ported that an explosion occurred at 1951 hours Zebra
on 18 October 1958 in the vicinity of Novaya Zemlya
(74N, 55E).
Th tart st Soviet test previously detected--on 6 October 1957--
had an estimated yield of 4.3 megatons.
The committee made the following announcement at 1630
hours on 19 October 1958:
"The Atomic Energy Detection System has re-
ported that an explosion occurred at 0745 hours Zebra
on 19 October 1958 in the vicinity of Novaya Zemlya
(74N, 55E).
*This is the 12th explosion in the current phase of Soviet nuclear
testing.
the device was dropped by a TU-16 aircraft over water off the
eastern coast of North Island, Novaya Zemlya, at approximately
73�30',N, 59900 E.
11
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Taiwan Strait situation: The Chinese Communists ap-
pear to be planting reports that their representatives are
negotiating secretly with Chinese Nationalist officials. Such
unconfirmed reports and rumors of secret negotiations be-
tween Peiping and Taipei have appeared previously, during
similar periods of Communist emphasis on political forms
of warfare against the Nationalists.
(Page 1) (Map)
IL ASIA4-AFRICA
Morocco-UAR: The UA 's military attache in Rabat re-
quested that a Moroccan military
mission be invited to visit theUAR's armed forces in Cairo
before the mission's leader, who apparently has hinted at an
invitation, proceeds onward to Moscow. This visit would fol-
low the forthcoming exchange of diplomatic representatives
between Mnrnern and the USSR.
the Moroccan Army needs arms and
ammunition very badly and ling not 11PP" 21-11c1 f^ obtain them
from Western sources. (Page 3)
Morocco: The long-expected government reorganiza-
tion in Morocco may be imminent since the extremist wing
of the Istiqlal party is increasingly discontented over the
King's authoritarian role and over the cabinet's lack of con-
trol of the army and security forces. Although Prime Min-
ister Balafrej is expected to retain nominal leadership of
any new cabinet, the left-wing group's influence would in-
crease. Paris has indicated concern at the developing po-
litical instability in Morocco and is reconsidering the with-
drawal of the remaining French troops--now reported to
number about 15,000. (Page 4)
Lebanon: Despite the political compromise which tem-
porarily e7iTted the Lebanese rebellion, the UAR-controlled
Radio Free Lebanon, which broadcasts from Syria, now is
calling for "complete and decisive victory" by the pro-Nasir
20 Oct 58
DAILY BRIEF
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faction. Its demands include dissolution of Parliament and
"punishment" of pro-Chamoun leaders after "evacuation of
the American forces." The broadcasts will strengthen Chris-
tian suspicions that the TTAR nlans Moslem domination of
Lebanon.
UAR-USSR: UAR Vice President Marshal Amir's visit
to Meow may be connected with further requests for Soviet
military equipment. The UAR is already reported scheduled
to receive substantial deliveries, but Cairo is seeking Soviet
approval of additional requests for late-model military and
civil aircraft. Amir's trip may also be designed to smooth
out differences with the USSR over the supply of equipment
and training to Iraq, which currently has a fonr-man armns-
purchasing mission in Moscow.
Libya: Western oil companies iii Liby, where the pros-C
pects76Tadditional oil discoveries are good, are being in-
creasingly harassed by the Libyan oil workers' union and by
government officials. There is also growing criticism of the
companies by the press and people.
(Page 5)
III. THE WEST
Cuba: Intensified rebel operations in central and west-
ern Cuba as well as in rebel-infested Oriente Province are
apparently part of a build-up aimed at fulfilling rebel vows to
sabotage the national elections scheduled for 3 November.
Cuban rebel pilots in Mexico have
at least one bomber and possibly other planes which they are
readying for action. (Page 6)
20 Oct 58
DAILY BRIEF lii
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LATE ITEM
*Peiping cancels cease-fire: Chinese Communist Minis-
ter of National Defense Peng Iregiudi canceled the suspension
of shelling of Chinmen in an order to the People's Liberation
Army on the Fukien front at 1500 hours on 20 October (Peiping
time). The Nationalist Defense Ministry reported that the
Communists resumed shelling of Chinmen at 1600 hours. The
cancellation order followed hard on the heels of a "36th seri-
ous warning" which claimed that a US landing ship dock and
three US destroyers escorted Nationalist ships in an intrusion
into Communist territorial waters in the Amoy and Chinmen
area on 19-20 October. The Communist *fense minister's
order stated: "This is an open defiance of our conditions in
suspending shelling. Can this be tolerated? Therefore, shell-
ing must be resumed as punishment."
The order referred twice to the subject of direct negotia-
tions with the Nationalists. It listed the refusal of Taiwan
authorities to accept peace negotiations as one of several jus-
tifications for canceling the suspension of shelling. Later,
the order stated: "It looks as though the opportunity for the
Taiwan authorities to turn from straying and accept peaceful ne-
gotiations may still be expected. We continue to hold out such
a hope." In one of several references to the United States, the
order said: "The United States will not be permitted to take a
hand in the Chinese affair. This is a national cause."
no indica-
tion mat the Communists now intend to take any direct military
action beyond the resumption of shelling.
during the period of the cease-fires
reflected a high level of training activity by East China naval
units, particularly in the Shanghai area, as well as tactical
training activity by jet fighters based on the coastal airfields
In and near the strait area.
ri
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DAItY BRIEF iv
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%Pe %NO
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Taiwan Strait Situation
Communist repre-
sentative and a Chinese Nationalist representative
have reached an agreement by which the Chinese
Communists would cease bombardment of the Chinmen and
Matsu island groups in return for an evacuation of Nation-
alist forces from the islands by 30 November. This al-
leged agreement is not credible.
A Chinese Communist official
Peiping "can reach and has
reached people in Taiwan," although "obviously one cannot
name names." The official's statement is true in the sense
that Nationalist officials, including Chiang Kai-shek's son,
have previously received communications from apparent
representatives of Peiping, but there is no evidence that
they have responded.
the Nationalists were contemplat-
ing the early release to the Communists of three Communist
torpedo-boat crewmen captured in late August. In effect
this action would be in exchange for the unpublicized release
by the Communists last month of three Nationalist airmen
captured in 1957. It also presumably would be designed to
encourage Peiping to release three other Nationalist airmen
whom the Communists claim to have captured in recent weeks.
It is doubtful that the Nationalist action would be either in
consequence of or preliminary to negotiations with the Com-
munists, although Peiping may well hope to entice the Nation-
alists into negotiations by small stages.
The English-language Taipei newspaper China News,
which often is used as a sounding board by the Nationalist
Government, reported on 18 October that in the forthcoming
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Communist troop
%AAP strength
�, Nationalist
uvu strength
4 Piston fighter
4- Jet fighter
4. Piston light bomber
+ Jet light bomber
4- Ground-attack
SELECTED AIRFIELDS INDICATED IN BOLD TYPE
Hengyang
30078
80806/81020
troop
kowr>.
NANCHANG
CHANGSHU.
CHENGHAI
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talks between Chiang Kai-shek and Secretary Dulles, the
Nationalists would press for a "firmer" American commit-
ment to maintainina he status quo on Chinmen and Matsu.
Chinese Communist reflect a continu-
ing high level of training activity by both air and naval units
In the East China area, and Nationalist observers continue to
report increased personnel and vehicle activity on the main-
land opposite Chinmen. On the morning ,of 19 October (Taiwan
time), Communist aircraft were detected by radar in a possi-
ble overflight of the Nationalist-held Wuchiu Islands. A sim-
ilar overflight occurred on 16 October, according to an uncon-
firmed press report obtained from the Nationalist Defens
Ministry. J no
change in tnuimun s genera policy of restricting fighter
aircraft to defensive patrols within a coastal boundary.
Peiping has issued its "35th serious warning" claiming,
that two US destroyers intruded into Chinese Communist terri-
torial waters in the Pingtan and Matsu areas on 19 October.
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IL ASIA-AFRICA
UAR Acting to Increase Influence in Morocco
The UAR's aggressive military attache in Rabat, pre-
sumably to increase Egyptian influence in Morocco, sug-
gested to the Cairo
Defense Ministry that a Moroccan military mission be in-
vited to Cairo to observe the armed forces. He reported
that a Moroccan official, who is to visit the USSR soon after
the forthcoming exchange of diplomatic representatives be-
tween the USSR and Morocco, had hinted that such a mission,
headed by him, would be desirable.
the attache renewed
his request and stated that both he and the UAR ambassador
believed that, in view of the Tunisian-UAR friction, it would
be helpful to reveal Egypt as a center for Arabism. He also
stated that Morocco needed arms and ammunition very badly
because it had not been supplied by France and other coun-
tries.
The Moroccan Government is not known to be vigorously
searching for arms. Cairo's efforts to promote an arms deal
are likely to be opposed by King Mohamed V and the present
moderate Istiqlal Government, who are suspicious of Cairo's
activities as the self-proclaimed pan-Arab leader. The UAR
ambassador has consistently attempted to present himself as
the conscience of the Arabs. Both he and the attache have
carefully cultivated the Algerian rebels in Morocco, the
left wing of the Istiqlal, labor leaders, and any other groups
which might be sympathetic and useful to Cairo during the
present political instability in Morocco.
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Pressures Growing for Reshuffle of Moroccan Government
Discontent with the present Moroccan Government, includ-
ing the King's authoritarian position, has grown to such an
extent among left-wing elements in the dominant Istiqlal party
that the well-informed Tunisian ambassador believes the long-
anticipated cabinet reshuffle is imminent. The ambassador
expects moderate Prime Minister Balafrej to retain his office,
but believes Istiqlal extremists like Ibrahim, Ben Barka, and
Bouabid will increase their influence in the cabinet. One re:-
port states that a decision to resign was actually reached by
the government on 18 October and that the resignation will be
announced on 20 October.
Istiqlal extremists are particularly critical of the cabinet's
lack of control over the army and security forces, which are
under the King's jurisdiction. Their request for a change in this
control was rejected by the King recently after the issue was
highlighted by the anti -Istiqlal activities of a rival party in the
Rif mountain area. Istiqlal leaders consider that the director
of national security was slow in acting against this party's ter-
rorism. They also accuse him of playing off one Istiqlal fac-
tion against another.
Paris is concerned over the growing political instability in
Morocco and is reconsidering the withdrawal of the remaining
French troops, recently reported to number 15,000. France
fears that if public order is not assured, the sizable French
colony and its interests will be endangered. French failure
to continue troop withdrawals would, in the opinion of the Amer-
ican ambassador, be interpreted by Rabat as intransigence and
signal a "marked deterioration in Franco-Moroccan relations
in the immediate future."
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Increasing Harassment of Western Oil Companies in Libya
The Libyan Petroleum Workers' Union is stepping up its
harassment of Western oil companies. Although the Libyan
Government's Petroleum Commission maintains business-like
relations with the companies, the union's campaign has made
the lower echelons of the bureaucracy--customs, immigration,
and tax officials�uncooperative and antagonistic. The com-
panies are also under attack in the Libyan press.
The new but growing Petroleum Workers' Union is cap-
italizing on the growth of pro-Egyptian sentiment in Libya and
the desire of its members to put Libyans in Jobs held by foreign
employees of the companies. It was organized by Abdul al- Latif
Kikhya, a rabid opportunist with a strong grievance against the
Western companies, one of which fired him for trying to serve
simultaneously as a union official and a company executive.
Recent successful wildcat oil wells�part of an accelerated
exploration program--have raised hopes that Libya might be-
come a significant source of free-world oil, independent of the
Nasir-controlled Suez Canal and pipelines through Syria.
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IIL THE WEST
Cubans Rebels Intensify Action to Sabotage
3 November Elections
The rebel "26th of July" Movement, which has vowed to
sabotage Cuba's 3 November general elections, already is
capable of preventing meaningful elections in Oriente Prov-
ince and of severely limiting electoral activity in other areas.
In Oriente, where a third of the country's population lives,
the rebels are in effective control of rural areas and inter-
mittently surround and attack the fringes of the city of San-
tiago, Cuba's second city. Their activities are intensifying
in the central and extreme western provinces, and on or about
15 October a rebel patrol attacked a small army garrison only
20 miles from the Cubtm capital, thus for the first time ex-
tending the fighting to Havana Province.
The rebels publicly have threatened all candidates who do
not withdraw by 30 October and already have killed several.
The rebel radio announced on 17 October that prorebel work-
ers would meet soon in rebel territory to plan strikes coordi-
nated with rebel action to prevent the elections. Rebel efforts
to promote a general strike failed last April.
Cuban rebel pilots
at Ixtepec in southern Mexico are readying at least one bomber
and possibly other planes for action in the near future. They
may, as was reported in July, plan to bomb the presidential
palace in Havana, but the supplying of men and equipment to
rebel forces seems more likely.
President Batista remains determined to hold the elections,
though the political atmosphere will require continued suspension
of civil rights, and polling places may have to be established
within army garrisons in many places. Denying the validity of
the elections, the rebels intend to continue fighting, if necessary,
even after Batista leaves the presidency a the end of his term
next February.
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THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
Scientific Adviser to the President
Director of the Budget
Office of Defense and Civilian Mobilization
Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination
Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities
Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy
Special Adviser to the President
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration
The Counselor
Director, International Cooperation Administration
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
The Director, The Joint Staff
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations
Deputy Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of the Army
Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of the Navy
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
The Department of the Interior
The Secretary of the Interior
Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
National Security Agency
The Director
National Indications Center
The Director
United States Information Agency
The Director
CONFIDENTIAL
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