CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1958/10/13

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02998385
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 15
• Document Creation Date: January 27, 2020
• Document Release Date: January 30, 2020
• Publication Date: October 13, 1958

t ow-Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2998385
3.5(c)
3.3(h)(2)
13 October 1958
59
Copy No.
CENTRAL
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO. 2
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
I I DECLASSII-IED
:
CLAS3. fAr��;GED TO: T,,e5
NExTRF.viiAV DAIL:
AU1TI i4-I
DAT REVE-WER: _
-T-OP-SECRET-
4717,/////7,/ ZApproved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2998385,
//:
pproved for R-elease: 2020/01/23 CO2998385k
�T.A-P�C�PMa=
Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2998385
Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2998385
Pel
mIllw I WI 1
13 OCTOBER 1958
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Peiping extends Chinmen cease-fire
two more weeks.
USSR - Tyura Tam launching on
11 October more likely a space ven-
an ICBM.
Soviet nuclear explosion at Novaya
Zemlya on 12 October in megaton
range.
II. ASIA-AFRICA
Lebanon - Shihab temporarily drops
plan to remove Karame. Negotiations
to widen cabinet continue.
Tunisia - Bourguiba likely to be iso-
lated in Arab world as result of de-
nouncing Nasir.
0 Algeria - Rebels now ready to begin
negotiations with Paris.
0 Afghanistan - Recent report of Soviet
loan now considered doubtful.
crrnrrr
Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2998385
Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2998385
ver I
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
13 October 195,
DAILY BRIEF
L THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Taiwan Strait situation: The Chinese Communist defense
minister's oraer extending suspension of the Chinmen shelling
for two weeks repeats the condition that "should there be any
US escort, the bombardment will immediately be resumed!' The
order explains that the suspension is designed "to see what the
opposite side is going to do."
Chinese Communist naval movements of landing ship - type
vessels south from the Shanghai area have continued and two
new jet fighter units have been deployed to airfields in the strait
area, probably replacing units previously based there.
(Page 1) (Map)
USSR: The Guided Missile Intelligence Committee has
made the announcement:
"A valid countdown sequence on the Tyura Tam
Missile Test Range (TTMTR) probably culminated
in a launch at approximately 1740 EDT on 11 October,
almost exactly eight hours after its initiation. The
information now available is insufficient to permit
us to make a determination of the type of vehicle or
mission intended, although the activity noted would
indicate that it was more likely a space venture than
an ICBM.
Soviet megaton nuclear test: The Joint Atomic Energy Intel-
ligence Committee made the following announcement at 1500 hours
on 12 October 1958.
TOP SECRET
)kpprov-rriTg;;r1/6"16=Zaiiiii? A
re/.'Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2998385
Impr vi Vic
"The Atomic Energy Detection System has
reported that an explosion occurred at about 0754
hours Zebra on 12 October 1958 in the vicinity of
Novaya Zemlya (74�N, 55�E).
This is the ninth nuclear explosion since the Soviet Union
resumed its testing program on 30 September. A TU-95 and
a TU-16 aircraft were involved in the operation
IL ASIA-AFRICA
Lebanon: President Shihab for the time being has dropped
his plans for a caretaker cabinet in the face of Prime Minister
Karame's refusal to resign. More negotiations to widen the
ICarame cabinet to include pro- Chamoun representatives are un-
der way, and Shihab hopes the opposing factions will reach a
settlement soon out of sheer weariness. There still
seems to be strong pressure from some Moslem rebel elements
against concessions, however, and rebel Druze leader Jumblatt
Is reported to have threatened to "come down to Beirut" to take
control himself if Shihab does not "give firm orcers for return-
ing Lebanon to normal." (Page 3)
Tunisia UAR: Bourguiba's use of a public meeting of the
Arab League to denounce Nasir's domination of the league ma-
chinery and UAR subversive activity against other governments
seems almost certain to leave the Tunisian leader isolated within
the Arab world. It may also weaken his position in Tunisia as
well. League delegations from Morocco and Iraq, two league
countries generally inclined toward independence of the UAR,
quickly dissociated themselves from the Tunisian action. Cairo
radio is naming bourguiba as the imperialists' choice to oppose
Nasir; he is being compared to assassinated Iraqi leader Nuni
Said. (Page 4)
13 Oct 58
DAILY BRIEF ii
TOP SECRET
Approved for A
Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2998385
* Nur I LIU 1
Algeria: The Algerian rebel government now appears will-
ing to negotiate with Paris without prior French agreement to
independence for Algeria. A rebel newspaper in Tunis has pub-
lished an editorial which amounts to an invitation to start nego-
tiating, and an FLN official has indicated the rebels are eager
for talks. The rebels intend to release some French prisoners,
regardless of Paris' response to their move, in an effort to
"Improve the atmosphere." (Page 5)
Afghanistan: A previous report of a $30,000,000 Soviet
loan to Afghanistan has not been confirmed and is now regard-
ed as doubtful (see Central Intelligence Bulletin of 3 October).
Financial arrangements for a Soviet civil air assistance agree-
ment for Afghanistan may still be under negotiation.
13 Oct 58
DAILY BRIEF lii
TOP SECRET
A % /
/AApproved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2998385,
sok Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2998385
-TOP-SECRET
Crrierriligutrhist troop
000 s
Aryl Nationalist troop
strength
I. Piston fighter
+ Jet fighter
+ Piston light bomber
# Jet light bomber
4. Ground-attack
SELECTED AIRFIELDS INDICATED IN BOLD TYPE
Hengyang e
30078
�
Wuc ng
NANCHANG
CHANGSHU+
CANTON
�
HUtANG Swatow';
568,000
NINGPO-
LUCHIAlt0
�
Wenchow
N A
Foochowtl.
NANTAI'
LUNGTIEN+
LIENCHENG+ c HUIAN TAIWAN
� mAcialearly STRAIT
LUNGCHIA. �
WEITOU PEN.
' KAOCHI
Amoy
CHENGHAI
Aom, H
NG KONG
SOUTH CHINA SEA
'NAN AO IS.
,Tinghai
�
CHOU SHAN I.
EAST CHINA SEA
ISTATUTE MILES
300
80806/
Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2998385
4jrclproved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2998385
�111�
.1 Ill- 31.4.-fu.. I
L THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Taiwan Strait Situation
Peiping's Minister of National Defense Peng Te-huai
has issued an order to the People's Liberation Army at the
Fukien Front to "suspend the shelling of Quemoy (Chinmen)
for another two weeks" on the condition that the "Americans
must not conduct escort operations." The order,
specifies that the suspension
Is designed "so as to see what the opposite side is going to
do."
Stating that "a clear-cut line must be drawn between the
Chinese and the Americans," the order reiterates that the
Taiwan Strait situation is part of China's "civil war" and an
"internal affair." Peng adds that "so long as the Kuomintang
on Taiwan has not yet entered into negotiations with us and
a reasonable solution has not been worked out, the civil war
still continues." The humanitarian theme is again under-
lined with a statement that the action will "e4,ble our com-
patriots on Quemoy, both military and civilian, to get suffi-
cient supplies."
Peiping is continuing its efforts to forestall UN consid-
eration of the Taiwan Strait situation. On 10 October, Chi-
nese Communist Foreign Minister Chen I visited the hospital
bed of Finnish Ambassador Sundstrom in Peiping to tell the
ambassador of his impression that an "arrangement" on the
offshore islands could be reached with the United States but
that Chiang remained unalterably opposed to such a move.
The Chinese Communists may believe that would-be inter-
mediaries will restrain themselves as long as there is hope
for success at Warsaw.
The Chinese Communist Foreign Ministry issued its 28th
and 29th "serious warnings" on 11 and 12 October, with brief
and routine charges of US intrusions in the Matsu and Pingtan
areas. By confining the last five warnings to thiitrusions" in
the northern part of the strait, Peiping may be attempting, to
avoid disturbing the uneasy calm in the Chinmen area while
TOP SECRET
13 Oct 58 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 1
Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2998385
Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2998385
TAIWAN STRAIT TALLY SHEET
Air Situation
(Plane losses claimed through 11 Oct)
TODAY CUMULATIVE
Destroyed Probable Possible Destroyed Probable Possible
Communist
0
0
0
33
4
8
Nationalist
0
0
0
6**
0
2*
*Damaged
**Includes 2 C-46's, 2 F-84as, and 2 F-86's.
Chinmen Supply Situation -
(Tonnage through 10 Oct)
Delivery - 1 - 10 Oct
Totals (since 7 Sept)
Average Daily Rate for Sept
Average Daily Rate for Oct
Minimum Austere
Daily Requirements
Cumulative Deficiehcy
Since 7 Sept
(SECRET
SECRET
Total
10,584
13,984
125
1,058
320
None
Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2998385
Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2998385
Mir 1 111OL:A.,11.E. *MO
continuing to augment its record of alleged US violations of
Communist-claimed territorial waters.
At least a regiment of Communist jet fighters moved to
the Swatow area from Huiyang airfield the morning of 12 Oc-
tober. This is the second unit during the past four days that
has been deployed forward to the strait area, the first being
a move to Lungchi from Liencheng on 9 October.
about a regiment of fighters left Lungchi for Liencheng on
October, which suggests that the Communists are rotating
units and possibly introducing more experienced and better
trained pilots into the strait area.
Flights of some 8th Air Division jet light bombers from
Changshu to Nanking on 10 October indicate that bombers of
this division are being rotated between those two fields rather
than withdrawing from Changshu, to which at least part of the
division was deployed on 22 August.
TOP SECRET
13 Oct 58 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2998385
Page 2
- Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2998385
%Iry I lit ..)E4k...1�.14
410
IL ASIA-AFRICA
The Situation in Lebanon
President Shihab has abandoned for the present his plan
to install a caretaker cabinet, and a meeting between Chris-
tian Phalange leader Pierre Gemayel and Prime Minister
Karame has failed to result in any progress toward a reso-
lution of the political impasse. Shihab, nevertheless, re-
mains optimistic; he expects the very weariness of the op-
posing factions to produce an agreement on a compromise
government.
Saeb Salaam has stated that he and other "more moderate"
rebel leaders have privately agreed to support broader repre-
sentation within a Karame cabinet. Salaam also believes the
rank and file on both sides are impatient for a solution of the
crisis. Certain Moslem rebel elements, however, including
a faction led by Abdullah Yafi, still adamantly oppose grant-
ing any concessions to the Christians. The Basta mob, which
supports this position, apparently forced Karame to withdraw
his resignation and to assume a more uncompromising stand.
Gemayel has said he and his Phalangist followers cannot agree
to a Karame-led cabinet in view of Karame's "insincerity."
Rebel Druze leader Kamal Jumblatt has threatened to
"come down to Beirut to gain control of the situation" himself
if Shihab does not "give firm orders for returning Le
normal,'
a report from Karame to Syrian egion
Minister of Interior Sarraj, said Jumblatt had met with a rep-
resentative from the Phalange, as Sarraj had suggested, in
an endeavor "to detach them from Chamoun." The results nf
this effort are unknown.
TOP SECRET
13 Oct 58 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLFTIN page 3
Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2998385
Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2998385
%...WAVUA1JE..11111P1Ld 41010
Tunisian President Attacks UAR Role in Arab League
The anti-UAR blast delivered in Cairo on n October by
Tunisian President Bourguiba's representative at a public ses-
sion of the Arab League Council called especially to welcome
Tunisia into the league probably presages an early rupture be-
tween Cairo and Tunis. It may precipitate an all-out effort by
Nasir to oust Bourguiba and install a more subservient regime
in Tunis. Bourguiba's tactics, flouting the proprieties of Arab
politics, which call for fervent lip service to the "mystique"
of Arab unity on all official public occasions, appear to have
left him, at least initially, without overt support from other
Arab states and may have weakened his heretofore relatively
strong domestic position.
The speech by Tunisia's delegate, accusing "some Arab
countries" of attempting to dominate the league, and a follow-
up statement issued by the Tunisian Embassy in Cairo, call-
ing cooperation between Tunisia and the UAR "impossible,"
are the culminating products of Bourguiba's long-developing
antagonism toward the Nasir regime. This antagonism, which
is felt much more strongly by the President than by other
Tunisian leaders, springs particularly from Cairo's continued
harboring and apparent clandestine material support of Bour-
guiba's exiled political rival, Salah ben Youssef. In late Sep-
tember Bourguiba recalled his ambassador in Cairo over this
issue.
The UAR, probably encouraged by the Moroccan and Iraqi
delegates' quick dissociation of their governments from the
Tunisian action, has already launched a bitter press and radio
campaign against Bourguiba. The position expressed by Tunisia's
representative is being equated with the views of the "imperial-
ist press" and Bourguiba himself has been castigated as "the
imperialists" choice to "check Nasir,"
In addition to strengthening those elements in Tunisia which
were already either hostile to Bourguiba or at least increasingly
critical of his attitude toward Nasir, Bourguiba's open attack on
the UAR will further reduce his already circumscribed ability to
act independently of the Algerian rebels, who continue to be
strongly entrenched in Tunisia. This is likely to be reflected
almost immediately in the negotiations with France, which Tunisia
now is reportedly ready to begin, over the status of the French
air and naval base at Bizerte.
13 Oct 58 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 4
Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2998385
Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2998385
Nue LAfl41iLJ.iL I a s�a
NNW
Algerian Rebels Step:Up Efforts to Induce Peace Talks
The Algerian rebel government formed last month by the
National Liberation Front (FLN) has launched a new bid for
early cease-fire talks with France. Possibly influenced in
part by their inability to prevent an overwhelming vote in fa-
vor of the De Gaulle constitution on 28 September and by the
unique position of authority which De Gaulle enjoys pending
the establishment of new French institutions, the rebels ap-
pear to have adopted a more flexible attitude toward such
talks. Heretofore, they have demanded France's prior recog-
nition of at least Algeria's "right" to independence.
An editorial published on 10 October in the FLN's official
newspaper El Moujahid reiterates the "ineluctable" will of the
Algerian people to win independence, but fails to attach any
qualification to an offer to meet French representatives "at
any moment to determine the military and political conditions
of a cease-fire." Subsequently, Ferhat Abbas, premier in the
rebel cabine,t,told an American journalist in Tunis that the
creation of the Algerian provisional government and the ccnsol-
idation of De Gaulle's authority made it possible to drop any
preconditions for peace talks, since "any time the French nego-
tiate with us now, this will in itself imply recognition of Algeria's
right to independence."
Meanwhile, in an acknowledged effort to establish a "new
climate," the rebel leaders have announced their intention to re-
lease shortly about 100 of an unknown but probably not very large
number of French soldiers held captive by the FLN army. The
leaders are also reportedly attempting to stop attacks at least
"on persons" in France. However, any significant diminution of
rebel activity in Algeria--which has recently returned to its
"normal" level following a period of more intensified guerrilla
operations during September--seems unlikely at this time.
CONFIDENTIAL
13 Oct 58 rFKITRAI INTRA InENCE BULLETIN Page 5
Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2998385
Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2998385
N�or vaVA aLO� LA � � S IA AL
THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
Scientific Adviser to the President
Director of the Budget
Office of Defense and Civilian Mobilization
Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination
Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities
Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy
Special Adviser to the President
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration
The Counselor
Director, International Cooperation Administration
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
The Director, The Joint Staff
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations
Deputy Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of the Army
Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of the Navy.
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
The Department of the Interior
The Secretary of the Interior
Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
National Security Agency
The Director
National Indications Center
- The Director
United States Information Agency
The Director
CONFIDE-NT
Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 002998385
7/74/. ,Z/r/r. fr/W40/ rri 744/7/77/4 rIrdW4p/
Atct, Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2998385
uJr3C4KCI
,�
TOP SECRET
Z.ezi ezz ,okpproved for Release: 2020/01/23 CA.0296-8c8ff