CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1956/04/14

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02995599
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 11
• Document Creation Date: October 25, 2019
• Document Release Date: October 31, 2019
• Publication Date: April 14, 1956

Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2995599
CURRENT
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
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14 1956
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April
Copy No, 103
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OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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vi
Are
CONTENTS
1. FRENCH REPORTED NEGOTIATING CEASE-FIRE IN
ALGERIA (page 3).
2. PARIS TO PROPOSE MOROCCO AND TUNISIA FOR
MEMBERSHIP IN THE UN (page 4).
3. CZECH ARMY EXERCISE HELD IN EAST GERMANY
(page 5).
4. JAPANESE-SOVIET DIPLOMATIC RELATIONS MAY
ARISE FROM FISHERIES NEGOTIATIONS (page 6
5. FRANC REPORTED ABOUT TO RECOGNIZE COMMUNIST
CHINA (page 7).
6. NEHRU MAKES "FINAL OFFER" TO PAKISTAN ON
KASHMIR (page 8).
* * * *
THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION
page 9)
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1, FRENCH REPORTED NEGOTIATING CEASE-FIRE
IN ALGERIA
Premier Mollet would ac-
cept the following terms for a cease-
fire in Algeria: truce without obligation
to surrender; guarantee for the lives,
families and property of combatants;
general amnesty for prisoners; and
safe conduct for negotiators.
Comment
So far Paris has avoided negotiating a
general political settlement with rebel spokesmen. Mollet,
however, is under sharp pressure within his cabinet to bring
the Algerian imbroglio to the point where negotiations could
be started with responsible Moslem leaders; and the increas-
ing budgetary squeeze resulting from mounting military ex-
penditures will probably oblige him to explore every possible
solution.
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2. PARIS TO PROPOSE MOROCCO AND TUNISIA FOR
MEMBERSHIP IN THE UN
� On 12 April, Secretary of State for
Moroccan and Tunisian Affairs Alain
Savary disclosed to Ambassador Dillon
that France has decided to sponsor
orocco and Tunisia for admission to the United Nations.
A public announcement will be made once the subject has
been discussed with these countries.
Comment
Paris probably estimates that this
move would counter any Arab-Asian
attack in the UN this fall on France's Algerian policy. It
would also forestall sponsorship of the countries by the
Soviet Union or a Moslem state, such as Egypt.
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TO-P�S:EeffET
1/4
3. CZECH ARMY EXERCISE HELD IN EAST GERMANY
Czech forces held
an exercise recently in the Doebeln
area, between Dresden and Leipzig
in East Germany.
the "comrades come on invitation of the minister of
defense, carry out their combined operations and vanish"
Local officials, who were disturbed because their imme-
diate superior had not been informed, were told "with
kind regards from Comrades Ulbricht and Stoph," that he
"will not know about such things in the future either."
Comment This is the first positive identification
of ground forces of any Warsaw pact
member other than the Soviet Union conducting exercises
outside its own country. It is not clear whether this activ-
ity was a combined exercise with Soviet or East German
troops or a Czech demonstration,
Czech officers were noted in the general
area of Doebeln in mid-February observing a Soviet exercise,
possibly in preparation for some combined military activity.
Soviet forces in Germany held a large-scale command post
exercise involving all major commands from 30 March to
8 April.
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4. JAPANESE-SOVIET DIPLOMATIC RELATIONS MAY
ARISE FROM FISHERIES NEGOTIATIONS
Certain Japanese government leaders
have expressed themselves as fearing
that at the forthcoming fisheries nego-
tiations at Moscow the USSR will seek
e restoration of diplomatic relations with Japan as the
price for a fisheries settlement. Ambassador Allison re-
ports that the Japanese believe they may be forced by both
Soviet and domestic pressure to resume diplomatic rela-
tions without first settling Japan's territorial claims, or at
least to reduce such claims to make a fishing settlement
poss ible.
Japan's top defense official told Allison
on 12 April that several members of the government party
are worried over the appointment of Minister of Agriculture
and Forestry Kono as chief Japanese negotiator since his
political ambitions might lead him to make "unwise conces-
sions."
Comment Japan is highly vulnerable to Soviet
economic pressure on fishing activity,
and the present situation provides a good opportunity for
the views of those Japanese elements which favor a quick
peace treaty with the USSR to outweigh the influence of the
advocates of a strong stand. Soviet threats to the fishery in-
dustry reportedly are weakening popular support for a firm
position.
Kono is closely connected with the fishing
interests and is at present one of the most powerful men in
the government. His power appears to be declining, however,
and he probably believes that his prestige can be increased by
conclusion of a settlement with the USSR.
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SE El' �411
FRANCE REPORTED ABOUT TO RECOGNIZE
COMMUNIST CHINA
Comment
Current reports that France has agreed
to exchange trade and cultural represent-
atives with Communist Ch*na may have given rise to rumors
1
of diplomatic recognition.
France would
not recognize Communist China "under present circum-
stances."
While France is unlikely to make the
move at present, there is continuing support within the
French assembly for recognition.
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EC1tIV _ w
6. NEHRU MAKES "FINAL OFFER" TO PAKISTAN
ON KASHMIR
Comment on:
Prime Minister Nehru's public offer
on 13 April to Pakistan to settle the
Kashmir dispute by making the present
UN cease-fire line a permanent border
will probably be rejected outright by Pakistan, which has
just announced its decision to resubmit the Kashmir issue
to the United Nations.
Nehru described the offer as "the far-
thest India is prepared to go." He said that American mili-
tary aid to Pakistan had destroyed the "roots and foundations"
of a plebiscite in Kashmir and "we have therefore to think
and solve this problem in a different way."
Although Pakistani leaders have in the
past privately discussed various possible partitions of the
state, they have always insisted on either a plebiscite or
joint rule over the Indian-held Vale--the area centering on
Srinagar, which is the only economically important part of
Kashmir.
Pakistan's claim to all of Kashmir has
been kept alive in the Pakistani public mind since 1947, and
it is unlikely that the present government could accept the
Indian offer and remain in office.
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SECRET -'
411
THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION
(Information as of 1700, 13 April)
Only one incident, a minor skirmish on the
Israeli-Jordanian border, has been reported since the air battle
on 12 April. Despite subsequent claims that another Egyptian
and an Israeli plane were shot down in that action, there is no
good evidence any planes were lost other than the Egyptian jet
which fell in Israeli territory.
On 13 April, UN secretary general Hammar-
skj old asked the American embassy in Cairo to forward to the
Israelis a message stating that he is convinced Egypt wants to
avoid war and that "the question of war and peace at present is
in the hands of Israel."
Hammarskjold was earlier reported to be
working on a plan to restore some semblance of effectiveness to
the armistice agreements. He postponed his departure from Cairo
for 24 hours in order to talk further with the Egyptians( Hammar-
skj old also replied brusquely to Israeli prime minister Ben-Gurion's
message which denounced Nasr's agreement to cease fire as worth-
less and demanded assurances that Egypt would live up to the agree-
ment. The secretary general reminded Ben-Gurion that Israel had
not yet confirmed that it had issued orders to carry out the agree-
ment (Press)
The first six of the twelve Mystere jet fighters
Israel has purchased left France on 11 April and arrived in Israel
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the same day,
The other six were scheduled to depart on 13 or
14 ApriL
The first operational movement of
Egypt's newly acquired Soviet motor torpedo boats was noted
on 10 Anril when six of them left Alexandria harbor at dawn.
On 3 April, the Saudi Arabian defense
minister ordered that the Saudi air force B-26 light bombers
be made combat-ready in 60 days. The Saudis have nine B-26's,
of which four are believed operational.
, believe the planes cannot be made combat-ready
even in 120 days. (SECRET)
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CliPTI
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