[SANITIZED]NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN MARCH 1, 1976 - 1976/03/01

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Argentina Declassification Project - The "Dirty War" (1976-83)
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02995059
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 22
• Document Creation Date: April 3, 2019
• Document Release Date: April 12, 2019
• Publication Date: March 1, 1976

Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059 HR
3.5(c)
lep4iet
USIB
UNITED STATES
INTELLIGENCE
BOARD
National Intelligence
Bulletin
3.5(c)
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
_T-e-ip-Svt
March 1, 1976
N2 678
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
3.5(c)
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
National Intelligence Bulletin
March 1, 1976
CONTENTS
ARGENTINA: Coup prospects
10
TOP CRET
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
3.5(c)
NR
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
NR
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
NR
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
NR
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
NR
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
NR
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
NR
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
NR
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
NR
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
NR
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
Approved for Release: 2-618/10/02 CO2995059 3.5(c)
National Intelligence Bulletin
March 1, 1976
ARGENTINA
A number of key congressmen have told the US embassy in Buenos Aires that a
military coup against President Peron is now inevitable.
The congressmen point out that the proposed attempt by the legislature to
unseat Peron would be difficult. Moreover, the congressmen doubt that breakaway
Peronists would actually vote to depose Peron. Just last week the dissident Peronists
helped defeat an impeachment measure.
There has been no reaction to the government's new economic proposals,
issued last Friday. There is, however, no reason to expect that the new plan, which
calls for new wage and price measures, will be enough to thwart a coup attempt.
It appears likely that, in the event of a coup, army Commander in Chief
General Videla would be named president by a military junta. Civilians probably
prefer Videla because he resisted early calls for a military take-over and is widely
considered a man of moderate political views.
In the event of a coup, political parties and labor groups would remain largely
unchanged. According to one report, national elections, set for late this year, would
be canceled, and congress would be closed. In the event of serious setbacks for the
new government, however, Videla might be pressured by his more aggressive military
colleagues for still more stringent policies.
Recent reporting indicates that the cabinet would be dominated by the
military. Army General Harguindeguy and Admiral Montes are said to be in line to
take over the interior and foreign relations ministries. The Ministry of Economy
might go to another army general or possibly to a conservative civilian economist.
All current indications are that a military fiovernment would seek harmonious
relations with the US.
3.5(c)
10
3.5(c)
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
NR
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
NR
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
NR
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
NR
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
NR
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
NR
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
NR
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
r
t
Ton-Secret
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059
Approved for Release: 2018/10/02 CO2995059