CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1954/02/22

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
02993985
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
6
Document Creation Date: 
August 20, 2019
Document Release Date: 
August 30, 2019
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
February 22, 1954
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PDF icon CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15689436].pdf200.52 KB
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r � Approved for Release: 2019/08/02 CO2993985 ,f i/fg TOP CIC 3.3(h)(2) 22 February 1954 3.5(c) r?4rj K'd Copy No. 8 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN DOCUMENT NO. NO CHANGE IN CLASS. IT? DECLASSIFIED CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C NEXT REVIEW DATE. eoo_9 � AUTH: HR 70-2 % DATE! -1.._c;0 REVIEWER: 11 15 Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/08/02 CO2993985 Approved for Release: 2019/08/02 CO2993985 A . SUMMARY GENERAL Pravda editorial reviews Berlin conference (page 3). SOUTHEAST ASIA 3. French army minister would accept internationalization of Indochina war (page 4). 4. French expect heavy attack on Muong Sal (page 5). LATIN AMERICA 5. Costa Rica not to attend Caracas conference (page 6). 2 TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/08/02 CO2993985 22 Feb 54 Approved for Release: 2019/08/02 CO2993985 --s 10111.I. L./ LS N. -"I 1. %I.." A. GENERAL 1. Pravda editorial reviews Berlin conference: The initial Pravda editorial reviewing the Berlin conference treats the agreement to hold a Geneva conference as a victory for the Soviet Union in that the West was forced to agree to Communist China's participation. In listing the conferees at the forthcoming Geneva meeting, the editorial includes China together with the four powers and adds other "directly interested countries." Regarding the German and Austrian ques- tions, the West is blamed for the failure to reach agreement, but the article adds that these problems "remain on the agenda." The editorial concludes that the Berlin conference had a definite significance by "helping the examination of certain urgent international questions." Comment: By listing China with the great powers in contrast to a special category for the other countries, Pravda is attempting to obscure Soviet failure to win equal status for Communist China. The references to the German and Austrian questions suggest that the Soviet Union intends to pursue them at a subsequent meeting, possibly at Geneva. Similarly, by not regarding the conference as having totally negative results, it suggests that the USSR does not want to appear to be closing the door to further negotia- tions. 2. 3 TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/08/02 CO2993985- 22 Feb 54 Approved for Release: 2019/08/02 CO2993985 LJ SOUTHEAST ASIA 3. French army minister would accept internationalization of Indochina war: Pierre de Chevigne, French secretary of state for the army, indicated to the American consul in Hanoi on 18 February that he would not be averse to internationalization of the Indochina war. He said that American equipment alone could not alter the present equilibrium, and "remained unresponsive" to the suggestion that "the progressive build-up of the Vietnamese army might be a substitute for internationalization." De Chevigne said that he saw no solution other than total war or a negotiated settlement, and added that nothing was to be gained now by seeking an arrangement with the Viet Minh alone. Comment: Heretofore, official French spokesmen have been unanimous in vigorous opposition to international- ization of the conflict. -.4 TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/08/02 CO2993985 22 Feb 54 Approved for Release: 2019/08/02 CO2993985 Nowi opk�i\i_. 4. French expect heavy attack on Muong Sal: The Viet Minh is bringing up 120mm mortars to the Muong Sai area (see map), and a heavy attack on this French-held point in northern Laos appears probable, An attack on Luang Prabang, on the other hand, is now be- lieved less likely, since only regional units are currently in the area. There is increasing evi- dence of a growing Viet Minh supply problem in northern Laos. Food stocks at the Tuan Giao depot are said to be low. The enemy is re- portedly forming six new coolie contingents to speed up sup- plies for the 308th Division and other units in northern Laos. Comment The French garrison at Muong Sat, about 60 miles north of Luang Pra- bang, consists of six infantry battalions, and the American army attach�eported on 19 February that an artillery battalion and a 120mm mortar company are being airlifted there from Luang Prabang. The opposing enemy force is believed to include five infan- try battalions and a 75mm pack artillery element. 0 176 Luang Prabang Supply difficulties may largely explain the recent lack of progress of the Viet Minh invasion force, the bulk of which was last reported to be about 30 miles north of Luang Prabang. The necessity of neutral- izing the potential threat to its flank posed by the Muong Sat garrison may also have been an important factor. -5- 22 Feb 54 TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/08/02 CO2993985 Approved for Release: 2019/08/02 CO2993985 %Nei DE4.-41�..E.A. LATIN AMERICA 5. Costa Rica not to attend Caracas conference: Costa Rican president Figueres informed the secretary general of the Organization of American States (OAS) on 19 February that his government had decided not to send a delegation to the Inter-American Conference at Caracas. In a conversation with American ambassador Hill, Figueres praised the United States for its moral leadership in the world struggle, but added that it has "the wrong idea in Latin America," where it hesitates to "take stern action against hemispheric 'bandits." Ambassador Hill comments that Figueres' decision is "partly idealistic, but also a grandstand play for the support of liberal elements in the hemisphere." However, the governor of Puerto Rico, after a telephone conversation with his friend Figueres, reports the latter as believing that he has left the door still open. Comment: The Costa Rican action, a gesture protesting against the Venezuelan dictatorship, would be the first outright refusal of an American state to attend a regular inter-American conference. As such, it would set a precedent which might undermine the basis of the OAS as the supreme hemisphere consultative body. The situation is somewhat relieved by private assurances to the American embassy in Montevideo that Uruguay, the other holdout, will attend the conference. -6 TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/08/02 CO2993985 22 Feb 54