NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: FOIA Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02992725
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 4
• Document Creation Date: March 9, 2023
• Document Release Date: September 18, 2020
• Case Number: F-2017-01987
• Publication Date: March 29, 1978

Approved for Release: 2020/09/11 002992725
The
National Intelligence
Daily e
Published by the Director of Central Intelligence for Named Principals Only
11:11Fr-SECRET
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Copy No.
WEDNESDAY 29 MARCH 1978
VOLUME 5, NUMBER 073
TCS 573/78
NR Record
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2 WEDNESDAY 29 MARCH 1978
TCS 573/78 THE NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY
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THE NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY TCS 573/78
WEDNESDAY 29 MARCH 1978 3
it:STERN HE ISPHERE
Orti' mramssiammaswanan SlableiraMINIMMERNERNMESO
Brazil: Prospects for Relations with US
Brazilian President Geisel, who will
meet with President Carter today in
Brasilia, will leave office within a year,
although he will continue to make
policy while paving the way for a hand-
picked successor. Geisel anticipates
continuing problems in relations with
the US, largely because of US positions
on human rights and nuclear non-
proliferation
Geisel and most Brazilian military
leaders resent the US positions on these
questions as intrusions into the nation's
domestic affairs. Geisel is particularly
offended because he believes the US has
not acknowledged progress he has made
on human rights, including the holding of
two relatively open elections and relaxing
President-designate
General Figueiredo
press censorship.
Geisel is a nationalist and a proud man.
If worsened relations are the price of pur-
suing what he perceives as Brazil's in-
terests, he is willing to pay it, even if with
regret.
Brazilians hold as an article of faith
that Brazil is destined to become a world
power and that this means being able to
pursue a foreign policy independent of
foreign influence. At times, they have
tried conspicuously to demonstrate their
independence of the US.
Economic growth and industrialization
in recent years have swelled the national
ego and convinced many that "greatness"
is nearly at hand. They have come to see
Brazil as a competitor with the US for
resources and markets. As Brazil becomes
more competitive, the potential for
further differences will grow.
Brazil's leaders are aware that
economic development could be derailed,
especially by recession in countries that
consume Brazil's exports and by fluc-
tuating commodities prices. They
therefore view US trade restrictions, such
as countervailing duties, as threatening
Brazil's export-led growth.
Geisel and most military leaders also
believe that the US, willfully or not, con-
tributes to social unrest in Brazil by en-
couraging domestic dissent.
In recent weeks, there have been
reports that Brazil's leaders believe the
US is actively engaged in trying to under-
mine the regime.
Some
of these reports were undoubtedly intend-
ed to heighten concern in the US over
US-Brazilian relations and to discourage
President Carter's plans to meet with Car-
dinal Arms and other opponents of the
regime.
Some Brazilian officers reportedly are
heartened by President Carter's expressed
desire to meet with President-designate
General Figueiredo. They believe that
there is little that can be done to alter
Geisel's view of the US, but think that
Figueiredo has an open mind and will
welcome the opportunity to establish an
early relationship with the US President.
NR
Record
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4 WEDNESDAY 29 MARCH 1978
TCS 573/78 THE NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY
(b)
3)
ming Notice
Sensitive Intelligence. Sources and Methods Involved
NATIONAL SECURITY INFORMATION
harked Disclosure Subject to Criminal Sanction
The National Intelligence Daily is prepared in the
Central Intelligence Agency in cooperation with the
other US foreign inteIli�ence organizations. Late items
Prepared by CIA alone are so- marked. Analytical fea-
ture articles are attributed to their authors.
CG N t D 78-073J X
NR Record
Security and control abbreviations
used in this publication:
TSLI �Top Secret UMBRA
SS�Secret SPOKE
S�Secret
C�Confideetial
U�Unclassified
NOFORH�Not Releasable to
(NF) Foreign Nationals
ORCON�Dissemination and Es-
(0C) traction of Information
Controlled by Origi-
nator
REL . �This Information has
been Authorized for
Release to ...
(b)(3)
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