CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1956/01/12

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02989472
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 15
• Document Creation Date: October 25, 2019
• Document Release Date: October 31, 2019
• Publication Date: January 12, 1956

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CURRENT
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
1.2 January 1956
Copy No. 103
OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
TOP SECRET
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CONTENTS
1. JORDANIAN KING ASKS FOR IRAQI TROOPS
(page 3).
2. STRIFE BETWEEN CYPRIOT GREEKS AND TURKS
THREATENS (page 4).
3. KING SAUD OUTLINES HIS POLICY TOWARD US
(page 5).
4. RUSSIANS REPORTED IN KABUL ARRANGING OIL DRILL-
ING (page 6).
5. UNOFFICIAL FRENCH TRADE MISSION TO VISIT COM-
MUNIST CHINA page 8).
6. SOUTH VIETNAM MAY PROCLAIM ELECTION LAW ON
15 JANUARY (page 9).
7. INDONESIAN CABINET CRISIS MAY BE IMMINENT
(page 10).
12 Jan 56
THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION
page 11)
* * * *
THE TAIWAN STRAIT
(page 12)
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 2
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1. JORDANIAN KING ASKS FOR IRAQI TROOPS
Comment
The American embassy in Amman on
10 January described the situation as
steadily deteriorating and stated that "law and order ex-
tends only within range of the Legionnaire's rifle."
Hussain probably would call in Iraqi
troops only as a last resort. Their use in Jordan would be
interpreted by the already aroused Jordanians, as well as
by Egypt, Syria, and Saudi Arabia, as confirmation that
Britain and Iraq were determined to force Jordan's adher-
ence to the Baghdad pact. Violent conflicts between Iraqi
units and Jordanian extremists would be almost certain,
and attempts might be made to assassinate Hussain and
Iraqi premier Nun i Said,
12 Jan 56
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2. STRIFE BETWEEN CYPRIOT GREEKS AND TURKS
THREATENS
Comment on:
The assassination of a Turkish
Cypriot police officer of Turk-
ish extraction on 11 January has
resulted in demonstrations by the
Turkish population in Nicosia. Until now the Turk-
ish community on Cyprus has shown moderation dur-
ing the negotiations between Cypriot nationalists and
the British although its vital interests are involved.
Anti-Greek feeling among Turkish Cypriots is being
Inflamed by VOLKAN, the Turkish underground organ-
ization on Cyprus, which threatens to kill five Greeks
in retaliation for the officer's murder.
In Istanbul, persistent rumors that
the Turkish mufti on Cyprus has been assassinated and
that other anti-Turkish atrocities have been committed
have resulted in special police precautions to prevent a
repetition of the September riots against the Greeks.
12 Jan 56
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 4
DENTIA I,
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Noe
3. KING SAUD OUTLINES HIS POLICY TOWARD US
King Saud of Sudi Arabia has re-
iterated.
his intention
to continue to co-operate with the
United States providing the United States supports his
requests for diplomatic and military assistance. Saud
said he would defer presenting to the UN Security Coun-
cil the Saudi complaint against British action in the
Buraimi oasis pending results of Prime Minister Eden's
talks in Washington.
Saud also stated that Soviet representa-
tives in Beirut have renewed offers of assistance to him,
but that his attitude toward the USSR would remain nega-
tive unless the US "disappoints us." He said no negotiations
will be undertaken with the Communist Chinese commercial
delegation now in Jidda.
The king asserted, however, that he was
under strong pressure from those who think he is wrong in
depending on the United States, and cited a request by reli-
gious counselors that he declare a holy war to "save Buraimi."
Comment Saud's views as expressed in this note are
consistent with the policy he has followed
for some time in his relations with the United States.
12 Jan 56
Current Intelligence Bulletin
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'Naar'
4. RUSSIANS REPORTED IN KABUL ARRANGING OIL DRILLING
Selected railroad
All-weather rood
12 JANUARY 1956
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12 Jan 56
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Current Intelligence Bulletin
Page 6
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Comment Preliminary exploration dating back to
1937 indicates that there are significant
oil deposits in the Shibarghan area. There is an oil-produc-
ing field just across the Oxus River in the USSR, and refin-
ing facilities are readily accessible. Any oil produced in
this area would almost certainly be exported to the USSR.
Construction of the Ghazni dam by the
Soviet Union was earlier reported
to be included in the 00,000,000 credit. The
Ghazni and Jalalabad dam projects, if undertaken, would
mark the first appearance of Soviet activities in southern and
eastern Afghanistan, an area hitherto reserved for develop-
ment by Western interests. (Concurred in by ORR)
12 Jan 56
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Nine' Nor
5. UNOFFICIAL FRENCH TRADE MISSION TO VISIT
COMMUNIST CHINA
A trade mission sponsored by the
French Employers' Association
will leave for Peiping on 18 Janu-
ary "to review trade possibilities
with Communist China." According to a French For-
eign Ministry official, any Chinese proposals for trade
in embargoed items will be scrutinized by the Paris
government, which will grant only a "reasonable" num-
ber of exceptions to trade controls.
The Foreign Ministry spokesman
stressed the unofficial nature of the mission and the ef-
fort to exclude members whose presence might indicate
a change in the French attitude toward Communist China.
Comment French business interests have long
argued that they should have a larger
share of China trade. The French are aware of the re-
cent British proposal to eliminate special controls on
trade with China.
The appearance of this mission in
Peiping will intensify pressure against the CHINCOM
controls by other countries of the free world, particu-
larly Japan, which foresee an end to the multilateral
embargo on China trade and are anxious to seize what
Chinese trade opportunities there may be. (Concurred
in by ORR)
12 Jan 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin
Page 8
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e.JI_4' 111.4
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SOUTH VIETNAM MAY PROCLAIM ELECTION LAW ON
15 JANUARY
An election law providing for a national
assembly of approximately 125 seats
will be announced in South Vietnam on
15 January and elections will take place
in late February or early Marcll,
Sixty seats will be allotted
to southern Vietnam, 40 to central Vietnam, 12 to various
mountain tribes, and 11 to refugees. One assembly seat will
be left vacant as a symbol of missing North Vietnamese rep-
resentation.
The government slate will be composed
of representatives from the Movement of Struggle for Free-
dom, the Citizen's Rally, and the National Revolutionary Move-
ment, with the last providing the majority of the candidates.
Although independent candidates will be permitted to campaign,
[predicts that this coalition will win most of the
seats.
Comment The Diem government has been carefully
preparing for the election of a legislature
and will probably be as successful as it was in the nationwide
referendum last October which deposed Bao Dai and installed
Diem as chief of state. The chief task of the new assembly
will be to approve a constitution now being drafted under Diem's
supervision and other basic legislation designed to ensure sta-
bility in South Vietnam,
12 Jan 56
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 9
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7. INDONESIAN CABINET CRISIS MAY BE IMMINENT
Comment on
The Indonesian parliament, which has
just reconvened, is schedule to debate
the government's New Guinea policy at
its first plenary session on 16 January
and the defection of two parties in Premier Harahap's coali-
tion. cabihet in a showdown vote might lead to the cabinet's
downfall. The government has been criticized for failure to
assert aggressively Indonesia's claim to sovereignty over
West New Guinea in current negotiations with the Nether-
lands.
Harahap is prepared to go to great
lengths to remain in office until the parliament elected last
fall is seated in the spring. He may decide not to resume
the talks with the Dutch, which are now in recess, and might
sacrifice his foreign minister in the hope of retaining suffi-
cient parliamentary support.
Even such moves as these, however,
might not save his government. Two parties in the govern-
ment coalition, one of them the newly powerful Nandlatul
Ulama, have already dissociated themselves from the nego-
tiations with the Netherlands. Harahap's survival may de-
pend to a great extent on Sukarno, who probably wields enough
influence to engineer a no-confidence vote if he so desires.
12 Jan 56
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 10
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'IL LI/ I- ILIA AL L.1-�
*NW
THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION
(Information as of 1700, 11 January)
Nothing of significance to report.
12 Jan 56
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 11
coNriarNTIAL
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BIWEEKLY SUMMARY
29 December 1955-11 January 1956
THE TAIWAN STRAIT
Report of the IAC Current Intelligence Group
for the Taiwan Strait Problem
1� There has been no significant military activity in the
area.
2. Chinese Communist naval activity was highlighted by
continued movement of a larger than normal number of small
patrol craft (YP) and coastal cargo vessels in the area opposite
the Matsus. Unconfirmed sightings of LVT-type amphibious
craft in this area continued to be reported. In the Quemoy area
there has been a reported increase in the number of junk sight-
ings and motorized junk traffic along with increased amphibious
training and logistic support activity. It is believed that the high
level of reported activity is due to improved weather conditions.
3. The Chinese Communists have announced that the coastal
road, which has been under construction from Foochow north to
Wenchow, was "placed in service" on 1 January� The capacity of
this important link with the offshore island area cannot now be de-
termined, as it is probably limited by the lack of bridges at four
different points along the road. When the bridges are constructed
to replace ferries, the road will be capable of supporting heavy
traffic.
The Communists have also announced that an additional
500 miles of road networks will be built in Fukien Province during
1956.
4. Peiping's propaganda, while stating that Communist China
"will continue to work for an agreement" at Geneva, took on a threat-
ening tone with the assertion that "the Chinese people will not con-
sent to the endless dragging out of the Sino-American talks." In
other comment, Peiping referred to the "ceaseless visits by Ameri-
can top brass" to Taiwan. The visits of Secretary Quarles and
12 Jan 56
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 12
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Admiral Radford to Taiwan were said to be for the purpose of
discussing the "scope and timing of the eventual participation
of US forces in the defense of the offshore islands."
Despite the threatening tone of Peiping's propaganda, it
is unlikely that the Chinese Communists will initiate a break in
the Geneva talks in the immediate future. A break in the talks
would appear to require more negotiating and propaganda prep-
aration than is now in evidence.
12 Jan 56
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 13
�SEPRE-T
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TAIWAN STRAIT SITUATION
12 JANUARY 1956
CHINESE COMMUNIST AIRFIELD LEGEND:
DESIGNATIONS
SECONDARY AIRFIELD
PRIMARY AIRFIELD
AUXILIARY OR EMERGENCY BASES
CONSIDERED MOST IMPORTANT IN OR FIELDS OF LESSER IMPORTANCE
AREA WITH PREPARH3 RUNWAY RUNWAYS GENERAt LY LESS THAN
GENERALLY 5000 FEET OR LONGER. 5000 FEET.
ACTIVE BASE FOR MILITARY B. CIVILIAN AIR-
CRAFT. SOME BASES USED BY PISTON TYPES
MAY BE USABLE BY JETS
� OPERATIONAL
SERVICEABLE
UNKNOWN
1
INACTIVE BASES CAPABLE OF USE BY AIRCRAFT
CURRENT STATUS UNDETERMINED
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SEC ONDARY ROADS
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