CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1958/08/14

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
02987885
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
17
Document Creation Date: 
January 27, 2020
Document Release Date: 
January 30, 2020
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
August 14, 1958
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PDF icon CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULL[15777289].pdf751.13 KB
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/ . . Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2987885 31MIC-L r 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) 0 14 August 1958 Copy No. C- ,) 7 CENTRAL IXTELLIGENCE BULLETIN -TOP-SEE-RET- iprr�ifdforl(elfal:.(0c0V/.2&(2(8c�57/0/1 Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2987885 . *or Elm 'III III 1 Eml .4111111N, 1r A CI &irr�ribror Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2987885 Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2987885 V 14 AUGUST 1958 I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC Chinese Nationalists claim three Chinese Communist jet fighters shot down east of Foochow on morning of 14 August; Foochow's Nantai is third coastal airfield to become opera- tional since 27 July. Khrushchev said recently he intended to vacation with Kadar. Nasir says Chou En-lai will arrive in Cairo "in several weeks." II. ASIA-AFRICA Lebanese Christians see their posi- tion jeopardized by Arab political successes; fighting possible. King Husayn and Prime Minister Rifai fear sacrifice of Jordan's in- terests in context of any general Middle Eastern settlement. Indications are that the UAR is back- ing Iraqi Deputy Premier Arif over the long run against Prime Minister Qasim, 0 Shah of Iran, who fears a coup, continues to show signs of concern about potential threats to his re- gime. 0 Pakistan - Opposition exploitation of popular discontent with government's pro-Western stand may make this is- sue a major feature of election cam- paign. 0 Indonesian dissidents inflict severe damage on large US-owned rubber estate on Sumatra; government has flown reinforcements to Medan area. Morocco - Dominant Istiqlal party appoints group to study foreign troop issue; recommendation for eventual total evacuation likely. Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2987885 Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2987885 *No' "IVI ECRE, CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN 14 August 1958 DAILY BRIEF L THE COMMUNIST BLOC *Communist China - Taiwan: The Chine claim to have shot down three Communist dogfight over the Taiwan Straits, east o morning of 14 August. The clash inv MIG's and seven Nationalist F-86 tinnalist nlanps was damaged an Nationalists t fighters in a Foochow, on the ved four Communist craft. One of the Na- may have been lost. Nantai is the third previously unoccupie e Ast al airfield to have become opera- tional since 27 July. The Communist jets may have come to ntai from Luchiao, where, there has been a recent build-up of jet fighter strengtV two other fields-- Lungtien a Huian--have been undergoing preparations for operatio . Occupation of these coastal fields by MIG's would give th Communists the capability to control the air space over Fuki and the Taiwan Straits. (See map on y�rse of page) USSR-Hungary: Khrushchevis statement to Adlai Steven- son on 5 August that he had "decided to spend his vacation with Kadar" may indicate that Khrushchev continues to feel that he must intervene personally to support Kadar in his dealings with the Hungarian party and people. It is not clear from Khrushchey's remarks whether he is going to Hungary. Earlier he told the American ambassador he would be vaca- tioning in Kiev from 16 to 20 August and would spend the re- mainder of his holiday in the Crimea. (Page 1) TOP SECRET AApproved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2987185 7,//'� A,. V � , , , 1-1." nr. Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2987885 'mine 000 Communist troop strength 000 Nationalist troop strength Area of major /-+ Piston fighter naval activity + Jet fighter + Piston light bomber + Jet light bomber Ft Ground-attack SELECTED MAJOR AIRFIELDS 14 AUGUST 158 Hankow Hengyang, *Canton 80806 80813 5 Nankin Hangchow Nanchang Chuhsien.+ Fooch NAN I , Shanghai NINGP# LUCHIAO WenchowS 'I.-MATSU IS. 23,000 4; as& -4. � AN INGYANG 14. CHIANG QUEMOY IS. 86, 000 LIE HENG NGCHI AOCHI__ Am 80, CHENGHAI Swat. CHOU SHAN EAST CHINA SEA ISTATUTE MILES 300 pefa--sEeRf-T Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2987885 "Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2987885 Ivo TOP SECKEI. � pI L \ Communist China - UAR: Nasir recently told a Japanese Diet member that Chou En-lai will arrive in Cairo "in several weeks." Such a visit would afford Communist China an oppor- tunity to underscore its own interests in the Middle East and support Peiping's pretensions to a "great-power" voice on ma- jor international issues. (Page 2) Watch Committee conclusion--Sino-Soviet bloc: A. No Sib-Soviet bloc country intends to initiate hos- tilities against the continental US or its possessions in the Immediate future. B. No Sino-Soviet bloc country intends deliberately to Initiate direct military action against US forces abroad, US allies, or areas peripheral to the orbit in the immediate future. NOTE: Soviet forces in areas adjacent to the Middle East appear to have ended their limited alert and have returned to normal dispositions. Chinese Communist forces do not appear to intend major action against the offshore islands or Taiwan in the immediate future, although air clashes involving numbers of aircraft in the Taiwan Strait area are II. ASIA-AFRICA Watch Committee conclusion�Middle East: Although a deliberate initiation of open hostilities in the Middle East is unlikely in the immediate future, the situation remains highly unstable throughout the area, particularly where US and UK interests or commitments are involved, and incidents and coups could occur at any time. NOTE: The survival of the Jordanian regime continues to be threatened. If the regime in Jordan collapses, action 14 Aug 58 DAILY BRIEF ii VA TOP-SECRET AApproved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2987g57 A 'Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2987885 180 I by neighboring countries to take control of Jordanian territory is likely. There are indications of closer accommodation between Saudi Arabia and the UAR. Lebanon: Militant Christian organizations are threaten- ing to establish "closed areas" in Beirut and in the country- side in opposition to army attempts to disarm their members. These threats app'far aimed primarily at stiffening Shihab's attitude toward the Moslem rebels. They also reflect Chris- tian fears that Arab nationalist political successes endanger the privileged position of the Christian population. Should tension between the sects continue to grow, fighting is pos- sible. (Page 3) Jordan: King Husayn has stated he will reject any plan to use a UN force to assist Jordan to maintain its independ- ence. Although he would welcome a UN "guarantee" of Jor- dan's frontiers, his government will continue in practice to rely on American and British support. Husayn and Prime Minister Rifai evidently suspect that the Western powers may be tempted to sacrifice their position in Jordan in order to nPhiPVP wider agreement on Middle Eastern problems Iraq-UAR: The UAR ay have decided to back Iraq'sDep- uty Prime Minister Arif as more likely over the longer term to favor close cooperation with UAR policy than Prime Minister Qasim, who is described as a "simple Iraqi nationalist." Arif is the real organizer of the Iraqi coup, and Nasir himself is reported to have said that Arif is the outstanding personality in the new government. Aril's recent activities, including tours to outlying areas in Iraq, where he made a number of speeches attacking "imperial- ism" and "feudalism," suggest that he may well aspire to play the "Nasir role" in Iraq. (Page 5) 14 Aug 58 DAILY BRIEF iii TOP SECRET AApproved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2987885 PA � Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2987885 %Of101' LC1