CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1958/08/09

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02987881
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 15
• Document Creation Date: January 27, 2020
• Document Release Date: January 30, 2020
• Publication Date: August 9, 1958

vow pproveciei Release: 2020/01/23
3.5(c)
9 August 1958 3.3(h)(2)
Copy No. C-
CENTRAL
:17
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
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DOCUMENT NO
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REVIEWER:
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9 AUGUST 1958
L THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Some Soviet military units resuming
normal activities after precautionary
measures during Middle Eastern
situation.
II. ASIA-AFRICA
Crown Prince Faysal of Saudi Arabia
to visit Cairo shortly for further
discussions:
General Shihab now states he wants
bulk of US forces to remain in Leba-
non for the time being and to use
their presence to bargain with op-
position.
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Jordan - King Husayn has word that
uprising against him is imminent
CI Tunisia - Bourguiba may lose sup-
port of important labor elements.
Laotian government authority break-
ing down in rural areas where Com-
munist strength is growing.
Indonesian dissidents have stepped up
guerrilla activity against government
forces in North and Central Sumatra.
0 More border clashes likely between
Pakistan and India.
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
9 August 1958
DAILY BRIEF
I. THE COMMUNfST BLOC
Soviet military activity: Some of the Soviet air and na-
val ulirigi
began to return to normal activities ono tneir
home bases on 6 August. On 7 August, Soviet aircraft be-
gan leaving Bulgaria. However, some Northern Fleet sub-
marines have continued to operate in the North Atlantic -
Norwegian Sea area; some Black Sea Fleet units have re-
mained at sea.
The Soviet bloc press announced on 6 and 7 August that
maneuvers in Bulgaria, Transcaucasus, and Turkestan had
ended and that Marshals Skripko, Grechko, and Meretskov
II. ASIA-AFRICA
Saudi Arabia - UAR: The visit of UAR Vice President
Amir to Saudi Arabia resulted in agreement that Saudi Crown
Prince Faysal would visit Egypt shortly. An aide to King
Saud has expressed the opinion that any matters of iinportance
would probably be taken up during Faysal's visit to Cairo, ob-
serving that Faysal and Nasir held similar views. A Saudi
Government accommodation with Nasir may take the form of
some type of association with the United Arab States--the UAR-
Yemen arrangement--or a revival of the Egyptian-Syrian-Saudi
military alliance. King Saud, meanwhile, is attempting to
purchase a "long-range aircraft" on a priority basis, suggest-
ing that he is again considering a European visit, or making
preparations for escape in the event of trouble.
7
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Lebanon: General Shihab has said he hopes the United
States will not make more than a token withdrawal of Amer-
ican forces in Lebanon until the peace and security of the
country have been assured. Despite his public statements
favoring early departure of the Americans, the general says
he wishes to use any exodus as a bargaining point
to extract concessions from opposition leaders.
Jordan: King Husayn has received information that a
popular uprising against him is imminent.
(Page 1)
Tunisia: President Bourguiba may lose the support of
Tunisia's principal labor leader, Ahmed ben Salah, who is
also secretary of health and social affairs. TMs leader and
the other labor union officials who held government posts
are considering resigning because of their dissatisfaction
with the lack of progress on land reform. unemployment prob-
lems, and promulgating a constitution.
(Page 3)
Laos: Government authority is breaking down in some
rural areas. Some officials have resigned because they fear
the growing strength of the Communist-dominated Neo Lao
Hak Zat (NLHZ) party.
If the situation is allowed to deterior-
ate further, it may lead to a military solution imposed by the
army and crown. (Page 4)
Indonesia: Indonesian dissidents in North and Central
Sumatra are stepping up their guerrilla operations against
the central government. Their aim is to recapture major
communications centers, possibly including Medan, and to
DAILY BRIEF ii
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time "successes" to coincid rotirrhlv with InclonPsian inde-
pendence day on 17 August. (Page
5) (Map)
India - Pakistan: Increased tension and troop activity
on both sides of the East Pakistani - Indian border have re-
sulted in new shooting incidents. These incidents may be
attempts to influence a meeting between Indian and Pakistani
officials scheduled for 23 August on the border and related
issues. Border clashes and mutual recriminations will prob-
ably continue for the time being, but both governments have
shown a desire to keep such incidents localized.
(Page 6) (Map)
9 Aug 58
DAILY BRIEF iii
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I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
No Back-up Material,
IL ASIA-AFRICA
Tension Rising in Jordan
King Husayn has received information that a popular
uprising against him is imminent, which could possibly in-
volve a prolonged campaign of terrorism and guerrilla war-
fare. The UAR-sponsored Jordanian clandestine radio,
which is located in Syria, has raised exhortations to rebel-
lion to a shrill pitch, with such calls as "on to the revolu-
tion, Jordanian people," urging the population to "chop off
the heads and destroy those who plan intrigues to keep Pal-
estine in the hands of outlaws," and generally urging imme-
diate violent destruction of the pro-Western regime of King
Husayn.
Other reports indicate that Syria may have recently
reinforced its troops along the Jordanian border.
Syria
has brought its military strength along the Jordanian border
up to two brigades and that small arms and ammunition have
been stockpiled near the border, fromwhere they are smug-
gled into Jordan.
Syria's recent closure of the Jordanian border, which
now is partially lifted, may have been partly intended to ob-
scure troop movements. Syrian troops would probably be
intended also for psychological pressure, rather than for
overt military operations against Jordan, and to cover infil-
tration of paramilitary elements.
a group of Syrian and Palestinian raiders,
along with their officers, had infiltrated northern Jordan for
sabotage activity during the week of 10-16 August.
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9 Aug 58
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A possible new element of risk for King Husayn may
arise from the scheduled transfer of control over the se-
curity of Amman from the King's uncle to Deputy Chief of
Staff Sadiq Shara, who has been suspected of involvement
in conspiracy against the regime. Shara's increased au-
thority in the army apparently stems from the insistence
of Prime Minister Rifai, who overcame misgivings of the
King. Rifaits sponsorship of Shara and his efforts to curb
countersubversive activities in the army by the King's uncle
suggest that he might be considering preparing the around
for transition to a less anti-Nasir government.
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Tunisian Labor Union Leaders May Pull Out of Government
Tunisia's popular labor leader, Ahmed ben Salah, secre-
tary of state for health and social affairs and former head of the
dominant Neo-Destour - affiliated trade union, the Tunisian Gen-
eral Union of Labor (UGTT), is reported dissatisfied with in-
ternal developments and may leave the government. He is
disappointed with the government's lack of progress toward
land reform, reducing unemployment, and promulgating a
constitution. If he resigns, other UGTT officials would also
leave, among whom are the secretaries of state for agriculture,
commerce and industry, and education, youth, and sports, and
the under secretary for information.
Ben Salah and his cohorts might form a labor party in op-
position to Bourguiba's Neo-Destour party, thereby ending
the quasi-one-party political system in Tunisia. Such a break
seems unlikely, however, while Bourguiba is hospitalized
following surgery on 8 August.
Bourguiba in late 1956 forced Ben Salah to resign as
head of the UGTT because he feared him as a potential politi-
cal rival and because he felt Ben Salah's economic views were
discouraging foreign investment. Ben Salah, who is des-
cribed as an anti-Communist Marxist, was advocating na-
tionalization of industry and collectivization of agriculture.
Ben Salah was partially restored to favor by the following July
and accepted the comparatively minor post of secretary of
state for health when the Tunisian Republic was founded. He
proved an exceptionally able administrator and was rewarded
with the additional portfolio of social affairs in the minor cabi-
net reshuffle last May.
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Government Authority Disintegrating in Laos
General Ouane, chief of staff of the Laotian Army, pre-
dicts a nationwide breakdown in government authority within
three to four months unless the present trend is reversed.
He told an American official on 5 August that royal govern-
ment officials in remote areas are resigning out of fear of
the growing strength of the Communist-dominated Neo Lao
Hak Zat (NLHZ). Members of the auto-defense force--special
part-time volunteers�stationed in outlying areas are turning
in their arms in increasing numbers, commenting that the royal
government is not strong enough to protect them. Ouane was
depressed over the continuation of the cabinet crisis and stated
that he would not wait much longer before using the army to
set up an anti-Communist government.
After its success in the 4 May supplementary elections,
the NLHZ stepped up its propaganda activities in the villages
and began an all-out campaign to discredit royal government
officials throughout the provinces. This campaign is apparent-
ly meeting with success,
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