CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1953/06/10

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02929524
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: July 15, 2019
• Document Release Date: July 22, 2019
• Publication Date: June 10, 1953

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SEC INFORMATION
10 Tune 1953
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
NO CHANGE IN
; DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: S
NEXT REVIEW DATE:
AUTft
DATE/ '00 REVIEWER
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SUMMARY
SOVIET UNION
1. USSR reverses stand on Soviet dependents of US citizens in Russia
(page 3).
2. Aviation fuel shortage in Sakhalin-Kuril area (page 3).
FAR EAST
Korean government to launch intensive new antiarmistice campaign
..Ina.ae 3)
3.3(h)(2)
Ver
SOUTHEAST ASIA
to$,Yunnanese Nationalist troops in Burma reportedly opposed to evacuation
(page 5).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
ommonwealth prime ministers fail to urge British concessions to
Egypt (page 5).
7. Egypt considers financial aid to Libya (page 6).
WESTERN EUROPE
8. East Germans reverse decision on physical-military training for
party members (page 6).
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SOVIET UNION
1. USSR reverses stand on Soviet dependents of US citizens in Russia:
The Soviet government informed the US embas2.3(h)(2)
in Moscow on 6 June that it would approve the
long-standing application for exit visas for the
Soviet wives and, children of some US citizens.
Comment: This decision amounts to only a
minor concession. The removal of such long-
standing irritants constitutes a step toward the
appearance of more normal diplomatic relations.
2. Aviation fuel shortage in Sakhalin-Kuril area:
3.3(h)(2)
a shortage of fuel for conven-
tional and jet aircraft existed in the Sakhalin-
Kuril area during April and May. Flying activity
was greatly restricted during this period, and
ovie defensive capabilities were undoubtedly lessened. The situation
had apparently eased by 1 Arne, when a greater number of aircraft were
noted active, but transmissions stating the aircraft would be airborne
only from 20 to 40 minutes indicated the supply was still limited.
Comment: The aviation fuel shortage in these
areas is probably due to limited local transportation facilities, as the
capacity of refineries in the Maritime District is believed adequate to
meet current requirements.
FAR EAST
3. South Korean government to launch intensive new antiarmistice campaign:
Ambassador Briggs reports that the South Kor3.3(h)(2)
government is about to launch a new and more
intensive antiarmistice campaign. It will maintain
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that the United States is "responsible" for Korean unification, demand
the immediate release of all anti-Communist POW's, and urge the use
of force to prevent the entry of neutral supervisory troops.
The ambassador believes that the new drive
will be more explosive than previous ones since it will coincide with
final armistice negotiations, hamper measures to implement a truce
and generate open UN-South Korean conflicts, especially if Rhee at-
tempts to effect immediate prisoner releases. He notes that a few
Communist agitators might convert orderly demonstrators into an
unruly, destructive mob. The campaign might also lead some South
Korean army generals, convinced that present policies are leading
toward national disaster, to overthrow the Rhee government.
Comment; This new campaign could prevent
the establishment of the proposed neutral supervisory commission. Both
India and Switzerland have indicated that they will not serve unless the
South Korean government agrees to the armistice.
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h)(2)
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SOUTHEAST ASIA
5. Yunnanese Nationalist troops in Burma reportedly opposed to evacuation:
Chinese Nationalist troops in Burma who are 3.3(h)(2)
natives of the neighboring province of Yunnan
are opposed to being evacuated to Formosa
and are determined not to surrender their arms,
These troops are reported to be organ-
izing into separate bands and to have been responsible for a significant
resurgence of banditry. They are expected to become even more trouble-
some if direction and support from Taipei are terminated.
Comment: Although no accurate statistics
are available, the great majority of Nationalist troops in Burma are
believed to be Yunnanese. Withdrawal of non-Yunnanese troops, however,
and elimination of Taipei's direction and support would permit Burmese
forces ultimately to overcome those remaining.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
6. Commonwealth prime ministers fail to urge British concessions to Egypt:
None of the participants in the commonwealtli3.3(h)(2)
prime ministers' discussion of the Egyptian
situation urged Britain to make further con-
cessions in order to facilitate an agreement
with Egypt. All generally supported the British position, according to
a British Foreign Office official who saw the record of the meeting,
This official told the American embassy in
London that there is no basis for the Egyptian press statements that
the Asian prime ministers were sympathetic to Cairo's demands for
unconditional evacuation of British troops.
The Foreign Office is hopeful that Nehru and
Mohammed Ali will urge on Nagib the necessity for continued restraint
and for reaching a practical solution by negotiation.
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Comment: If this report is accurate it is
unlikely that Churchill will agree to any significant modif ication of
the British position.
7. Egypt considers financial aid to Libya:
33(h)(2)
Comment: This is the first evidence that
Egypt is considering financial aid to Libya. The state is at present
dependent on Britain, which under terms of a temporary agreement
covers the annual deficit amounting to more than $3,000,000 for 1952-53.
Substantial aid from Cairo would considerably
increase Egyptian influence at the expense of the West and would further
orient Libya toward the Arab Middle East, a trend which started when it
joined the Arab League last March.
WESTERN EUROPE
8., East Germans reverse decision on physical-military training for
party members:
Abandonment by the Socialist Unity Party 3.3(h)(2)
of previously announced plans for physical-
military training of party members and
candidates in the 18-30 year age group is
attributed by American observers in Berlin both to Soviet objections
and to technical difficulties.
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While cost of the program, lack of party
enthusiasm, and the general sports program may have influenced
the decision, these observers believe that the suddenness of the
reversal points to Soviet objections to a plan in conflict with the
"peace offensive."
Comment: Previous instances of Soviet
restraint in East German military matters have appeared directed
more at curbing ostentation than at curtailing the program as a whole.
No signs have been noted of restraint on such programs as the current
harassment of the churches.
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