CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1953/05/07

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02901104
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: July 15, 2019
• Document Release Date: July 22, 2019
• Publication Date: May 7, 1953

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7 May 1953
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SUMMARY
GENERAL
1. Soviet official links Korean and Austrian issues (page 3).
FAR EAST
2. MIG-15 build-up in Manchuria may be under way (page 3).
3. South Korean police direct antiarmistice demonstrations (page 4).
4.
5.
6.
SOUTHEAST ASIA
Increased Viet Minh activity in Tonkin delta indicated (page 4).
WESTERN EUROPE
French say proposed strategy on Austrian treaty would play into
Soviet hands (page 5).
7. Bidault may suggest four-power talks on disarmament (page b).
* * * *
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GENERAL
1. Soviet official links Korean and Austrian issues:
treaty could
advantage if
extension of
general war.
In an informal conversation with Western 3.3(h)(2)
representatives, the Soviet deputy political
adviser in Austria flatly stated that a Korean
agreement must be concluded before an Austrian
be signed. He said that the USSR would be at a great dis-
subsequent to withdrawal of its forces from Austria an
the Far East conflict resulted in Soviet involvement In a
He stressed the importance of restoring mutual
confidence, adding that an Austrian peace treaty could then be settled
easily.
Comment: The USSR may well exploit a
Korean stalemate as a convenient excuse for further stalling on an
Austrian peace treaty and other major issues.
FAR EAST
2. MIG45 build-up in Manchuria may be under way:
Comment:
a joint air conference attended by high Soviet, Chinese and North
Korean officers was held at Antung in March.
United Nations pilots reported sighting on 22
April an unprecedented 400 to 500 MIG45 aircraft at Anturag airfield
and an equal number at Tatungkuo.
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3. South Korean police direct antiarmistice demonstrations:
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Comment: On 23 April a mob of several
thousand demonstrators attempted to penetrate the US Embassy com-
pound, and the previous day the largest group of demonstrators ever
seen in Pusan marched the streets carrying antiarmistice banners.
Other reports have indicated police guidance in turning out the citizenry
for the "spontaneous" demonstrations.
SOUTHEAST ASIA
4. Increased Viet Minh activity in Tonkin delta indicated:
3.3(h)(
2)
2)
Comment: There have been several sizable
attacks in the delta in recent weeks. and further pressure on the French
therP may hp Pxne et pd 3.3(h)(2)
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WESTERN EUROPE
5. French say proposed strategy on Austrian treaty would play into Soviet
hands:
6.
High French foreign ministry officials state
that Western efforts to obtain a revision of
the economic concessions granted the USSR
In Article 35 of the old Austrian treaty draft
wou give e ussians a "golden opportunity" to blame the West if
the treaty negotiations fail, as is expected. Since the Austrian question
has been played up as a test of Soviet good faith, the entire Western
position with respect to the Soviet "peace" offensive could be profoundly
affected by such a development.
Comment: Both London and Vienna have
accepted a new American proposal calling for withdrawal of the short
treaty draft and for strenuous efforts to revise Article 35, and France
can be expected to agree reluctantly. Foreign Minister Gruber also
appears to be uneasy about this approach and has urged that the question
of revision be delayed until the Soviet position has been probed as far as
possible.
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7. Bidault may suggest four-power talks on disarmament:
French Foreign Minister Bidault plans to
present to the United States and Britain a
note on the relation of disarmament to four-
power negotiations on German unification.
He will include a suggestion that the West ask the USSR promptly for
a conference on disarmament
Bidault does not believe the Russians will disarm, and his proposal
is meant to counter a possible Soviet request for a conference on
German unification.
Bidault reportedly feels such a Soviet move
would end all possibility of EDC ratification by the French Parliament,
but foresees no difficulty for ratification if the USSR should refuse to
participate in a disarmament conference.
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Comment: At the 25 April tripartite meeting
in Paris, Bidault urged four-power taLks with disarmament first on the
agenda as a means of forestalling a possible Soviet offer to discuss a
unified, neutralized Germany. The USSR would be likely to accept such
a proposal for propaganda purposes.
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