CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1953/08/29

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02872268
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: July 15, 2019
• Document Release Date: July 22, 2019
• Publication Date: August 29, 1953

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Copy No. 67
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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REVIEWER
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SEC ITY INFORMATION
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SUMMARY
GENERAL
1. Comment on indication of Soviet attendance at Austrian treaty
1,2(meeting (page 3).
Reports of new Soviet moves in Iran (page 3).
SOVIET UNION
VComment on the Moscow Air Show (page 4).
FAR EAST
VI' South Korean officials say Communists intensifying penetration
efforts (page 5).
tie" Chinese Communist air army may be on Hainan Island (page 5).
WESTERN EUROPE
6. Adenauer objects to text of proposed Western note on Germany
(page 6).
7. Comment on Vatican-Spanish concordat (page 7).
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GENERAL
1. Comment on indication of Soviet attendance at Austrian treaty
meeting:
the USSR may accept
the Western invitation to attend a deputy foreign ministers'
meeting on an Austrian state treaty scheduled for that date.
On 25 May the USSR rejected a bid
for four-power discussion of an Austrian treaty and empha-
sized the futility of further discussions on the deputies' level.
The Soviet note of 31 July, however, stipulated withdrawal of
the abbreviated text as the only condition for attendance at a
meeting.
By agreeing not to introduce this
short treaty for consideration, the West has removed a major
Soviet excuse for not attending the meeting.
2. Reports of new Soviet moves in Iran:
Prime Minister Zahedi told Ambassador
Henderson that the Soviet ambassador in
Tehran has protested to the Iranian govern-
ment about anti-Soviet demonstrations on
19 August which included attacks on the
Soviet information center.
According to press reports, the Soviet
ambassador also has offered Zahedi aid to meet Iran's urgent fi-
nancial crisis. Other press reports state that on 27-28 August
the Soviet trade representative met with the Iranian minister of
national economy to discuss the signing of a new supplementary
agreement for the exchange of goods, which was followed by a
statement from the Iranian minister to the effect that the agree-
ment would be signed on 29 August
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Comment: Any Soviet aid to Iran
would probably be offered as an annex to the June trade agree-
ment, or possibly through a new agreement resulting from the
negotiations soon to be resumed in Tehran, rather than as an
outright gift.
Prime Minister Zahedi and the shah
would not be averse to using an alleged or actual offer of Soviet
help to stimulate American aid.
SOVIET UNION
3. Comment on the Moscow Air Show:
Included in the annual Soviet air show
over Moscow's Tuschino airport on 23 August were 54 single
engine jet fighters similar to the MIG-15, but with a longer and
more slender fuselage. No new bomber types were shown although
It is known that prototypes have been built.
In the past prototypes of new aircraft have
been demonstrated for Western observation at the air show each
summer. Some of these types never get into production while others
may be operational at the time of their appearance in the show. The
appearance of the new fighters at this year's show points up the con-
tinued Soviet efforts to improve air defense and confirms that exhibi-
tion of new aircraft has not been discontinued. The failure to show
new medium or heavy bombers suggests that these were not available,
at least in quantities commensurate with the scale of the rest of the
show.
In late July, seen
what appeared to be seven or eight type 31 heavy
bombers and a possible prototype of a new swept-wing bomber at
Ramenskoye Airfield, a test field for the Flight Research Institute.
It has not been possible to determine whether these sightings indi-
cated the existence of a new jet medium or heavy bomber
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FAR EAST
4. South Korean officials say Communists intensifying penetration
efforts:
South Korean officials are concerned
over Communist penetration since the
armistice, according to General Van
Fleet. These officials state that as
soon as the armistice was signed, Communist agents began
flocking south, some in the guise of returning prisoners of war
and others sifting through the demilitarized zone or coming by
sea. Van Fleet said that the South Korean government has not
yet devised adequate measures to cope with the problem.
The American embassy comments that
while infiltration and penetration will undoubtedly be accelerated,
the South Korean government also has an interest in establishing
publicly that this has taken place in order to justify its possible
withdrawal from the political conference.
Comment: The recent North Korean
purges eliminated among others virtually all the Communist
leaders charged with the unsuccessful subversion program in
the south. It can be expected that the new leaders will intensify
their penetration efforts not only to avoid the fate of their prede-
cessors but to promote the current Communist unification themes.
5. Chinese Communist air army may be on Hainan Island:
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Should elements of a Chinese Communist
air army be located on or intend to make use of Hainan, they might
contemplate a sneak strike on the Tonkin delta ostensibly by Viet
Minh planes. In conjunction with a determined enemy assault, such
a strike could have disastrous military and psychological results.
WESTERN EUROPE
6� Adenauer objects to text of proposed Western note on Germany:
Chancellor Adenauer believes that unless
the proposed Western note to Moscow on
the German and Austrian questions is
amended, it may damage him in the 6
September elections and jeopardize the
"German position." He objects in par-
ticular to any implication that the Western
powers would discuss a peace treaty before
the formation of an all-German government.
In the opinion of American representatives
on the tripartite drafting committee in Paris, revising the text to
meet Adenauer's insistence that any four-power meeting be confined
to the question of free elections would give the Soviet Union a perfect
pretext for evading discussions. Furthermore, it would expose both
Adenauer and the West to charges of insincerity from the West Ger-
man opposition Social Democrats.
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Comment: On the eve of the elections,
Adenauer is probably unduly concerned over any implication that
the West does not fully support his views on unification. This con-
cern will probably be intensified by the Social Democrats' strong
foreign policy declaration on 28 August that a Germany allied with
the West can never be unified, and that any four-power conference
must discuss not only un ification but Germany's future role in inter-
national affairs.
7. Comment on Vatican-Spanish concordat:
The fact that a concordat between Spain
and the Vatican was signed on 27 August after 19 months of secret
negotiations represents an important victory for the Franco regime.
The agreement in effect provides the first official Vatican endorse-
ment of the present government. The text has not yet been released.
Internally, it represents a severe setback
for nonleftist opposition groups already demoralized by the antici-
pated success of the US-Spanish base rights negotiations. Liberal
Catholic elements had contended that past Vatican reluctance to
negotiate a concordat reflected Pope Pius Xa's displeasure at the
regime's excesses. Anti-Franco monarchists had maintained that
the Vatican regarded the Franco government as merely provisional
and would not sign a concordat until the monarchy had been restored.
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