CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1953/08/12

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02872255
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: July 15, 2019
• Document Release Date: July 22, 2019
• Publication Date: August 12, 1953

Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2872255
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SEC INFORMATION
12 August 1953
Copy No.
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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INFORMATION
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Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2872255
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SECURITY INFORMATION
3.5(c)
1.
2.
3.
SUMMARY
SOUTHEAST ASIA
Philippine president's brother reportedly organizing "private
army" (page 3).
Sentiment for coup increases in Indonesian army circles (page 3).
3.3(h)(2)
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
4. Friction reported between Egyptian regime and Moslem
Brotherhood (page 4).
EASTERN EUROPE
5. Comment on Black Sea canal work suspension (page 5).
WESTERN EUROPE
6. West Germans believe Allies now hold initiative on unity issue
(page 5).
* * * *
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12 Aug 53
3.5(c)
3.5(c)
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ECURITY INFORMATION
3.5(c)
SOUTHEAST ASIA
1. Philippine president's brother reportedly organizing "private army":
Comment: With many army officers still
loyal to former defense secretary Magsaysay, who is opposing the
president in next November's elections, Quirino's managers and his
brother may feel it necessary to organize their own armed groups to
ensure their retention of power.
2. 'Sentiment for coup increases in Indonesian army circles:
Talk of a coup is increasing in Indonesian
army circles, particularly among the young
officers,
in the absence ot a suitable leader,
however, the "present attitude is to wait and
see."
if the new defense
minister tries to replace battalion commanders and higher officers
with Communists, there will probably be mass desertions to the
fanatic Moslem insurgents, the Darul Islam.
Comment: Army leaders are alarmed at
the Communist influence in the new government and fear widespread
arrests in reprisal for the army's antileftist demonstrations of last
October. Lack of leadership and of support from the government's
political opposition, however, reduce5the probability of a coup at
this time.
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12 Aug 53
3.3(
h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
3.5(c)
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SECURITY INFORMATION
3.5(c)
Gradual replacement of anti-Communist
officers in the army is probable. Desertions to the Darul Islam
would aid Communist efforts to weaken the army.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
4. Friction reported between Egyptian regime and Moslem Brotherhood:
3.3
(h)(2)
3.3(
h)(2)
he military
regime will eventually have to remove Hassan Hudaibi from leader-
ship of the Brotherhood but cannot act immediately because of his
influence, the regime had been forced several times
to restrict its actions because of the Moslem Brotherhood.
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TiCSE
12 Aug 53
3.5(c)
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SECURITY INFORMATION
3.5(c)
Comment: This is the clearest indication
to date of a basic conflict between the powerful Brotherhood and the
military regime.
Any attempt by the army group to challenge
the Brotherhood, the only legal political organization in Egypt, would
create additional difficulties for the government, which is already faced
with critical domestic problems.
EASTERN EUROPE
5. Comment on Black Sea canal work suspension:
The tacit admission by a Rumanian official
on 10 August that work on the Danube-Black Sea canal has been sus-
pended supports earlier reports that construction was stopped on 20
July. The apparent cessation of work on the project is in sharp con-
trast to the Rumanian propaganda line that the canal was to be the
greatest of the country's socialist construction projects.
The Rumanian official implied that labor,
equipment, and investment resources will be shifted from the canal
to consumer goods production. This is in line with the new "liberal"
policy in the Orbit. The work stoppage also parallels the recent
abandonment of at least two such major construction projects in the
Soviet Union.
WESTERN EUROPE
6. West Germans believe Allies now hold initiative on unity issue:
3.5(c)
The recent exchange of notes between the 3.3(h)(2)
Western powers and the Soviet Union on
German unification, together with Chancel-
lor Adenauer's proposal that the EDC be
expanded into a European-wide security system, has created an
Impression in West Germany favorable to the Allies and to the
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12 Aug 53
3.5(c)
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SECURITY INFORMATION
3.5(c)
Adenauer government, according to a high Bonn Foreign Ministry
official. He states that both Adenauer and French foreign minister
Bidault want to continue the note exchange in order to disclose Soviet
insincerity on the German unity issue.
Comment: There is general agreement
among Western diplomats that the note exchange and the 7-8 August
foreign ministers' conference at Baden-Baden have improved the
prospects for Adenauer's re-election.
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3.5(c)
Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2872255