CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1953/06/26

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02872222
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: July 15, 2019
• Document Release Date: July 22, 2019
• Publication Date: June 26, 1953

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SECUR INFORMATION
26 June 1953
Copy No. 67
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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IN CLASS,
TO: TS
AuTH: 1ff' 70
LATEV" _ _REVIEWER:
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SECU INFORMATION
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SEtXYRITY INFORMATION
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SUMMARY
FAR EAST
I. Polish and Czech governments' attitude on Korean truce unchanged
tna an RI
2.
3. South Korean assembly questions Rhee's prisoner release (page 4).
4. Chinese Communists augment front-line troops in Korea (page 4).
SOUTHEAST ASIA
NO( Significant increase in Chinese aid to Viet IVIinh reported (page 5).
6, Planned Indonesian cabinet would depend on Communist support
(page 5).
EASTERN EUROPE
/Comment on Hungary's modification of crop collection decrees
(page 6).
WESTERN EUROPE
8. Adenauer opposes joint Allied consultations with Semenov (page 6).
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FAR EAST
1. Polish and Czech governments' attitude on Korean truce unchanged:
2.
he Polish government informed the Swedish
mbassador in Warsaw on 22 Rine that, while
resident Rhee's release of North Korean
risoners violated the repatriation agreement,
Warsaw nevertheless hoped that the governments on the neutral nations
repatriation commission would "not spare their efforts" for successful
conclusion of their task in Korea.
The Czech government told the Swedish
charge in Prague that the prisoner incident had not changed its
attitude concerning the armistice.
Comment: This information strengthens the
belief that the Communists desire a truce in Korea. 3.3(h)(2)
the US army attache in Warsaw that the Polish truce team
was already in Korea.
3.3(h)(2)
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R1TY INFORMATION
3. South Korean assembly Luestions Rhee's prisoner release:
American officials in Pusan report that the
South Korean National Assembly has asked
leading cabinet officials to appear on 27
June to explain why the recent prisoner of
war release was effected without consultation with the UN Command.
While the assembly debate was described
as "cautiously noncommittal," Assemblywoman Pak Sun- chon told
the press that it was "national suicide" to thwart a cease-fire and
"foolish" to attempt to stop it.
Comment: Legally, no action can be taken
against a legislator while the assembly is in session. Opposition
party leader Chough Pyong-ok, who is not a member of the assembly
and who voiced similar criticisms, was severely beaten by Rhee
followers and is now reportedly under arrest.
Ambassador Briggs has previously reported
that opposition leaders, who are opposed to Rhee's extreme antiarmi-
stice stand, now may have concluded that the time is ripe to speak out
for moderation.
4. Chinese Communists augment front-line troops in Korea:
3.3(h)(2)
The Chinese Communists have, at least 3.3(h)(2)
temporarily, augmented their front-line
strength in Korea by approximately 115,000
troops, 3.3(h)(2)
The 21st Army may be in immediate
reserve on the west central front and the 16th and 54th Armies are
moving to the central and east central fronts. It cannot now be de-
termined whether these movements represent a reinforcement in
the area for offensive purposes or a routine relief of front-line units.
rnrnmcent �
there is no evidence of planning
for iarge-scale offensive action. vrisoners captured during the past
week have indicated that only limited objective attacks had been planned
by their units,
3.3(h)(2)
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SOUTHEAST ASIA
5. Significant increase in Chinese aid to Viet Minh reported:
'Communist Lima has significantly
ncreased its shipments of military aid to the
Viet Minh. During the first ten days of June,
1,720 tons of supplies were delivered, includ-
ing large quantities of gasoline, machine guns, rifles, trucks, and
several Russian 37mm antiaircraft guns.
3.3(h)(2)
Monthly deliveries, which averaged 200 tons
last winter, had quadrupled by May From 3.3(h)(2)
700 to 800 trucks are being utilized in the current supply effort, as
compared with approximately 300 last winter.
Comment: Chinese deliveries to the Viet
Minh have averaged 400 to 500 tons per month over a period of a year,
with monthly totals subject to considerable fluctuations. It appears
that China has initiated another summer program to resupply Viet
Minh forces for next fall.
In view of reliable reports that both Chinese
and Viet Minh transport capabilities have recently undergone considerable
improvement, however, the recent increase may forecast a sustained
higher level of aid.
6. Planned Indonesian cabinet would depend on Communist support:
The latest Indonesian cabinet organizer,
Mukarto of the National Party, is apparently
planning a cabinet which would depend on the
support of the Communist bloc and small
center parties, but would d exclude the anti-Communist Masjumi and
Socialist parties. In order to keep center party support, however,
he would include Communist Party members in the cabinet. Thus,
the Communists would hold a whip hand over the cabinet in parliament
without having to assume any responsibility.
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SE CITY INFORMATION
The embassy believes that Mukarto may be
successful and comments that although a cabinet which excluded the
Masjumi might be short-lived, it undoubtedly would accelerate Indo-
nesia's leftward drift.
Comment: The former cabinet, based on a
Masjumi-National Party coalition, fell when the Masjumi, Indonesia's
largest party, withdrew its ministers in protest against the National
Party's increasing cooperation with the Communists.
Although President Sukarno reportedly is
perturbed over the Communists' emergence in the present crisis,
there is no evidence that he is interfering with Mukarto's plans.
EASTERN EUROPE
7. Comment on Hungary's modification of crop collection decrees:
The Hungarian government's modification
on 24 June of the terms of this year's crop collection decrees, which
follows by two days a similar measure in Albania, suggests an easing
of internal policies, as has occurred in the USSR and East Germany.
This change contrasts markedly with the unpopular crop collection
methods of last year.
The decree was preceded on 21 Stine by an
editorial in the official party newspaper which criticized high govern-
ment and party officials and trade union leaders as "opportunistic right-
wing deviationists" and charged them with neglecting the welfare of
the workers. Also on the 24th the Budapest press gave large play to
the East German announcement of 21 June of new concessions to the
workers.
WESTERN EUROPE
8. Adenauer opposes joint Allied consultations with Semenov
Chancellor Adenauer has urged that the
Allied high commissioners refrain from any
joint meetings with the new Soviet commissioner
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in East Germany. He is convinced that such meetings would be
interpreted by Moscow as a confession of weakness.
Adenauer also strongly hinted to High
Commissioner Conant that his personal appeal on 21 June to the
heads of the French, British, and US governments for interven-
tion on behalf of the East Germans was an election campaign move
which should not be taken to mean that he has relaxed his opposition
to a top-level four-power conference at this time.
Conant accordingly advised the chancellor
that the Allied commissioners were considering meeting their
Soviet counterpart separately, but planned to restrict their discus-
sions to deploring recent events in East Germany.
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