CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1951/09/13

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02745276
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: April 15, 2019
• Document Release Date: April 22, 2019
• Publication Date: September 13, 1951

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13 September 1951
Copy No.
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SECIIET
SUMMARY
GENERAL
� 1. Portugal may not block NATO membership of Greece and Turkey
(page 3).
NEAR EAST
2. US-Arab relations damaged by Suez resolution (page 3).
WESTERN EUROPE
3. Social Democrats attack policies of Allies and Adenauer government
(page 4).
4. Strike threat endangers French Cabinet (page 5).
5. French oppose US proposal for revision of Italian peace treaty
(page 5).
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GENERAL
1. Portugal may not block NATO membership of Greece and Turkey:
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3.3(h)(2)
Prior to his departure for the Ottawa conference,
the Portuguese Foreign Minister informed the US
Ambassador in Lisbon that his government still
feels that the full admission of Greece and Turkey
to NATO is undesirable. He mentioned the possibility of inclusion of Greece
and Turkey in NATO with the proviso that other members would not be com-
mitted to defend these nations in case of attack. He gave the impression,
however, that he is not instructed to carry his objections at the Ottawa con-
ference to the point of intransigence.
Comment: Portugal has consistently advocated
a Mediterranean pact which would include Greece and Turkey and provide a
basis for the eventual integration of Spain. The Mediterranean pact would,
in the Portuguese view, effectively interlock with NATO through the Portu-
guese-Spanish Iberian defense pact.
The Lisbon government is concerned about the
gap in Portugal's defenses caused by its militarily weak Spanish neighbor.
Current negotiations for a bilateral US-Spanish military agreement have
somewhat quieted Portugal's apprehensions.
NEAR EAST
.2. US-Arab relations damaged by Suez resolution:
3.3(h)(2)
American relations with the Arab world have
received a heavy blow as a result of US support
of the UN resolution against Egyptian restric-
tions on Suez canal traffic. According to the US
Ambassador in Cairo, the American stand has caused a renewal of Egyptian
Interest in the Palestine question and may have a bearing on US ability to
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TestL�SEGRET
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� 3.3(h)(2)
help promote a settlement of the Anglo-Egyptian dispute Once again there
is a revival of talk about closer Arab-Soviet relations.
Comment: American officials in Iraq and
Syria have likewise reported violent anti-Western reactions to the Suez
resolution. These sentiments will make even less likely any accomplishment
by the UN Palestine Conciliation Commission, currently meeting in Paris
with Arab and Israeli representatives. Egyptian spokesmen, angered by the'
UN resolution, continue to issue uncompromising and bitter statements in
reference to Anglo-Egyptian relations.
While the Arab states will hardly turn to the
USSR, Arab frustrations and antipathy toward the West lend themselves to
to Soviet exploitation.
WESTERN EUROPE
Social Democrats attack policies of Allies and Adenauer government:
The opposition Social Democrats, after a three-
3.3(h)(2)
day policy session in Bonn, have released a
statement sharply attacking the German policy
pursued by the Allies, as well as the policies of
the Adenauer government. The statement stresses
that Allied policy has prevented "real unity in the
fight for freedom" and that Germany is still being
denied equality of treatment.
In a speech to party officials, party chief Kurt
Schumacher adopted the same general line, stressing that the Social Demo-
crats would continue to oppose German rearmament on the present terms,
which "envisage the use of Germany as an advanced battlefield.., not for a
common cause, but for the national egotism of other States. "
Comment: Despite certain optimism in German
government circles, there is still no evidence that Schumacher will change
his basic Stand of opposition to German rearmamentunder the present conditions,
or permit party endorsement of rearmament in the parliament.
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4. Strike threat endangers French Cabinet:
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3.3(h)(2)
The strike committee representing the five
major labor organizations in the Paris transport
system decided unanimously Monday to request
salary increases considerably above the 15 per-
cent minimum wage boost just approved by the government. This prompt
reaction by the committee which led the successful transport strike last
spring may foreshadow active union opposition to the new wage scale.
Comment: The serious position in which the
Pleven cabinet is placed by this move is aggravated by the fact that the
Ga,ullists have combined with the Socialists and the Communists to force
a debate, scheduled for 14 September, on the government's wage and price
policy. The cabinet's position has been considerably weakened by Socialist
bitterness over approval of finanCial aid to church schools, and it may now
be obliged to depend on Gaullist support to survive a vote on its wage policy.
Gaullist support, however, can be counted on only until the school-aid bill
has passed its final reading, probably about 18 September.
The situation is most favorable for the Commu-
nist "unity-of-action" drive, whose ultimate aim is the disruption of the
French defense effort.
French oppose US proposal for revision of Italian peace treaty:
3.3(h)(2)
The French are still very dubious about the pro-
cc,dure proposed by the US for the revision of the
Italian peace treaty, which is "revision by
agreement."
Foreign Minister Schuman has been expected to
suggest in Washington a procedure involving three stages. First, a tripar-
tite declaration would be made that steps should be taken to afford Italy re-
lief from the treaty's military clauses. Next, this declaration would be sub-
mitted to the UN General Assembly for approval. Finally, individual com-
munications approving the tripartite declaration and indicating what treaty
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rights they would renounce would be sent to Italy by the US, UK, France
and the other treaty signatories who wish to do so.
Comment: The Italians are anxious to have
the entire peace treaty abrogated and replaced by bilateral treaties as a
step toward restoring Italy to a position of complete parity in the family of
nations. Consequently, they may be expected to oppose the French proposal,
which is undoubtedly an attempt to weaken the validity of anticipated Soviet
objections to abrogation of the treaty in whole or in part.
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