CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1951/11/20

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02739314
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: April 15, 2019
• Document Release Date: April 22, 2019
• Publication Date: November 20, 1951

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SECURITY INFORMATION
20 November 1951
Copy No.
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
NO CHANGE IN, CLAS
� DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO:
TS S C
NEXT REVIEW DATE; i :14.0
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
ET
SECURITY INFORMATION
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SUMMARY
USSR
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FAR EAST
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2. Communist night air activity further restricts UN over northwestern
Korea (page 3).
3. Dutch-Indonesian relations at impasse over West New Guinea question
4page 4).
SOUTH ASIA
4. India reportedly can win a plebiscite in Kashmir (page 5).
NEAR EAST
5. Comment on the Iranian Prime Minister's visit in Egypt (page 5).
6. Egypt exerting strong pressure on Arab UN delegates (page 6).
EASTERN EUROPE
8. Yugoslav officials object to Western press criticism (page 7).
WESTERN EUROPE
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USSR
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FAR EAST
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2. Communist night air activity further restricts UN over northwestern Korea:
While Communist night interceptor aircraft have
been encountered in limited numbers over North
Korea since December 1950, until recently no
UN aircraft was known to have been damaged in
such meetings. On the night of 16 November a UN light bomber, flyingat
6,000 feet near the Chongchtm river, was caught in a light cone from 15
searchlights and was immediately attacked by two conventional fighters which
inflicted "major damage."
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The Far East Command observes that the "skilled
manner in which the pilots combined attacks with the use of radar-directed
searchlights indicates a high degree of proficiency."
Anticipating an increase in both the number and
effectiveness of enemy night iilterceptions, FECOM believes that the enemy's
capability to restrict UN night operations has considerably improved and may
be expected to be a limiting factor on future UN night air activity north of the
Chongchon river.
Comment: If the Communists fully attain the
capability to deny the air over northwestern Korea to UN night bombers, it
will permit the nearly unmolested completion of their program of basing jet
and conventional aircraft on airfields within Korea. 3.3(h)(2)
3., Dutch-Indonesian relations at impasse over West New Guinea question:
The Dutch Foreign Minister, discussing with US
representatives in Paris the current impasse
between the Netherlands and Indonesia over West
New Guineil sovereignty requested US support in
e even on sia unilaterally abrogates the Netherlands-Indonesian Union
and probably other agreements negotiated by the two countries in 1949. He
emphasized that transfer of New Guinea from the Netherlands to Indonesia at
present is a political impossibility.
3.3(h)(2)
Meanwhile, the Indonesian Foreign Minister, also
in Paris, has proposed a de jure transfer of sovereignty over the area with a
guarantee of national treatment to Dutch subjects and the extension of certain
privileges to the Netherlands for a period of twenty-five years. No Dutch
comment on his proposal has been received. The Indonesian Foreign Minister
doubted that his government would be willing to accept a Dutch proposal to
negotiate a bilateral treaty to replace the 1949 agreements and then allow some
time to lapse before considering the New Guinea question.
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Comment: The Dutch and Indonesian attitudes
on New Guinea are forcing both -Fir�e-Fnments into relaWely uncompromising
positions. � Continued intransigence from both governments could lead to a
break in Dutch-Indonesian relations. The Dutch, who have continually sought
postponement of action on Dutch-Indonesian issues until after the 1952
parliamentary elections, are not expected to give way to Indonesian demands.
The question is further complicated by the attitude
of Australia, which has always opposed the transfer of West New Guinea
sovereignty to Indonesia.
SOUTH ASIA
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4. India reportedly can win a plebiscite in Kashmir: 3.3(h)(2)
The US Embassy and the other diplomatic
issions in India now believe that India can win
UN-sponsored plebiscite in Kashmir. The
Embassy reports that Premier Sheikh Abdullah's
responsible for his growing strength in the state.
land and tax reforms
Comment: This opinion is contradictory to the
belief had by competent observers as recently as last summer. Abdullah's
ruthless suppression of political opposition and UN delay in settling the
Kashmir case have probably helped to develop a feeling on the part of
Kashmiris that it is futile to combat increasing Indian control.
NEAR EAST
5. Comment on the Iranian Prime Minister's visit in Egypt:
It is unlikely that the present visit of Prime
Minister Mossadeq to Egypt will produce any tangible results, despite press
predictions of the formation of a new Moslem bloc. Mossadeq
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said merely th4t the visit was being made
because of "Iran's ties with the Moslem countries and also our policy of
cooperatioft.
Nevertheless, the Egyptian visit will permit
IVIossadeq to bring back to Iran strong expressions of Egyptian sympathy and
support. Such assurances may have some politiop.1 value to Mossadeq in
Tehran when he returns almost empty-handed to a critical Parliament.
Egypt, which is having difficulty in solidifying
Arab opposition to the Middle East Command, has assiduously been seeking
Moslem and Asiatic approval for its position. It accordingly will welcome
any support the Iranian Premier might be able to offer during his stopover
In Egypt.
6. Egypt exerting strong pressure on Arab UN delegates:
3.3(h)(2)
Egypt is exerting "tremendous pressure" to per-
suade the Arab delegations to the UN General
Assembly to issue a joint statement this Week,
endorsing Egypt's abrogation of the 1936 Anglo-
n rea y and its subsequent rejection of the Middle East Command
proposals. The Lebanese Minister to the United States, Charles Malik, in
transmitting the information, warned that the US should not be deluded by the
efforts of the Iraqi Prime Minister to compose the current situation, since
Irgqi public opinion would force him to yield to Egyptian demands.
The Lebanese Minister expressed his belief that
King Ibn Saud of Saudi Arabia holds the key to the present situation. He
accordingly urged that the US request Ibn Saud's assistance in countering the
demands of the Egyptian Foreign Minister that all the Arab states publicly
support Egypt's position. According to Malik, the Lebanese Foreign Minister
is so violently opposed to the Egyptian tactics that he is ready to resign.
rigyptla 1
Comment: While Ibn Saud is probably the only
figure, in the Arab world who might exert some influence on Egyptian policy,
there Is little evidence to indicate that the aging Saudi Arabian monarch
wished 'to become embroiled in a dispute with his Egyptian friends.
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The dilemma facing those Arab leaders who are
Interested in the Western defense proposals and who feel very strongly about
the Egyptian maneuvers is that Arab public opinion generally supports Egypt's
nationalistic demands.
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EASTERN EUROPE
8. Yugoslav officials object to Western press criticism:
According to the US Embassy in Belgrade recent
news dispatches playing up peasant resistance and
economic difficulties within Yugoslavia have caused
a serious rift between Yugoslav authorities and
es ern pr ;.'s representatives. Yugoslav officials have objected to these news
stories on rounds that they not only provide Cominform propaganda but, more
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importantly, jeopardize Yugoslavia's standing with parliaments and peoples
be Western countries.
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Comment: Recent speeches by Tito and other
Yugoslav officials have shown an increasing sensitivity to Western criticism
of the regime and its policies. Yugoslav leaders are no doubt fearfui of the
effects that an unfriendly Western press may have on the Western military and
economic aid programs.
WESTERN EUROPE
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