CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1951/10/13

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02730348
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: April 15, 2019
• Document Release Date: April 22, 2019
• Publication Date: October 13, 1951

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U.1-1 rutu
13 October 1951
Copy No. 47
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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DOCUMENT NO.
NO CHANUE iN CLASS.
DECLASSIFIED
CiASS. CHANGED TO: IS
NEXT REVIEW DATE:
AUTH: HE 7O-
DPI
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eitEWER: _
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SUMMARY
GENERAL
1, Comment on the Latin Union Congress in Brazil (page 3)
FAR EAST
3.5(c)
3.3(h)(2)
4. Enemy activity in Korea continues to suggest defensive actions
5. Both French and Viet Minh suffer heisvy losses (page 5)
SOUTH ASIA
6. Anti-British sentiment may extend to Pakistan (page 6)
NEAR EAST
. Iran again receives tanker offers (page 7)
EASTERN EUROPE
age 5)
8. Interview with Tito regarding US military advisory group inconclusive
(page 7)
WESTERN EUROPE
3.3(h)(2)
LATIN AMERICA
10.' Argentine anti-US campaign may be intensified to provoke US reaction
(page 9)
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GENERAL
1. Comment on the Latin Union Congress in Brazil:
The Latin Union, which was founded in Paris
in 1946 by Brazilian Foreign Minister Neves da Fontoura, is scheduled to
meet on 14 October in Rio de Janeiro. Representatives are expected from
Spain, Italy, France, Portugal,. Belgium, and most of the Latin American
countries, and observers have been invited from the UK, the US, Holland,
and one of the Rumanian exile groups.
The agenda calls for an affirmation of the
spiritual and cultural solidarity" of the Latin Union, and proposes a study
of practical methods to utilize this cultural bloc in United Nations activities.
This meeting provides an opportunity for elaboration of the well-worn
thesis of some of the participants that Latin culture is seriously threatened
not only by Soviet communism but also by US materialism, US officials
fear that anti-US elements may obtain considerable publicity for their
views.
The Brazilian Foreign Minister has assured
the US Ambassador that the French were the prime movers behind the
congress, and has manifested some unhappiness at the prospect of the
meeting. The French Ambassador in Rio, however, has reported that
the Brazilian Foreign Minister is personally interested in the congress,
but that certain people in Rio were trying to attribute French paternity
tol the plan. He disclaimed any knowledge of "the motives or even the
names of the true promoters," and recommended that the French Govern-
ment maintain its "attitude of reserve" until the purpose of the organiza-
tion became clear.
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4. Enemy activity in Korea continues to suggest defensive actions:
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The continued construction of pill boxes and
trenches and the laying of mines by an unidentified North Korean corps are
among the evidence supporting this conclusion.
5. Both French and Viet Minh suffer heavy losses:
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told the US Consul
in Hanoi that French losses, as well as those
of the Viet Minh, were heavy durine the re-
cent delta clearing operations.
stated that practically all French non-com-
missioned officers in this action were "knocked
out" by causes ranging from enemy action to sunstroke. Meanwhile, the
Viet Minh 312th Division casualties continue to mount as French aircraft
pursue retreating units.
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Comment: The short-run results of the
� current dry season operations tn-Indocirrina have been f-avvrable to the
French. As long as battle casualties and the climate claim a heavy toll
of French forces, however, there is little prospect that the French can
achieve a decisive victory.
SOUTH ASIA
6. Anti-British sentiment may extend to Pakistan: 3.3(h)(2)
An influential, conservative Pakistani news-
paper has suggested in a leading editorial
that popular demonstrations might be the most
effective means of calling international atten-
tion to Pakistan's concern over the Kashmir
problem. The paper cites the effectiveness of such demonstrations in Iran
and Egypt. On 10 October the student bodies of all colleges and universities
in Karachi held meetings to organize a plan for action regarding Kashmir.
The US Embassy in Karachi states that, if
the Pakistani Government permits the rise of popular emotion regarding
Kashmir, it will increase the risk of war and possibly include Pakistan
in a chain reaction of anti-British maneuvers subject to exploitation by
dissident elements.
Comment: Anti-British feeling in Pakistan
might crystallize in a quit-the-Commonwealth movement.
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NEAR EAST
7. Iran again receives tanker offers:
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3.3(h)(2)
Comment: In view of the world tanker shori.3(h)(2)
age, there is little chance that Iran could
obtain many tankers. The acquisition of a few tankers, however, would
enable Iran to move a small quantity of the estimated 30,000,000 barrels
now stored at Abadan, thus giving some encouragement to Iranian nation-
alists and strengthening Iran's finances to a small degree.
EASTERN EUROPE
8. Interview with Tito regarding US military advisory group inconclusive:3.3(h)(2)
Ambassador Allen reports that his interview
with Marshal Tito concerning the size and
duties of the proposed US military advisory
group was inconclusive. Tito declared that
Inspection of Yugoslav army installations
and depots by American officers would undermine the very basis for the
"high Yugoslav army morale" and that he would forego all American
military aid rather than risk creating the impression among his troops
that the US had assumed the role the USSR previously held in Yugoslavia.
Tito conceded, however, that a written
agreement regarding the size and functions of the group was unnecessary
and that the approach should be more flexible. He thought that the
Yugoslav Government itself might well suggest a considerably larger
group once the program was well underway, particularly if, as he hoped,
strategic discussions had been started.
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Comment: The presence of US military
advisers in Yugoslavia poses a real problem for the Tito regime. In
Addition to harboring some suspicion that his unsavory experience with
the Soviet military mission prior to 1948 may be repeated, Tito probably
fears that activities of the US military group will create further dissen-
sion,withi&the Party,
WESTERN EUROPE
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LATIN AhtIERIC.A,
10. Argentine anti-US campaign may be intensified to provoke US reaction:
The US Embassy in Buenos Aires reports 3.3(h)(2)
that the anti-US campaign of the pro-adminis-
tration press may be further intensified in
the hope of provoking US official reaction,
which would be twisted to Peronista advantage
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Comment: Peron feels that his charges of US
interference in Argentine internal affairs assured his election in 1946. In
his campaign for re-election, he is using the same strategy, but thus far
the lack of US official reaction to Argentine press attacks has denied him
a fresh point of departure.
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