CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1951/12/20

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02696827
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: April 15, 2019
• Document Release Date: April 22, 2019
• Publication Date: December 20, 1951

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URITY INFORMATION
20 December 1951
Copy No.
47
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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AUTH :ekfit4
DATEVA
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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TY INFORMATION
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SUMMARY
FAR EAST
2. Chinese observed serving with Viet Minh (page 3).
SOUTH ASIA
3. Indian Communists plan to assist in the "liberation" of Burma (page 4),
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
4. Iranian Shah yields to Mossadeq's threats (page 4).
5. Egyptian King opposes breaking diplomatic relations with Britain
(page 5).
WESTERN EUROPE
6. France fears ultimate collapse of European trade liberalization
(page 6),
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FAR EAST
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2. Chinese observed serving With Viet Minh:
(2)
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The US Consulate in Hanoi has received several
eyewitness accounts of Chinese serving with the
Viet Minh during recent operations in Tonkin.
told a Consulate official that fifty
Chifiese technicians definitely had been counted among Viet Minh forces near
the Consulate has submitted two report3.3(h)(2)
that Chinese personnel, probably troops, had been seen, and one report of the
capture of Chinese by French forces near Hanoi.
Comment: A number of recent reports state
that Chinese troops have been, or soon will b9, incorporated into Viet Minh
units.
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It has been accepted for some time,
that several thousand Chinese Communists
have been serving with the Viet Minh as advisers and technicians, although
this had never been confirmed by the actual observation of Chinese personnel.
The above reports are the first convincing evidence of Chinese serving with
the Viet Minh military forces.
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SOUTH ASIA
3. Indian Communists plan to assist in the "liberation" of Burma:
The Indian Communist party is reportedly 3.3(h)(2)
planning to begin an intensive revolutionary
campaign in Tripura State, near the Burma
border, next February, in preparation for the
expecte eration" of Burma in April. In this connection, the Indian
press reports that several high-level Indian Communists have visited
Tripura in recent weeks.
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Comment: Though the nation-wide capabilities
of the Indian Communist party are limited, it could at present probably
create more trouble in the relatively inaccessible state of Tripura
than in any other part of the country. This fact was recognized by the
Indian Government last September, when it transferred its top anti-
Communist police officer from the former Communist stronghold of Hyder-
abad State to Tripura.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
4. Iranian Shah yields to Mossadeq's threats:
Prime Minister Mossadeq told the Shah on 3.3(h)(2)
15 December that he was aware of Court in-
trigues against him and threatened to resign
unless the Shah agreed to "play an absolutely
passive ro e suring the elections. In spite of the pleas of cabinet members,
Mossadeq remained adamant in his expressed intention to resign until he
finally received assurances from the Shah that the latter would try to stop
the Court intrigues and would give Mossadeq a free hand in the elections.
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Comment: The Iranian Minister of Court,
.Ala, had reported this same development to the US Ambassador on
16 December, without, however, indicating that the Shah had surrendered
to Mossadeq. According to Ala, who acted as go-between for the Shah and
Mossadeq, the Cabinet finally persuaded Mossadeq not to resign. Never-
theless, the fact that the Shah refused to take advantage of the opportunity
to oust Mossadeq is indicative of his indecisiveness and weakness as pivot
of the opposition. 3.3(h)(2)
the Shah was considering leaving Tehran for Khuzistan in
southwest Iran, and possibly leaving Iran from there 5 but it is unlikely that
he would jeopardize the monarchy by taking such action at this time.
5. Egyptian Kin opposes breaking diplomatic relations with Britain:
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Comment: Although the Egyptian Government
has recalled its Ambassador to London, the British Foreign Office has
stated it does not intend to withdraw its Ambassador from Cairo. King
Farouk, who has maneuvered cautiously in the Anglo-Egyptian dispute, is
in a position to exert strong influence on his government.
WESTERN EUROPE
6. France fears ultimate collapse of European trade liberalization:
France fears that the entire European trade 3.3(h)(2)
liberalization program may collapse if it is
forced to reim 1,6 se restrictions on European
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Payments Union trade. French officials feel that they may ultimately have
to do so, and that in view of the recent intensification of British restrictions,
such action might lead other member countries to reduce their liberalization
lists. France has repeatedly pressed the US to urge Britain, West Germany
and the Netherlands to restore trade liberalization.
Comment: The French position in the European
Payments Union has deteriorated steadily since April 1951, resulting in a
net deficit since October. While the recent US assurance of 600 million
dollars for the first half of 1952 will tend to ease French dependence on
European imports, France is experiencing increasing difficulty exporting to
Payments Union countries because inflation has advanced prices more rapidly
in France than elsewhere.
West Germany has already publicized its in-
tention to resume liberalization in January, and the Dutch position has
ameliorated sufficiently to permit similar action although no official move
Is yet indicated. The British are not expected to make any move to
liberalize trading with Payments Union countries especially in view of the
new government's decision to reduce the annual rate of non-sterling imports
by nearly one billion dollars.
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