CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/11/19

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02693978
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: June 6, 2019
• Document Release Date: June 27, 2019
• Publication Date: November 19, 1952

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SECURPf INFORMATION
Office of Current Intelligence DATE:
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
TOP8ECRET
19 November 1952
US OFFICIALS ONLY
Copy No. 57
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO. 3
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.eNc
0 DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TVA
NEXT REVIEW DATE.
AUTH: H13 70-
REVIEWER:
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Sk7RITY INFORMATION
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SUMMARY
FAR EAST
1. Communist air force in Korea may be preparing for
expanded air war (page 3).
SOUTHEAST ASIA
2. Viet Minh broadcast charges French use germ warfare (page 3).
3. Indonesian political situation seen worsening (page 4).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
4. Shah pleads for American aid (page 5).
5. Libya requestsrenegotiation of US base agreement (page 5).
WESTERN EUROPE
6, Norwegian Government perturbed over publicity concerning base
policy (page 6).
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FAR EAST
j,. Communist air force in Korea ma be preparing for expanded
-a-Ar war:
The Communist air force may be preparing
for an expansion of the Korean air war,
according to a Far East Air Force assessment.
The weekly total of 17 MIG-15 sorties ob-
served from 9 to 16 November is the lowest in 15 months. Visual
reconnaissance of the Yalu River combat airfields also shows that
the enemy is no longer basing large numbers of aircraft there.
FEAF concludes that the withdrawal from
combat of a maximum number of interceptors and a reduction of the
enemy's vulnerability would be logical moves if the Communists were
contemplating an attack with the newly-arrived IL-28 jet light bombers.
There are, however, no further indications of an impending offensive.
Comment: The presence of up to 45
jet light bombers in northern Manchuria represents a significant
gain in the combat potential of Communist air forces in the area.
There is, as yet, no indication bf the readiness or availability of
these aircraft or their crews for commitment in the Korean air war.
On 17 November 64 MIG-15 flights were
observed, of which 31 were encountered.
SOUTHEAST ASIA
2. Viet Minh broadcast charges French use germ warfare:
The Viet Minh radio on 12 November
charged that French aircraft in October
had dropped bombs on Central Vietnam
which contained worms to destroy crops.
The American Embassy in Saigon notes
a French intelligence report of mid-
October to the effect that the Viet Minh
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appeared concerned over possible French use of germ warfare and
had issued instructions to its agent for close supervision of the
Pasteur Institute in Central Vietnam. 3.3(h)(2)
Comment: This is the first public allegation
that the French have used bacteriological warfare in Indochina.1
3. Indonesian political situation seen worsening:
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Comment: The Indonesian army
commander in East Java repudiated the 17 October political action
by army headquarters in Djakarta and declared his division's
primary allegiance to President Sukarno. The East Indonesia
division with headquarters in the Celebes has taken similar action.
The Darul Islam, an armed Moslem group
that has caused unrest in Indonesia since 1949, is reported to
have seriously infiltrated the army in East Java during the past
year. Its adherence to one of the conflicting groups within, the
army could conceivably lead to civil war.
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NEAR EAST - AFRICA
4. Shah pleads for American aid
The Shah told Ambassador Henderson on
15 November that Iran's drift toward the
Soviet Union was temporarily checked,
but that he "desperately hoped" for American
purchases of Iranian oil as well as economic and financial aid from
the United States. He insisted that National Front leaders were
"practically unanimous" in desiring close, friendly relations with
the United States.
Comment: The Shah has now joined
other Iranian officials in the current campaign to secure American
aid. Despite his disapproval of many of the National Front govern-
ment's techniques, he has consistently supported Mossadeq's efforts
to implement oil nationalization.
5. Libya requests renegotiation of US base agreement:
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3.3(h)(2)
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Libya requests renegotiation of the American
base agreement in a note delivered to the
US Legation in Tripoli on 17 November by
Suleiman Serbi, Director General of the
Foreign Office.
Ierbi explained that Prime Minister
Muntasser had believed that raising the annual US payment from
$1,000,000 to $2,0009000 would ensure ratification of the agreement.
Following receipt of draft agreements for British and French bases,
however, the Premier was convinced that ratification of any of
these on the basis of the present terms was impossible.
The Director General indicated that Libya
is sending similar notes to Great Britain and France.
Comment: The request for a renegotia-
tion is evidence that LibyiTe�roTlowing the prevailing Arab pattern
of increasing the price for cooperation. This attitude may grow
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more pronounced if Libya joins the Arab League, which has
frequently adopted an anti-Western policy.
WESTERN EUROPE
6. Norwegian Government perturbed over publicity concerning base
policy:
Norwegian officials are greatly disturbed 3.3(h)(2)
at recent press stories concerning Norway's
policy on military bases. They apparently
fear that such reports, allegedly from
SHAPE and NATO sources, may so weaken public confidence in the
government that after the elections it will be unable to take any
positive steps. Norwegian representatives in Paris have been
instructed to discuss the matter with SHAPE and to try to stop any
further leaks.
Comment: The Norwegians are particu-
larly sensitive about any publicity with regard to a possible change
in their policy on military bases. They have on numerous occasions
publicly stated that no foreign troops will be stationed in Norway
in peacetime and apparently fear that the USSR will consider any
reversal provocative.
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