CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/04/11

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02692620
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: May 24, 2019
• Document Release Date: May 30, 2019
• Publication Date: April 11, 1952

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"UP "U.KET
SECUR1 INFORMATION
11 April 1952
copy .No.5 2
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO. _
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SECURI INFORMATION
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SUMMARY
GENERAL
1. Comment on Soviet renewal of German peace treaty proposal
(page 3).
2.
(page 4).
comments on aim of BW propaganda campaign
FAR EAST
3. Peiping rejects Indian proposal for investigation of BW charges
(page 4).
4. Burmese unable to estimate when Chinese Nationalists will be
"liquidated" (page 5).
SOUTH ASIA
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5. Importance of Stalin-Radhakrishnan interview said to be exaggerated
(page 5).
LA TIN AMERICA
6. Bolivian Army Commander in Chief supports government (page 5).
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11{E'11
GENERAL
I. Comment on Soviet renewal of German peace treaty proposal:
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In its 9 April note, th3 Soviet Union for the first
time directly proposed four-power discussions of free all-German elections
and investigation of electoral conditions. The East German Government
made such a proposal last September with Soviet support, and it was re-
jected by Chancellor Adenauer.
The note does not point to any forthcoming con-
cessions, but instead reveals all the weaknesses of Russia's German
policy. As a result, it is not likely to deflect the West German Govern-
ment from its present course of Western integration.
The USSR has attempted to devise a new approach
to appeal to West Germany and to convince the Western powers that further
negotiation would produce real concessions. It has been unable to make
effective proposals, however, for fear of further weakening its hold on
Germany.
The new proposal indicates that the USSR cannot
agree to free elections, which would result in the loss of East Germany,
fearing an ultimate westward orientation of a unified Germany. Accord-
ingly, the note only proposes that the four powers discus p the question.
In answering the Western demand for UN investi-
gation of electoral conditions, the note suggests that such a check could be
carried out by a commission of the four occupying powers, presumably
operating under a Soviet veto threat, but does not propose the setting up
of such a commission.
The Soviet note essentially represents a legal-
istic attempt to delay developments in the West without committing the
USSR. Accordingly, it specifies neither a date nor an agenda for such
a meeting.
The failure of the USSR to clarify its earlier
proposal for a German army confirms the impression that this offer was
made primarily to increase Soviet influence among German nationalists.
By reaffirming the Oder-Neisse line, however, the USSR indicates that it
does not intend to make a drastic play for German opinion by offering to
take the former German territories away from Poland.
In a final attempt to appeal to West European and
German opinion, the Soviet note concludes with the warning that the choice
is now being made between a united Germany, connoting peace, and a
divided Germany carrying with it a continuing threat of war in Europe.
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2.
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comments on aim of BW propaganda campaign: 3.3(h)(2)
believes 3.3(h)(2)
that the Kremlin achieved its goal in the bio-
logical warfare propaganda campaign when the
Oslo appeal for an investigation sponsored by
the World Peace Council was issued on 1 April.
contends that the crusade against bacteriological weapons is
being added to that against atomic weapons in order to rekindle the enthu-
siasm of the signatories of the Stockholm Peace Appeal.
Comment: This interpretation supports the belief
that the Soviet campaign on biological warfare is now tapering off and will be
handled in a routine manner as part of the Soviet "peace" campaign against
Western imperialism.
FAR EAST
3. Peiping rejects Indian proposal for investigation of BW charges:
The Secretary-General of the Indian Ministry
I External Affairs states that Chinese Commu-
nist Premier Chou En-lai "flatly rejected" an
than proposal for investigation of biological
war are c arges n.ia ad proposed a three-man body, one member to
be selected by Peiping, another by the United Nations, and a third to be
chosen by those two members.
Chou offered instead an investigation by the
World Peace Council, and also made a "most vague" suggestion that
Burma, Indonesia and India investigate Peiping's "evidence."
Comment: After India's first offer to investi-
gate the BW charges was rebuffed by one of Chou En-lai's deputies three
weeks ago, the Indian Ambassador was instructed to press the matter
with Chou himself.
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4. Burmese unable to estimate when Chinese Nationalists will be "liquidated":
In reply to a recent query from the Chinese
Communist Vice Foreign Minister as to how
soon the Burmese Government could "liquidate"
the Chinese Nationalists in Burma, the Rangoon.
Foreign Ministry on 22 March stated that, re-
gre tab y, no definite estimate could be given. The excuse offered was
that Burmese forces were "also committed" against various insurgents.
Comment: Continuing high-lev
Communist interest in the Nationalist problem has been
between the Burmese Ambassador in Peiping and his govern-
ment. The Burmese Government announced a "campaign" against the
Nationalists early this month, probably to satisfy Peiping of its sincerity.
SOUTH ASIA
5. Importance of Stalin-Radhakrishnan interview said to be exaggerated:
ecretary General Bajpai of the Indian Ministry
f External Affairs has told Ambassador Bowles
hat he believes the importance of the 6 April
interview between Premier Stalin and Indian
m assador Radhakrishnan in Moscow has been exaggerated out of all
proportion. The Secretary General stated that the conference had no
implication beyond the obvious desire of Stalin to convince India that the
Soviet Union was always ready to come to an understanding with the West.
LA TIN AMERICA
6. Bolivian Army Commander in Chief supports government:
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Colonel Mejia, Chief of Bolivian Army Intelli- 3.3(h)(2)
gence, has told the US Air Attache that General
Torres, Commander in Chief of the Bolivian
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Army, is not backing the revolt led by the
Nationalist Revolutionary Movement (MNR),
as claimed by broadcasts of the MNR-controlled
radio. Mejia stated that General Seleme,
mister of Government, is the only important defector, and that Torres
is outside La Paz awaiting loyal troops which he will lead back into the
capital.
MNR broadcasts are still exhorting the public
to proceed to various points to receive arms and to join in the fight.
Sporadic shooting continues in La Paz, and the situation in important
cities of the interior remains in doubt.
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