CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/05/30

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02684303
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: May 24, 2019
• Document Release Date: May 30, 2019
• Publication Date: May 30, 1952

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SEC INFORMATION
30 May 1952
Copy No. 33
'CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO
F40 CHANGE IN IASS.
t7 DECLASSIFIED
CLASS, CHANGED TO:
NEXT 'REVIEW DATE:
AUTH: HR 70.
DATE:
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
TOPS
SECURI NFORMATION
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SUMMARY
FAR EAST
1. Communists may initiate new American atrocity propaganda theme
(page 3).
2, President Rhee determined to break Assembly opposition (page 4).
3. Portuguese foresee danger to Macao from any new export controls
(page 4).
4. Viet Minh communications changes suggest major offensive (page 5).
5. French agree "in principle" to repatriation of Chinese internees
(page 5).
SOUTH ASIA
6. India fails to reduce troop strength in Kashmir (page 6).
WESTERN EUROPE
7. Military announcements expected on East German People's Police
Day (page 7).
8. Economic countermeasures seen most effective against East Germany
(page 7).
9. British propose settlement for Saar issue (page 8).
10. /vIRP dissatisfaction with Pinay increasing (page 9).
11. American Minister in Switzerland against further blocking of Swiss
bank assets (page 9).
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FAR EAST
1. Communists may initiate new American atrocity propaganda theme:
the
trial of four Korean traitors began on
25 May in Pyongyang,
The defendants were charged
with the massacre, under American direction, of over 35,000 Koreans
between October and December 1950, when the UN controlled most of
North Korea.
Comment: Radio Pyongyang's coverage of
the trial began on 25 May and emphasized that the four defendants were
led by Americans.
The 29 May issue of Pravda carried an
article, based on an account in the sensationalist Indian journal Blitz,
of the alleged transportation of 20,000 Japanese prisoners to Central
Pacific islands in February just prior to announcement of new tests
of atomic weapons in the area. This article asserts that Korean and
Viet Minh prisoners were used as human targets in similar tests in
Nevada last year.
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2. President Rhee determined to break Assembly opposition:
American Charge Lightner in Pusan concludes3.3(h)(2)
that the conference between the UN Commission
for the Unification and Rehabilitation of Korea
and President Rhee, has not changed the latter's
eterminatlon to ma n ain martial law in Pusan until he has broken the
resistance of the political opposition in the Assembly. The President
apparently estimates this may take two weeks. He is using General
Van Fleet's name to justify ignoring UNCURK and the Assembly's de-
mands for an end to martial law. Rhee has plans to give the illegally
imprisoned Assemblymen .a summary trial under martial law.
3. Portuguese foresee danger to Macao from any new export controls:
Portuguese officials, now meeting with
other Western delegates in Paris to discuss
export controls, have stated that stopping
strategic exports from Macao to Communist
ma would lead o a complete halt of all trade, with "very serious con-
sequences" for the colony.
Present export controls at Macao are the
maximum which can be contemplated, according to the Portuguese dele-
gation. Macao authorities, in fact, are recommending to Lisbon a
relaxation of the present regulations rather than the imposition of ad-
ditional measures.
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4. Viet Minh communications changes suggest major offensive:
Recent changes in communications of its
general headquarters suggest that the Viet
Minh has again established an advance head-
quarters. The new station is in contact with
the military headquarters of the three terri-
torial commands in northern Indochina and with all six of the Vieh Minh
divisions in Tonkin. In the past, similar communications changes
have preceded major offensives.
Comment: Contrary to earlier estimates
from French sources in Indochina, this information indicates that the
Viet Minh may soon conduct large-scale offensive operations, as sug-
gested in a previously reported plan to seize the rice crop now being
harvested in the Tonkin delta.
5. French agree "in principle" to repatriation of Chinese internees:
A Chinese Nationalist officer, inspecting
the circumstances of Nationalist troops in-
terned in Indochina, has been informed by
the French authorities in Saigon that the
French Government agrees "in principle"
e repa r a ion o ese internees. The French emphasize, how-
ever, that "present difficulties" in Indochina make it advisable to ex-
amine all possible plans for effecting such repatriation.
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SOUTH ASIA
6. India fails to reduce troop strength in Kashmir:
The American Embassy in New Delhi has
learned
that the withdrawal of 18,000 of the
62,000 Indian troops in Kashmir, previously
reported to be "in process," has not yet commenced. In fact, recent
troop transfers may have effected a net increase of three battalions.
Though Pakistan has only 19,000 soldiers in
Kashmir, an Indian External Affairs officer asserts that recentbellicose
statements made by Pakistani officials caused India to reverse its earlier
decision to withdraw a division of its forces from the state.
Comment: In preparation for the current
talks in New York with UN Representative Graham, India has empha-
sized the concession represented by its voluntary withdrawal of an
army division from Kashmir and the conciliatory attitude illustrated
thereby.
Since Pakistani officials have issued bellicose
statements during every Kashmir crisis in the last four years, it is
doubtful that the Indian excuse is genuine.
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WESTERN EUROPE
7. Military announcements expected on East German People's Police Day:
expect that
over the week end of 30 May-2 June the Ger-
man Democratic Republic will announce an
overt recruiting campaign for the para-military
Alert Police, pre-military training for the Free German Youth organi-
zation, and possibly a national army.
Comment: East Germany has designated
1 June as the "Day of the People's Police." The Fourth Parliament of
the Communist youth organization is meeting in Leipzig at this time.
8. Economic countermeasures seen most effective against East Germany:
The High Commissioner's office in Berlin
believes that General Chuikov's protest
against the blocking of East German ac-
counts in American banks testifies to the
effectiveness of such measures. While discounting the efficacy of any
local economic countermeasures by the West, HICOG officials believe
that economic retaliation on a global scale would be most effective, and,
particularly in its financial aspects, could be most easily enforced.
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These reports suggest not only a desire on
the part of the East Germans to avoid future losses through the freezing
of accounts, but also supports the contention that East Germany would be
hurt by a major interruption of its trade with the West.
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9. British propose settlement for Saar issue:
As a means of settling the Saar dispute, British
Foreign Secretary Eden proposes that:
(1) the Saar be placed under the trusteeship of
Council of Europe with full political, cultural, and economic freedom,
except that France would continue to have a 50-year lease, with option of
renewal, on coal fields and railways, and would receive credit for iron
and steel output under the Schuman Plan;
(2) the Saar become the seat of the projected
European authorities;
(3) France and Germany agree to these
arrangements without prejudice to the final determination of German
frontiers in an eventual peace treaty; and
(4) the Council of Europe supervise the election
of a new Landtag, which would then pass on these proposals.
Eden further suggests that, if all parties con-
cerned agree to these steps, the Saarlanders themselves could within
five years decide their future.
Comment: The British position regarding the
Saar has been that the United States and Britain should discreetly press
for settlement before greater French-German animosity developed over
this issue.
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