CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1957/12/24

Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
02066862
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
10
Document Creation Date: 
December 12, 2019
Document Release Date: 
December 20, 2019
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
December 24, 1957
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15757367].pdf289.12 KB
Body: 
f o l'e- 2 1 21 1 0 c ci 6 61 8,6127 d// / 1/1 / 3.5(c) 24 December 1957 Z 0 Copy No. 13S /? 3.3(h)(2) / NO CHANGE IN CLASS 0 / DOCUMENT NO. , -�-;:..vt4 e CURRENT CLASS. CHANGED TO' 0 /1 INTELLIGENCE DAT . AUTEI: 7 REVIETWER // ; , DECLASSIFIED NEXT REVIEW DATE: BULLETIN //7 /// / / / / / / '%/ .04/ /4 / / 0 OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY er,,z7,z3/7A Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 CO2066862 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 CO2066862 Almork 4104,, Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 CO2066862 Approved for Release: iaT9%12/10 CO2066862 Niue 'Nugi CONTENTS . SITUATION IN INDONESIA (page 3). 2. INDONESIA NEGOTIATES FOR BLOC PLANES THROUGH EGYPT (page 5). \L3. ADENAUER-SMIRNOV TALKS TO BE RESUMED \ (page 6). 4. AFGHAN ECONOMY DRIVE MAY CURTAIL SOVIET AND AMERICAN PROJECTS (page 7). 5. YEMENI-INSPIRED REBELLION MAY SPREAD INTO EASTERN ADEN PROTECTORATE (page 8). 6. REVOLT PLANNED AGAINST CUBAN GOVERNMENT (page 9). 24 Dec 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 2 -TOP--SECR-E-T Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 CO2066862 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 CO2066862 1. SITUATION IN INDONESIA Comment on: Despite increasing reports that army rAnd moderate political elements in Indo- nesia are attempting to stabilize the sit- -'uation and assert their authority, the Communists are continuing to consoli- date their newly won positions. the Communist workers within the organization now are in a position to dictate nearly all administrative policies, including the firing of Dutch employees and the hiring of Indonesian replacements. The Communists apparently are being careful notvto overplay their gains. According to instruc- tions from the Communist party deputy secretary general to various subordinate Communist units, any opposition to military regulations is to be carried out indirectly and by "subtle methods." Other reports strongly suggest that the Communists are anxious to avoid any action which might precipitate the fragmentation of Indonesia. Indonesia should continue its "drastic" anti-Dutch policy, and that Djakarta could count on the USSR for "all types of assist- ance needed" if financial or economic difficulties should ensue. This is the first report that such general aid has been formally offered by the USSR since the anti-Dutch campaign began. The Indonesian deputy chief of staff has told the US assistant army attache that two Indonesian officers have been sent to Yugo- slavia and Czechoslovakia to lay the groundwork for an arms purchasing mission which will leave Indonesia in about a week. The military commander on Borneo an- nounced on 18 December that barter trade with Singapore would be initiated to ensure an adequate rice supply for his area. For 24 Dec 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 3 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 CO2066862 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 CO2066862 *40 this purpose, he is setting aside approximately 10 percent of Borneo's rubber production. The arrangement is the first important autonomous move for some months On Borneo, where the command has been reasonably loyal to Djakarta, and is an indication of the acute shortage of rice on that is- land. 24 Dec 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 4 EC�RE- Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 CO2066862 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 CO2066862 2. INDONESIA NEGOTIATES FOR BLOC PLANES THROUGH EGYPT Reference: Indonesian crews for "the Egyptian bombers"--pre- sumably Soviet IL-28 jet light bombers--are ready to leave for Egypt immediately for training and to return with the aircraft. an Indonesian air force official has also requested Egyptian assistance in delivering additional bombers from Czech- oslovakia through Egypt. Indonesia has already been ne- gotiating with the Czechs for these aircraft, and a purchas- ing mission is leaving this week for Czechoslovakia, The Indonesians said any Egyptian aircraft given them would be replaced with new ones they plan to obtain from the Czechs, but want delivery through Egypt, , becalm the government feal'3 that open admission that military aircraft are being acquired from a Communist country would precipitate a revolt of the Islamic parties and a split in the internal front against the Dutch. The Indonesian air force claims that the planes are urgently needed because of "movements to assemble" by Dutch naval units in the area. 24 Dec 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 5 TnP SPCRET Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 CO2066862 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 CO2066862 Nfte ADENAUER-SMIRNOV TALKS TO BE RESUMED Comment on: Chancellor Adenauer plans to continue talks with the Soviet Union to "review and clarify" a whole complex of ques- tions, according to Adenaueris press chief and close adviser, Felix von Eckardt. Soviet Ambassador Smirnov is reported to have canceled vacation plans in order to be available for a resumption of talks which were inter- rupted on 13 December. Adenauer has publicly ruled out the idea of an atom-free zone proposed by Bulganin and Polish Foreign Minister Rapacki. By straddling at Pails the question of accepting IRBM bases, Adenauer has reserved a bargain- ing point for discussion with Smirnov, while leaving the door open for German acceptance if the NATO military experts make what Adenauer considers a "convincing case" for the necessity of stationing missiles on. German ter- ritory. From the standpoint of German public opinion, Adenauer would be more justified in apcepting such weapons if Moscow failed to provide evidence of a new approach to unification. 24 Dec 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 6 ST:CR FT Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 CO2066862 Approved for Release: 165712/10 CO2066862 Norki 1%0' 4. AFGHAN ECONOMY DRIVE MAY CURTAIL SIWTET AND AMERICAW_PROIECTS Comment on: Since last summer, the Afghan Govern- ment has become increasingly con- cerned over the inflationary effects of its economic development program, over the rising level of its external debts, and over the production of suf- ficient export products to barter for Soviet-built development projects. A full-scale review of the situation is apparently under way. One result of the review may be material- ly to slow further work on Soviet Droiects under the $100,000,- 000 loan. the Afghans have postponed the Naghlu hydroelectric scheme and may have can- celed other projects. Unsuccessful Afghan efforts to get the USSR and Czechoslovakia to grant credit for local costs as well as for imported equipment for the $30,000,000 oil ex- ploration program and a fruit-canning factory may also re- sult in delays. Kabul and Prague are in dispute over payments for the Czech-built cement plant at Jabal-es-Saraj, which can- not begin operations until technicians arrive from Czechoslovakia. At the same time, certain American-spon- sored projects may also come under fire. Afghan Foreign Min- ister Naim has tentatively rejected aid under the United States Development Loan Fund for construction by the Morrison- Knudsen Company in the Helmand Valley. He has told Ambas- sador Mills that Morrison-Knudsen may be asked to continue work only on those projects which can be completed with exist- ing funds. Kabul now may begin a campaign to obtain grant aid both from the West and the bloc for its projects or for additional credit to cover costs which previously have been paid in Afghan currency. 24 Dec 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 7 sren rT Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 CO2066862 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 CO2066862 Irrid *iive� 5. YEMENI-INSPIRED REBELLION MAY SPREAD INTO EASTERN ADEN PROTECTORATE Comment on: Yemeni-inspired unrest against British authority in the Western Aden Protectorate "is going strong- ly," and "will spread throughout the so-called Eastern Aden Protector- ate," In order to assist these efforts, the Imam asked the Czechs to pro- vide British-type ammunition for delivery to the rebel- lious protectorate tribesmen. The Eastern Protectorate, also known as the Hadhramaut, has until recent months been relatively free from unrest. By the end of the summer, however, dis- sident activity among several tribes forced the British to dispatch armored cars and RAF aircraft in an attempt to discourage interference with vehicle traffic. but dissidence is believed -to have increased recently KAMA- RAN I. IRK) Protectorate boundary � Indefinite boundary r�---,ctiajran .11.* 24 DECEMBER 1957 SAUDIA ARABIA SULTANATE OF MUSCAT � AND OMAN ? MUTES 200 Thamuf% YEMEN � �Shibam Marib. 'Salif SAM Harib. / :� E^ ASTERN ADEN PROTECTORATE -- liodeida L ) / /raiz. ,-.AhalaWESTERN .: 0-1ADEN PROTECTORATE / FRENCI-1 : SOMALILAND f -ADEN COLONY BRITISH SOMALILAND Mukalla SOMALIA Saleja,, SUDAN 24438 USSR IRAN AFG. PAK SAUDI ARABIA muscA, 1 OMAN .t�EP�EN ETHIOPIA OFE-50m SOMALIA 24 Dec 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 8 TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 CO2066862 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 CO2066862 Nue 6. REVOLT PLANNED AGAINST CUBAN GOVERNMENT Comment on: An aerial and ground attack is planned against the government of Cuban Presi- dent Batista, probably in the near future, Sixteen aircraft al- legedly coming from Mexico are to at- tack air and military installations at Havana, and disaffected military per- sonnel have been recruited to assist the revolt from within the installations. Ground forces are to attack military headquarters at Camp Columbia near Havana and to blow up bridges and a tunnel connecting it with the capital. The initial attack is to be followed by a general uprising. This plan, which is similar in detail to the one existing prior to the 5 September naval revolt at Cienfuegos where 200 to 300 persons were killed, appears to be beyond the capabilities of the rebels. The American Embassy and military attaches at Havana discount the ex- tent of diSaffection within the armed forces; the number of aircraft allegedly involved is probably exaggerated. Rumors of renewed antigovernment ac- tivity during Christmas week have increased recently, and it is possible that a small-scale attempt will be made. Without considerable popular and military support, such a move would probably fail to unseat the government. 24 Dec 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 9 7cri7CR ET Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 CO2066862