CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/05/08

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02064585
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: May 24, 2019
• Document Release Date: May 30, 2019
• Publication Date: May 8, 1952

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SEC INFORMATION
8 May 1952
Copy No.'53
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO
NO CHANGE -IN CLASS.
DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS ..".;41;041
NEXT FIEViEW DATE: _
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DATE. IL 617 e g w flPirWPR'
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
TOP SECRET
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SEC INFORMATION
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SUMMARY
SOVIET UNION
1. Soviet turnover tax collections lag (page 3).
FAR EAST
2. Anti-Communist demonstration in Tibet suppressed by force
(page 3).
3. Indian proposals for settlement of Indochina war reported (page 4)0
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
4. Iraqi Prime Minister eager to solve the Sudan issue (page 4).
5. French official says cabinet adamant on Tunisia (page 5).
6. Greece and Turkey agree to military talks with Yugoslavia (page 6).
EASTERN EUROPE
7. Yugoslavia plans to occupy Albania in event of war (page 6).
WESTERN EUROPE
8. Adenauer's hand strengthened by local elections (page 7).
9, West German coalition will probably approve contractual agreements
(page 7).
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SOVIET UNION
1. Soviet turnover tax collections lag:
Soviet Deputy Minister of Finance Uryupin 3.3(h)(2)
- recently notified his subordinates that collection
of the turnover tax in the first quarter was
lagging in certain branches of the economy.
Uryupin recommended that particular attention
be paid to the shipment and retail sale of goods by seeing to it that trading
organizations carry a full line of merchandise. He urged that goods be
forwarded faster to the retail trade system and that paper work be acceler-
ated to enable prompt return of funds to the treasury.
Comment: More than 50 percent of the total
revenues of the USSR are derived from the turnover tax, which is levied
on all retail transactions. The planned yield for this tax in 1952 is
260 billion rubles, or 12 percent more than in 1951.
The lag in tax collection therefore indicates
that retail sales were behind schedule, probably because of the continued
scarcity of consumer goods in the USSR.
FAR EAST
2. Anti-Communist demonstration in Tibet suppressed by force:
The Indian Ministry of External Affairs, com3.3(h)(2)
menting on the recent report from its Lhasa
representative of a clash between Tibetans
and Chinese Communist troops, attributes the
demonstration primarily to a food shortage aggravated by the presence
of Chinese soldiers, and to the growing unpopularity of the Chinese in
Tibet.
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The American Embassy at New Delhi believes
that the Chinese face an increasingly difficult situation in Tibet with the
growing possibility of more uprisings.
Comment: The presence of from 10 to 15
thousand Communist troops has been a burden on Tibet's limited food
supply. The Chinese, however, have full military control and can
suppress any opposition.
3. Indian proposals for settlement of Indochina war reported:
Madame Pandit, who is heading an Indian
cultural mission to Peiping, is carrying pro-
posals for cessation of hostilities between the
French and the Viet Minh,
The American Embassy in Bangkok observes
that while it cannot evaluate this report, it is possible that Nehru may
have asked his sister to sound out Viet Minh representatives in Peiping
as well as the Chinese and the Russians.
Comment: There is no confirmation of this
report. As long ago as 17 March,the French Ambassador in New Delhi
reported to Paris that the Secretary General of the Indian Ministry of
External Affairs had told him that press reports suggesting India's
possible role as a mediator were "purely imaginary." At that time,the
Secretary General added that India had no desire to assume such a role.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
4, Iraqi Prime Minister eager to solve the Sudan issue:
Iraq's Prime Minister Nun i Said, currently
in London, has informed the Egyptian Am-
bassador that he is most interested in going
to the Sudan to obtain its acceptance of Farouk
4 r
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as King. The Prime Minister stated that he was "most anxious and
perturbed" because the Egyptian Premier had not answered his earlier
offer to go to the Sudan or to Cairo.
The Iraqi Prime Minister stressed that Egypt
had everything to gain if his mission were successful, while only he
would be blamed for failure.
Comment: Nun i Pasha, able pro-British
politician, has long been concerned over the serious situation in Egypt,
and he has repeatedly offered to mediate.
This latest offer, though likely to be rejected,
emphasizes the continuing pressure that Arab leaders are bringing to
bear on Egypt to come to terms with Britain, which in turn would make
possible consideration of Middle East Command proposals.
5. French official says cabinet adamant on Tunisia: 3.3(h)(2)
The Chief of the Protectorates Division of the
French Foreign Office told the American Am-
bassador on 5 May that Foreign Minister
Schuman's liberal attitude on Tunisia was not
endorsed by other members of the Pinay Cabinet. The Cabinet, he said,
was not in any mood to accept "dictates of the United Nations led by such
feudal and backward countries as Yemen."
The official added that France would withdraw
from the United Nations rather than submit to a "succession of attacks
aimed at complete destruction of the French Union." France will not
willingly allow the UN to make "unrealistic" decisions which weaken the
family of free nations and serve the purposes of the Soviet Union.
Comment: Despite their oft-repeated as-
sertions that matters affecting Tunisia are an internal French consider-
ation, the French have under international pressure released former
Tunisian Premier Chenik and his ministers and scheduled the Mixed
Commission to meet before 16 May. These gestures, however, do not
mean that the Pinay government intends to grant genuine reforms.
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6. Greece and Turkey agree to military talks with Yugoslavia:
Greece and Turkey agree that close collabor3.3(h)(2)
-
ation with Yugoslavia is indispensable for their
joint defense effort. Both countries are willing
to approach Yugoslavia, and the Turkish Foreign
Minister will inform the Yugoslav Ambassador in Ankara that Turkey
wishes to start talks immediately.
Greek and Turkish officials believe that Yugo-
slavia wants military talks but is reluctant to start them because of its
internal political situation. The Greek Foreign Office official who told
this to Ambassador Peurifoy added that to create goodwill a group of
Greek deputies plan to visit Yugoslavia soon, and a return visit pre-
sumably will be made by Yugoslav deputies.
Comment: There are increasing indications
that Yugoslavia would welcome secret discussions concerning local
military cooperation with Greece and Turkey. Ambassador Peurifoy
also reported that the newly appointed Yugoslav Milttary Attache in Athens
had told the Chief of the Greek General Staff that the Yugoslav Army will
"protect" the Greek-Yugoslav border in case of war,
EASTERN EUROPE
7. Yugoslavia plans to occupy Albania in event of war:
The Yugoslav Minister to Greece informed
a Greek Foreign Office official on 28 April
that in the event of war or at the threat of
war, Yugoslav forces would occupy Albania.
The Greek official replied that by acting alone the Yugoslays would un-
necessarily weaken their long eastern front, and that they should discuss
the matter with Greece, Turkey, and "perhaps with others." The
Yugoslav Minister implied that his government would re-examine the
question of military talks.
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Comment: It is apparent that the Greek
Government will press the Yugoslays for an agreement defining spheres
of interest or at least planning joint military operations in Albania,
whenever representatives of the two countries conduct proposed military
discussions. This will be a delicate problem, as the Greeks have tradi-
tional territorial aspirations in southern Albania and both governments
want to create a sympathetic Albanian regime.
8.
WESTERN EUROPE
Adenauer's hand strengthened by local elections:
of 4 May,
Party
relatively,
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In the Hessian communal elections
the West German Social Democratic
(SPD) lost some public support,
while Chancellor Adenauer's Christian
Democratic Party maintained its position.
This election and the Southwest State election
of 9 March indicate that
the upswing in SPD strength
which started in
1950 has leveled off,
if federal elections
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were held now, as the
would be
sPi) demands, the Social Democrats
unable to form a government.
Comment: Since Hesse is normally an SPD
stronghold, and since federal issues became involved in the elections,
the results suggest a rising public approval of Adenauer's policies.
9. West German coalition will probably approve contractual agreements:
While the West German coalition parties
have become increasingly critical of the
Allied-German contractual agreements as
the signature date approaches, it is generally
felt in Bonn that in any showdown, Chancellor Adenauer will get their
approval to sign the agreements. Rumors that the Allies might grant
further concessions stimulated the criticism.
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No government party is willing to accept
responsibility for either the breakdown of the current negotiations or
the rejection of the agreements, since the alternative arrangement is
the perpetuation of the Occupation Statute.
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