CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/07/15

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02051069
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 5
• Document Creation Date: June 6, 2019
• Document Release Date: June 27, 2019
• Publication Date: July 15, 1952

Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2051069
SECURIT FORMATION
15 July 1952
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
Office of Current Intelligence
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SUMMARY
SOVIET UNION
1. Possible allocation of twin-jet bombers to Soviet Northern Fleet
(page 3).
FAR EAST
2. Chinese Communists suggest new approach to POW issue in Korea
(page 3).
3. Soviet MIG's in Manchuria move nearer Korean border (page 4).
4. Papal delegate in Indochina says Tam government cannot last
long (page 5).
WESTERN EUROPE
5. French politicians see Pinar s downfall certain this year (page 5).
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SOVIET UNION
1. Possible allocation of twin-jet bombers to Soviet Northern Fleet:
Tentative evidence that the Northern
Fleet Air Force may have received, or
is preparing to receive, twin-jet light
bombers
FAR EAST
2. Chinese Communists suggest new approach to POW issue in Korea:
Former Indian Ambassador to Peiping,
K. M. Panikkar, reportedly states that the
Chinese Communists want to avoid appear-
ing as sponsors of any plan involving the
neutral rescreening of unwilling POW returnees at Panmunjom. It
is inferred, hoWever, that the Communists would consider this ap-
proach if it were advanced by UN negotiators.
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Comment: Chinese Communist propaganda
adopted a more optimistic line toward developments at Panmunjom
earlier in the week, but over the week end it shifted back to vilifying
the United Nations.
3, Soviet MIGI s in Manchuria move nearer Korean border:
scheduled
"airfield transfer" flights of Soviet aircraft
between Manchurian airfields.
Since 6 July, two groups of 32 MIG-15's
each were to transfer from Mukden to Antung and from Tungfeng to
Fengcheng, a new jet base near Antung. The latter transfer was
evidently completed because 26 Soviet MIG's were scheduled for two
training flights from Fengcheng on 11 July.
Comment: These transfers represent a
considerable, although possibly temporary, increase in enemy air
combat strength in the Antung area. Probably five or six of the nine
Russian-manned units in Manchuria are now based within 50 miles of
Korea.
Approximately 41 MIG-15's of the Chinese
12th Air Division also moved from Takushan to Fengcheng on 12 and
13 Ally. Of the four jet airbases in the Yalu River area, Fengcheng
is the most difficult for American pilots to observe.
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4. Papal delegate in Indochina sap Tam government cannot last long:
The American Consul in Hanoi was told by
the Apostolic Delegate in Indochina that the
government of Nguyen Van Tam is widely
unpopular and cannot last long. The Consul
comments that the Archbishop is considered "perhaps the most
cautious man in Indochina,"
Comment: Conflicting reports have been
received on the stability of the Tam government. The consensus
of these reports is that, while Tam's close relationship with the
French has won him an enduring unpopularity, the attitude of the
Vietnamese population has changed somewhat during the first month
of his premiership from one of intense hostility to one of watchful
waiting.
WESTERN EUROPE
5. French politicians see Pinar s downfall certain this year:
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A confidential survey by the US Embassy in 3.3(h)(2)
Paris shows that spokesmen for the major
French political parties are unanimous in
the belief that the Pinay government will fall
before the end of the year. These politicians expect a similar rightist-
dominated coalition to replace the present government when the failure
of Pina,y's economic policies becomes more apparent.
They envisage no fundamental change in
foreign policy, but agree that Schuman will not head a ministry; Bidault
is mentioned either as his successor or as the next premier.
Comment: Although Pinay has so far success-
fully confounded his critics, his program stops short of the drastic re-
forms necessary to stabilize the French economy.
Dissatisfaction with Schuman has become in-
creasingly vocal in France during the past few months. Bidault's ap-
pointment to the Foreign Office would assure continuity of the program
for which he and Schuman have carried the responsibility since 1945,
but his failing health makes his political future uncertain.
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