CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1953/02/14

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02050118
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: July 15, 2019
• Document Release Date: July 22, 2019
• Publication Date: February 14, 1953

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INFORMATION
14 February 1953
Copy No. 5 9
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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AUTH: HR 70-2LIIIIIII
DATE VIEWER:
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SE INFORMATION
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SUMMARY
GENERAL
1, India allegedly airing new Korean peace proposal before Arab-
Asian bloc (page 3).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
2. Arabs to ask for recall of UN truce supervisor (page 3).
3.
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WESTERN EUROPE
4. Communist threat in Berlin seen as diversionary effort (page 5).
5. Bonn government imposes conditions for negotiations with
Individual Arab states (page 5).
6. Swiss consider controls on transit trade (page 6).
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GENERAL
1. India allegedly airing new Korean peace proposal before Arab-Asian
bloc:
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According to an unconfirmed report India, 3.3(h)(2)
possibly with support from Indonesia, was
to present a new Korean peace proposal to
a meeting of Arab-Asian bloc representatives
on 13 February. The proposal allegedly was to recommend that the
issue of repatriating prisoners of war be left to the political conference
which would follow a cease-fire.
Comment: This is the first information
suggesting the concrete steps India intends to take in its further efforts
to achieve peace in Korea. If accurate, it demonstrates that India has
retreated from the stand expressed in its UN Korean resolution of 3
December and adopted the Soviet proposal that a cease-fire precede
discussion of prisoner repatriation.
Under the Communist plan an 11-nation
political conference, in which the four Communist countries repre-
sented would have veto power, would be committed to the principle of
total repatriation. The reported Indian plan presumably envisages
that the conference would decide whether repatriation is to be total
or voluntary.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
2. Arabs to ask for recall of UN truce supervisor:
Arab members of the Palestine Mixed
Armistice Commission agreed last
November to demand the recall of General
Riley, chief of the UN Truce Supervisory
Organization, and, in the event of Israeli aggression, to call for Arab
"counteraction," according to an American Embassy official in Amman
who has seen the minutes of the meeting.
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Jordan and Syria have formally ratified
these decisions; after similar action has been taken by Egypt and
Lebanon, they will be put into effect.
Comment: The Arabs in recent months
have repeatedly questioned Riley's neutrality.
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WESTERN EUROPE
4. Communist threat in Berlin seen as diversionary effort:
American representatives in Berlin
report that despite the threatening
proclamation of the Socialist Unity
Party on 11 February and further
East German measures in the past few days to isolate West
Berlin, the East Germans have taken no new actions directed
primarily at the West Berlin populace. They believe that the
purpose of the proclamation was to divert public attention from
the flood of refugees and the bad conditions in East Germany.
Comment: The proclamation states
ambiguously that West Berriiiriliccrusion in the Western military
system would constitute the final breach of the four-power agree-
ment on Berlin. It also calls for a four-power meeting on Berlin
and for free Berlin elections, and warns of further isolation of
West Berlin if the treaties are ratified.
5. Bonn government imposes conditions for negotiations with individual
Arab states:
The Bonn government may have more
success in negotiating trade agreements
with the Arab states individually than it
has had with Egypt and the states col-
lectively, in the opinion of a West German Foreign Office spokesman.
Bonn will demand, however, that the Arabs issue formal invitations
and disavow General Nagib's contention that Germany owes the Arab
states an indemnity. Moreover, the Germans will insist that the
Israeli reparations agreement is not to be dismissed and that the
Arabs have no political or economic relations with East Germany.
Comment It is unlikely that the Arab
states will agree to these conditions. Unless the negotiations can
be resumed in some forms the Arabs may feel impelled to adopt
some form of boycott of West Germany.
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6. Swiss consider controls on transit trade:
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The American Minister in Bern believes that3.3(h)(2)
as a result of recent unfavorable publicity in
the United States, the Swiss will soon deny
free port facilities to merchants diverting
strategic goods to the Orbit. The president of the Basel Free Port
Company, with the approval of the Swiss Commerce Department, is
sponsoring a plan to refuse transit shipments from suspect firms.
This has already resulted in the blocking of a shipment of 100 tons
of German aluminum apparently destined for Poland via Antwerp.
The Swiss Commerce department has pro-
posed consultations with the American Legation on the problems in-
volved in applying transit trade controls.
Comment: Hitherto the Swiss have main-
tained they could not institute transit trade controls unilaterally.
They may take limited steps in this direction to satisfy United States
criticism, but are unlikely to institute an effective control system
unless other Western countries do likewise.
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