CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Tet Declassified
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02033844
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: April 26, 2019
• Document Release Date: April 30, 2019
• Publication Date: January 24, 1968

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3.5(c)
DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central Intelligence Bulletin
3.5(c)
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c 214
24 January 1968
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The CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN is produced by the
.Director of Central Intelligence to meet his responsibilities for providing
current intelligence bearing on issues of national security to the President,
the National Security Council, and other senior government officials. It
is produced in consultation with the Departments of State and Defense.
When, because of the time factor, adequate consultation with the depart-
ment of primary concern is not feasible, items or portions thereof are pro-
duced by CIA and marked with an asterisk.
Interpretations of intelligence information in this publication represent
immediate and preliminary views which are subject to modification in the
light of further information and more complete analysis.
Certain intelligence items in this publication may be designated specifically
for no further dissemination. Other intelligence items may be disseminated
further, but only on a need-to-know basis.
WARNING
This document contains classified information affecting the national security
of the United States within the meaning of the espionage laws, US Code
Title 18, Sections 793, 794, and 798.
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24 January 1968
Central Intelligence Bulletin
CONTENTS
Vietnam: Situation report. (Page 1)
3.5(c)
Dominican Republic: Violence is threatened and may
include US citizens. (P:age 4)
Denmark: Election could result in first non-Socialist
government in almost 15 years. (Page 5)
Venezuela-USSR: Pressure building up on Caracas to
resume diplomatic relations with Soviets. (Page 6)
USSR: Big decisions pending (Page 7)
India: Popular unrest (Page 8)
11P-SrEZ.ET
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3.5(c)
69386 1-68 CIA.
24 Jan 68 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Map
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.1 _EA -41�..11,
*South Vietnam: The Communists are continuing
to prepare for widespread offensive operations in the
two northernmost provinces.
The opening round of the expected operations
came on 19 January with the North Vietnamese probes
against Khe Sanh. Although no major fighting was re-
ported in this sector on 23 January, elements of two
North Vietnamese divisions, the 325 "C" and the
304th, are maintaining pressure on the Marine de-
fenses.
In the central and eastern parts of northern Quang
Tri Province, two North Vietnamese divisions, the
324"B" and possibly the 320th, pose the threat of im-
minent large-scale ground and artillery attacks against
allied strongpoints stretching from the Demilitarized
Zone as far south as Quang Tri
A North Vietnamese Army deserter who turned
himself in at Khe Sanh on 20 January has indicated
that his parent unit, the 325"C" Division, has been
ordered to overrun every US base between the Laotian
border and Con Thien before the Tet holidays at the
end of January. The deserter,
further stated that he had been
told that the North Vietnamese troops would go on to
"liberate" Quang Tri Province, thereby winning a
powerful negotiating position for the Communists. The
Quang Tri campaign was so important, he claimed,
that it was being controlled directly by the North Viet-
namese Defense Ministry in Hanoi.
While this schedule seems highly optimistic,
there is evidence in communications intelligence that
enemy operations in northern I Corps are indeed being
closely monitored from Hanoi, as the deserter indicated.
On 20 January, the North Vietnamese Army high com-
mand in Hanoi was detected passing an unusually heavy
volume of messages to both the Tri-Thien-Hue Military
24 Jan 68
1-143 S-ECT
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Region and the major new Communist military head-
quarters located northwest of Khe Sanh in Laos. This
message activity coincided with the initial North Viet-
namese ground probes and artillery attacks in the Khe
Sanh area and with the southward deployment of the
Tri-Thien-Hue Military Region headquarters into a
position just southeast of the allied coastal enclave of
Hue-Phu Bat,
In addition, in the Quang Nam - Quang Tin prov-
ince area, recent maneuvering by elements of the
North Vietnamese 2nd Division and by headquarters
elements of the Communist's Military Region 5 com-
mand has increased the threat to other allied coastal
positions ranging from Da Nang to Tam Ky.
In response to these moves, an additional US
Marine battalion has been sent to reinforce the Khe
Sanh garrison. Three battalions of the US 1st Air
Cavalry Division have been shifted to Phu Bai from
their former base camp headquarters at An Khe in
Binh Dinh Province. Two of these US Army battalions
appear to have been subsequently shifted to Quang Tri
Province, where on 23 January, they killed 52 Com-
southeast of Quang Tri City. 3.5(c
(Map)
24 Jan 68
2
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VIA-11J I.
Dominican Republic: There are threats of in-
creased violence which may include US citizens as
targets.
Speaking to a labor group on 20 January, leaders
of the Marxist-Leninist Dominican Popular Movement
reportedly said the party has adopted a political line
of violence similar to that of the Guatemalan revolu-
tionaries. The spokesmen stressed that their party
must strike back against "repression," and made it
clear that US citizens would be included.
The secretary general of the left-of-center Domi-
nican Revolutionary Party has issued an implied warn-
ing that the left will have no recourse but to employ
counterterrorism if acts of violence allegedly directed
by the right at former "constitutionalists" continue.
Some increase in violence has been apparent dur-
ing the past few months, but only a few incidents ap-
pear to have political overtones and there is no evidence
of a calculated campaign of violence by the right or
left. Acts of terrorism by the left, however, probably
would be met by ruthless counterterrorism from the
right. 3.5(c)
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4
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*Denmark: The marked shift to the center in yes-
terday's national elections is expected to lead to the
formation of Denmark's first non-Socialist government
in almost 15 years.
The biggest losers were Prime Minister Krag's
Social Democrats and the parties on the left. The most
spectacular gains were made by the Radical Liberals--
a party with pacifist inclinations�who more than doubled
their representation by winning 28 seats in the 179-mem-
ber parliament. This small party now holds the balance
of power, and there is a strong possibility that it will
join with the larger Conservative and Moderate Liberal
parties to form a majority government.
Despite its majority position, such a government
would not hold out the hope for increased stability or a
firmer commitment to NATO and defense policies gen-
erally. Faced with Denmark's economic problems, all
parties are prepared to slash further the already inade-
quate defense budget. In addition, the question of Den-
mark's continued membership in NATO after 1969 could
become a contentious issue for the coalition partners
since the Radical Liberals favor a referendum on this
question.
The election outcome apparently was not greatly
influenced by the furor which developed over the crash
of a nuclear-armed US bomber in Greenland. The con-
tinuing public outcry over this incident, however, is
almost certain to lead to pressures on the new govern-
ment to monitor and control more effectively US activ-
ities in Greenland. Copenhagen may seek formal as-
surances that the US will comply with Denmark's policy
of not allowing nuclear weapons on its soil or flights
of nuclear-armed aircraft over its territory.
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Venezuela-USSR: Colombia's recent resumption
of diplomatic relations with the USSR has increased
the pressure on Venezuela to follow suit.
The leading Caracas newspaper claims that Presi-
dent Leoni would like tq take similar action before his
term ends early next year. Many political leaders,
including those of the major opposition parties, are on
record as favoring a resumption of relations, which
were broken in June 1952 following a diplomatic in-
cident fabricated by Venezuela.
Venezuela now has diplomatic relations with
Poland, Yugoslavia, and Rumania, and has accepted
commercial missions from Czechoslovakia and Hungary.
For some time Venezuela has been considering ex-
panding its trade relations with the Soviet Union, and
a commercial delegation will visit Moscow this spring.
Some government officials would prefer postpon-
ing diplomatic action until the Soviets demonstrate
pressure on Castro to cease his intervention in Vene-
zuelan affairs. The US Embassy in Caracas comments,
however, that "as euphoria develops in the absence of
any significant insurgency and as domestic campaign
pressures grow, Venezuelan resistance to relations
obviously diminishes. The Colombian initiative adds
to this pressure," 3.5(c)
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1 kir 1-�12.
NOTES
USSR: The leadership will not be ready to make
decisions on a number of pending questions connected
with US-Soviet relations for a month to six weeks.
Ambassador Dobrynin told Ambassador Thompson in
Moscow last week that ratification of the US-Soviet
consular agreement and renewal of the cultural ex-
change agreement would probably not have top-level
approval before then. Dobrynin also indicated that the
central committee meeting thought to have been
scheduled for this month would not take place for at
least another four to six weeks. These revelations
suggest that the deliberations now going on in the
Politburo are weighty and difficult and that the central
committee meeting will await their outcome. /
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i.
India: Unrest is mounting again in Tamil-speak-
ing south India over charges that recent legislation
does not adequately protect the rights of linguistic
minorities. Major disturbances are expected within
the next few days in Madras, which three years ago
was torn by extensive anti-Hindi rioting. Students
have already rioted in Bangalore, the capital of neigh-
boring Mysore state, and sporadic demonstrations are
occurring in some areas of Andhra Pradesh. "Anti-
Hindi martyrs day," commemorating the death of
students in similar riots on 25 January 1965, will be
especially touchy.
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