CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1955/10/08

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02027257
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: September 20, 2019
• Document Release Date: September 26, 2019
• Publication Date: October 8, 1955

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8 October 1955
Copy No.
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO -.72
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
El DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C
NEXT REVIEW DATE: _130/O
RUTH: HR 70-2 giN
DAM _AEVIEWER:
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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CONTENTS
1. MOROCCAN MILITARY SrrUATION REPORTED
"EXTREMELY GRAVE" (page 3).
2. FRANCE MAY TRANSFER INDOCHINA FORCES TO
NORTH AFRICA (page 4)0
3. IRAN REJECTS SOVIET DIPLOMATIC PROTEST (page 5)0
4. COMMENT ON INDONESIAN ELECTIONS (page 6).
5. BRAZILIAN ELECTION RETURNS INTENSIFY THREAT
OF MILITARY COUP (page 7).
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1. MOROCCAN MILITARY SITUATION REPORTED
"EXTREMELY GRAVE"
The military situation in Morocco is
"extremely grave."
there is
real danger of a massive tribal uprising on the scale of
the Riff war during 1925-26, and is apprehensive that trou-
ble in the cities will recur.
Comment The extensive tribal guerrilla activi-
ties in northeast Morocco during the
past week suggest that nationalist capabilities may be
greater than previously estimated.
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2. FRANCE MAY TRANSFER INDOCHINA FORCES TO
NORTH AFRICA
French army chief of staff Guillaume
has asked Premier Faure to take all
steps necessary for the immediate
transfer of the entire French Expedi-
tionary Corps from Vietnam to North Africa,
To date,
Faure has refused to permit talks on France's
military relationship with Vietnam until Vietnam surren-
ders two French officers it took into custody
Comment
The domestic unpopularity of the re-
cent call-up of reservists may lead
the French government to use the Expeditionary Corps,
which numbers about 50,000, to cope with the situation in
North Africa.
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3. IRAN REJECTS SOVIET DIPLOMATIC PROTEST
The Foreign Ministry termed as false
and unreasonable the Soviet allegation that Iran's adherence
to the treaty would threaten world peace. It also affirmed
that self-defense is a "sacred right" and "should not be the
subject of complaint on the part of any government."
Comment Iran's response, in the face of repeated
Soviet protests and veiled threats, re-
veals the determination to retain freedom of action and sug-
gests that Iran intends to adhere to the Turkish-Iraqi treaty.
Turkish officials who visited Iran in September apparently
convinced Iranian officials that the USSR would not react
strongly because it would not want to drop its general con-
ciliatory policy on the eve of the Big Four conference.
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4. COMMENT ON INDONESIAN ELECTIONS
Latest unofficial Indonesian election
returns show a further trend toward
a fairly even distribution of votes
among the four major parties. The
National Party continues to lead with
26 percent of the total vote and is fol-
lowed by the Masjumi with 23 percent,
the Nandlatul Ulama with 22 percent and the Communist
Party with 21 percent. An estimated 4,000,000-7,000,000
votes cast last week are still uncounted.
Approximately 10 percent of the elec-
torate located in areas where dissidence is strong has yet
to vote, and the order for a re-election in Central Java af-
fects another 7 percent
The Masjumi's improved position and
the Communists' drop into fourth place increase the possi-
bility of a coalition between the National Party and one or
both of the Moslem parties.
Prime Minister Harahap requested the
reassembled provisional parliament on 7 October to allow
his Masjumi-led cabinet to remain in office until the new
parliament is seated. Response to Harahap's plea may de-
pend on the Masjumi's relative gains or losses within the
next few days.
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5. BRAZILIAN ELECTION RETURNS INTENSIFY THREAT
OF MILITARY COUP
With about half the returns in from
Brazil's 3 October presidential elec-
tion, Juscelino Kubitschek has over-
taken Adhemar de Barros, while Gen.
Juarez Tavora continues to run a
strong third. Kubitschek's Communist-
linked running mate, Joao Goulart, has
captured the lead from Milton Campos
in the vice presidential race.
The danger of a military coup has in-
creased since armed forces leaders are reported deter-
mined to prevent Kubitschek and Goulart from taking office
if elected.
The military may be forced to decide
on its course of action soon since it has reportedly dis-
covered that Kubitschek, if elected, plans to visit the
United States before his inauguration and he might very
well leave as soon as the election results are clear. Such
a visit, the military fears, would be generally interpreted
in Brazil as proof of American confidence in Kubitschek
and would make a coup more difficult.
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