CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1953/10/28

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02020906
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: July 15, 2019
• Document Release Date: July 22, 2019
• Publication Date: October 28, 1953

Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2020906,
SECURI FORMATION rof-
rd,v4r;
TOP SE
28 October 1953
Copy No. 84
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT No 40
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
El DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C
NEXT REVIEW DATE. P003
AUTH: HR 70-2
DATE:rW/2/ 79 REVIEWER
Office of Current Intelligence
3.5(c)
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
3.5(c)
/
3.5(c)
Ft
Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2020906
Approved for Release: 205/107/10 CO2020906
SECURITY INFORMATION
3.5(c)
SUMMARY
SOUTHEAST ASIA
/Possibility of postelection revolt causing concern in Philippines:
(page 3).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
2. Saudi Arabia reportedly faces breakdown in internal security
(page 3).
EASTERN EUROPE
be Security police surveillance strengthened in eastern Czechoslovakia
(page 4).
WESTERN EUROPE
4. New East German travel checks may curtail refugee flow (page 4).
5. France reluctant to become involved in question of Trieste troop
withdrawals (page 5).
LATIN AMERICA
6. Threat seen to prestige of US air missions in Latin America
(page 5).
* * * *
2
28 Oct 53
3.5(c)
3.5(c)
Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2020906
Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2020906
3.5(c)
st,,e
1 Kt, 1
SECURITY INFORMATION
SOUTHEAST ASIA
1.
Possibility of postelection revolt causing concern in Philippines:
The possibility of armed revolt in the.
event of fraudulent elections is causing
serious concern to responsible Philippine
3.3(h)(2)
off icials,
3.3(h)(2)
Magsaysay
has told his followers to avoid violence, but has
allegedly asked
trusted supporters to determine the number of
armed men available for an emergency.
the administration 3.3(h)(2)
may arrest top Nacionalista leaders on trumped-up charges of
conspiracy. the unfavorable
public reaction to recent press reports of possible wholesale arrests
would serve as a deterrent to the administration.
Comment: Nearly all competent ob-
servers have stressed the possibility of a violent reaction to an
administration victory. There has been only one previous report,
however, alleging actual Nacibnalista plans for a revolt.
The possibility that the administration might
arrest opposition leaders has long been rumored and such a move
would be just as likely to set off a revolt as would a blatantly
fraudulent victory.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
. Saudi Arabia reportedly faces breakdown in internal security:
j Saudi
Arabian internal security is deteriorating
and that he expects a breakdown of all
central authority with attacks against
utbreak of tribal warfare to follow the death of
King Ibn Saud, who is seriously ill. He characterizes the crown
prince, to whom the king has recently delegated considerable
authority, as weak.
-3
3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
28 Oct 53 3.5(c)
Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2020906
Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2020906
inFf I
SECURITY INFORMATION
3.5(c)
Comment: While this report may be
too pessimistic, the government recently handled the strike of oil
workers badly and the government does appear to be experiencing
internal security problems.
EASTERN EUROPE
3. Security police surveillance strengthened in eastern Czechoslovakia:
Comment: Early in August a rural
uprising against local party and government officials in eastern
Slovakia necessitated the dispatch of secret police and security
troops to restore order. Although there is no known resistance
organization in Slovakia, peasant disaffection in that area is
apparently serious enough to require long-range countermeasures.
WESTERN EUROPE
4. New East German travel checks may curtail refugee flow:
The recent institution by the East German
police of checks on travelers entering
Berlin on the S-Bahn, or elevated, may
close an important avenue of escape
for refugees and might seriously handicap any future relief programs
for Soviet zone residents, according to American officials in Bonn.
They also fear that the ten-minute police checks of S-Bahn passen-
gers traveling from the Soviet zone may be extended also to travel
between the east and west sectors of Berlin.
-4-
TOPSECRET
28 Oct 53
3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
3.5(c)
Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2020906
Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2020906
*wit 1Ui>5tKti
SECURITY INFORMATION
3.5(c)
Comment: The East German police have
been examining luggage and documents of S-Bahn passengers at
the Soviet zone border since 18 October. The S-Bahn has been one
of the principal routes used by refugees who continue to arrive
in West Berlin at a rate of about 500 daily.
5. France reluctant to become involved in question of Trieste troopf_with-
drawals:
French foreign minister Bidault believes
that a French request to Yugoslavia and
Italy to withdraw their troops from the
Trieste area would be inadvisable0 He
told the American and British ambassadors in London on 26
October that such a request would certainly be rejected by Yugo-
slavia and could lead to a break in diplomatic relations. Bidault
added, however, that he would express personally to the Yugoslav
foreign secretary and to Italian premier Pella his concern over
troop movements.
Bidault also said that since the basic
question w'as political, details of military problems should be
put aside pending further thrqe-power discussion. He felt that
an acceptable solution could be found only by a realistic "whittling
down" of the conflicting demands of Rome and Belgrade.
LATIN AMERICA
6. Threat seen to prestige of US air missions in Latin America:
Royal air force officers rather than
British civilians are now scheduled to
train Venezuelans in the use of British
jet bombers. The American embassy
n aracas oeiieves such a development could set a precedent
seriously damaging to the effectiveness and prestige of United
States military missions in Venezuela and other Latin American
countries.
28 Oct 53
3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
3.5(c)
Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2020906
Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2020906
'two? t(t,
SECURITY INFORMATION
3.5(c)
Comment Employment of British
officers for this purpose, if not approved by the United States, would
constitute a formal breach of the air mission agreement with Vene-
zuela and would pose a new threat to the whole program of arms
standardization in the hemisphere. The Venezuelan air force chief
would probably not risk such a breach and might in any case prefer
qualified American personnel.
British jet aircraft now compose over 20
percent of the Venezuelan air force; Brazil and Argentina have also
procured considerable numbers of British jets..
28 Oct 53 3.5(c)
Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2020906