CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/10/29

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02020566
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: June 6, 2019
• Document Release Date: June 27, 2019
• Publication Date: October 29, 1952

Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2020566
1, (JP biCtU I
SECURI iNFORMATION
29 October 1952
3.5(c)
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
3.5(c)
3.5(c)
DOCUMENT
NO CHANGE IN CLASS. $(
CI DECLASSIFIED
CLASS CHANGED TO; TS S C
NEXT REVIEW DATE;
AUTH: I-1 70-2
Office of Current Intelligence DATE) REVIEWER: 3.5(c)
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
3.5(c)
TOP SECRET
SECUTTY INFORMATION
Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2020566
1.
Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2020566
TOpECRET
SUMMARY
FAR EAST
2. Chiang Kai-shek prefers to limit troop use to unina maimana
(page 3).
SOUTHEAST ASIA
3. French proposal on repatriation of Nationalists to Formosa rejected
(page 4).
4. Rebel leader reported to have led mixed force into Burma (page 4).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
5. General Nagib suspects British economic pressure against Egypt
(page 5).
EASTERN EUROPE
6. Yugoslav official describes Bulgarian political situation as unstable
(page 5).
WESTERN EUROPE
7. Saar legislature fails to set date for elections page 6).
* * * *
3.5(c)
3.3(h)(2)
3.5(c)
3.5(c)
Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2020566
Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2020566
FAR EAST
1.
3.5(c)
3.3(h)(2)
2. Chiang Kai-shek prefers to limit troop use to China mainland 3.3(h)(2)
Chiang Kai-shek recently told American Minister
Rankin in Taigei that Chinese Nationalist
forces could play a "decisive part" in defend-
ing Southeast Asia by landing on the Chinese
mainland. He also felt that such an operation would greatly reduce
Communist chances for a successful attack on Formosa.
The Generalissimo saw "no purpose" in
sending Nationalist troops to Indochina. He said that their use in
Korea, while providing valuable training and encouraging the surrender
of Chinese Communists, could not contribute decisively to events there.
Rankin comments that Chiang, who did not
renew his offer of Nationalist troops for Korea, might agree to pro-
vide two divisions if they were fully equipped by the UN command upon
arrival in Korea.
3
TO' .LCRET
-Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2020566
3.5(c)
Approved for Release: 26'.19/05/28 CO2020566
TPSECRET
3.5(c)
SOUTHEAST ASIA
3. French proposal on repatriation of Nationalists to Formosa rejected:
The Chinese Nationalist Government has
rejected the French proposal that the first
contingent of Chinese to be repatriated to
Formosa from Indochina consist of women,
c ren an others unfit for military service, according to the French
Foreign Ministry. Taipei has countered with a proposal that at least
2,700 able-bodied men be included in the initial group of 5,000.
In the French view this would vitiate the
purely "humanitarian" basis upon which they believe the project
should be undertaken, and might thereby incur such strong objections
from Peiping that France might be obliged to delay further repatriation.
Comment: The internees number about
30,000, of which two thirds are troops, some of them now unfit for
military service. The problem of repatriating these internees has
been an irritant in French-Chinese relations since the group arrived
in Indochina in 1949-50.
4. Rebel leader reported to have led mixed force into Burma:
The American Embassy in Rangoon has bee7
told
that Naw Seng, the Kachin rebel leader, has
re-entered northern Burma with 1.6139 Chinese,
Burman and Kachin troops. According to the
Burmese Defense Minister visited the threatened area in order to
determine the best means of dealing with the "crisis."
Comment: There is considerable evidence
that the Chinese Communists have been developing a force for
eventual use in Burma under Naw Seng, who has spent the last two
and a half years in China.
- 4 -
3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
11'9L,EfEl ICET
Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2020566
3.5(c)
Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2020566
TOP SECRET
3.5(c)
Although there is no confirmation of Naw Seng's
re-entry into Burma, government authorities have shown renewed
concern over the Sino-Burmese border area.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
5. General Nagib suspects British economic pressure against Egypt:
, General Nagib believes that Great Britain is 3.3(h)(2)
putting economic pressure on his government
by withholding purchases of Egyptian cotton.
In presenting this problem, Nagib told Ambass-
ador Caffery that he is disturbed by Egypt's increasingly serious
economic situation.
The Egyptian Finance Minister, according
to Ambassador Caffery, has protested to the British Embassy against
the alleged refusal to permit cotton purchases by British mills.
Comment: The drop in the British demand
for Egyptian cotton is probably due to the depression in the textile
industry and to Egyptian prices which are higher than the world market.
EASTERN EUROPE
6. Yugoslav official describes Bulgarian political situation as unstable:
uprisings,
3.3(h)(2)
Yugoslav has 3.3(h)(2)
stated that the Bulgarian political situation
is so unstable that authorities have armed
reliable party members to check any possible
Comment: The distribution of arms to
some politically reliable Bt�WIFial civilians has been reported by a
number of sources over a period of years. There is no evidence to
indicate that this program has been intensified, or that the stability
of the Bulgarian regime has recently deteriorated.
- 5 -
3.3(h)(2)
3.5(c)
----Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2020566
Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2020566
Although overt incidents have been negli-
gible since the spring of 1951, Bulgarian peasants have continued
passive resistance to government decrees, and undercurrents of
resentment and anti-Sovietism still exist.
WESTERN EUROPE
7. Saar legislature fails to set date for elections:
The Saar Landtag on 27 October approved
the election law on its second reading, but
adjourned without setting a date for elections.
Minister-President Hoffman doubts that
the legislature will take any action in the next few days.
3.5(c)
3.3(h)(2)
According to American officials, Hoffman
is anxious to. see the French-German negotiations on the Saar end
successfully, and is well aware of the gravity of the situation. He will
try to obtain permission from French Foreign Minister Schuman to
negotiate informally with West German Chancellor Adenauer.
Comment: The setting of an early date for
the Saar elections would cause a breakdown of French-German negotia-
tions. The Saar legislature may have delayed action because of the
joint statement of 25 October admitting that a unity of views on the
Saar's future status had not been achieved, but stating that talks
would continue.
- 6 -
3.5(c)
Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2020566