CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/05/06

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02020559
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 5
• Document Creation Date: May 24, 2019
• Document Release Date: May 30, 2019
• Publication Date: May 6, 1952

Approved for Release: 2019/05/4CO2020559
No� 1-011
SECUR INFORMATION
3.5(c)
6 May 1952
Copy No. 5 2
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
!. DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: ISiivio
NEXT REVIEW DATE.
AUTH: HR 70i7u
DATEI?-14 'if REVIEWER
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
TOP � CRET
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SEC INFORMATION
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SUMMARY
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
1. British bases in Iraq may be renegotiated this year (page 3).
2. Former Egyptian Prime Minister rumored likely successor
to Hilali (page 3).
3. Egypt stresses new Sudanese constitution as stumbling block
to negotiations (page 4).
WESTERN EUROPE
4. Adenauer assures Eisenhower on Allied-German treaties
(page 4).
5. Trieste draft will not hurt De Gasperi in local elections (page 5).
6. Spain seeks assurance of further US aid (page 5).
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NEAR EAST - AFRICA
1. British bases in Iraq may be renegotiated this year:
The First Secretary of the British Embassy
in Baghdad believes that the status of the
British air bases at Habbaniyah and Shaiba
will be renegotiated "within the year." He
further reports that Iraq is quietly pressing Britain to relinquish
certain privileges enjoyed under the 1930 Anglo-Iraqi treaty.
Comment: Britain has been willing to give
up control of these bases but insists that any revision of the 1930 treaty
assure British use of them. Owing to local nationalist sentiment,
Britain has not been able to secure revision of this treaty. Current
Iraqi preference for a joint Anglo-American approach to Iraq's defense
problem may make it even more difficult for Britain to maintain its
present military role in Iraq.
2. Former Egyptian Prime Minister rumored likely successor to Hilali:
The return of former Prime Minister Sirry
Pasha from a vacation in Spain has started
rumors in Cairo that he may succeed Prime
Minister Hilali Pasha. The reasoning behind
this speculation is that Hilali will probably
resign(if the current Anglo-Egyptian discussions fail. In that case
King Farouk would need a pro-palace man, like Sirry, as Prime Mini-
ster to assure the maintenance of law and order.
Comment: Sirry, an independent in politics,
is considered honest, competent, and friendly to the British. The
present Egyptian Minister of the Interior, Maraghi Bey, has been
previously reported as ready to take over the premiership if Hilali
should leave office.
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3. Egypt stresses new Sudanese constitution as stumbling block to
negotiations:
Britain and Egypt had almost reached an
agreement in the recent Cairo discussions
when, to Egypt's "great indignation, the
Sudanese Government took legislative measures tending to affect
seriously the future status of the Sudan."
The Foreign Office added its firm conviction
that "it is absolutely necessary that the British make the Sudanese
Government suspend all legislative measures pending the outcome of
the negotiations."
Comment: This statement re-emphasizes
the serious effect on the Anglo-Egyptian crisis of the introduction by
the Governor General of a draft constitution for the Sudan.
WESTERN EUROPE
4. Adenauer assures Eisenhower on Allied-German treaties:
In his interview with General Eisenhower on
3 May, Chancellor Adenauer expressed
confidence that the European Defense Com-
munity treaty and the Allied-German con-
tractual agreement would be signed about 20 May. He thought,
however, that Parliament would approve the EDC treaty more
readily than the contracts, about which serious difficulties had lately
developed.
The Chancellor also stated that the Soviet
Union's current unity program would not block West Germany's
integration into the European defense system.
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Comment: Opposition to the contractual
agreement is rising in West Germany as the terms are made public.
High Commissioner McCloy has gained the impression, however,
that disagreement between the Allies and the government coalition
leaders will finally be resolved.
The High Commissioner's office believes
that the EDC treaty will not be ratified by all members before October.
5. Trieste draft will not hurt De Gasperi in local elections:
The American Embassy in Rome believes that 3.3(h)(2)
the draft agreement reached at the tripartite
London talks on Trieste falls short of Italian
hopes but gives the Italian Government enough
concessions to avoid serious effects from the Trieste issue in the local
elections. The agreement gives Italy a substantially larger role in the
administration of Zone A.
Comment: Local elections are scheduled for
25 May in both Italy and Zone A of Trieste. Italian politicians in Trieste
have been reported as resigned to "getting little results" from the London
conference but prepared to propagandize any result as an Italian victory.
6. Spain seeks assurance of further US aid:
In the current negotiations for an American- 3.3(h)(2)
Spanish economic aid agreement, the Spanish
representatives are pressing for assurances
that the United States foreign aid program for
fiscal year 1953 will include aid for Spain over and above the 100 million
dollars already allocated by Congress. The American Ambassador at
Madrid believes that if the assurances are not given, the Spanish Govern-
ment will seek support of members of Congress for a special additional
appropriation.
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