CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/12/16

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02018017
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: June 6, 2019
• Document Release Date: June 27, 2019
• Publication Date: December 16, 1952

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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C
NEXT REVIEW DATE: 2109
AUTH: H 10-2
DATE:
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
REVIEWER:
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SUMMARY
GENERAL
1. Bonn plans for UN action on Arab-German dispute (page 3).
2. Liechtenstein firm reportedly offers large quantity of aluminum
to Poland (page 3).
FAR EAST
3. Peiping attacks alleged US "Asians to fight Asians" plan (page 4).
4. Peiping decides independently to attend meteorological conference
(page 4).
5.
SOUTHEAST ASIA
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
6. Comment on Nagib-Shishakli statements at Cairo meeting (page 5).
7. Egypt reportedly willing to let Sudan negotiations fail (page 6).
8.
9.
10.
WESTERN EUROPE
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French deputy in US to press for NATO alternative to EDC (page 7).
Early fall of Pinay government seen possible (page 7).
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GENERAL
1. Bonn plans for UN action on Arab-German dispute
The Bonn government will soon ask the.
Egyptian Government to approve placing
the Arab-West German dispute over the
Israeli restitution agreement on the UN
General Assembly agenda for 1953. According to a West German
spokesman,Herbert Blankenhorn, such a procedure would provide
the Arabs with a face-saving device and give General Nagib more
time to soothe Arab resentment.
Blanken horn believes that Nagib will
agree to the UN intervention proposal, which has already been
approved by the Israeli Oovernment. The West German Federal
Senate will consider ratifying the restitution agreement on 10 Jan-
uary,
Comment: Discussion of the dispute in
the UN might further strain relations between Western and Arab
countries and would seriously delay the delivery of industrial e-
quipment needed by the Israeli economy.
2. Liechtenstein firm reportedly offers large quantity of aluminum to
Poland
The Liechtenstein firm of Max Linker is
reportedly negotiating with Poland for the
immediate sale of 750 tons of 99. 5 percent
pure aluminum sheets now in Antwerp,
o is s ipmen an additional 750 tons, which will also be
offered to the Poles, were allegedly obtained by means of a counter-
feit order from an Argentine purchasing commission in Italy.
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Comment Aluminum shipments to the Orbit
from the West are believed to have amounted to about 11,000 metric
tons in 1951, and to be continuing at a high rate.
FAR EAST
3. Peiping attacks alleged US "Asians to fight Asians" plan:
The American Consul General at Hong Kong 3.3(h)(2)
believes that Chinese Communist psycholog-
ical strategists have an "effective theme" in
their current attacks on an alleged American
plan to use "Asians to fight Asians."
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Peiping's line, emphasizing the racial aspects
of the manpower question in Korea, asserts that the United States in-
tends to use Asian troops in increasing numbers in Korea. The prop-
aganda urges Asians not to fight for "American interests."
Comment: This theme, introduced into Peiping
propaganda the past week, will almost certainly be increasingly exploited
by the Communist world.
4. Peiping decides independently to attend meteorological conference
3.3(h)(2)
Comment: Peiping's decision to take part in this
conference, apparently berth76-7..ea-rning Moscow's intentions, illustrates
the superior status of Communist China in the Soviet bloc as compared
with the Eastern European Satellites.
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5.
It cannot be deduced, however, from Peiping's
ability and inclination to make independent decisions at this level, that
the Chinese Communists will act independently of Moscow on major
international questions.
SOUTHEAST ASIA
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
3.3(h)(2)
6. Comment on Nagib-Shishakli statements at Cairo meeting:
The inflammatory statements made by Gen-
eral Nagib and Syrian Colonel Shishakli during the latter's current visit
to Cairo appear to be aimed at bolstering their domestic positions. Both
men emphasized Arab union and a readiness to use force, and voiced
hostility to those opposing Arab aspirations.
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The meeting in no way aims at union between
Egypt and Syria; nor does it indicate any forthcoming military action
against Israel. The statements do reflect Arab anger at recent UN
action on Tunisia and an Arab-Israeli peace, as well as a growing de-
termination to make the Arab League an effective force in international
politics.
The emphasis on themes popular with the street
crowds shows the unwillingness of Arab leaders to challenge mob rule
and to urge moderation in solving Arab problems.
7. Egypt reportedly willing to let Sudan negotiations fail
Egypt will permit Anglo-Egyptian negotiations 3.3(h)(2)
on the Sudan to break down if Great Britain
continues to insist on special treatment for the
southern Sudan, the chief remaining point of
disagreement. 3.3(h)(2)
According to the Embassy, there are indications
that the regime is tempted to forego protracted negotiations and to revert
to the appealing theme of "national struggle" to increase popular support.
Comment: This is the strongest evidence to
date that the military regime may drop its bold policy on the Sudan and
return to the unyielding nationalist position of former regimes.
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WESTERN EUROPE
8. French deputy in US to press for NATO alternative to EDC
French Radical Socialist leader Paul Devinat, 3.3(h)(2)
who will endeavor to discuss the EDC treaty
situation with President-elect Eisenhower,
told the American Embassy in Paris before
his scheduled departure for New York on 13 December that some way
must quickly be found "to save face" on this question lest the entire
European cooperation concept suffer a serious blow. He believes that
the recent developments in Bonn will make Bundestag approval impos-
sible or at least further discourage the French deputies from ratifying
the treaty.
In Devinat's opinion, the only way out of the
impasse is for NATO to work out a solution leading to admission of
the Federal Republic to membership. Otherwise, the French Govern-
ment will be forced to delay indefinitely its attempt to obtain ratification.
Comment: While the Paris Embassy previously
reported that "a NATO solution" was gaining adherents in the French
National Assembly, a majority of the deputies probably do not atprtS-
ent favor creation of a German national army or Germany's admission
to NATO.
9. Early fall of Pinay government seen possible:
The American Embassy in Paris believes
that Premier Pinay will find it exceedingly
difficult to win the vote of confidence which
he has suddenly asked from the National
Assembly on his request for powers to effect tax reforms by decree.
The date for this vote is to be determined on 16 December.
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