CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/12/02

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02018015
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: June 6, 2019
• Document Release Date: June 27, 2019
• Publication Date: December 2, 1952

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SECURIT FORMATION
2 December 1952
Copy No.
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
57
DOCUMENT NO. 9
NO CHANGE IN CLASS. pi(
CI DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S
NEXT REVIEW DATE:
Office of Current Intelligence
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SEC NFORMATION
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SUMMARY
SOVIET UNION
1.
FAR EAST
2. More Chinese Communist troops may be destined for Korea (page 3).
SCUT HEAST ASIA
3. Thai premier may try to oust :Phao (page 4).
NEAR .EAST - AFRICA
WESTERN EUROPE
5. Allied air access to Vienna again challenged by Russians (page 5).
6. East German ordinance hurts West Berlin (page 6).
7. French Communist Party seen weakened (page 6).
8. Left-center of Italian Christian Democrats shows great strength at
party congress (page 7).
- LATIN AMERICA
9. Venezuela opposition party reportedly victorious in election (page 7).
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SOVIET UNION
FAR EAST
2. More Chinese Communist troops may be destined for Korea:
About 6,000 Chinese Communist troops,
formerly stationed in Hupeh and Kiangsi
Provinces, arrived in Hankow on 31
October,
The troops were said to be awaiting rail transportation
for their departure to Northeast China.
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ritECkET
SOUTHEAST ASIA
3. Thai premier may try to oust Phao:
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Police Director General Phao is maintainin
contact with pro-Communist elements.
Phibun may attempt to oust Phao un-
less the police director submits to his control.
Comment:
\control of a
large paramilitary police force renders his removal difficult. Neverthe-
less, it is becoming increasingly apparent that the Thai Government is
seriously attempting to check Communist activity.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
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WESTERN EUROPE
5. Allied air access to Vienna again challenged by Russians:
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At a 28 November meeting of the Allied Council
in Austria, the Soviet member presented a reso-
lution to prohibit American and British combat
aircraft from using the air corridors to Vienna.
ccor ng o e ovie interpretation, a 1945 Allied protocol precludes
the flight to Vienna of other than "communications or transport" planes.
In view of Soviet High Commissioner Sviridov's
insistence on reciprocal overflight privileges in the Western zones,
Ambassador Thompson believes that the Russians may intend to test
this prerogative.
Comment: American use of the Tulin airport
and the corridor to it for commercial and military planes has been
the subject of frequent exchanges between the Soviet and American
High Commissioners, The Russian protests, however, have not gone
beyond disagreement with the American view that existing agreements
place no restrictions on the types of planes which may service occupation
forces in Austria.
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6. East German ordinance hurts West Berlin:
American observers in Berlin believe that
the East German ordinance restricting
West Berlin purchases in East Berlin will
bring about a further deterioration in the
living conditions of West Berlin low-income groups. The People's
Police have reportedly increased surveillance of West Berliners at
sector borders. No major disruption of the West Berlin economy is
foreseen.
Comment: Although East German propaganda
has strongly emphasized that the new measure is directed against the
policies of the West Berlin government, the ordinance also bears out
reports of serious food shortages in East Germany.
7. French Communist Party seen weakened:
The French Communist Party may need
two years to recover from the repercussions
of the Marty-TilIon
of the Interior. \French popular reaction to the Czech
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trials is also injuring the Communist cause.
At the Moscow Congress,
French Communists were instructed to encourage
neutralism and to emphasize the economic rather than the political
activities of the General Labor Confederation (CGT) in Order to
obtain united action with all French labor unions.
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Comment: The prestige of the party's national
leadership and its present capabilities for blocking Western rearmament
have been severely damaged. Concentration by the CGT on the workers'
economic aims, however, could speed up a revival of those capabilities
in the event Premier Pinars anti-inflation and anti-Communist programs
fail.
8. Left-center of Italian Christian Democrats shows great strength at
party congress:
At the recent Christian Democratic national
congress, the left-center faction, which has
supported an electoral coalition of the moderate
parties, emerged as the strongest force. The
American Embassy estimates that, it has picked up about half the seats
in the party's national council, and is therefore in a position to challenge
the predominantly right-center leadership, although it is unlikely to do
so before the elections.
Premier de Gasperi, the Embassy notes, re-
mains the "unquestioned" leader of his party.
Comment: Should the left-miter succeed in
halting or slowing the party's trend toward collaboration with the
Monarchists and other right-wing parties, the government coalition's
prospects for victory in the spring elections would be substantially
improved.
LATIN AMERICA
9. Venezuela opposition party reportedly victorious in election:
The government party has lost the Constituent
Assembly election in Venezuela,
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Unofficial reports indicate a victory of "possi-
ble landslide proportions" for the Republican Democratic Union (ORD),
whose leader, Villalba, has publicly claimed victory. Venezuelan
morning newspapers of 1 December, however, carried no elections
results.
Comment: Unofficial returns are too fragmen-
tary to substantiate opposition claims of a landslide.
The URD, the third-ranking party, is a moderate
left-wing party headed by the demagogic Jovito Villalba. Villalba recently
retracted his campaign allusions to nationalization of the oil and steel
industries and has professed friendship for the United States. /
A government overturn at the polls would be
unprecedented and might lead to a fabricated revolt and "palace coup"
or other drastic action.
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