CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/11/20

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02018011
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: June 6, 2019
• Document Release Date: June 27, 2019
• Publication Date: November 20, 1952

Approved for Release: 2019/05/28CO2018011
TOP SECRET,
SECUB&1Y INFORMATION
20 November 1952
Copy No. 57
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO 94,
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
0 DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO:
NEXT REVIEW DATE.
AUTH: 118 7O-L.
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
TOPS
3.5(c)
3.5(c)
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TW9
REVIEWER:. 3.5(c)
3.5(c)
SECURI FORMATION
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SUMMARY
GENERAL
1. Principal anti-Communist powers at UN favor Indian resolution
(page 3).
2.
3.
SOVIET UNION
FAR EAST
4. Comment on establishment of National Planning Committee in
Communist China (page 5).
SOUTHEAST ASIA
5. Thai anti-Communist drive may aggravate military rivalries
(page 6).
6,
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
WESTERN EUROPE
7. Serious setbacks seen in Bundestag EDC action (page 7).
8. Delay seen in Italian and Dutch ratification of EDC (page 8).
* * * *
TOfiECthET
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3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
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GENERAL
1. Principal anti-Communist powers at UN favor Indian resolution:
The principal anti-Communist powers in
the UN favor the Indian resolution for
solving the Korean POW impasse, according
to the American UN delegation.
Britain, France and Canada feel that support
of the Indian proposal might gain ground for the West with India and
other Asian nations. The British delegation argues that if the Commu-
nists accept the Indian resoltztion"we will have an armistice," and if
they reject it the West will gain an important propaganda victory.
Comment: The Indian proposal is objectionable
to the United States chiefly because it includes no provision for the re-
lease of POW's unwilling to be repatriated.
SOVIET UNION
3.5(c)
3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
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4. Comment on establishment of National Planning Committee in Conamu-
Mst-China:
The establishment on 15 November of a
National Planning Committee provides Communist China with an
organization, comparable to the Soviet Union's State Planning Com-
mission, charged with the formulation of long-range plans for in-
creasing industrial and agricultural production.
The committee includes top Chinese Commu-
nist officers, and its creation lends support to other evidence that China
is preparing for economic expansion under a five-year plan. Peiping
has already stated that "planned construction will begin in 1953," and
the Moscow radio declared on 1 October that China was preparing
"the outlines of the first five-year plan."
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3.3(h)(2)
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SOUTHEAST ASIA
Thai anti-Communist drive may aggravate military rivalries:
3.5(c)
3.3(h)(2)
\the current wave of arrests appears to
be veering away from pro-Communist el-
ements and may result in serious friction 3.3(h)(2)
between the chief factions of the ruling military clique.
3.3(h)(2)
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
3.3(h)(2)
3.5(c)
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WESTERN EUROPE
7. Serious setbacks seen in Bundestag EDC action:
3.5(c)
3.3(h)(2)
The Bundestag's rejection of the government's 3.3(h)(2)
motion to consider the Bonn and Paris treaties
this month is a serious setback to Chancellor
Adenauer because it makes more likely a
Constitutional Court decision on the legality of the treaties prior to
Bundestag action. The Chancellor has been hoping through Bun-
destag ratification to present the court with a "political fact" and
thus influence its decision.
The new delay may encourage sortie coalition
deputies to press for further postponement of ratification until the
court has rendered its decision.
Comment: Unless the court renders an un-
favorable decision beforehand, the Bundestag is now expected to ratify
the treaties by mid-December, or at the latest in JanuRry.
-7-.
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8. Delay seen in Italian and Dutch ratification of EDC:
The chief Italian delegate to the EDC treaty. 3.3(h)(2)
interim committee believes that his govern-
ment, unless subjected to strong US pressure,
may submit the EDC treaty to parliament too
late to obtain approval before the 1953 spring
elections. In his opinion, the government is
holding back in the hope that one or more of
the other member countries may act first.
3.5(c)
Meanwhile, the US Embassy at the Hague
reports that the lack of progress on EDC ratification by other countries
has weakened the Netherlands' desire to be in the forefront. The polit-
ical director of the Foreign Ministry now believes that the Netherlands
will not ratify the treaty before February.
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