CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/04/15
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
02016346
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
U
Document Page Count:
6
Document Creation Date:
May 24, 2019
Document Release Date:
May 30, 2019
Sequence Number:
Case Number:
Publication Date:
April 15, 1952
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15638448].pdf | 212.46 KB |
Body:
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*mil I kir Ultra J.- No
SECURI INFORMATION
15 April 1952
Copy No,
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
[ I DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: IS
NEXT REVIEW DATE:
AUTH: 161-41R 110.
al"-C r gen
c
Office of of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
TOP SECRET
3.5(c)
3.5(c)
3.5(c)
3.5(c)
SECU INFORMATION
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TeilSECRET
SUMMARY
GENERAL
I. West German officials minimize importance of Soviet reply
(page 3).
NEAR EAST- AFRICA
2. Communist propaganda increasing in Iraq (page 3).
3. Papagos agrees to formation of interim government in Greece
(page 4).
EASTERN EUROPE
40 Trials of Polish resistance groups continue (page 5).
LATIN AMERICA
5. New Bolivian Government to nationalize mines and railroads
(page 5).
6. Possible revolutionary attempt in Ecuador (page 6).
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2
T9 SECIth
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GENERAL
1. West German officials minimize importance of Soviet reply:
According to High Commissioner McCloy, 3.3(h)(2)
Chancellor Adenauer feels that the Soviet
note of 9 April represents no essential change
from previous Soviet proposals. An official
of the Ministry of All-German Affairs believes
that the statement will have even less impact
in the Federal Republic than the note of 10 March.
3.5(c)
Adenauer contends that before a four-power
conference is held Moscow must make at least an "approach to agreement"
on the full sovereign right of Germany to form alliances, on German
defense forces, and on frontiers.
The Ministry representative believes that
Moscow is still probing, not feeling pressed for time. He considers
that the Russians are undoubtedly prepared to develop their idea of four-
power inspection of electoral conditions. He argues that ultimately a
four-power conference will have to take place to convince the West
Germans of the impossibility of unification, but only after Western
"fencing" with the Russians through a further exchange of notes. The
Ministry official believes that West German negotiations on integration
should be pressed without delay.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
2. Communist propaganda increasing in Iraq:
Communist propaganda appearing in books anc3.3(h)(2)
in the press in Iraq is showing a marked in-
crease in volume. It appears to follow the
Moscow line more closely than usual and is
reportedly prepare in rague and sent to Iraq via Egypt, where it is
translated into Arabic. Some of the material is printeu by Iraqi presses.
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3.5(c)
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Efforts of the Iraqi police to stop this type of
Communist activity have been unsuccessful because court convictions
can be obtained only if the propaganda attacks the government or raises
issues which would directly contribute to the country's instability.
Most of the Communist activity in Iraq is
directed by a six-man group of the Iraqi Lawyers' Association. The
Communist Party is reportedly concentrating on students and intellectuals.
3. Papagos agrees to formation of interim government in Greece:
Greek opposition leader Papagos has agreed
to the formation of a short-term "technical
government" to carry out urgently needed
economic reforms. He refuses to participate
In a vote of confidence in such a government,
however, apparently believing that to do so
would enable it to remain in power indefinitely.
He suggests that new elections be held on15 Iuly.
Comment: The weak government coalition
has already lasted longer than was generally thought possible at its
inception in September 1951; the present proposal is one of several
made recently as the pressure for its dissolution has increased.
While the idea of an interim government may
appeal to Papagos as a means of extricating himself from the predicament
created by his party's boycott of parliament, he is unlikely to cooperate
with any government whose Ministers he can not approve.
4
3.5(c)
3.3(h)(2)
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T&P 'RET
3.5(c)
EASTERN EUROPE
4. Trials of Polish resistance groups continue:
\a military tribunal in Kielce
condemned to death three members of a
resistance band and sentenced three others
to prison. The individuals convicted were
accused of having engaged in "banditry"
against the local people from 1946 until last
November.
The American Embassy reports from Warsaw
that during the first week of April six young "diversionist-terrorists"
were tried in Krakow. One received a life sentence and the remainder
terms of ten to fifteen years. This group wa� charged with "armed
robberies and assaults on government offices."
In both of the above trials, accounts in the
public press were limited to the newspapers of the immediate area where
the trials were held.
LATIN AMERICA
5. New Bolivian Government to nationalize mines and railroads:
The Acting President and the Minister of
Mines and Petroleum of the new Bolivian
Government established by the Nationalist
Revolutionary Movement have stated that
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3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
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the mines and railroads will be nationalized. 3.3(h)(2)
This was confirmed in Buenos Aires by Victor
Paz Estenssoro, the Movement's leader, who
has not yet returned to Bolivia.
Conservative members of the Movement "take
a dim view of the future" and feel certain that the government will be
anti-US and little more than "an Argentine province."
Comment: The new government is almost
certain to demand higher prices for tin.
Several members of the new cabinet are known
to be pro-Argentine and others have received financial aid while exiled
in Argentina. Paz Estenssoro's attitude toward Argentina has been
reported as cool.
6. Possible revolutionary attempt in Ecuador:
A revolution is being planned by presidential
candidate Velasco lba ra and Mayor Glipirara
Moreno of Guavacm i 1
Government officials
have reportedly discussed plans for counteracting
the movement and creating a pretext for the
arrest of Velasco.
The US Embassy in Quito comments that the
violence in Cuenca on 12 April when Velaseo supporters clashed with
proponents of another presidential candidate may be the forerunner of
more serious disturbances.
Comment: There have been reports that at
least one dead and 31 wounded resulted from the clash in Cuenca on 12 April.
Velasco, a compelling right-wing demagogue,
apparently decided to return to Ecuador from his exile in Argentina after
conversations with emissaries of the neo-fascist revolutionary Guevara,
Moreno.
There have been reports of plans for a pre-
ventive coup by the Defense Minister. This, however, would run directly
counter to President Gab o Plaza's known desire to preserve democratic
processes at all costs.
3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
3.5(c;
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