CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1961/01/16

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02000174
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RIPPUB
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U
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15
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August 14, 2020
Document Release Date: 
August 27, 2020
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Publication Date: 
January 16, 1961
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Approved for Release: 2020/08/11 CO2000174 V molt 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) 16 January 1961 Copy No. C CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN' Approved for Release: 2020/08/11 CO2000174 " Approved for Release: 2020/08/11 CO2000174 �ruir�arcuracT TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2020/08/11 CO2000174 Tnr .crrnorr Approved for Release: 2020/08/11 CO2000174 Nod 16 JANUARY 1961 THE COMMUNIST BLOC Soviet Union apparently turns over two IL-18s to Guinea. ASIA-AFRICA South Vietnamese opposition continues to plot against Diem. Laotian Government forces suffer fur- ther setbacks. Congo--Situation in Katanga critical. TOP SECRET DINAR Approved for Release: 2020/08/11 CO2000174 N \\ TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2020/08/11 CO2000174 11110L/F h'ILA.'"."4 1 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN 16 January 1961 DAILY BRIEF THE COMMUNIST BLOC USSR-Guinea: The two Soviet IL-18s which arrived In Conakry last month apparently have been turned over to Guinea and presumably will be used to establish an in- ternational civil airline under the guidance of Soviet per- sonnel. In the latter half of 1960, Czechoslovakia provided three twin-engine IL-14 "luxury-type aircraft for a do- mestic Guinean civil airline to be operated by Czech per- sonnel. Meanwhile, bloc military materiel supplied to Guinea in late 1960 appeared in a recent parade in Conakry. ) The display included artillery and 25 armored personnel carriers. ) (Page 1) ASIA-AFRICA South Vietnam: Eolitical opponents of South Vietnam- ese President Diem remain restive under his continued failure to liberalize his regime, and recent reports indi- cate that some opposition circles still believe a coup is the only way to bring about desired reforms. One faction of the Dai Viet party claims to have considerable military support for a plan of action to replace Diem with a coalition govern- ment of all anti-Communist groups. The government report- edly plans to stimulate a new political front prior to the pres- idential election scheduled for 9 April, but this is unlikely to attract the cooperation of opposition elementA (Page 2) Laos: lovernment forces appear to be suffering fur- ther Wibicks as Kong Le/Pathet Lao troops push southward *A.,--(14-4.-;,-h...1 from the Xieng IChouang area. General Phoumi, who has dis- patched T-6 aircraft in support of his ground forces, is sti),T Po Approved for Release: 2020/08/11 CO2000174 Approved for Release: 2020/08/11 CO200017e thalzri-a== Coptimistic that he can redress the situation nri nroceed with his own offensive northwarc Meanwhile, CommunifChina on 14 January joined the USSR and North Vietnam in endorsing Prince Sihanouk's pro- posal for a 14-nation meeting on Laos. The Communist air- lift into Laos continues; ten Soviet military LI-2s recently noted en route to Communist China from the USSR have been scheduled to fly from Peiping to Hanoi, seemingly confirming LI-2s are en route to Peiping for Hanoi. that they are to be used in the Laos airlifi Moth*. ndditirwl1 � The LI-2, which closely resembles the C-47, is a smaller and somewhat slower aircraft than the 1L-14. It carries a 3,300-pound cargo load as compared with about 5,000 pounds for the 1L-14. (Page 3) (Map) Congo: The American consul in Elisabethville believes that the situation in Ka.tanga Province has become very crit- ical and will "rapidly reach a climax." The UN representativela"--j-f-4"--" \\\ in Elisabethville admits that UN forces "suffered a staggering reversal" at Manono when Lumumba's forces prevented signif- icant reinforcement of an outnumbered Nigerian unit. The situa- tion in Kivu Province is characterized as chaotic. (Page 6) 16 Jan 61 DAILY BRIEF ii -TOP SECRE Approved for Release: 2020/08/11 CO2000174 Approved for Release: 2020/08/11 CO2000174 OL:A...IttLi Bloc Assistance to Guinea The two Soviet four-engine turboprop IL-18 passenger planes which arrived at Conakry in December apparently have been turned over to the Guinean Government. One of these aircraft- -with Guinean markings--was used by Pres- ident Toure on his recent visit to Yugoslavia and Bulgaria. The other, on a flight to Casablanca last week, used Guinean cansigns. The IL-18s presumably will be used by Guinea to establish an international civil airline--Air Guinea--with Soviet guidance, pilots, and technicians. Guinea is the sec- ond nonbloc country to receive the Soviet IL-18; Ghana has been provided with at least four such aircraft. Czechoslovakia, in the latter, half of 1960, supplied three twin-engine "luxury-type" IL-14 aircraft to Guinea. These planes reportedly will be used to establish a domestic civil airline with Prague's assistance. Presumably both Czechoslo- vakia and the Soviet Union have agreed to train Guinean per- n n airline and operating these aircraft. Some of the Soviet arms and military equipment delivered to Guinea late last year were displayed in Conakry on 23 Decem- ber in a parade honoring Ghanaian President Nkrumah and Mali's head of state, Modibo Keita. US Embassy personnel viewing the parade observed artillery and infantry weapons and 25 armored personnel carriers �71015--SfeiRE 16 Jan 61 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 1 Approved for Release: 2020/08/11 CO2000174 Approved for Release: 2020/08/11 CO2000174 wag, %..ok.es I I LW-4J A 11-11-� Opposition Restive Under Restrictions Of South Vietnamese Regime President Diem's continued postponement of political and social reforms which would rally popular support has apparently encouraged further coup plotting since the unsuc- cessful paratroop coup effort last November. A faction of the once influential anti-Communist Dai Viet party claims to have a plan of action and the necessary military support to overthrow Diem and replace him with a non-Communist coali- tion representing government and opposition groups. Other Dai Viet factions are reported to have received Communist of- fers of cooperatioxf.] CSTo Dai Viet faction currently has sufficient influence to challenge the government without backing from the military, which demonstrated its loyalty to Diem in suppressing the November uprising. Continuing dissatisfaction in the armed forces, however, is evident in the statements recently made to the American ambassador by the air force commander. He expressed doubt that Diem ever intended to introduce reforms or that reorganization of the command structure would halt po- litical interference at all levels of the military) [them has indicated that he plans some additional reorgan- ization of his cabinet and intends to strengthen both appointive and elective representation at the village level. No changes have been announced, however, and he still seems reluctant to consider adequate reforms. Moreover, some opposition circles are spreading rumors--so far unsubstantiated= that there has been severe repression against regime opponents not implicated in the November attempt/ The government reportedly hopes to channel and control opposition activity through the creation of a new political front before the presidential election on 9 April. However, the planned front, apparently to be an outgrowth of the govern- ment-inspired People's Committee Against Rebels and Com- munists which was organized to ferret out collaborators in the November coup attempt, is unlikely, to attract such coonerstion orsatisjyi demands for an open opposition party CONFIDENTIAL 16 Jan 61 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 2 Approved for Release: 2020/08/11 CO2000174 Approved for Release: 2020/08/11 CO2000174 CHINA BURMA THAILAND 16 JANUARY 1961 Selqcted roads Trail o STATUTE MILES 100 UNCLASSIFIED 31439 10115 ang Prabang, 'Dien Bien Phu -�"...-.13.4744410010.00HINA NORTH VIETNAM .Hanoi , M NEIJA 'Muong Peun Nong e 0-10.4 Xieng Khouang Ban Ta Viang �Tha Timm THAILAND Savannakhe CAMBODIA '7,111 tc OF TONKIN Approved for Release: 2020/08/11 CO2000174 Approved for Release: 2020/08/11 CO2000174 The Situation in Laos _4...overnment forces south of Xieng Khouang have re- ceived a further setback. The capture by Kong Le- Pathet Lao troops of the village outpost of Ban Ta Viang was ap- parently intended at least to disrupt General Phoumi's plans for a multipronged offensive designed to retake the Plaine des Jarres area and could signal a rebel intent to push south- ward toward Pak Sane. In the latter event, an early target would probably be Tha Thom, an important Phoumi base about 15 miles east of Ban Ta Viang. Phoumi, however, continues optimistic that his T-6 aircraft now flying ground-support op- erations in the Ban Ta Viang area, together with reinforce- ments recently sent to Tha Thom, will shortly enable him to proceed with his own offensive Chinese Nationalist officials apparently still want thAir irregular troops in Burma to have some role in Laos ?c-Premier Phoui is considering a trip to Phnom Perth to discuss with Souvanna Phouma a broadly based government in Laos. Phoui has told American Embassy officials in Vien- tiane that it is essential for Souvanna to return, and that Sou- vanna might be induced to accept a government representing all political shades minus the Communist-front Neo Lao Hak Sat as a preliminary to "complete national reconciliation." Phoui feels strongly that Laos can never be won by force of arms and that . the present government does not enjoy sufficient popular suppoiLtj On 14 January Communist China joined the USSR and North Vietnam in endorsing the proposal made by Cambodia's Prince 16 Jan 61 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 3 Approved for Release: 2020/08/11 CO2000174 Approved for Release: 2020/08/11 CO2000174 ,L )ILLftt1� Sihanouk for a 14-nation conference on Laos. Communist China has sent letters to the 1954 Geneva Conference cochairmen-- Great Britain and the USSR--asking immediate action on the Sihanouk proposal. The Chinese, like their bloc colleagues, probably feel that if such a conference does eventually take place, it would have little immediate effect on the military situation in Laos and would provide a forum for condemnation of the United States: They may also see the proposed confer- ence as a convenient means for hedging against any suggested solutions to the Laotian crisis that might favor the West. Khrushchev, took favorable note of French support for a wide coalition govern- ment in Laos and appealed for French cooperation in stopping "American military interference." Moscow radio is denouncing the introduction of T-6 air- craft into Laos as a "deliberate provocation" and has called for the "most resolute measures" to check this "dangerous Washington enterprise." A Soviet commentary beamed to Europe on 13 January noted that the United States justified this action as a means of "self-defense" for the Boun Oum government and asked, "Cannot the lawful government of Laos, which is the victim of aggression, act likewise?" Peiping on 14 January quoted Kong Le as warning that if the US does not halt such "aggressive acts," he will "appeal to the fraternal countries and peoples. . . to supply the Souvanna Phouma gov- ernment with similar arms." According to Western press re- ports from Laos, Kong Le's headquarters claims some Lao- tians have left for Moscow to receive pilot training. While these statements may be intended to prepare the ground for increased bloc military commitments to counter the arrival of the T-6s, there is as yet no evidence of preparations to in- troduce similar bine airerr into Laos. Soviet transports continued to fly into Laos through 15 January. Ten Soviet military LI-2 transports have arrived TOP SECRET 16 Jan 61 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 4 Approved for Release: 2020/08/11 CO2000174 Approved for Release: 2020/08/11 CO2000174 1-4 %La I at Peiping from Irkutsk and are scheduled on to Hanoi. In addition, eight more Soviet LI-2s are en route to Peiping for Hanoi. The 1I-2, which closely resembles the C-47, is a smaller and somewhat slower aircraft than the IL-14. It car- ries a 3,300-pound cargo load, as compared with about 5,000 pounds for the 1L-14. The number of LI-2s involved suggests that some if not all of the IL-14s now engaged in the airlift from Hanoi will be replaced. Five of the IL-14s have been flying almost con- tinuously since 3 December; the second group of five, which arrived in Hanoi on 14 December, has been continuously en- gaged since that time; and there are no aircraft service facil- ities at Hanoi capable of performing major maintenance. TOP SECRET 16 Jan 61 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 5 Approved for Release: 2020/08/11 CO2000174 Approved for Release: 2020/08/11 CO2000174 *10.1- JCL.Kr7� The Congo Situation The American consul in Elisabethville believes that � the situation in Katanga Province is very critical and will "rapidly reach a climax." The UN representative in Ells- abethville has admitted to the consul that UN forces "suf- fered a staggering reversal" at Malmo, northern Katanga, when Lumumba's forces prevented reinforcement of an out- numbered UN unit of Nigerian troops. The UN; however, will continue to attempt to reinforce its garrisons, act as a buffer between clashing forces, and use moral suasion to prevent a civil war. Meanwhile, the small Katangan air unit continues its reconnaissance operations; its air strikes appear to have been made against Baluba rebel forces rather than Lumum- ba's troops. Moreover, the presence of Lumumba's troops has led to greatly increased activity by Baluba tribesmen � sympathetic to Lumumba. According� to a press report, Balubas attacked a Swedish UN unit on 15 January and re- inforcements were being rushed in to support it. Reporting that Balubas had shot down a Katangan trans- port plane on 11 January, the Lumumba command at Gemena, in reiterating its need for support, Gizen- ga requested "speed in sending the arms so that he can send soldiers from Stanleyville via Kivu to the Baluba forces. . . so they can free the rest of Katanga Province." the Stanleyville regime implied that Lumumba's supporters in Kasai Province--northwest of Katanga Province-- were being hard pressed by Mobutu's forces. Gizenga requested an "urgent supply of arms" so that he could send reinforcements to Kasai; the Lumumba forces there fear that Kalonii will gain control if they do not get help quickly. Meanwhile Congolese Premier-designate Joseph Ileo and Minister of State Albert Delvaux have publicly accused the So- viet Union of working through the UAR to support Lumumba. Delvaux also accused Ghanaian UN troops in south Kasai 16 Jan 61 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 6 Approved for Release: 2020/08/11 CO2000174 Approved for Release: 2020/08/11 CO2000174 %pa �of supplying pro-Lumumba invaders of Katanga with gaso- line. the situation in Kivu Province is chaotic. Lumumba's forces in kivu are reliably reported to have shelled the Belgian trust territory of Ruanda on 12 and 13 January. According to press reports, Belgian Army units in Ruanda have repulsed some 40 invading Congolese sol- diers. -Top SECRET 16 Jan 61 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 7 Approved for Release: 2020/08/11 CO2000174 Approved for Release: 2020/08/11 CO2000174 THE PRESIDENT The Vice President Executive Offices of the White House Special Assistant for National Security Affairs Scientific Adviser to the President Director of the Budget Director, Office of Civil and Defense Mobilization Director, National Aeronautics and Space Administration Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination Chairman, Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy Executive Secretary, National Security Council The Department of State The Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Administration The Counselor Director, International Cooperation Administration The Director of Intelligence and Research The Treasury Department The Secretary of the Treasury The Department of Detense The Secretary of Defense The Deputy Secretary of Defense Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs The Secretary of the Army The Secretary of the Navy The Secretary of the Air Force The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff The Director, The Joint Staff Chief of Staff, United States Army Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy Chief of Staff, United States Air Force Commandant, United States Marine Corps Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force Supreme Allied Commander, Europe Commander in Chief, Pacific The Department of Commerce The Secretary of Commerce Atomic Energy Commission The Chairman Federal Bureau of Investigation The Director National Security Agency The Director National Indications Center The Director CONFIDENTIAL Approved for Release: 2020/08/11 CO2000174 7/4. 7)7/ ZrZ,44/Z/Z/{2