LETTER TO DAVID W. BELIN FROM E. H. KNOCHE RE PUTTING INTO TRAIN THE PREPARATION OF RESPONSES TO THE QUESTIONS YOU RAISED IN THREE SEPARATE LETTERS
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
01481969
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
U
Document Page Count:
5
Document Creation Date:
December 28, 2022
Document Release Date:
August 7, 2017
Sequence Number:
Case Number:
F-2007-00094
Publication Date:
April 17, 1975
File:
Attachment | Size |
---|---|
letter to david w. belin [15132326].pdf | 184.6 KB |
Body:
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20505
(b)(3)
17 April 1975
Mr. David W. Belin
Executive Director
Commission on CIA Activities
Within the United States
Dear Mr. Belin:
This is a follow-up to our telephone conversation of this
morning. As I indicated, we are putting into train the prepara-
tion of responses to the questions you raised in three separate
�
letters from you to me dated 15 April.
� There is one item, however, which we do not feel�appro-:
priate for this Agency to investigate. It is your request in
Question #3 of the two-page letter dated 15 April in which you
ask for any evidence that an Associated Press report of 1963
might have appeared in any American newspapers, including
specifically, Dallas or New Orleans. With this exception, we
will proceed to provide answers on all other matters you raised.
Faithfully yours,
E. H. Knoche
Assistant to the Director
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SUBJECT: ORD's Investigation of PSE
1. ORD personnel have observed developments in: the voice
stress.analysis field for some years because of the potential
value of an effective, alternative to the polygraph We are .
familiar with the Dektor Psychological Stress Evaluator (PSE)
.through the work of others but have never sponsored research
on this device. Our estimatioh.is that the PSE is, as a "lie
detector," either ineffective or far less effective than other
devices or techniques.
2. Dektor Counterintelligence and Security, Inc., manu-
facturers of the PSE, claim that their devices measure a
microtremor in the voice which amounts to a slight "warble" of
the pitch, occurring at a rate around ten cycles per second.
They claim that this normal oscillation in pitch diminishes or
disappears when a subject is under stress. Unfortunately, the
manufacturer will not provide circuit diagrams which would
allow a determination of precisely what aspect of the voice
signal the PSE is measuring. In addition, to the best of our
knowledge Dektor has never performed controlled studies to
provide experimental validation of the effectiveness of the PSE.
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Although the manufacturer claims 71 out of 75 correct evalua-
tions of voice recordings from the TV show "To Tell the Truth",
a 91% success rate on a second study and a 100% success rate in
a study by a "Maryland County Police Chief Polygraph Examiner",
details of these studies are not provided by Dektor, making
an objective evaluation impossible.
� 3. Details are available on one PSE evaluation project,
sponsored by the U. S. Army Land Warfare Laboratory. This
failed to demonstrate any significant results. The research
was done in 1973 by Joseph F. Kubis of Fordham University.
Groups of three subjects participated in .a mock crime (a theft),
one as the thief, one as a lookout, and one as an innocent
person knowledgeable of the "crime". The subjects were then
interrogated and, in most cases,polygraphed. Voice recordings
of the interrogations were evaluated by means of the PSE (and
a second device) by personnel unaware of the subjects' respective
roles. A total of 174 subjects were tested. The best results
were obtained by the polygraphers (76% overall accuracy). By
comparison, PSE analysts were correct from 19% (in the bulk of
the cases) to 53% of the time depending on the experimental �
conditions. The 19% results were worse than chance, which would
have been 33%. The voice tapes were also monitored by raters
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who gave their overall subjective or "global" impression as to
the guilt of the subjects. Even these raters did better than
the PSE, scoring 83% correct in one set of 27 subjects. The
conclusion was that the PSE yielded either insignificant or
non-competitive results. An open-source report on the Kubis
work appears in The Washington Post, 13 February 1974, page A21.
A draft copy of the Kubis report is attached.
4. C. Alan Smith of the Department of Psychology, Powick
Hospital, Worchester, England reported an experiment in which
he used the PSE ..to detect stress in speech of patients. While
Smith reports his results as "statistically significant" there
is a flaw in his statistical work. After the error has been
corrected, it appears that his results (p=.15) are far below
the level considered "significant" by usual scientific standards.
5. Working under contract to NASA, Harry Older of the
.PLANAR Corporation of Alexandria, Virginia, analyzed the voices
of astronauts using various techniques, among them the PSE.
Again the PSE results were only slightly better than chance. In
another group of related informal studies using the recorded
voices of airplane pilots just prior to crashing, conflicting
results were obtained. The same voice recordings produced
differing results when analyzed by different people using
'different PSE machines.
ese
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6. A technical evaluation of an early Dektor device,
property of the Army Land Warfare Laboratory, was performed
in June 1971, by an ORD scientist. Although the electronics
. were embedded in plastic, input-output studies revealed that
the device did not have the characteristics of an FM dis-
criminator. This means that the unit examined would not, by
.itself, have been able to detect the 10-cycle-per-second
"warble" alleged to be the basis for the PSE's operation.
Rather, the unit acted as a simple (low pass) filter.
7. Based on these considerations, ORD has kept in touch
with PSE-related developments but has not chosen to fund pro-
posed research suggested by such firms as Planar Corporation
and Keptron, Inc., which have approached us in recent years.
The PSE is merely one of many possible means of measuring
voice qualities related to stress and other more attractive
research alternatives seem to exist.
8. The Office of Security (Interrogation Branch)
borrowed and attempted to evaluate a PSE briefly in-house.
Unfortunately, the device malfunctioned a good bit of the
time so the results were inconclusive.
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