SENIOR EXECUTIVE INTELLIGENCE BRIEF

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: FOIA Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 01246787
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: March 16, 2022
• Document Release Date: April 1, 2016
• Case Number: F-2016-00334
• Publication Date: May 28, 2004

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The SEIB must be returned to CIA within five working days
Friday, 28 May 2004
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Table of Contents
Regional Notes
Africa
Sudan: Moving Ahead on Peace Deal , I
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T/
Proposed UN Deployment in Sudan
Disputed areas
-I Proposed UN force headquarters
ri Proposed UN sector headquarters
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AFRICA
Sudan: Moving Ahead on Peace Deal
The framework agreement signed on Wednesday is a major step toward
ending the 21-year-long civil war, but Khartoum and the southern-based
Sudan People's Liberation Movement (SPLM) rebels now must agree on
key peacekeeping issues to make the deal stick According to press reports, the
framework covers power sharing, the role of sharia law in the capital, and
the administration of three disputed regions. Accords already had been
reached on sharing oil revenue, on forming a postwar military, and on a
referendum on southern independence in six years.
the two sides probably will reconvene
in mid-June to draft cease-fire arrangements�including parameters
for a peacekeeping mission and possible deployment of international
observers�and implementation steps for the framework agreement,
which could take months, given lingering mistrust
Giving a peacekeeping mission a mandate and agreeing on its composition
will be major challenges. Concerned about Sudanese sovereignty and
anxious to minimize oversight of its actions, Khartoum will try to secure
the smallest possible mission and will insist it be limited to observing and
reporting.
Sudan's vast size�it is four times the size of Texas�and almost complete
lack of infrastructure suggest any peacekeeping mission also will face
significant logistic hurdles. Most roads are unpaved and largely impassible
during the April-October rainy season, so monitors would have to rely on
scarce and expensive air transportation.
TO REM
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� A peacekeeping mission mandated only to observe and report would
be unable to expand to Darfur if fighting there continues, and the
violence might deter some potential peacekeeping contributors
from participating in the south
'11:0 -SE 13cE1')
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