<SANITIZED> THE LACK OF PROGRESS IN THE SINO-SOVIET BORDER TALKS, A CONTINUED SOVIET MILITARY BUILDUP ALONG THE BORDER, AND CHINA'S "WAR PREPARATIONS"
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
01236935
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
U
Document Page Count:
9
Document Creation Date:
March 9, 2023
Document Release Date:
February 24, 2020
Sequence Number:
Case Number:
F-2018-01237
Publication Date:
November 29, 1969
File:
Attachment | Size |
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SANITIZED THE LACK OF PRO[15672366].pdf | 459.59 KB |
Body:
DifiXOTORATE OF
,PLANS
This maferial'ontains Information affecting the National Defense of the United States within the meaning of the Espier.oge Laws, This 19,
transmission or r�velatIon of which in any manner to an unauthorised person is r
LILts .1 L I
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�
ntelligence Information Cable
� ROUTINE
IN
PAGE 1 OF 9 PAGES
NO'FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM
THIS IS AN INFORMATION REPORT, NOT FINALLY EVALUATED INTELLIGENCE
SECRET
COUNTRY CHINA/USSR
DOI
SUBJECT
ACQ
SOURCE
z Nov G9
CITE
U.S.C. Secs, 793 and 794, the
woo
sehee Iwo ow.*
downreillei end dodo...MO.
DIST 29 NOVEMBER 1969
THE LACK OF PROGRESS IN
THE S/NO�SOVIET BORDER TALKS, A CONTINUED SOVIET MILITARY BUILDUP
ALONG THE BORDER, AND CHINA'S "WAR PREPARATIONS"
SUMMARY. THE SINO�SOVIET BORDER TALKS WERE CONSIDERED USELESS AND
OF NO IMPORTANCE
AN AGENDA HAD NOT EVEN BEEN AGREED
UPON BY 3 NOVEMBER, THE SOVIETS HAD INCREASED THEIR
MILITARY FORCES ALONG THE BORDER BY MID�NOVEMBER RATHER THAN WITHDRAW
THEM AS PROPOSED BY THE CHINESE.
� SEceRET
kunoncanen,
NO FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM
(dissent controls)
(b)(1)
(b)(3)
(D)(1)
(b)(3)
(b)(1)
(b)(3)
(b)(1
(b)(3)
(b)(1)
(b)(3)
(b)(1)
(b)(3)
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PAGE 2 OF 9 PAGES
E T NO FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM
(classification) (dissetn controls)
FOUR GUIDED MISSILE BASES FACING CHINA ALONG THE SINKIANG BORDER. THE
SOVIETS HAVE ALSO BEEN GUILTY OF SENDING SPIES INTO THE BORDER AREA,
(b)(3)
tHE SOVIETS HAVE (WM
(b)(3)
(b)(1)
(b)(3)
THE SOVIETS, IN
COLLUSION WITH THEIR EASTERN EUROPEAN ALLIES, THE U.S., JAPAN, AND INDIA,
ARE PLOTTING TO ATTACK AND DESTROY CHINA. END OF SUMMARY
I. THE SINO�SOVIET BORDER TALKS BEING HELD IN PEKING ARE USELESS
AND OF NO IMPORTANCE,
WHILE
THE SOVIET PRESS CLAIMED THE TALKS WERE PROGRESSING, IN FACT AN AGENDA HAD
NOT EVEN BEEN AGREED UPON BY 3 NOVEMBER.
(b)(1)
(b)(3)
4
3 2. THE SOVIETS ARE USING THE NEGOTIATIONS
4 AN AGGRESSIVE TACTIC AGAINST CHINA WHILE PREPARING FOR NEW ATTACKS, A
s NO FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM
dissent controls
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(b)(3)
NO FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM
(olassttloatlon) � (dissem controls)
PAGE 3 OF 9 PAGES
/G y
TACTIC THE CHINESE NATIONALISTS USED IN THE PAST AND THE AMER/CANS ARE NOW
USING IN VIETNAM. ON THIS TACTIC, THE SOVIETS ARE TAKING ADVICE FROM THE
AMERICANS. THE SOVIETS ARE TRYING TO PLEASE THE AMERICANS BECAUSE THEY
ARE AFRAID OF THEM.
THE SOVIETS ARE TRYING TO
(b)(1)
(b)(3)
DESTROY
CHINA'S NUCLEAR CAPABILITY. EVEN THE U.S. PRESS SAID THIS.
3.
(b)(1)
(b)(3)
THE
CHINESE WISH IS TO MAINTAIN THE BORDERS AS THEY ARE AT PRESENT, BUT THE
SOVIETS ARE OCCUPYING LARGE AREAS OF CHINESE TERRITORY, INCLUDING RIVER
ISLANDS
ALONG THE NORTHEAST BORDER.
4.
THE SOVIETS WILL
(b)(1)
(b)(3)
EVENTUALLY ATTACK
CHINA AGAIN ALTHOUGH
THE CHINESE DO NOT KNOW WHEN. IN
THIS REGARD,
THE SOVIETS ARE SEEKING TO IMPROVE
(b)(1)
(b)(3)
RELATIONS WITH WEST GERMANY, JAPAN AND THE U.S. IN ORDER THAT THEY NEED
NOT WORRY ABOUT
THESE POWERS WHEN
THEY ATTACK CHINA. THE U.S. IS A
DANGER TO CHINA,
BUT THE USSR IS A GREATER DANGER.
(b)(1)
(b)(3)
5.
5
4
3
2
1MAKING NO PROGRESS, AND THAT THE SOVIETS HAD CAUSED BORDER FRICTIONS
.4..L.L1022.1LEIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM
c asst cation cilium controls
THE BORDER TALKS ARE
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(b)(3)
PAGE 4 OF 9 PAGES
NO FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM
(classification) � (dissem confrere)
TO DIVERT THE ATTENTION OF THEIR OWN PEOPLE FROM INTERNAL PROBLEMS.
(b)(1)
(b)(3)
WHILE THE
NEGOTIATIONS ARE GOING ON, THE SOVIETS ARE INCREASING THEIR FORCES ALONG
THE BORDE SENDING IN LARGE MECHANIZED FORCES. THE sovIETE(b)(1)
(b)(3)
HAVE 69 DEVISIONS ALONG THE SINO-SOVIET BORDER PLUS NINE DIVISIONS ALONG
THE SINO-1ONGOLIAN BORDER. ADDITIONALLY, THE SOVIETS HAVE REPLACED
SEVERAL C,NVENTIONAL DIVISIONS ALONG THE BORDER WITH DIVISIONS EQUIPPED
WITH GUIDED MISSILES. THE SOVIETS HAVE FOUR GUIDED MISSILE BASES FACING
CITTNA
THREE WERE NEAR MAJOR SOVIET LAKES ALONG THE SINKIANG
BORDER--IdESYK-KUL,
AND ALAKOL.
EVENTUAL4 ATTACK.
6.
ALAKOL AND ZAYSAN.
COMMENT.
THE FOURTH WAS BETWEEN ISSYK-KUL
(b)(1)
(b)(3)
CONFIDENT THAT THE SOVIETS WIOX1)1)
,3)
IT WAS ONLY A QUESTION OF TIME.) (b)(3)
THE NEW CZARS OF THE SOVIET UNION (b)(1)
(b)(3)
ARE MORE GREEDY THAN OLD. IN ADDITION TO THE CHINESE TERRITORY OBTAINED
BY UNEQUAL TREATIES DURING THE 19TH,CENTURY, THE SOCIAL IMPERIALISTS
(SOVIETS) HAVE SEIZED 1,600,000 SQUARE KILOMETERS OV CHINESE TERRITORY,
INCLUDING MORE THAN 20 CHINESE RIVER ISLANDS IN THE NORTH, BY THE RECENT5
5
4 4
BORDER VIOLATIONS. THEY WISH TO SEILE STILL MORE. THE SOVIETS WILL NOT3 3
2 ACCEPT THE DEFEATS WHICH THE CHINESE HAVE INFLICTED UPON THEM IN THE
1
assi
NO FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM
2
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PAGE 5 OF 9PAGES
....2,---e�r�Tri"--NO FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM
(classification) (d(ssent controls)
BORDER CLASHES OF THIS YEAR AND ARE NOW PREPARING FOR NEW AGGRESSION.
HAVING FAILED WITH CONVENTIONAL INFANTRY TACTICS, THE SOVIETS ARE NOW
MASSING LARGE MECHANIZED FORCES ALONG THE BORDER. MOREOVER, THE SOVIETS
ARE EVACUATING CIVILIANS FROM THE BORDER AREAS TO THE INTERIOR AND ARE
BUILDING BORDER FORTIFICATIONS. THEY HAVE ASKED EASTERN EUROPEAN POWERS
TO SEND SMALL MILITARY UNITS TO THE CHINESE BORDER SO THAT THE SOVIETS
WILL NOT APPEAR TO BE ACTING ALONE IN THEIR AGGRESSION AGAINST CHINA.
THE EASTERN EUROPEANS HAVE PROVIDED SMALL MILITARY UNITS AS REQUESTED.
THE SOVIET PEOPLE, MOST OF WHOM ARE FRIENDLY TO CHINA, DO NOT SUPPORT
THEIR LEADERS IN THIS ANTI�CHINESE AGGRESSION.
7. IN THEIR PLANS TO ATTACK CHINA,
PLOTTING WITH THE UNITED STATES AND INDIA.
THE SOVIETS ARE
THE SOVIETS HAVE SENT MILITARY EXPERTS AND ADVISORS TO INDIA
AND ARE SUPPLYING INDIANS WITH MODERN WEAPONS. ALTHOUGH IDEOLOGICAL
DIFFERENCES EXIST BETWEEN THESE IMPERIALISTS, THEY ARE IN
AGREEMENT ON PLANS TO DESTROY CHINESE SOCIALISM BY WAR. THIS IS ESPECIALLY
SO NOW THAT THEIR AGENTS, L I U SHAO�CH'I AND HIS GANG, HAVE FAILED IN
THEIR COUNTERREVOLUTIONARY EFFORTS.
8.
THE PRESENT BORDER NEGOTIATIONS ARE A SOVIET
5DECEPTION TO OBSCURE THEIR PREPARATIONS FOR FURTHER AGGRESSION. "WE
4
3 DO NOT DEPEND ON THE NEGOTIATIONS. WE EXPECT NOTHING FROM THEM.
2
1 CHAIRMAN MAO HAS TOLD US THAT WAR IS INEVITABLE. MARXISM�LENINISM
........1.1.4r1r117. NO FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM
(olastification) (Maim controls)
5
4
3
2
1
(b)(3)
(b)(1)
(b)(3)
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PAGE 6 OF 9 PAGES
FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM
(classification) (dissent controls)
SAYS WAR WILL OCCUR PERIODICALLY SO LONG AS IMPERIALISM EXISTS. CHAIRMAN
MAO IS ONLY SURPRISED THAT A WORLD WAR HAS NOT COME SOONER, IT HAVING
BEEN 24 YEARS SINCE WORLD WAR TWO. WE ARE PREPARED."
9.
CHINA HAS PROPOSED TO THE SOVIETS THAT THE BORDERS
EXISTING BEFORE THE LATEST BORDER CLASHES BE OBSERVED AND THAT BOTH SIDES
WITHDRAW THEIR' MILITARY FORCES FROM THE BORDER AREA. HOWEVER, THE
SOVIETS HAVE SIMPLY TAKEN ADVANTAGE OF THE NEGOTIATIONS TO BRING MORE
FORCES TO THE BORDER. ADDITIONALLY, SOVIET NAVAL FORCES, INCLUDING AN
AIRCRAFT CARRIER AND SOME VESSELS EQUIPPED WITH MISSILES, ARE PATROLLING
CHINA'S COASTLINE.
COMMENT.
THE SOVIET VESSELS ARE
OPERATING IN THE SEA OF JAPAN AND IN THE PACIFIC OCEAN.) THE SOVIET
SHIPS BUY SUPPLIES IN HONG KONG, THE SOVIETS ARE ALSO
BUILDING AIRFIELDS IN SIBERIA AND ARE CONDUCTING AN ACTIVE DOMESTIC
PROPAGANDA CAMPAIGN TO BUILD AN AGGRESSIVE MILITARY SPIRIT.
10.
THE SOVIET MILITARY BUDGET IS
EQUIVALENT TO U.S. 60 BILLION DOLLARS. ALTHOUGH THIS IS 20 BILLION LESS
THAN THE U.S. MILITARY BUDGET, THE SOVIETS CAN SUPPORT FIVE
5 SOLDIERS FOR THE SAME AMOUNT THE U.S. SPENDS TO SUPPORT ONE.
THE SOVIETS HAVE SOLD LARGE AMOUNTS OF GOLD IN THE WEST, AND
....E-4-1I11r�NO FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM
�
(elswilIcAllon) (Alum oiontrOti)
5
4
3
2
1
(b)(1)
(b)(3)
(b)(1)
(b)(3)
(b)(1)
(b)(3)
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PAGE 7 OF 9 PAGES
NO FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM
(tfitststfication) Nissen controls)
ART OBJECTS IN LONDON, TO GET HARD CURRENCY. THE SOVIETS NEED MONEY TO
BUY STRATEGIC MILITARY GOODS FOR WAR AGAINST CHINA.
ARE PREPARED FOR WAR, BUT WE WILL NEVER INITIATE IT."
"WE
COMMENT.
THEY BELIEVED A WAR WOULD BE FOUGHT INSIDE
CHINA AS A GUERRILLA CONFLICT.)
11. CONCERNING THE GENESIS OF THE TALKS,
SOVIET PREMIER KOSYGIN HAD
TELEPHONED CHAIRMAN MAO SOMETIME BE7ORE HO CHI MINH'S FUNERAL REQUESTING
TALKS ON THE BORDER FRICTIONS. MAO REPLIED THAT HE WAS NOT PREPARED TO
DISCUSS THE MATTER OF NEGOTIATIONS ON THE TELEPHONE BUT THAT THE SOVIET
COULD SEND A REPRESENTATIVE "IF YOU WISH." MAO HAD NOT SUGGESTED THAT
SOMEONE OF KOSYGIN'S RANK VISIT CHINA FOR THIS PURPOSE. THE ATMOSPHERE
OF THE KOSYGIN-CHOU EN-LAX AIRPORT MEETING OF EARLY SEPTEMBER WAS "COLD,"
MEETING.
12.
AFTER HO'S FUNERAL BEFORE COMING TO PEKING IN ORDER TO "PLOT" WITH THE
INDIANS BEFORE MEETING CHOU EN-LAI.
13.
SOVIET MILITARY EQUIPMENT ALLEGEDLY
3 CAPTURED IN THE 1969 BORDER CLASHES. THE EQUIPMENT INCLUDED SOVIET
2
NO FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM
(classification) (dissem controls)
KOSYGIN HAD PROPOSED THE BORDER NEGOTIATIONS AT THIS v
(b)(3)
(b)(1)
(b)(3)
KOSYGIN TRAVELED FROM HANOI TO INDIA (b)(1)
(b)(3)
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PAGE 8 OF 9 PAGES
FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM
(ciassificarton) (dissem ccmtrois)
SMALL ARMS AND A SOVIET TANK CAPTURED ON CHENPAO ISLAND. THERE WERE ALSO
FIVE TO VEN PRINTED PAMPHLETS CONTAINING PHOTOGRAPHS OF ALLEGED SOVIET
SPIES CAP) URED BY THE CHINESE AS WELL AS A REPRODUCTION OF THEIR
HANDWRITTEN CONFESSIONS, IN THE RUSSIAN LANGUAGE, OF ESPIONAGE AGAINST
'CHINA. ALSO PICTURED IN THE PAMPHLETS WAS "ESPIONAGE EQUIPMENT" USED BY
SOVIET AGENTS, INCLUDING CAMERAS AND TAPE RECORDERS.
14.
SOME OF THE SOVIET SPIES HAD BEEN
CAPTURED IN SINKIANG PROVINCE. ONE WAS DESCRIBED AS A MEMBER OF THE
SOVIET MILITARY. THE PHOTOGRAPHS IN THE PAMPHLETS WERE MOSTLY OF
CAUCASIANS, BUT ONE OR TWO SHOWED PERSONS WITH "MONGOLIAN" FEATURES.
15.
"WE
CHINESE HAVE CAPTURED MANY REVISIONIST SPIES BUT THEY CONTINUE TO SEND
MORE."
16.
M(3)
(b)(1)
M(3)/
(b)(3)
(b)(1)
(b)(3)
(b)(1)
(b)(3)
(b)(1)
(b)(3)
(b)(1)
CHINA'S TWO CURRENT NATIONAL PRIORITIES ARE TO PREPARE FOR WAR 14b)(3)
4
3AND TO REBUILD THE PARTY. 3
2 2(b)(1)
L-s-R-e-ft-r-r--No FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM (b)(3)
olass(ileation) Ws sem controls)
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PAGE 9 OF 9 PAGES
-u-4/1---/r NO FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM
�
(close/ton lion) (dissent otrntrols)
)PROGRAMS TO ORGANIZE THE
"IN PREPARATION FOR WAR."
BEING ENCOURAGED TO PLANT GRAIN RATHER THAN
BE STORED FOR WAR WHILE VEGETABLES CANNOT.
GRAIN STORAGE, INDIVIDUAL HOUSEHOLDS ARE TO
THAN THE GOVERNMENT USING ITS FACILIYIES.
17.
VEGETABLES SINCE GRAIN CAN
TO DISPERSE THE GOVERNMENT
PROVIDE THE STORAGE RATHER
IN THE TIENTSIN, NANKING AND SHANGHAI AREAS
WERE EXTENSIVE TUNNELING AND DIGGING OF TRENCHES, SOME COMPLETED, IN BOTH
RURAL AND URBAN AREAS. A ROOM-SIZE BOMB SHELTER HAD BEEN CONSTRUCTED IN
ONE SHANGHAI FACTORY.
18
5
4
1
ALL THIS AS "WAR PREPARATIONS."
NO FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM
(classifica lion) (clIssem controls)
5
4
3
2
1
(b)(3)
(b)(1)
MILITIA AND INCREASE PRODUCTION(b)(3)
THE PEASANTS ARE (b)(1)
(b)(3)
(b)(1)
(b)(3)
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