<SANITIZED> THE LACK OF PROGRESS IN THE SINO-SOVIET BORDER TALKS, A CONTINUED SOVIET MILITARY BUILDUP ALONG THE BORDER, AND CHINA'S "WAR PREPARATIONS"

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Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
01236935
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
9
Document Creation Date: 
March 9, 2023
Document Release Date: 
February 24, 2020
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
F-2018-01237
Publication Date: 
November 29, 1969
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PDF icon SANITIZED THE LACK OF PRO[15672366].pdf459.59 KB
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DifiXOTORATE OF ,PLANS This maferial'ontains Information affecting the National Defense of the United States within the meaning of the Espier.oge Laws, This 19, transmission or r�velatIon of which in any manner to an unauthorised person is r LILts .1 L I Approved for Release: 2019/06/28 CO1236935 � ntelligence Information Cable � ROUTINE IN PAGE 1 OF 9 PAGES NO'FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM THIS IS AN INFORMATION REPORT, NOT FINALLY EVALUATED INTELLIGENCE SECRET COUNTRY CHINA/USSR DOI SUBJECT ACQ SOURCE z Nov G9 CITE U.S.C. Secs, 793 and 794, the woo sehee Iwo ow.* downreillei end dodo...MO. DIST 29 NOVEMBER 1969 THE LACK OF PROGRESS IN THE S/NO�SOVIET BORDER TALKS, A CONTINUED SOVIET MILITARY BUILDUP ALONG THE BORDER, AND CHINA'S "WAR PREPARATIONS" SUMMARY. THE SINO�SOVIET BORDER TALKS WERE CONSIDERED USELESS AND OF NO IMPORTANCE AN AGENDA HAD NOT EVEN BEEN AGREED UPON BY 3 NOVEMBER, THE SOVIETS HAD INCREASED THEIR MILITARY FORCES ALONG THE BORDER BY MID�NOVEMBER RATHER THAN WITHDRAW THEM AS PROPOSED BY THE CHINESE. � SEceRET kunoncanen, NO FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM (dissent controls) (b)(1) (b)(3) (D)(1) (b)(3) (b)(1) (b)(3) (b)(1 (b)(3) (b)(1) (b)(3) (b)(1) (b)(3) Approved for Release: 2019/06/28 C01236935 Approved for Release: 2019/06/28 C01236935 IN PAGE 2 OF 9 PAGES E T NO FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM (classification) (dissetn controls) FOUR GUIDED MISSILE BASES FACING CHINA ALONG THE SINKIANG BORDER. THE SOVIETS HAVE ALSO BEEN GUILTY OF SENDING SPIES INTO THE BORDER AREA, (b)(3) tHE SOVIETS HAVE (WM (b)(3) (b)(1) (b)(3) THE SOVIETS, IN COLLUSION WITH THEIR EASTERN EUROPEAN ALLIES, THE U.S., JAPAN, AND INDIA, ARE PLOTTING TO ATTACK AND DESTROY CHINA. END OF SUMMARY I. THE SINO�SOVIET BORDER TALKS BEING HELD IN PEKING ARE USELESS AND OF NO IMPORTANCE, WHILE THE SOVIET PRESS CLAIMED THE TALKS WERE PROGRESSING, IN FACT AN AGENDA HAD NOT EVEN BEEN AGREED UPON BY 3 NOVEMBER. (b)(1) (b)(3) 4 3 2. THE SOVIETS ARE USING THE NEGOTIATIONS 4 AN AGGRESSIVE TACTIC AGAINST CHINA WHILE PREPARING FOR NEW ATTACKS, A s NO FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM dissent controls Approved for Release: 2019/06/28 C01236935 Approved for Release: 2019/06/28 C01236935 (b)(3) NO FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM (olassttloatlon) � (dissem controls) PAGE 3 OF 9 PAGES /G y TACTIC THE CHINESE NATIONALISTS USED IN THE PAST AND THE AMER/CANS ARE NOW USING IN VIETNAM. ON THIS TACTIC, THE SOVIETS ARE TAKING ADVICE FROM THE AMERICANS. THE SOVIETS ARE TRYING TO PLEASE THE AMERICANS BECAUSE THEY ARE AFRAID OF THEM. THE SOVIETS ARE TRYING TO (b)(1) (b)(3) DESTROY CHINA'S NUCLEAR CAPABILITY. EVEN THE U.S. PRESS SAID THIS. 3. (b)(1) (b)(3) THE CHINESE WISH IS TO MAINTAIN THE BORDERS AS THEY ARE AT PRESENT, BUT THE SOVIETS ARE OCCUPYING LARGE AREAS OF CHINESE TERRITORY, INCLUDING RIVER ISLANDS ALONG THE NORTHEAST BORDER. 4. THE SOVIETS WILL (b)(1) (b)(3) EVENTUALLY ATTACK CHINA AGAIN ALTHOUGH THE CHINESE DO NOT KNOW WHEN. IN THIS REGARD, THE SOVIETS ARE SEEKING TO IMPROVE (b)(1) (b)(3) RELATIONS WITH WEST GERMANY, JAPAN AND THE U.S. IN ORDER THAT THEY NEED NOT WORRY ABOUT THESE POWERS WHEN THEY ATTACK CHINA. THE U.S. IS A DANGER TO CHINA, BUT THE USSR IS A GREATER DANGER. (b)(1) (b)(3) 5. 5 4 3 2 1MAKING NO PROGRESS, AND THAT THE SOVIETS HAD CAUSED BORDER FRICTIONS .4..L.L1022.1LEIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM c asst cation cilium controls THE BORDER TALKS ARE Approved for Release: 2019/06/28 C01236935 Approved for Release: 2019/06/28 C01236935 IN (b)(3) PAGE 4 OF 9 PAGES NO FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM (classification) � (dissem confrere) TO DIVERT THE ATTENTION OF THEIR OWN PEOPLE FROM INTERNAL PROBLEMS. (b)(1) (b)(3) WHILE THE NEGOTIATIONS ARE GOING ON, THE SOVIETS ARE INCREASING THEIR FORCES ALONG THE BORDE SENDING IN LARGE MECHANIZED FORCES. THE sovIETE(b)(1) (b)(3) HAVE 69 DEVISIONS ALONG THE SINO-SOVIET BORDER PLUS NINE DIVISIONS ALONG THE SINO-1ONGOLIAN BORDER. ADDITIONALLY, THE SOVIETS HAVE REPLACED SEVERAL C,NVENTIONAL DIVISIONS ALONG THE BORDER WITH DIVISIONS EQUIPPED WITH GUIDED MISSILES. THE SOVIETS HAVE FOUR GUIDED MISSILE BASES FACING CITTNA THREE WERE NEAR MAJOR SOVIET LAKES ALONG THE SINKIANG BORDER--IdESYK-KUL, AND ALAKOL. EVENTUAL4 ATTACK. 6. ALAKOL AND ZAYSAN. COMMENT. THE FOURTH WAS BETWEEN ISSYK-KUL (b)(1) (b)(3) CONFIDENT THAT THE SOVIETS WIOX1)1) ,3) IT WAS ONLY A QUESTION OF TIME.) (b)(3) THE NEW CZARS OF THE SOVIET UNION (b)(1) (b)(3) ARE MORE GREEDY THAN OLD. IN ADDITION TO THE CHINESE TERRITORY OBTAINED BY UNEQUAL TREATIES DURING THE 19TH,CENTURY, THE SOCIAL IMPERIALISTS (SOVIETS) HAVE SEIZED 1,600,000 SQUARE KILOMETERS OV CHINESE TERRITORY, INCLUDING MORE THAN 20 CHINESE RIVER ISLANDS IN THE NORTH, BY THE RECENT5 5 4 4 BORDER VIOLATIONS. THEY WISH TO SEILE STILL MORE. THE SOVIETS WILL NOT3 3 2 ACCEPT THE DEFEATS WHICH THE CHINESE HAVE INFLICTED UPON THEM IN THE 1 assi NO FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM 2 Approved for Release: 2019/06/28 C01236935 Approved for Release: 2019/06/28 C01236935 IN PAGE 5 OF 9PAGES ....2,---e�r�Tri"--NO FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM (classification) (d(ssent controls) BORDER CLASHES OF THIS YEAR AND ARE NOW PREPARING FOR NEW AGGRESSION. HAVING FAILED WITH CONVENTIONAL INFANTRY TACTICS, THE SOVIETS ARE NOW MASSING LARGE MECHANIZED FORCES ALONG THE BORDER. MOREOVER, THE SOVIETS ARE EVACUATING CIVILIANS FROM THE BORDER AREAS TO THE INTERIOR AND ARE BUILDING BORDER FORTIFICATIONS. THEY HAVE ASKED EASTERN EUROPEAN POWERS TO SEND SMALL MILITARY UNITS TO THE CHINESE BORDER SO THAT THE SOVIETS WILL NOT APPEAR TO BE ACTING ALONE IN THEIR AGGRESSION AGAINST CHINA. THE EASTERN EUROPEANS HAVE PROVIDED SMALL MILITARY UNITS AS REQUESTED. THE SOVIET PEOPLE, MOST OF WHOM ARE FRIENDLY TO CHINA, DO NOT SUPPORT THEIR LEADERS IN THIS ANTI�CHINESE AGGRESSION. 7. IN THEIR PLANS TO ATTACK CHINA, PLOTTING WITH THE UNITED STATES AND INDIA. THE SOVIETS ARE THE SOVIETS HAVE SENT MILITARY EXPERTS AND ADVISORS TO INDIA AND ARE SUPPLYING INDIANS WITH MODERN WEAPONS. ALTHOUGH IDEOLOGICAL DIFFERENCES EXIST BETWEEN THESE IMPERIALISTS, THEY ARE IN AGREEMENT ON PLANS TO DESTROY CHINESE SOCIALISM BY WAR. THIS IS ESPECIALLY SO NOW THAT THEIR AGENTS, L I U SHAO�CH'I AND HIS GANG, HAVE FAILED IN THEIR COUNTERREVOLUTIONARY EFFORTS. 8. THE PRESENT BORDER NEGOTIATIONS ARE A SOVIET 5DECEPTION TO OBSCURE THEIR PREPARATIONS FOR FURTHER AGGRESSION. "WE 4 3 DO NOT DEPEND ON THE NEGOTIATIONS. WE EXPECT NOTHING FROM THEM. 2 1 CHAIRMAN MAO HAS TOLD US THAT WAR IS INEVITABLE. MARXISM�LENINISM ........1.1.4r1r117. NO FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM (olastification) (Maim controls) 5 4 3 2 1 (b)(3) (b)(1) (b)(3) Approved for Release: 2019/06/28 C01236935 Approved for Release: 2019/06/28 C01236935 IN PAGE 6 OF 9 PAGES FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM (classification) (dissent controls) SAYS WAR WILL OCCUR PERIODICALLY SO LONG AS IMPERIALISM EXISTS. CHAIRMAN MAO IS ONLY SURPRISED THAT A WORLD WAR HAS NOT COME SOONER, IT HAVING BEEN 24 YEARS SINCE WORLD WAR TWO. WE ARE PREPARED." 9. CHINA HAS PROPOSED TO THE SOVIETS THAT THE BORDERS EXISTING BEFORE THE LATEST BORDER CLASHES BE OBSERVED AND THAT BOTH SIDES WITHDRAW THEIR' MILITARY FORCES FROM THE BORDER AREA. HOWEVER, THE SOVIETS HAVE SIMPLY TAKEN ADVANTAGE OF THE NEGOTIATIONS TO BRING MORE FORCES TO THE BORDER. ADDITIONALLY, SOVIET NAVAL FORCES, INCLUDING AN AIRCRAFT CARRIER AND SOME VESSELS EQUIPPED WITH MISSILES, ARE PATROLLING CHINA'S COASTLINE. COMMENT. THE SOVIET VESSELS ARE OPERATING IN THE SEA OF JAPAN AND IN THE PACIFIC OCEAN.) THE SOVIET SHIPS BUY SUPPLIES IN HONG KONG, THE SOVIETS ARE ALSO BUILDING AIRFIELDS IN SIBERIA AND ARE CONDUCTING AN ACTIVE DOMESTIC PROPAGANDA CAMPAIGN TO BUILD AN AGGRESSIVE MILITARY SPIRIT. 10. THE SOVIET MILITARY BUDGET IS EQUIVALENT TO U.S. 60 BILLION DOLLARS. ALTHOUGH THIS IS 20 BILLION LESS THAN THE U.S. MILITARY BUDGET, THE SOVIETS CAN SUPPORT FIVE 5 SOLDIERS FOR THE SAME AMOUNT THE U.S. SPENDS TO SUPPORT ONE. THE SOVIETS HAVE SOLD LARGE AMOUNTS OF GOLD IN THE WEST, AND ....E-4-1I11r�NO FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM � (elswilIcAllon) (Alum oiontrOti) 5 4 3 2 1 (b)(1) (b)(3) (b)(1) (b)(3) (b)(1) (b)(3) Approved for Release: 2019/06/28 C01236935 Approved for Release: 2019/06/28 C01236935 IN PAGE 7 OF 9 PAGES NO FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM (tfitststfication) Nissen controls) ART OBJECTS IN LONDON, TO GET HARD CURRENCY. THE SOVIETS NEED MONEY TO BUY STRATEGIC MILITARY GOODS FOR WAR AGAINST CHINA. ARE PREPARED FOR WAR, BUT WE WILL NEVER INITIATE IT." "WE COMMENT. THEY BELIEVED A WAR WOULD BE FOUGHT INSIDE CHINA AS A GUERRILLA CONFLICT.) 11. CONCERNING THE GENESIS OF THE TALKS, SOVIET PREMIER KOSYGIN HAD TELEPHONED CHAIRMAN MAO SOMETIME BE7ORE HO CHI MINH'S FUNERAL REQUESTING TALKS ON THE BORDER FRICTIONS. MAO REPLIED THAT HE WAS NOT PREPARED TO DISCUSS THE MATTER OF NEGOTIATIONS ON THE TELEPHONE BUT THAT THE SOVIET COULD SEND A REPRESENTATIVE "IF YOU WISH." MAO HAD NOT SUGGESTED THAT SOMEONE OF KOSYGIN'S RANK VISIT CHINA FOR THIS PURPOSE. THE ATMOSPHERE OF THE KOSYGIN-CHOU EN-LAX AIRPORT MEETING OF EARLY SEPTEMBER WAS "COLD," MEETING. 12. AFTER HO'S FUNERAL BEFORE COMING TO PEKING IN ORDER TO "PLOT" WITH THE INDIANS BEFORE MEETING CHOU EN-LAI. 13. SOVIET MILITARY EQUIPMENT ALLEGEDLY 3 CAPTURED IN THE 1969 BORDER CLASHES. THE EQUIPMENT INCLUDED SOVIET 2 NO FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM (classification) (dissem controls) KOSYGIN HAD PROPOSED THE BORDER NEGOTIATIONS AT THIS v (b)(3) (b)(1) (b)(3) KOSYGIN TRAVELED FROM HANOI TO INDIA (b)(1) (b)(3) Approved for Release: 2019/06/28 C01236935 Approved for Release: 2019/06/28 C01236935 IN PAGE 8 OF 9 PAGES FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM (ciassificarton) (dissem ccmtrois) SMALL ARMS AND A SOVIET TANK CAPTURED ON CHENPAO ISLAND. THERE WERE ALSO FIVE TO VEN PRINTED PAMPHLETS CONTAINING PHOTOGRAPHS OF ALLEGED SOVIET SPIES CAP) URED BY THE CHINESE AS WELL AS A REPRODUCTION OF THEIR HANDWRITTEN CONFESSIONS, IN THE RUSSIAN LANGUAGE, OF ESPIONAGE AGAINST 'CHINA. ALSO PICTURED IN THE PAMPHLETS WAS "ESPIONAGE EQUIPMENT" USED BY SOVIET AGENTS, INCLUDING CAMERAS AND TAPE RECORDERS. 14. SOME OF THE SOVIET SPIES HAD BEEN CAPTURED IN SINKIANG PROVINCE. ONE WAS DESCRIBED AS A MEMBER OF THE SOVIET MILITARY. THE PHOTOGRAPHS IN THE PAMPHLETS WERE MOSTLY OF CAUCASIANS, BUT ONE OR TWO SHOWED PERSONS WITH "MONGOLIAN" FEATURES. 15. "WE CHINESE HAVE CAPTURED MANY REVISIONIST SPIES BUT THEY CONTINUE TO SEND MORE." 16. M(3) (b)(1) M(3)/ (b)(3) (b)(1) (b)(3) (b)(1) (b)(3) (b)(1) (b)(3) (b)(1) CHINA'S TWO CURRENT NATIONAL PRIORITIES ARE TO PREPARE FOR WAR 14b)(3) 4 3AND TO REBUILD THE PARTY. 3 2 2(b)(1) L-s-R-e-ft-r-r--No FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM (b)(3) olass(ileation) Ws sem controls) Approved for Release: 2019/06/28 C01236935 Approved for Release: 2019/06/28 C01236935 IN PAGE 9 OF 9 PAGES -u-4/1---/r NO FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM � (close/ton lion) (dissent otrntrols) )PROGRAMS TO ORGANIZE THE "IN PREPARATION FOR WAR." BEING ENCOURAGED TO PLANT GRAIN RATHER THAN BE STORED FOR WAR WHILE VEGETABLES CANNOT. GRAIN STORAGE, INDIVIDUAL HOUSEHOLDS ARE TO THAN THE GOVERNMENT USING ITS FACILIYIES. 17. VEGETABLES SINCE GRAIN CAN TO DISPERSE THE GOVERNMENT PROVIDE THE STORAGE RATHER IN THE TIENTSIN, NANKING AND SHANGHAI AREAS WERE EXTENSIVE TUNNELING AND DIGGING OF TRENCHES, SOME COMPLETED, IN BOTH RURAL AND URBAN AREAS. A ROOM-SIZE BOMB SHELTER HAD BEEN CONSTRUCTED IN ONE SHANGHAI FACTORY. 18 5 4 1 ALL THIS AS "WAR PREPARATIONS." NO FOREIGN DISSEM/CONTROLLED DISSEM (classifica lion) (clIssem controls) 5 4 3 2 1 (b)(3) (b)(1) MILITIA AND INCREASE PRODUCTION(b)(3) THE PEASANTS ARE (b)(1) (b)(3) (b)(1) (b)(3) Approved for Release: 2019/06/28 C01236935