CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1958/11/12

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Keywords: JAN 1958 - NOV 1958
• Keywords: TAIWAN STRAITS
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 00260754
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: January 27, 2020
• Document Release Date: January 30, 2020
• Publication Date: November 12, 1958

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CENTRAL
INTELLIGENCE
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BULLETIN
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12 NOVEMBER 1958--
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
IChrushchev threatens Western sta-
tus in Berlin.
Soviet short-range guided-missile
unit with atomic capability believed
to have .been identified in East Ger-
many.
Taiwan Strait - Communists may
abolish cease-fire on even days.
IL ASIA-AFRICA
Jordanian King seeking-to extract
maximum propaganda advantage
from air incident over Syria; post-
pones vacation.
Iran - Intelligence chief tells Shah
of alleged Soviet-organized campaign
to, overthrow regime, but omits men-
tion of internal non-Communist dis-
satisfaction with ruler.
Tunisia temporarily rejects British
and American arms offers because
of annoyance over alleged French
role.
0
Nepal King Sets first national elec-
tions for next February.
Thailand - .Marshal Sarit's possible
assumption of premiership unlikely
to bring end to maneuvering within
ruling group. .� �
Japan - Crisis over police bill may
weaken Kishi goveriunent.
III. THE WEST
De Gaulle suffers Setback in failure
of desired candidates to file in Al-
geria.
Argentina - President imposes state
of siege as result of strike by oil
workers.
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
12 November 1958
DAILY BRIEF
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
*USSR-Berlin: Khrushchev, speaking in Moscow on
10 November on the occasion of the Soviet-Polish friend-
ship meeting, declared that the USSR will turn over its
remaining functions in Berlin under quadripartite agree-
ments to the East German regime. If this action is car-
ried out, the USSR will probably disclaim any responsibility
for incidents arising from the presence of the Western pow-
ers in Berlin. Khrushchev's statements appear designed to
strengthen the appearance of East German sovereignty and
thereby undercut forthcoming West German unification pro-
posals and block West German efforts to improve relatiops
with the satellites, particularly Poland. Moscow may seek
to exploit the threat of a renewed blockade of Berlin in its
campaign to secure Western recognition of East Germany.
Page 1)
Soviet missiles in East Germany: Analysis of photo-
graphs of one of two unusual Soviet military freight trains
observed in East Germany in mid-October indicates that a
guided-missile unit equipped with the surface-to-surface
100-nautical-mile missile (SCUD) may be present in East
Germany. Each of the two trains carried large crated ob-
jects, the dimensions of which correspond_ almost exactly
to the SCUD. The USSR has the capability of providing this
missile with an atomic warhead.
(Page 2)
1.
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*Taiwan Strait situation: There has been no substantial
change in the Chinese Communist military situation in the
strait area. On 11 November, however, a Communist loud-
speaker broadcast from Amoy Island said: "The cease-fire
on even days is hereby abolished; shelling is possible any
day." Naval activity has continued at a high level, particu-
larly in East China waters. At least three landing ships have
moved south from Shanghai to Santu Bay since 6 November,
the largest number of landing ships detected in the Matsu area
at one time in this situation.
(Page 3) (Map)
IL ASIA-AFRICA
\
Jordan-UAR: King Husayn is seeking to extract the max-
imum progapanda advantage from the incident on 10 November
involving his personal aircraft with UAR jet fighters over Syria.
Husayn apparently intends to use the incident to postpone his
vacation, to whip up patriotic sentiment favorable to him in
Jordan, and also to bring about a more active United Nations
effort to "police" UAR activities aimed against him. UAR
authorities have denied that Jordan had obtained a clearance
for the King's flight, although a dry-run flight from Amman
to Cyprus was made via Syria last week, and they assert that
the MIG's which intercepted the royal plane were merely to
"escort" it to the Jordanian border rather than to "attack" it
as Husayn has claimed. (Page 5)
Iran: The chief of Iran's intelligence service has re-
ported to the Shah on a Communist-sponsored subversive cam-
paign designed to overthrow the regime. The campaign was
said to be organized by the USSR but to depend on support from
the UAR and Iraq as well as Iranian Communists. While this
report may overstate the present dangers to the regime, the
situation in Iran is showing no marked improvement. More-
over, the report does not refer to the significant non-Commu-
nist internal dissatisfaction with the Shah.
(Page 7)
12 Nov 58
DAILY BRIEF
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Tunisia: Tunisian officials have temporarily rejected
arms offered by the United States and Britain because of
press reports that France approved the sale of these weap-
ons. The Tunisian defense secretary expressed acute annoy-
ance, implying that arms were supplied because Tunisia op-
posed the UAR. He proposed that discussions be reopened
later.
Nepal: The King has announced that national elections
will be held on 18 February 1959. Notice of these elections,
which will be the first to be held in Nepal, will lead to in-
creased activity by all political parties, including the Com-
munists. Should political agitation seriously threaten the
interests of the King, he is likely to postpone the elections.
(Page 9)
*Thailand: Marshal Sarit apparently has decided to assume
the premiership in a provisional cabinet which is to be announced
in a few days. His decision is said to have come after former
Premier Thanom refused to serve as a figurehead premier with
Sarit ruling from behind the scenes. In View of his poor health,
however, Sarit is likely to give a fitful performance as premier.
Maneuvering within the ruling military, which has been a threat
to Sarifs primacy is likely to continue.
apan: The parliamentary c Isis precipitated by Prime
Minister Kishi's handling of the controversial bill to strengthen
/ the powers of the Japanese police is resulting in renewed fac-
tionalism among his supporters. Should the Socialists' boycott
of the Diet and their mass-demonstration tactics force Kishi to
retreat, his diminished prestige and loss of firm party backing
would encourage pro-Communist and leftist organizations to in-
crease extremist activity. (Page 10)
III. THE WEST
France-Algeria: The failure of pro-nationalist Moslem
/ and liberal European candidates to file for the 28-30 November
12 Nov 58
DAILY BRIEF iii
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elections of 67 Algerian deputies to the French National Assem-
bly is a serious setback for De Gaulle. Such candidates were
discouraged from filing by the French Army, despite De Gaulle's
order that it abstain from politics. Rebel threats also served
to deter the Moslems. As the result of a last-minute filing, all
18 electoral diStiict's. now have candidates; however, most of
these are French rightist settlers and Moslem collaborators.
.(Page 11)
*Argentina: President Frondizi on 11 November imposed
a state of siege to suppress the ten-day-old petroleum workers'
strike whose leaders are demanding that the government can-
cel its contracts and cease negotiations with American firms
to develop Argentine petroleum. Frondizi described the strike
as part of a subversive plan worked out by the Peronistas, un-
der Peron's order, and the Communists. Several hundred agi-
tators have been arrested. Page 12)
12 Nov 58
DAILY BRIEF iv
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Taiwan Strait Situation
A Chinese Communist loudspeaker broadcast from Amoy
Island on 11 November said: "The cease-fire on even days is
hereby abolished. Shelling is possible any day." The broad-
cast implies a change in the Communist Defense Minister's
25 October order which had limited fire on even days to areas
other than the beaches and landing strip on Chinmen, but there
has been no official statement or comment from Peiping. Since
the Defense Minister's order there has been little or no shell-
ing on even days.
Three Chinese Communist ships, identified
as landing-ship type vessels, and an unidenti-
fied ship moved south from the Shanghai area to Santu Bay on
6 and 7 November and were still there on 10 November. Before
moving south, these four landing vessels together with another
vessel participated in an operation of undetermined nature off
the Yangtze estuary on 4 November.
_
There is no indication of the purpose of these
movements. Landing ships have been making regular runs from
the Shanghai area to Santu Bay during the present situation, pre-
sumably carrying cargo, but this is the first time that so many
have been detected there at one time.
Naval activity has continued
at a high level, particularly in East China waters. Some of
the six North China - based submarines 'which now are in the
Hangchow Bay area have been conducting exercises with surface
ships there.
There has been no change in the situation of Chinese Com-
munist air and ground forces in the strait area.
A correspondent of Peiping's official news agency in late
October told a Western journalist in East Berlin, who may be
E7'
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Communist troop
UUU strength
^nil Nationalist troop
V�JV strength �
4. Piston fighter
4- Jet fighter
+ Piston light bomber
+ Jet .light bomber
Si- Ground-attack
SELECTED AIRFIELDS INDICATED IN BOLD TYPE
Hengyang,
30078
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16,000 �
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STATUTE. MILES
300
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known to the Communists as a channel of information to
Western governments, that the shelling of Chinmen was pri-
marily designed to create an atmosphere that would lead to
the "surrender" of the island. The correspondent added that
Peiping believes it is impossible to "liberate" Chinmen through
peaceful evolutionary means and that force must be used as an
extension of the revolution on the mainland. He also said that
the Chinese Communists desired to avoid any US involvement
that might result in the internationalization of the Taiwan issue
tith "United Nations involvement." Strict orders, he said,
have been given Communist forces in the Chinmen area to
avoid shelling American ships.
Peiping's official news agency has announced that the "ex-
hibition on the use of Sidewinder guided missiles by the Taiwan
Kuomintang Air Force at the instigation of the US aggressors"
ended on 10 November,
12 Nov 58
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