Approved for Release: 2019/04/17 C00118648 (` CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE :AGENCY � � " . -Intellicfniace Infoilnationicable:.; Ro - 2049 � � _ PAGE 1 OF 11PAGEs._ � STATE/ft CIA N. /MC (SECDEF JCS 1114 � AIR ) C)A/NMCC SOO aczt ST:ATE/DLR. NTC(E=RICKSON CT- EXO D DDI USIACCM 0CC�3 Stews . rzs dre=7 .=-0101. This-material cantatas inforraation sZecting the Natio 1 D.' of the United States Within the meaning of the Espionage Sawa, Title 11.17.5.0 Secs. 793 anci 4, the tr.insmi:sion. or revelation of w in any manner to an unauthorlucl person le prohibited by law. . - COUNTRY DOI SUBJECT � ACQ SOURCE THIS IS AN INFORMATION REPORT, NOT FINALLY EVALUATED INTELLIGENCE. SOt..7. E V=NAM 17 1,LL.RCI.-I 1968 .__JE�z!.? . .� . __;;;:-.:-�::; S=7:ATION APPRAISAL: ASSESSISIE OF GENERJ-LL' TEI-VIZTS PEM:',01,'21.1.2r,E AS . --r�t-57_,-";.----. IV CORPS COPMNDER ALD OP TEN SIIIIATION ma TEN DELTA AS CF 15 MAR:a ''.9gi:ML, DLST 19waca 1968 PEE r-f-Q)i_7;c.f7 (1:6 mAP,c3 1968) FIELD NO. T�RIS IS A FDMD APPRAISAL CF TE3 CURR.7,172 S.177.1.ATION. IT IS NOT: AN OFFICIAL .31.1DatiMIT BY TEES AGEliCif 11.1U CO.Y.PON2NT. P_Ts'PE:&S' M?I'S Th1rct'RailA2IO?.7.S BAS M ON Z2C1REATION AVAMABLESIMIAT VITA' � `IDE CT 1.51c; 3.4(171 .3.4(b)(1) TrPS PREP.A.RATIGN. - � - . . ... ' t ,. S7::::!ARY. TEE SIT=ON M TEE DM,TA PROVMrES (IV. CORE'S TACTIC:Z Y e .. -.1 � i-; -. � .- � � SOUTH V=TN.P.2�1 IS NOT AS ORLI7IC.AL IN MID-YARCH AS:-ITP TaSni 2431)--.:.....'73.7.14In�-., F371. IT plf !�.1 - Ji i � IS AS CTRUCIAL A/D WILL cordlur. so. FOR ri". LEM TWO MORIES. MAJOR C,51-9A-7.J , ii , � _...-:. � - . - II . d NCRTL-1.2IDUC TG EAS BEUON TO REVITALIZE If-CORPS SIME BIS ASSaPTION OF _ P . co:.:-. ON 29 FEERTIALRY. GENERAL TEANG DESCRDES EES PLANS AM PRO,..( W1,TE .i.. ,.i y! TF3 0213 WORD, HOFFY-.1. iSIVE; " AM FROM TEE DAY OF B'eS A-RRiVAL FAS BETZ :;;T2i,=`21.5..i , � ;.I 5 . - - ? . ;�,; -r".2. 1 4 ,SGEORDINATE ITARY LaAD-MS .11�0 GO ON `2,:bZi ATTACK. GMERAL TEA:MIS PROaRAM � - .__ � _ S (dfisem cor.tro.1.3) _S..----- -3-4a))(1) ... � - . '.." AtiG:-0 7 1��"7. : Approved for Release: 2019/04/17 C00118648 Approved for Release: 2019/04/17 C00118648 �INc.. 201+2 ._TDCS 5/0697-68 - .?AGE 2 OF "PAGES sigca:icr.) (dissem control:0 - 1,5k0 -14(b){ --t:;CALLS FOR THE MOBILIZATION OF ALL RESOURCES TODESTROYlVIET CONG L. li(VC) MAIN FORCE UNITS,- PROTECT,LINESOF_COMMUNICATION,. RESTORE THE REGIONAL FORCES.:AND POZULAR FORCES PRESS. FORWARD WITH THE REVO-. if LUTIONARY DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM AND PUSH THE RECOVERY EFFORT. REGARD-1 14 1.3ING CIVILIAN MOBILIZATION, GENERAL THANG SAYS THAT CIVILIANS MUST J1_ riUNDERTAKE CIVIL DEFENSE MEASUhES INCLUDING THE BUILDING OF SHELTERS . � ... AND MUST ORGANIZE.TO_CARE FOR REFUGEES. DURING FEBRUARY THE GOVERN- MENT OF VIETNAM WAS LOSING THE WAR PSYCHOLOGICALLY IN THE DELTA, ; _ -- � BUT IT NOW APPEARS THAT GENERAL THANG HAS SUCCEEDED IN REVERSING THE POST-TET TREND OF THE WAR IN THE DELTA. VC MORALE IS CURRENTLY VERY VULNERABLE TO A SUDDEN REVERSAL OF THE WAR AND COULD QUICKLY CRACK: 1 IF THE VC COULD BE PERSUADED DURING THE NEXT TWO MONTHS THAT THEY ' WILL NOT ACHIEVE VICTORY IN EITHER THE SHORT OR LONG RUN. TO IN- .-, ri FLICT A PSYCHOLOGICAL DEFEAT ON THE VC THERE MUST BE AGGRESSIVE AND EFFECTIVE OFFENSIVE OPERATIONS AGAINST THE YC MAIN FORCE. UNITS ATTACKS AGAINST ..YC SUPPLY LINES AND PENETRATION OF THEIR BASE - - ?k END SUMM_.I_EX,, � . � � 1. MAJOR GENERAL NGUYEN DUC THANG HAS BEGUN TO REVITALIZE AREAS. - IV CORPS 5 IMMEDIATE 4 3 THERE WAS 2 1 SINCE HIS ASSUMPTLON OF COMMAND ON 29 FEBRUARY. HIS . . PERSONAL IMPACT AND .INITIAL ACTIONS.WERE-IMPRESSIVE, BUT - REASON TO BE SKEPTICAL ABOUT THE.EFFECTIVENESS.OF ONE (Gttsern co-rttrots) 5 2 1.5-(c) 3.4(b)(1) Approved for Release: 2019/04/17 C00118648 CI ;�- controW Approved for Release: 2019/04/17 C00118648 IN � PAGE 3 oF 11PAGEs INDIVIDUAL, REGARDLESS OF HIS ABILITY AND POSITION, IN REVITA� LIZING THE GOVERNMENT OF VIETNAM (GYN) ARMED FORCES AND PROVINCE GOVERNMENTS 'IN THE DELTA THAT HAD FOR SO LONG BEEN USED TO CORRUPT AND INEFFECTIVE LEADERSHIP. BY THE END OF GENERAL THANG'S FIRST WEEK IN COMMAND, HOWEVER, IT BECAME APPARENT .THAT THE SMALL STAFF HE HAD BROUGHT WITH HIM FROM SAIGON IS ALSO EFFECTIVE, AWARE OF THE SITUATION IN THE DELTA, DECISIVE IN REFLECTING HIS VIEWS AS TO WHAT NEEDS TO BE DONE, AND DETERMINED TODO IT. . WITH LEADER� SHIP AT THE TOP IN SOME DEPTH, THE ENTIRE TV CORPS STAFF SWUNG INTO LINE AND BEGAN WORKING AS IT NEVER HAD BEFORE. 2. ON 9 MARCH, GENERAL THANG ASSEMBLED ALL THE PROVINCE CHIEFS AND BRIEFED THEM ON HIS PLANS AND PROGRAM, WHICH HE SAID CAN BE DESCRIBED BY ONE WORD, "OFFENSIVE." FROM THE DAY OF HIS ARRIVAL, GENERAL THANG HAD BEEN URGING SUBORDINATE MILITARY LEADERS TO GO ON THE OFFENSIVE AND THE NUMBER OF BATTALIONS AND COMPANIES ASSIGNED TO OFFENSIVE ROLES GRADUALLY INCREASED EACH DAY, BY 14 MARCH THE NUMBER.OF MILITARY OPERATIONS SCHEDULED FOR THE DAY THROUGHOUT IV CORPS .HAD REACHED THE UNPRECEDENTED TOTAL OF 60: 2 DIVISIONAL, 8 REGIMENTAL, 9 SECTOR AND 41 SUBSECTOR 5 OPERATIONS. DURING THE SAME PERIOD THERE WERE ONLY 17 VIET GONG . 4 3 (VC)�INITIATED OPERATIONS AND ALL WERE OF-.THE ECONOMY�OF�FORCE 2 1 '*-it(b)(1) 3.4(b)(1) Approved for Release: 2019/04/17 C00118648 . s#T (e. SI:ZatIG71) � Approved for Release: 2019/04/17 Cool 18648 -72042 TDCSDE-32..5/00997-68 PAGE 4 OF liPAGES .(dissem ec-ntrots) TYPE, THAT IS, 9 MORTAR ATTACKS AND 5 HARASSMENTS. ALSO ON 14 MARCH, 3392 VEHICLES TRAVELLED ON NATIONAL ROADS CONNECTING CITIES IN THE DELTA, AN INCREASE OF ROUGHLY 50 PERCENT WITHIN A FEW DAYS. IT NOW APPEARS THAT GENERAL THANG HAS SUCCEEDED IN REVERSING THE POST-TET TREND OF THE WAR IN THE DELTA WITEN HIS. FIRST TWO WEEKS IN COMMAND: 3. DURING FEBRUARY THE GVN WAS LOSING THE WAR PSYCHOLOGICALLY IN THE DELTA. THE VC .CAMPAIGN OF TERROR AND INTIMIDATION WAS EX- TREMELY EFFECTIVE IN UNNERVING. GVN LEADERSHIP AT THE CORPS AND PROVINCE LEVELS AND THIS WAS RAPIDLY COMMUNICATED TO THE CIVILIAN POPULATION AND THE LOWER RANKS OF GVN ARMED FORCES WHO WITNESSED THE HASTY AND HEAVY' DEFENSES PROVIDED TO HIGHERRANKING OFFICIALS� _ .AND GVN AND ARMY OF THE REPUBLIC OF VIETNAM (ARVN) INSTALLATIONS .AND THE RELATIVE ABSENCE OF 'DEFENSES TO-PROTECT THE CIVILIAN POPULATION. AT A COST DURING THE LAST FEW WEEKS OF FEBRUARY OF - 1.54 �:3Aft-)V1) ONLY. A FEW- THOUSAND MORTAR ROUNDS AND SOME GROUND PROBING ATTACKS AGAINST SELECTED CITIES AND TOWNS, PLUS.THE.GENERATION.OF A PROFUSION OF RUMORS OF THREATENED VC MASSIVE ATTACKS AGAINST THE TOWNS AND �CITIES, THE VC MANAGED-TO GAIN A VIRTUAL .STRANGLEHOLD.ON THE ECONOMY 5 AND AROUND THE CITIES OF THE DELTA.- BY MID-FEBRUARY A PALL OF 4 3 GLOOM AND FEAR HUNG OVER THE DELTA.. THERE WAS. MUCH TALK 2 - �� 5 3 Approved for Release: 2019/04/17 CO0118648 -/V7^nn 67 X:tA)1 �-" OM alt AtNIIOUS OITION. � � E. DB-.3.1.5/60997 -68 PACE 5 OF 11PAGES � . S1W ET wry,,cauctro (rifszem ceintrot3) ;� :7-:AMONG SOUND AND SEASONED OBSERVERS ABOUT THE POSSIBILITY OF � I - if SIZEABLE DEFECTIONS FROM TRE GVN- ARMED FORCES IF THE VC SHOI5L13 . -�-. i .. . . . . . � � _..._ .. : _. .. _. ..... _ _ .. . . _ - � � _ ,.� .._ . .... ATTACK* IN STRENGTH. .. KNOWLEDGEABLE M IL IT. AR Y OBSERVERS KNEW '...t'l i :��!1-,-/ T HAT THE VC . COULD TAKE OVER �FEW IF ANY OF�T HE CIT IES AND TOWNS OF THE DELTA EVEN WITH A SER IES OF MASSIVE ASSAULT S IF THE � ; �1��.--GVN HAD THE WILL TO FIGHT , BUT IT WAS OBVIOUS DURING .FEBRUARY !1.--"`T HAT THE WILL TO FIGHT WAS EBBING. GENERAL MANH MOVIDED 4.INEFFECI IVE LEADER SHIP AND EVEN cONTR.IBUTED TO T HE RE SSIS11 IS14 r.BYISDEFENSE_ORIENTED ACTIONS. THIS WAS T HE DELTA WHEN. GENERAL. THANG TOOK. OVER'....C.O.MMANDs.-AT 100 HOURS � ON 29 FEBURAR Y. ***-* � ; _ 4. THE IMPACT OF. GENERAL T.HANG' S TAKEOVER OF COMMAND ; � � WAS FELT ALMOST INSTANTLY IN CAN T HO. WITHIN ONE- HOUR I BY 1700 HOURS ON 29 FEBRUARY, THE BARBED WIRE AND BUNKER POSITIONS ;THAT HAD BLOCKED HALF THE MA IN STREET IN FRONT OF GENERAL . , � 5 4 3 2 . . . 4. :. MANX'S WELL.-DEFENDED *RESIDENCE HAD BEEN REMOVED AND .VIETNAMESE � , i. , . CIVILIANS WERE AGAIN PERMITTED TO 'USE*.THE.� STREET FOR THE -1 FIR ST TIME SINCE TET THIS AN IMMEDIATE ON THE � _ ��- � . �� I. � �� CIVILIAN POPULATION. ITHI TWO .HOURS 'AFTER HE ASSUMED tr...COMieiAND GENERAL THANG HAD ALSO ORDERED TWO RANGER BATTALIONS HAT HAD BEEN. DEFEND ING THE INNER. PERIMETERS OF THE CITY AND 1 E .P.ceict.7.ro 3:errt controlz) * �� .5(7), 3.4(b){1) Approved for Release: 2019/04/17 C00118648 Approved for Release: 2019/04/17 cool 18648 � � ' IN -1201+2 I. � TDCS DB-315/0097-68 , PAGE 6 OF 11PAGES � 5 3 1 � �:Mec:!,-:�11(hers &Wit r ��.�� THE ARMORED PERSONNEL- CARRIERS THAT HAD BEEN DEFENDING IV .Y . � 3.4N(1) CORPS HEADQUARTERS AND THE CORPS COMMANDERS. AND PROVINCE � � CHIEFS HOUSES TO. MOVE IMMEDIATELY TO OFFENSIVE POSITIONS_ - OUTSIDE. THE CITY. THIS 'TOO HAD AN IMPACT ON 'T HE. CIVILIAN POPUL AT ION AND PROBABLY EVEN MORE SO ON ARVN. 5. THE IMPACT OF GENERAL THANG' S LEADERSHIP IS, OF COURSE, BEING FELT MORE SLOWLY IN OTHER PARTS OF THE DELTA . _ . . THAN IN CAN' Ili0y,BUT HE LS FLYING DAILY TO VARIOUS PROVINCES � AND. BATTLE ZONES, AS ARE. MEMBERS OF HIS STAFF. THE INCR. E.:ASE IN . . OFFENSIVE OPERATIONS TESTIFIES TO THE EFFECT IVENESS. OF .THESE: VISITS. � 6. GENERAL T HANG* S OFFENSIVE PROGRAM CALLS FOR THE MOBIL IZ AT ION OF ALL RESOURCES, INCLUDING CIVILIAN,. TO FURTHER � SIX PRIORITY OBJECTIVES AND TASKS, WHICH 'ARE AS FOLLOWS: (PSYCHOLOGICAL CPER AT IONS WILL BE USED IC/ THF. MAXIMUM IN ALL - . _ � iSIX EFFORTS.) � � A . DESTROY VC. MAIN FORCE UNITS, . PROTECT LINES OF. COMMUN.ICAT ION , . , � c. FESTORE- REGT0.2'.1:AL -7ORCES. 'AND F.(:2CES � . PRESS FORWARD WITH THE REVOLUT IONARY DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM, ' � _ . � . _ . . 5 4 s..) t.. I Fels dt.��, Approved for Release: 2019/04/17 cool 18648 .67 Approved for Release: 2019/04/17 CO0118648 . � ^ ' . - �� k��- csDB-315/00977-68 - � - . : - � �7201+2 - � : PAGE 7 OF 11PAGES �� ..:sr..7";-�.: � � .7 T... PUSH U. :RECOVER Y EFFORT ). � ' is' � � � � . t . . � .-7. REGARDING 'CIVILIAN MOBILIZATION GENERAL. THANG IN- � � � � . . � � � FUMED SEN IOR. AMERICAN ADVISORS THAT THE .CIVILIANS- 'MUST BE . .. . . � 12..,771.T OE D THAT IT IS A FACT'.OF WAR THAT THE VCHAVE LONG-RAGE MC9Th t 7 � .7; , � . t Hs; ' � : � TARS AND ROCKETS, � GV N MILITARY FORCES MUST BE 'DEPLOYED:OFFEN.... � -.41.. � � � SI \:1F.LY , AND THE "GVN CANNOT GUARANTEE THE.. PROTECT ION OF. ALL �-X�CIT-IES A ND:27,0itniS jAGA INST.,: MORTAR ..ATTACKS.. THE CIVILIANS . MUST UNDERT A ICE CIVIL' DEFENSE � MEASURES p. INCLUD ING. T HE BUILDING OF �-� , . . . . -:%,� SHELTERS AGAINST MORTAR ATTACKS. HE � SAID� IANs MUST AL SO - � �' � . ., ORGANIZE TO CARE FOR REFUGEES � AND ABSORB -THEM FROM REFUGEE � � � ' .�� ; .. .. . .,. :: , : - ,--,:,-,-..-r�'m CE.NTE.,'S INTO THEIR HOMES UNTIL ...DEVASTATED *AREAS. CAN BE CLEARED 7 1 � ... . � � , . . . . .. � ... . . . .. .. . . . v.., -, -.�.): ��.: .)..:; AND RECONSTRUCT IW�i COMPLETED' . .. .� :1;'..- ..�': �-..?1�.......-.: ,-.1.:........--.,,....� 1. 4 . .. . .. .. ..:. ' .z. .1. -:::::....,":ii E. THE SIT UAT ION ..IN THE DELTA ..IS NOT AS CRITICAL IN MID- '1�:.. :--..: -�--..-11 - .,: -:,...:3 .� � - � � : ' ',.. .. � : -. .: . � � : - -.-... ,�.,,..-`......:�� . . .,. � ...- � � � .' . � �--------- -..�&-.....::,..;.:_. MARCH AS IT WAS .IN MID-FEBRUARY, BUT IT -IS AS dijCiki:Xii) , . 4 ..... .., , . . ... . .. . . . . ...... . . .. -,� IT. �-�'.. � � '� .... ��,�1:�.t.:�� . � , .. ,,'::\. '...!.....,..: co NT 1 11 u-z . so- FOR THE -.NEXT :TWO. MONTHS.. HAD THE ..SITUATION THAT . C:...:.:..., , � 1 - � .. . . �..... .7.�'.-.e..f.:,, ....-77.... PREVAILED T }-2OUGHOIJT FEBRUARY CONTINUED'. INTO OAYI:. THE VC MIGHT...". � * . --,* , . . .. . .:,... .4 . . . . ; � .. � � � � , � � ; 'T � " � NOT HAVE ON � ANY 'HEARTS , -BUT � THEY C01.11.D :.WELL HAVE TURNED T ?-2.- . . . � .� MINDS OF, THE OVERWHELMING MAJORITY � OF THE DELTA POPUL AT 10 .5 � TO FAVOR AN END OF THE -WAR AT'. ANY COST, INCLUDING A bAPIT , . . . . `'� 2 .1.1-AT ION . OF THE. GVN TO THE. 'VC DEMANDS ��FOR .A: COALITION GOVERNMENT � . . . . .,. ��... .� � � � � ' 1.5c) i.4(b)(1) Approved for Release: 2019/04/17 CO0118648 LQiTIGNO Approved for Release: 2019/04/17 C00118648 ��'- i ,-.: !.;)' . -1-- � -- ' - - ,' � .7 � ,,��-�:-? �!... � �:-..,.-, � ..v �..r.�:-74:,4e.:-:�f.,;:::',.,:_.',..-7...f:�; IN � -..:�-;',,�� ..r-k�s-,:- ,- 'cr.:;.,\`...1,:'''..-7,' *---....:.V.--* " n' 'f!..4..;�. .. : : .!..,,,.,..i.--..:.:`...,�; -. ......... ..... :. -:.� �� ..4--'3/4..., . :-,: . � ,..... - ' . - : .,-)....'.... .- � � --.1:-:-.;.;.7-ar � -2;.� , c--.77 � . = .---::: �,� � TDCS -315/0097-68 PAGE 8 OF 11 PAGES , � � � �. sEc,,DPL.Cra fe.t,t3t-rn 0:7� bra, .��imm.. : . � � � -71:.r1 NE IT HER SIDE HAS ANY PROSPECT IN THE .SHORT RUN OF. WINNING _ . ?.� THE HEARTS OF THE GREAT. MAJORITY OF HE PEOPLE IN THE-IDELTA.1- V � -� . � i� � � ::'� : . � � . , BECAUSE THEY ARE SICK AND TIRED OF THIS WAR,. BUT OUR SIDE t: � ...71 . i re � � .� . ; 47.* � � �� ; � "':� � i � � ; MUST GIVE FILL ATTENTION TO WINNING THE MINDS OF THE PEOPLE t : BY CONVINCING THEM THAT THE vg CAN NOT POSSIBLY WIN AND THAT, � -:��TF.ES IYA.P. WILL ZSD Li� ST QUI CKLY TIM. -PEOPLE' E ON THE . � � � . 1. � � -IDE Or THE GWI. T� � .� ' : : - � � . ';�� 9. IS ,A TIME.042`ixiliki.SranatIFttqatiT; ..+0-A � . � .". � UR N T-'" � .� - ! _ .,..�1 FELZ_I HAI....1 1:i 1S-2-T-UR NI N G -PO I NT-:41A D:-BEE:V.:...13.E.A4 : ' � : .: ' k.. -: . .!'. :-.: �:: In FE BR UAR.YND.,2-IILT HE: IR _ FA V OR ... tHE V..C...,..a.11E.LISEE N�;-;K&PT-Locr-fr,G`'' . � �:�, ._...,��..,.....a.z...�_z�.2.-...� '771 '..-21 BY: ik. ..BEL TEE -1 N ,..T -RE-: LNEN T TY. OF..V I CT.OR_YFO �-T H �T iz �' i " ,... � . . . . . -- :... -0). MOST ..�-P, E CE NT L Y--T-HE Y�-��HA-VE--BEEILEZ.ct � ....:+ '." . ,!�-: ., i .;.1! IT HI N A _MATTER- 7:0 F -NO NT-HS)Cz:MOR:ALCI�S�;,.1,LCVER E.F.OR-E-VER..t..z. . 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SITUATION APPRAISAL: ASSESSMENT OF GENERAL THANG'S PERFORMANCE AS IV CORPS COMMANDER AND OF THE SITUATION IN THE DELTA AS OF 15 MARCH 1968