THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 24 DECEMBER 1976

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0006466932
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: December 24, 1976

Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2016/07/19 : CIA-RDP79T00024A000400030004-1
The President's Daily rief
December 24, 1976
2
op Secret
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Exempt from general
declassification schedule of E 0 11652
exemption category 5B( 11.(2)13)
declassified only on approval of
the Director of Central Intelligence
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
December 24, 1976
Table of Contents
USSR: Satellite photography
shows that the Soviets have started dismantling at
east 11 more of the older SS-7 and SS-8 ICBM launchers and
have completed dismantling at least 12 others. (Page 1)
South Africa:
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Nigeria: Nigerian head of state Obasanjo recently outlined his
government's views on relations with the US and its policies 25X1
toward southern Africa. (Page 3)
At Annex
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Number of Older Missile Launchers
Number of Older Missile Launchers
STATUS OF DISMANTLING OF OLDER SOVIET MISSILE LAUNCHERS
INITIATIONS
210
150
100
50
Ill'
1 1
017;:ed Performance
11111111
1
Initiation Obligations
?
1 I I
COMPLETIONS
210
150
100
50
Comple ion Obligations
r---
Observed Performance
iiIiiIii
I 1
1 1 1 I
II II
1975 1976 1977 1978
Status of Soviet ICBM Dismantling
6201121 12-76 CIA
Obligations
March 1
June
July
August
September
October
November
December
Required number of
launchers with:
Dismantling Complete
51
51
51
51
51
67
67
79
Dismantling Initiated
0
16
28
28
44
56
56
60
51
67
79
79
95
123
123
139
Observed Performance (Dec 4- (Mar 22- (Jul 9- (Aug 4- (Sep 7- (Oct 12- (Nov 9-
Mar 29) May 17) Aug 3) Sep 6) Oct 19)* Nov 5)* Dec 9)*
Dismantling Complete
8
13-16
33
33
39
51
63
Dismantling in Progress
43
38-35
20
46
69
70
69
51
51
53
79
108
121
132
*Photographic coverage of the 209 SS-7 and SS-8 launchers was incomplete.
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
USSR: Satellite photog-
raphy
shows that the Soviets
have started disman-
tling at least 11 more
of the older SS-7 and
SS-8 ICBM launchers and
have completed disman-
tling at least 12
others. Additional dis-
mantling activity could
have occurred, however;
of the total 209 older
ICBM launchers, only
113 were photographed
in the course of this
mission.
SOUTH AFRICA:
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Available information indicates 25X1
that at least 132 Soviet launchers
are in varying stages of dismantle-
ment; 63 are considered fully dis-
mantled and 69 in process. Of the
69 partially dismantled launchers,
20 are unusable in the sense that
none could be returned to opera-
tional status in less time than
would be required for new construc-
tion.
By early December, the Soviets
should have finished dismantling
79 launchers and have had 44 others
in the process of dismantlement.
During December, they should have
.started dismantling 16 additional
launchers for a total of 60 in
process.
A 0-1 submarine with 12 missile
tubes may have been launched in
September and could begin sea
trials this spring. When it does,
the total number of launchers in
the process of dismantlement should
be 72. We do not expect the So-
viets to launch another ballistic
missile submarine before spring.
By the end of April, the Soviets
should have completed dismantling
a total of 139 launchers. 25X1
* * *
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--continued
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NIGERIA: Nigerian head
of state Obasanjo re-
cently outlined his
government's views on
relations with the US
and its policies toward
southern Africa.
Obasanjo pointed to the
Angola issue as the
main factor in US-Ni-
gerian policy differ-
ences over the past
year.
Speaking to Senator
Obasanjo expressed Nigeria's hope
for good relations with the incom-
ing US administration. He also
expressed the hope that the US
will accept Nigeria's view of its
special role in Africa.
In discussing efforts toward black
majority rule in southern Africa--
a prime aim of the current Nige-
rian military regime--Obasanjo em-
phasized that US influence is a
key factor. He expressed the hope
that the US would increase diplo-
matic and economic pressure on the
governments of Rhodesia and South
Africa.
By stressing the US role, Obasanjo
may well have been preparing to
blame the US if there is no prog-
ress toward black majority rule in
southern Africa.
He questioned whether the US. had
stopped supporting rival Angolan
groups. Obasanjo said the next
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move in Angola is up to the US,
which should formally recognize
the Popular Movement government.
Obasanjo urged the US not to treat
African affairs--such as Angola--
within the context of East-West
competition.
The Nigerian head of state reaf-
firmed Nigerian skepticism about
US initiatives on Rhodesia. He
acknowledged that some progress
has been made in the recent Geneva
talks, however, and said he expects
further progress under the incom-
ing US administration.
Obasanjo said he hopes the US will
work with the British to establish
an interim Rhodesian government in
which the UK would have the main
role, fortified, if necessary, by
a Commonwealth defense force.
* * *
--continued
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