THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 4 DECEMBER 1976

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0006466914
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: December 4, 1976

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The President's Daily Brief
December 4, 1976
2 25X1
Top Secret
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Exempt (mm general
declassification scheduk of E 0 11652
exemption category 5 Bf 11121.131
declassified only on approval of
the Director of Central Intelligence
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
December 4, 1976
Table of Contents
Mexico: President Lopez Portillo faces his first test of political
strength in the state of Sinaloa, where thousands of landless
peasants have invaded private farms. (Page 1)
Poland: Party leader Gierek's speech to the Central Committee
plenum on Wednesday will do little to lessen the widespread
feeling in Polish society that the regime is drifting.
(Page 1)
Lebanon: The unresolved questions of the Palestinians future
role in southern Lebanon and the confiscation of heavy
weapons held by Christian, Palestinian, and leftist militias
continue to pose the most serious obstacles to full im-
plementation of the cease-fire. (Page 2)
Notes: USSR; Iran-Iraq-USSR;
and 6)
South Korea (Pages 4, 5, 25X1
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UNITED STATES
Mexico
0 300Kilorneters
0 300 Miles
GULF OF MEXICO
PACIFIC OCEA N
620732 11-76
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MEXICO: President
Lopez Portillo faces
his first test of po-
litical strength in
the state of Sinaloa,
where thousands of
landless peasants
have invaded more pri-
vate farms.
POLAND: Party leader
Gierek's speech to the
Central Committee plenum
on Wednesday will do
little to lessen the
widespread feeling in
Polish society that the
regime is drifting.
Encouraged by former president
Echeverria's massive land expro-
priations last month in neighbor-
ing Sonora state, the peasants--
some of them reported to be
armed--have set up temporary
shelters on land north of the
Sinaloa state capital and are
preventing owners from planting
or harvesting crops. Landowners
hope to get court orders to evict
the invaders.
Violence, now a real possibility,
has so far been avoided by handing
over some of the land the Sinaloan
peasants wanted and by a decision of
the peasants to cease their de-
mands until the new administration
assumed office.
Lopez Portillo will probably try
to calm the situation by promis-
ing the peasants that their de-
mands will be considered. He
has indicated that further land
distribution is not the solution
to the rural problem. If the
situation gets out of hand, the
new President probably will use
the army to restore order.
In his low-key and defensive
speech, Gierek admitted that seri-
ous economic difficulties exist
but tried to allay public fears
about the future. He said that
the new five-year plan would be
redirected to put more stress on
supplying consumer goods, especi-
ally food, and less emphasis on
investment for producer goods.
These changes do not, however,
mean a massive redirection or re-
trenchment of the Polish economy,
as some Western news services have
implied.
--continued
1
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MEDITERRANEAN
SEA
5206.5 11 76
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
We agree with the US
embassy's conclusion
that Gierek's main task
will be to muddle through
the year ahead and that
he is counting on better
harvests and increased
industrial production
from new factories to
pull his leadership out
of the current crisis.
LEBANON: The unresolved
questions of the Pales-
tinians' future role in
southern Lebanon and the
confiscation of heavy
weapons held by Chris-
tian, Palestinian, and
leftist militias con-
tinue to pose the most
serious obstacles to
full implementation of
the cease-fire.
Gierek gently chided workers for
low productivity, for not under-
standing how complicated the de-
velopment process is, and for for-
getting how far Poland has come in
the past five years. He was much
more severe on his internal critics,
particularly the dissident intel-
lectuals.
Neither Christian nor Muslim lead-
ers, who remain wary of each other's
intentions as well as of Syria's
aims, are willing to be the first
to hand over arms. The Palestin-
ians, moreover, have maintained
that the 1969 Cairo agreements reg-
ulating fedayeen activity in Leba-
non allow them to retain weapons
within refugee camps and in the
southern border region. The ques-
tion of arms collection is certain
to be a principal item of discus-
sion at next week's expected first
meeting of the quadripartite com-
mittee of Syria, Egypt, Saudi Ara-
bia, and Kuwait, which was set up
at the Riyadh summit to interpret
the Cairo accords.
2
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Small-scale clashes between Pales-
tinian and Christian units in
southern Lebanon do not appear
likely to spark major renewed
fighting in the area or damage
the cease-fire elsewhere in the
country. 25X1
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Although Iraqi units recently have
begun withdrawing from Lebanon, we
believe that several thousand Iraqi
troops remain in the country,
mainly in the south.
3
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*
Iran has concluded its
largest arms purchase
from the USSR--report-
edly valued at $525
million
NOTES
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The arms deliveries are scheduled
to begin immediately and to be
completed by 1980./7
4
/
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Soviet aircraft deliv-
eries to Iraq are at
record levels.
Through November, Iraq has received
73 jet fighters, more than twice
the number shipped in 1975 and
about 50 percent over the 1974
level./
* * *
5
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The chief of the South
Korean Central Intel-
ligence Agency, Sin
Chik-su, was removed
from his post early
today. Several other
government changes
were also announced.
Sin has been one of the most influ-
ential men around President Pak in
recent years, with major respon-
sibilities in both domestic and
foreign affairs. His removal now
appears to be a direct result of
scandals involving South Korean
intelligence personnel in the US.
Sin's replacement, Kim Chae-kyu,
has a military and intelligence
background and most recently was
minister of construction.
The other appointees include new
ministers of justice, construc-
tion, education, and reunifica-
tion. There are rumors that the
South Korean ambassador to the
US will be replaced in the near
future and that additional
changes involving positions in
economic planning will be made.
Leadership changes at year's end
are routine in South Korea. The
shuffle this year may be more
sweeping than usual, however, as
Pak attempts to bring in new faces
for what he clearly sees as a
troubled period in US - South
Korean relations.
6
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